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Kevin's Pick(s): A split last night with the Orioles winning again 4-3, but the Reds losing 7-3 in St Louis. We've got a smaller board today, but I have two system picks (Kyle is taking the day off). Just a note that the play on the Cubs is in Game 2 of the day. They are playing out a protested game from the other day, which will start with Chicago up 2-0 before the night game, so just make sure you're betting on the game with WOOD starting. 2 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs - CUBS TO WIN (+153) **GAME 2** Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs Wood (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.06 units) 2 UNIT = Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays - TIGERS -1.5 (+150) Listed Pitchers: Price vs Cobb (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.00 units)
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Kevin Rogers RedsComment
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M. DaSilva - MLB 5* AL GOTW LA Angels -120Comment
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Bob Akmens Steelers/Eagles underComment
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Major 1 Sports Steelers+3.5 Steelers/Eagles underComment
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Arthur Ralph's Super pk Braves w/ Teheran -145 Trophy Play Phil Eagles -3Comment
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Indian Cowboy 3* Angels/Red Sox OVER 9Comment
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INSIDE VEGAS / CORY KLUGE WINS 2 MLB Sharp Plays Cinncy +138ML Arizona +180MLComment
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VEGAS RUNNER Chalky White Premium = 952) NATIONALS -180Comment
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Jeff Clement 8* Dodgers -163 8* Braves -165Comment
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HARRY BONDI NFL Preseason Free Pick PITTSBURGH (+3.5) over Philadelphia 7:30 p.m. ET The Eagles free agent acquisitions and draft were mostly centered on their defense but so far this preseason, they have not stopped anybody. Steelers generally lay down during the preseason but not during week three. Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS during Mike Tomlin’s reign in all important week three games when the starters play more and with more intensity. The fact that 2 Steelers running backs were arrested yesterday for smoking weed will have no impact on this game as their teammates will put this minor indiscretion behind them and focus on earning jobs and continuing to improve their defense and no-huddle offense. Take Pittsburgh.Comment
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Chris James Sports Under Giants/Cubs 8.5Comment
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Joe Gavazzi 3% LA Angels Run Line/+135 Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles (-3-) 7:30 ET 3% Philadelphia Eagles (-3-) The Eagles have been the highest scoring team in NFLX this preseason. Against high-scoring opponents Chicago and New England, they lost road games by similar scores 34-28 to Chicago and 42-35 last week at New England. Now, they return home at 0-2 SU ATS to face a much less potent offense that will be further negatively impacted by the arrest of their top 2 running backs, Bell and Blount, on drug possession charges. At the beginning of the year, the Steelers OL, which has notably under performed in recent years, was being touted as being its best in recent seasons and in full health. An upgrade in speed on the defensive side of the ball was meant to assure that the Steelers stop unit would remain one of the best in the league. But, the OL has clearly underperformed in the first two games, as the Steelers were badly outrushed in both. The absence of Blount and Bell will only add to those woes. Meanwhile, though the defense has shown potential, they are still undergoing a learning curve with many new faces. This is a great opportunity for the Eagles, playing their first home game, to continue their offensive onslaught and break into the win column. Despite the victory last week, 19-16 vs. Buffalo, the Steelers remain 1-5 ATS L2Y in preseason play.Comment
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Kelso 25 EaglesComment
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Joe Gavazzi LA Angels (Shoemaker) (-1 ½ R, +135) at Boston Red Sox (Delarosa) 7:10 ET 3% LA Angels (-1 ½ R, +135) We won with the LA Angels last night in this very spot, as they cruised to an 8-3 victory. That cements LAA’s MLB best record of 75-50 as they look forward to their weekend series with Oakland for divisional superiority. Yet, the victory for LAA was bittersweet, as they lost one of their best starters, Richards, to a knee injury (perhaps for the season). That will necessitate that fellow rookie starter, Shoemaker, step up to fill the void left by Richards. In ascending to the top spot in MLB, the Angels are on runs of 38-17, 7-1 recently, including a 3-game sweep of Boston by combined score of 16-8 in this week’s games. The defending champion Red Sox have looked like anything but! After relinquishing themselves from the contracts of their top 3 starting pitchers, the Red Sox have gone 9-18 to fall to 56-70 for the year. Their lack of timely hitting has been characterized by going to 4-32 with RISP in the first three games of this set. It is clear that Delarosa has pitched his best baseball from this mound. In 6 starts, over 36 IP, Delarosa has a 3.25 ERA. His most recent outing, however, was a busted start from this mound. In that game, Delarosa lasted just 4 innings allowing 6 runs on 9 hits with an inverted 2/4 KBB. Despite that poor performance, the Red Sox emerged with a 10-7 victory vs. Houston, leaving Delarosa with a false sense of confidence. Knowing that Richards is out for the count, Shoemaker will be eager to step up his game. Most notable on the YTD log of Shoemaker is the fact that LAA has won 10/14 of his starts, while he has an outstanding 93/18 KBB. In earlier articles available at Winning Sports Advice.com, I prove that there is a direct correlation between a pitcher’s TRGS and a better than 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. Though Shoemaker has struggled on the road with a 5.70 ERA in 36 1/3 IP, he has been backed by 9.6 RPG support in those outings. That bloated ERA figures to improve tonight based on Shoemaker’s current form. Both, he and LAA, have won 4/5 of Shoemaker’s recent starts. In that span, Shoemaker has worked 26 2/3 IP, allowing just 7 runs on 21 hits with a 21/3 KBB. Run line players must note the continued excellence of the Angels. In fact, 28/34 (that’s 82 %!) of LAA’s road wins have come by 2 or more runs. Must make this play on the run line, at the value laden underdog price, with the confidence that this ROAD WARRIOR, with the best record in baseball, will continue to excel in this situation against a fading champion, who is going nowhere!Comment
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