10-11-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Auburn at Mississippi State

Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (+3, 64)

Another week, another SEC West showdown for No. 6 Mississippi State, which welcomes No. 2 Auburn to Starkville for a clash of undefeated teams. The Bulldogs have climbed to their highest ranking ever with back-to-back wins over top-10 teams LSU (34-29) and Texas A&M (48-31), running their winning streak to eight games. The gauntlet continues against an Auburn team that routed LSU 41-7 a week ago

Each of Mississippi State's opponents this season has entered the game unbeaten and left with a defeat, but the Tigers have won five of the past six meetings and 11 of 13, including a 24-20 victory last year in Auburn. "They will be the best team we've played so far," Bulldogs coach Dan Mullen told reporters. "Their guys know how to win. They've played in big games and know how to play in big games." The Tigers also know how to win conference games — they've won nine straight against SEC opponents and are the defending league champions.

TV: 3:40 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Auburn -3.

LINE HISTORY: The opening line was Auburn -3 then dropped to Auburn -2.5 for a short while before rebounding to the opening spread. The total has jumped a full point, opening at 53 and now sitting at 64.

INJURY REPORT: Auburn - OL Patrick Miller (Ques-Undisclosed) Mississippi State - WR Jameon Lewis (Prob-Leg), K Devon Bell (Prob-Undisclosed)

WEATHER REPORT: Weather for kickoff is calling for clouds with temperatures near the 85°F. Weather for the region is calling for thuunderstorms and rain for Friday as well.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Tigers' only regular season loss of 2013 came at the hands of LSU, and they avenged that loss with a 41-7 win this Saturday. The Bulldogs moved to 5-0 with a win over Texas A&M." - Jesse Shule

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "We are pretty split on this marquee matchup. We haven't seen a lot of fluctuation in the spread, dropping a half point from where we opened at +3. Obviously with two offenses that can score a number of ways, we've seen a lot of action on the over, almost 76 percent, but that hasn't bumped the number much. I'm even guessing a little as to what will transpire here, should be a good one." - John Lester

ABOUT AUBURN (5-0, 2-0 SEC): The Tigers continue to roll up impressive offensive numbers with dual-threat quarterback Nick Marshall leading the way. Marshall, who has accounted for 1,147 total yards and 12 TDs, passed for a career-high 339 yards and two TDs in last year's meeting but has relied more on his legs since then. Auburn's defense has been overshadowed, but the Tigers rank ninth in the nation in scoring defense (14.4) and 14th in total defense (306.6).

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (5-0, 2-0): The Bulldogs have established themselves as an offensive powerhouse, as well, racking up over 500 total yards in six straight games dating to last year's Liberty Bowl. Quarterback Dak Prescott has emerged as a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, amassing 455 rushing yards and six TDs to go with 1,232 passing yards with 13 TDs and two interceptions. The Bulldogs have been tough against the run — ranking 12th nationally at 98.2 yards per game — but have surrendered a whopping 328.2 passing yards per contest.

TRENDS:

*Tigers are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
*Bulldogs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
*Over is 9-2 in Tigers last 11 games on grass.
*Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Mississippi State.

CONSENSUS: 55.65 percent are on Auburn -3 with 55.2 percent backing the over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 7

Looking to wager on the elite teams in college football this weekend? Don't have time to handicap every Top 25 matchup? Put your mind at ease and just cheat - with our NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet featuring all of Week 7's biggest games.

(1) Florida State Seminoles at Syracuse Orange (+23.5, 54)

* Rashad Greene, Florida State's leading wide receiver, is in danger of missing this game. The senior wideout, who leads the Seminoles with 38 catches and 576 yards, suffered a concussion versus Wake Forest last week.

* Not be outdone in injury news, however, is Syracuse. The Orange will now be without starting quarterback Terrel Hunt for 4-6 weeks after suffering a broken calf bone last week.

(2) Auburn Tigers at (6) Mississippi State Bulldogs (+3, 64)

* According to ESPN, the Auburn Tigers have four games remaining with just a 60 percent chance of winning, including this Week 7 matchup.

* Auburn coach Gus Malzahn compared MSU QB Dak Prescott to his former signal caller, Cam Newton. "He's got some similarities. He's a big, physical guy. A lot of times in short yardage, he'll find a way to get it."

(12) TCU Horned Frogs at (3) Baylor Bears (-8, 67.5)

* There are a few teams left (Virginia, Baylor, Memphis, Ole Miss) that haven't lost against the spread, but have one push this season. But only one unblemished ATS record is left. That belongs to the TCU Horned Frogs who are the best bet in the land at 4-0 ATS.

*The Baylor Bears are 21-1 straight up in their last 22 home games (19-2 against the spread). Their only SU loss during that stretch? That came as a 6-point fave against the TCU Horned Frogs in 2012 (49-21).

(4) Ole Miss Rebels at (14) Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5, 65)

* Perhaps it's best to not look at Ole Miss for a letdown spot this week. Saturday was the third time this century that the Rebels defeated Alabama (2003, 2001). In both occasions, they won SU and ATS the following week.

* Myles Garrett broke the Texas A&M freshman sacks record last week and his 6.5 sacks rank second in the SEC.

North Carolina Tar Heels at (5) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-16.5, 54.5)

* There are two programs left that are winless against the spread this season and the Tar Heels are one of them. North Carolina heads into Week 7 0-5 ATS (UConn is the other).

* The Irish, ever looking more like a playoff threat, were one of the biggest movers in Championship futures this week, going from 18/1 to 8/1.

(7) Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+8.5, 56)

* The Crimson Tide don't take defeat very well. In their last 15 losses, the Tide are just 3-12 against the spread in the following game.

* At his press conference Wednesday, Alabama head coach Nick Saban cited the Razorbacks as the most improved team the Tide will face: "I think Arkansas is the most improved team that I've seen that we play so far this year. This is a really good football team," he said.

(8) Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers (+21, 51)

* Is the Spartans' defense clapping to disrupt opponents' snap counts? Nebraska's Bo Pelini thinks so and claims it's "Something that I'll talk to the league office about". Nebraska was called for three pre-snap pelanties in the loss to the Spartans.

* Purdue quarterback Austin Appleby used a win over Illinois to claim that the Boilermakers were about to go on a streak. "This is just one win, we're gonna put a couple together now," he said after a 38-27 win over the Illini. He'll be quarterbacking a team that is a 21-point home dog Saturday.

Texas Longhorns vs. (9) Oklahoma Sooners (-14.5, 47)

* A loss to the Sooners in the Red River Rivalry and the Longhorns will have a record of 2-4 straight up, their worst start since 1956 (1-5).

* The Sooners are perfect examples of an NCAA powerhouse that responds well for bettors after a loss. The Sooners are 23-7 against the spread coming off a defeat. Oklahoma is a 14.5-point fave over Texas one week removed from a loss to TCU.

(10) Georgia Bulldogs at (24) Missouri Tigers (+3, 59)

* Georgia star running back and Heisman frontrunner RB Todd Gurley is suspended indefinitely pending a NCAA investigation. Oddsmakers priced Gurley's worth to the UGA spread between 1.5 and three points. The Bulldogs opened as 3-point road favorites but after news of Gurley's suspension spread, books took Saturday's game off the board and then reopened at a pick'em.

* The Tigers boast one of the top pass-rushing duos in the nation in defensive ends Shane Ray (SEC-best eight sacks) and Markus Golden (four sacks).

(11) Oregon Ducks at (17) UCLA Bruins (+2.5, 71)

* Oregon has certainly found contributions from some unexpected places. The Ducks have 30 offensive touchdowns this season, 13 of which have come from freshman (43 percent). Freshman WR Devon Allen (6) and RB Royce Freeman (5) are first and second in end zone visits.

* If there's one place UCLA needs to improve defensively it's on third downs. The Bruins have allowed 7.6 third-down conversions per game this season, which has them ranked No.114 in the nation in that category.

USC Trojans at (13) Arizona Wildcats (+2.5, 68)

* To say that the Trojans are a first-quarter team may be an understatement. Southern Cal has outscored opponents 52-7 in the first quarter this season.

* Despite Arizona facing an unranked team, they are the underdogs according to oddsmakers. “I’m glad we’re the underdogs," Will Parks said. That just keeps all the guys focused for the task at hand."

(18) Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas Jayhawks (+21, 50.5)

* Despite the Cowboys sporting a 4-1 record, coach Mike Gundy has yet to really turn his team loose. "We're basic vanilla for the most part," Gundy said. "Until we improve in some areas, it’s difficult to really get out of our box."

* If there is one part of the game the Jayhawks are excelling in, it's recovering fumbles. Through five games, Kansas has a Big 12-high five fumble recoveries.

(19) East Carolina Pirates at South Florida Bulls (+16, 58)

* In East Carolina's impressive offensive numbers, the defense has been neglected. The Pirates have only allowed 106.4 rushing yards per game (17 in FBS) and have held three of their opponents this season to less than a 2.9 yards per rush average.

* The Bulls know what they are up against Saturday and defensive coordinator Chuck Bresnahan has an interesting analogy for it. “This is a game played in space. For this it’s basketball played on grass. The ability to make the open field tackle and swarm to the football is huge.”

Duke Blue Devils at (23) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3, 58)

* The key for the Blue Devils has long been allowing few points. In each of Duke's four wins this season it held its opponent to fewer than 20 points, which has improved the squads record to 20-3 under David Cutcliffe when accomplishing that feat.

* The Yellow Jackets triple-option attack has been shredding teams so far this season. Georgia Tech is No.11 in the nation in rushing yards per game and has amassed 297.2 rushing yards per game.

Louisville Cardinals at (25) Clemson Tigers (-9.5, 47.5)

* Louisville may be sporting the top up-and-coming running back nobody is talking about it in Brandon Radcliff. The sophomore has 230 yards on the ground and four touchdowns in his last two games.

* There may be no better freshman quarterback than Deshaun Watson. In Watson's past two games he has racked up 702 yards in the air with an 8-to-1 touch to interception ratio.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CFB | MIAMI OHIO at AKRON
Play Against - Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MIAMI OHIO) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

CFB | MASSACHUSETTS at KENT ST
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (KENT ST) poor rushing team - averaging 125 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
194-126 over the last 10 seasons. ( 60.6% | 0.0 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | MIAMI OHIO at AKRON
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 25 and 28 after a win by 6 or less points
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.4 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
236-162 since 1997. ( 59.3% | 79.9 units )
19-18 this year. ( 51.4% | 1.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 39-11 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in Home games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.6) , OPPONENT (2.8)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast Big Dogs: 1/2 Unit ATS & 1/2 Unit ML:
TCU +8.5 +285
Houstion +9 +300
Idaho +21.5 +1000
New Mexico St. +7.5 +260
S Florida +15 +510
Central Mich. +9.5 +300
Air Force +7 +250

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA College Football Betting Trends

Texas at Oklahoma, 12:00 ET
Texas: 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Oklahoma: 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after allowing 17 points or more in the first half

Michigan State at Purdue, 3:30 ET
Michigan St: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents
Purdue: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9

Northwestern at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Minnesota: 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off an upset win over a conference rival as a double digit underdog

Rice at Army, 12:00 ET
Rice: 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games after allowing 125 or less passing yards in their last game
Army: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game

Tulsa at Temple, 12:00 ET
Tulsa: 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games
Temple: 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders

Mid Tennessee State at Marshall, 12:00 ET
Mid Tenn St: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game
Marshall: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games

Massachusetts at Kent State, 2:00 ET
Mass: 2-9 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games
Kent State: 1-5 ATS off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival

Florida State at Syracuse, 12:00 ET
Florida St: 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games
Syracuse: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival

Duke at Georgia Tech, 12:30 ET
Duke: 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday
Georgia Tech: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a home win against a conference rival

Illinois at Wisconsin, 12:00 ET
Illinois: 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games
Wisconsin: 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents

Boston College at North Carolina State, 3:30 ET
Boston College: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
N Carolina St: 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) as a favorite

Cincinnati at Miami Florida, 12:00 ET
Cincinnati: 3-10 UNDER after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games
Miami FL: 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing a conference game

Buffalo at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9
E Michigan: 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games

Miami at Akron, 2:00 ET
Miami: 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games
Akron: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after game with 50 or more pass attempts

Indiana at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs
Iowa: 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a home favorite

Bowling Green at Ohio, 2:00 ET
Bowling Green: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Ohio: 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game

West Virginia at Texas Tech, 12:00 ET
W Virginia: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games
Texas Tech: 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 42 points or more last game

Oklahoma State at Kansas, 4:00 ET
Oklahoma St: 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival
Kansas: 68-100 ATS (-42.0 Units) after playing a conference game

TCU at Baylor, 3:30 ET
TCU: 7-17 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
Baylor: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread

Houston at Memphis, 7:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games
Memphis: 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games

North Texas at UAB, 3:30 ET
N Texas: 17-7 OVER off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more
UAB: 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) as a favorite

Auburn at Mississippi State, 3:30 ET
Auburn: 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest
Miss St: 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest

Western Michigan at Ball State, 3:00 ET
W Michigan: 1-5 ATS after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game
Ball State: 9-3 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers

New Mexico State at Troy, 3:00 ET
New Mexico St: 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival
Troy: 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers

Alabama at Arkansas, 6:00 ET
Alabama: 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread
Arkansas: 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored

LSU at Florida, 3:30 ET
LSU: 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game
Florida: 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after scoring 14 points or less last game

Toledo at Iowa State, 3:30 ET
Toledo: 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins
Iowa State: 7-18 UNDER as a home favorite

Oregon at UCLA, 3:30 ET
Oregon: 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) off a home loss
UCLA: 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home underdog

USC at Arizona, 10:30 ET
USC: 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games
Arizona: 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games off 1 or more consecutive unders

Washington at California, 6:00 ET
Washington: 72-101 ATS (-39.1 Units) after playing a conference game
California: 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all lined games

Georgia at Missouri, 3:30 ET
Georgia: 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games
Missouri: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games

Louisville at Clemson, 3:30 ET
Louisville: 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive unders
Clemson: 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents

N Carolina at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET
N Carolina: 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in the first half of the season
Notre Dame: 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games off 3 or more consecutive unders

C Michigan at N Illinois, 5:00 ET
C Michigan: 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games after playing a game at home
N Illinois: 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9

Idaho at GA Southern, 5:00 ET
Idaho: 36-60 ATS (-30.0 Units) after playing a conference game
GA Southern: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games

Arkansas St at Georgia St, 2:00 ET
Arkansas St: 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents
Georgia St: 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

FLA International at UTSA, 7:00 ET
FLA International: 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after scoring 37 points or more last game
UTSA: 5-1 ATS after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game

LA Monroe at Kentucky, 12:00 ET
LA Monroe: 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in non-conference games
Kentucky: 1-6 UNDER after playing 3 straight conference games

Ole Miss at Texas A&M, 7:00 ET
Ole Miss: 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) off a home win against a conference rival
Texas A&M: 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored

Air Force at Utah State, 10:15 ET
Air Force: 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after playing a non-conference game
Utah State: 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite

E Carolina at S Florida, 7:00 ET
E Carolina: 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers
S Florida: 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog

Penn State at Michigan, 7:00 ET
Penn State: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses
Michigan: 10-29 ATS (-21.9 Units) off 2 or more consecutive overs

Old Dominion at UTEP, 8:00 ET
Old Dominion: 5-1 OVER after playing a game at home
UTEP: 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game

Connecticut at Tulane, 8:00 ET
Connecticut: 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games
Tulane: 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 21 or more points

Colorado St at Nevada, 10:30 ET
Colorado St: 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a win by 17 or more points
Nevada: 1-7 ATS in October games

Wyoming at Hawaii, 12:00 AM ET
Wyoming: 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game
Hawaii: 42-23 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Orioles on Friday and likes Baylor on Saturday.

The deficit is 872 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

Hondo’s Giant wagers

Hondo pushed with Stanford Friday night but scored with the Royals in a Game 1 sweat job, so the deficit dropped to 1,345 mccoveys.

Saturday night: Mr. Aitch will load up on the Giants — 10 units on that Bumgarner and 10 on San Fran to advance to the Series. In collegiate play, 10 units on Notre Dame to hammer the Heels.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Saturday

Cashed in a winner on Thursday with the Colts over the Texans. I'm not playing anything on Friday. My five college football selections for Saturday are posted below. Best of luck.

-EZ


2* (117) Rice Owls +1

The Rice Owls seem to have things back on track with back to back wins after their 0-3 start to the season. Army is coming off of an upset win against Ball State last week, but the Cadets rarely win back to back games as they are 0-11 straight up in after their last eleven wins. The Army defense should have a hard time getting off of the field against a Rice team that usually owns time of possession while the Rice defense is familiar defending the option. The defending Conference USA champs should get back to .500 this week. Play on Rice.


2* (154) Mississppi State Bulldogs +3

This is a very even matchup in my opinion and in the battle of unbeaten teams I side with the home underdog. The SEC is loaded this season and any team can beat another from week to week. Mississippi State is setup nicely having been at home for a second week in a row having a fairly easy win over Texas A&M last week. Auburn took advantage of an LSU offense that is not very good in their revenge win last week. The Bulldogs offense is clicking and has excellent quarterback play and will test this Auburn defense. Take the points.


2* (175) North Carolina Tar Heels +17

The Fighting Irish tend to play to the level of the competition as they have played close games with both Syracuse and Purdue this season that are not very good teams. North Carolina does not have a good record either, but they do have a lot of offensive talent that can put points on the board. The Heel's uptempo offense presents some challenges the Irish defense has yet to face this season. This is a huge spread to ask the Irish to cover with their biggest game of the year on deck next against Florida State. Take the points.


2* (188) Texas A&M Aggies -2

The Aggies are coming off of their first loss of the season last week at Mississippi State, while Ole Miss is coming off of one of the biggest wins in the recent history of the program. The Aggies won 41-38 in Oxford last season and while Johnny Football is gone, Texas A&M offense is running the same system with Kenny Hill and their defense is improved over last season. It will be tough for Ole Miss to match last weeks intensity on the road at night in College Station. Lay the points.


2* (167) USC Trojans -2.5

This is a big let down spot for Arizona after knocking of Oregon on the road last week. USC is at the opposite end of the spectrum having lost on a Hail Mary to Arizona State last week. The Trojans defense does have its issues, but I expect them to get enough stops to win and cover this game. USC quarterback Cody Kessler is playing well and I like the Trojan offense to win this one in a shootout against a Wildcats team that is still enjoying last week's upset win. Lay the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

River City Sharps

The Akron/Miami (OH) series is one that has been dominated by the Redhawks in recent years as they are 12-3 straight up in the last 15 games between these two schools. Most of the RCS long term clients know that Akron has been a very popular “fade” team for us and that strategy has made RCS and our clients a lot of cash! That said, this is not your typical Akron team and HC Terry Bowden has done a nice job in methodically building back the Zips football program. For Miami, they finally got an FBS win last weekend with a 42-41 victory over UMass. We feel that we have caught Akron here in a really nice spot. You get the Zips off a “sleepy” effort vs. Eastern Michigan, a game they eventually won 31-6. That was a letdown spot off a program building win the week before at Pittsburgh. Then we get Miami that finally got an FBS win, albeit a one-point decision over a pretty bad UMass team. We get Akron at home looking to get back to playing 60 solid minutes and this sets up well for us to cash the ticket. Miami is 1-4 ATS vs. teams with a winning record and the Zips are 4-1 in their last five games following an ATS loss. We are backing the home team in this spot. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – AKRON -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

NCAAF

Iowa -3

Miss St +2

UCLA +2

Arizona +2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Saturday

NJ Devils -125

Penguins -129

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise Phones

4* West Vagina
4* Missouri
3* East Carolina
3* Baylor
3* Oklahoma
3* Air Force
2* Notre Dame
2* Arizona
2* Florida

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sportbook Guru

Members Card

10 units Army +1
10 units Penn State +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

First in case you missed it here is tonight's pick:
2 UNIT = Washington State @ Stanford - [105] UNDER 52.5 POINTS (-110) *Friday
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
Here are added picks for Saturday, including two four unit plays:
4 UNIT = Auburn @ Mississippi State - [153] OVER 63.5 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.81 units)
4 UNIT = Texas @ Oklahoma - [111] OVER 47 POINTS (-102)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.92 units)
2 UNIT = Duke @ Georgia Tech - [127] DUKE +3 (+105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.10 units)
2 UNIT = Georgia @ Missouri - [172] MISSOURI +3 (-112)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)
2 UNIT = West Virginia @ Texas Tech - [143] WEST VIRGINIA -6 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Indiana @ Iowa - [139] INDIANA +3.5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Middle Tennessee State @ Marshall - [122] MARSHALL -24.5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
**More picks may come Saturday early afternoon.
Cheers,
Kevin