If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
5*- UCLA -7.5
4*- Missouri -9.5
4*- C. Michigan +6.5
4*- Mississippi -27.5
4*- under 56.5 Georgia Southern / GT
4*- Texas State +10
4 Unit Play. #106 Take BYU Cougars -18 over Houston Cougars (Thursday 9 pm ESPN) We used BYU last week as a free pick against a vastly overrated Texas team, and we will come right back with them as a selection at home this Thursday. BYU is a completely different team at home with the high elevation, and the crowd should be rocking for this night game since it is their first game in Provo this year. BYU beat Houston last year in Texas, scoring 47 points and giving up 46 points. I just do not believe Houston has the offensive firepower this year to keep pace with BYU, who has everybody back on offense. BYU is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 home games. Houston is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
4 Unit Play. #116 Take Missouri Tigers -9.5 over UCF Knights (Saturday 12 pm SEC Network) The Tigers continue to be undervalued and should be able to take care of business against UCF on Saturday afternoon. The Knights have had two weeks to stew on their loss to Penn State in Ireland and I just do not believe having a bye was beneficial to this program. Missou is averaging over 43 points per game and thus should have no problem covering this number. The Tigers are 15-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games. UCF is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
4 Unit Play. #128 Take Central Michigan +6.5 over Syracuse Orange (Saturday 12 pm ESPNEWS) The Orange are not a good team and thus do not deserve to be this big of a favorite against anybody, especially on the road. We went against CMU last week at got burned, and we will not make the same mistake twice. Like Nevada last week, mid-majors love to host power conference teams, and their fan base is always up for this type of a game. Purdue is very similar to Syracuse, and the Chippewas just beat Purdue by 21 points. Michigan transfer Thomas Rawls has been outstanding at running back, going over 100 yards in both games this season. Syracuse struggled to put away Villanova with the ejection of Terrel Hunt, and they will be lucky to win this game straight-up. CMU has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games.
4 Unit Play. #134 Take Under 56.5 in Georgia Southern Eagles @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 3) Just too many similarities in this game for it not to be a low-scoring game with the clock in motion most of the game. Both teams run a triple-option attack, and thus the defenses should be well-equipped to slow down the tempo and prevent big running plays. The Eagles have been a live underdog in recent years, easily covering the spread against NC State and Florida in the last year. Georgia Tech has gone under the posted total in 6 of their last 8 games following an ATS win in their previous outing.
4 Unit Play. #160 Take Mississippi Rebels -27.5 over Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (Saturday 4 pm SEC Network) Ole Miss has blown out two teams that made bowl games last season, and Louisiana just got hammered by Louisiana Tech last week. The Ragin Cajuns gave up close to 8 yards per play last week against the Bulldogs, and I just do not see things getting any better this week. Ole Miss is loaded on both sides of the football, and I believe this is the year they will make some noise in the SEC West. ULL is 1-60 against current SEC teams, and that includes 0-3 against Ole Miss. ULL is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Ole Miss has covered the spread in 20 of their last 26 nonconference games.
4 Unit Play. #184 Take Texas State Bobcats +10 over Navy Midshipman (Saturday 8 pm ESPNEWS) This game reminds me a lot of the Wyoming - Texas State game last year. Everybody was on Wyoming last year, but they got killed by 21 points despite being a 12-point favorite. Navy has yet to play a true home game this season, meaning they have to travel for the third stright week. Texas State is laying in the weeds with just a tune up game with Arkansas Pine Bluff played this season. We all know Dennis Franchione can coach, and expect Texas State to become bowl eligible this season. Navy is never a good play as a road favorite, going 4-8 since 2007, and three of those four games when they were favored they lost the game straight up. TSU has covered 4 straight nonconference lined games.
5 Unit Play. #189 Take UCLA Bruins -7.5 over Texas Longhorns (Saturday 8 pm FOX) Top College Football Game of the Week. Texas will put forth a better effort this week against UCLA, but the fact remains that they just do not have much talent. New Coach Charlie Strong has laid down the law with suspensions, and they have also been bitten by the injury bug as well. That came to a head last week when BYU destroyed them by a score of 41-7. The fact remains that UCLA is a better team than BYU, and they also have a dual-threat quarterback that can beat you with his arm or his legs. UCLA has not been that impressive this season in their two victories, but I feel that have just been going through the motions waiting for ta big time game with a national audience. They have that here, and expect a focused and determined effort. Texas is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 games against ranked teams on a neutral field. Texas was embarrassed by BYU in 2013, and even with revenge on their minds they still got run over last week. That just tells me they do not have the horses. Texas is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. UCLA is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 nonconference
5*- N.Illinios -10
3*- Missouri -9.5
3*- USC - BC under 55
COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
3-Unit Play. #103 Louisiana Tech +4 over North Texas (8:00p.m., Thursday, Sept 11 CBSC)
Yes travelling down to North Texas is no cake walk but I believe LA Tech has the better QB and rushing attack. North Texas came up huge against SMU offense their last game but SMU is not even close to the La Tech offense. If the Mean Green defense can't slow down RB Kenneth Dixon then I smell upset in the big state of Texas and the Bulldogs will win this game outright. Louisiana Tech are covering machines on the road and they are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games.
3 Unit Play. #115 Missouri -9 ½ over Central Florida (12:00p.m., Saturday, Sept 13 PAC-12)
I'm not going to lie here but I'm shocked on how well the offense of the Mizzou Tigers have played. Mizzou threw up 49 points on the road against Toledo last week and QB Maty Mauk had a pretty good game throwing. The Mizzou defense should be able to pressure the QB of UCF and the Tigers defense is a lot quicker then Penn St which UCF played 2-weeks ago. UCF has the talent to compete in this game but in my eyes the Tigers of Missouri will be just too quick for them and in the 4th quarter I see Mizzou pulling away in this game and winning this game by double-digits. UCF is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games and Missouri is 5-1-1 ATS in non-conference games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
3 Unit Play. #193 Under 55 USC at Boston College (8:00p.m., Saturday, Sept 13 ESPN)
The USC Trojans have been one of the surprising teams so far in College Football abd they travel to Boston College winning a big road games against Stanford. USC is a perfect 2-0 so far this young season and the Trojans have only given up 23 points in those 2 games. Boston College is coming off a home loss to the Pitt Panthers and if they want to hang around at home against USC they must slow down the Trojans offense. If Boston College can rush the ball and give the Eagles defense some breaks then I see the BC Eagles trying to control the clock. Keeping the Trojans offense off the field will be the number one 'Key' for the BC Golden Eagles. USC is 2-13-1 O/U in their last 16 games after scoring less than 20 points in their last game. Boston College is 5-21 O/U in their last 26 games against non-conference opponents.
5 Unit Play. #197 Northern Illinois -10 over UNLV (10:00p.m., Saturday, Sept 13)
(Game of the Week) Here are two teams that coming off so different games last week and in this game I'm going with a team that is playing in full confidence. UNLV is at home for this meeting but the Rebels almost lost last week to Northern Colorado. UNLV had trouble scoring against Northern Colorado and if they struggle Saturday night this game will be over quickly. The Huskies of Northern Illinois come to Sin City winning a big road game against Northwestern last Saturday as the Huskies defense holds Northwestern to only 15 home points. NIU has played some outstanding defense in their last 2 games and I believe defense will win this game and again if UNLV can't score this game will be over for the home team early. Northern Illinois has been a covering machine on the road going an unbelievable 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 road games. UNLV is 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 non-conference opponents.
UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK
Iowa St. at Iowa (-10) 3:30 ET ESPN
Isolating underdogs in NCAAF requires numerous factors in our favor. Often it is the rivalry aspect of the game. Occasionally, there is a revenge motive involved. The weekly situation is a factor as well, involving letdowns by the favorite or momentum by the underdog. Finally, the all-important fundamental edges, as reflected in the statistics, must be evaluated. The UNDERDOG OF THE WEEK is 2-0 ATS this season! In week 1, California won outright 31-24 at Northwestern as double-digit dog. Last week, I followed it up with VA Tech. All the Hokies did was cruise into Columbus and come away with a 35-21 victory again as a double digit dog. This week, I go for my 3rd consecutive double-digit dog upset.
Iowa St. has a strong history in this series. The Cyclones are 7-3 ATS vs. Iowa and have gone 7-1 ATS on this field of late. That works with recent results for Iowa St. that have seen the Cyclones cover 4/5 non-con road games. With Iowa on a 4-11 ATS slide as home favorite, the technicals give confirmation of this selection. The last 3 in this series have been decided by 3, 3, and 6 points. In addition, road teams are now 11-2 ATS in recent Iowa games.
YTD results have left the respective backers of these teams less than inspired. For Iowa St., perennial lower division champion, N. Dakota St., pulled a 34-14 “upset” in week 1. Last week, Iowa St. lost 32-28 to Kansas St., as they allowed the Wildcats to run and pass for 233 or more yards. The Cyclones actually had that game in hand before 19 unanswered Kansas St. points led to their demise. This will leave them hungry for today’s rivalry game.
The results for Iowa have been a bit mystifying. The Hawkeyes achieved victory against N. Iowa and Ball St. on this field, as 18 point favorites. But the respective 8 and 4 point victories, resulted in a 0-2 ATS mark. In last week’s victory against Ball St., Iowa held a commanding 456-219 yardage edge but needed to score twice in the final 3 minutes to get the victory.
The bottom line of this contest is that Iowa simply does not deserve this level of favoritism based on their early returns. The strong underdog series history and the hunger that Iowa St. will bring to this game means that our 3rd consecutive outright double-digit underdog victory will not be a surprise to this bureau.
Upset of week: cen. Mich. 24 Syracuse 23
Best bet: Georgia tech 34 Georgia south. 21. Pick geo. south +20
Best bet: Air Force 40 geo. st 20.
Best bet: tcu 34 minn 13
Best bet: Georgia 34 South Carolina 24
High scoring game: Arkansas 37 tx tech 34. Line is 63.5
Comment