11-23-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS (NFL)

4-Unit Play. Take #256 New England (-7) over Detroit (1:00 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

The Pats at home in the second half of the year has been easy money. Tom Brady is in a zone like Larry Bird at the Boston Garden two decades ago. The guy has thrown 20 TDs against 3 picks in this most recent 6 game winning streak, he is absolutely dialed in. Brady and Belichick have November figured out with a 6-1 record ATS in their last 7 games. They are also 5-1 overall ATS during their winning streak. The emergence of a running game, Gray, Vareen or the newly inked Legerette Blount, only helps Tommy Terrific. The Lions have been really good this season and after this week it is a safe bet to take them to win but the Pats simply do not lose in the second half of the year and Detroit is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 week 12 games. Look for the Lions to be in the game early but a few mistakes by Stafford and all of a sudden it’s 21-7 Pats. Go ahead and lay the seven points in this one as the Pats continue to roll since Brady “should’ve considered retirement.”

5-Unit Play. Take #262 Houston (-1.5) over Cincinnati (1:00 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

Why did Houston wait so long to insert Ryan Mallett? They are 5-5 but in my opinion Fitzy didn’t do them any favors in their 5 losses so they should have a better record. The Houston defense is going to be the difference maker in this one. They should have no trouble getting to Andy Dalton and with pressure comes terrible quarterback play from Andy. Arian Foster should be back for this one and Nuke Hopkins is looking like the new number one in Houston. The Texans are flying under the radar and should use this win to catapult them in to contention. The Bengals were the best team in football in September with 2 blowout wins over Atlanta and Tennesee. Fast forward to present day and the have looked like the worst team in football a couple times. Dalton has missed his two main weapons in Gio and AJ Green but got AJ back last week and looked pretty solid. Winning in New Orleans is a wonderful thing but the Bengals are known to get too excited and let down. They have struggled in November with a 1-4 record ATS in their last 5 week 12 games. This appears to be a classic spot for the Bengals to lay an egg. Look for Texans to pull out a late win in an ugly, albeit, entertaining game in Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROBERT FERRINGO

SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS

1-Unit Play. Take #251 Cleveland (+3) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take #256 New England (-7) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
There are just too many situational factors working in New England’s favor. This is a second straight road game in a completely opposite time zone for the Lions. They also have a quick turnaround for a Thanksgiving game with the Bears and they are likely looking ahead to that. We have a dome team playing outdoors in the elements and we have a Patriots team that is in a serious groove. The Lions are having a great season. No one is denying that. But this team has been so bad for so long I can’t trust them to go on the road against one of the top teams in football and threaten a win. No bet on the Patriots is a bad bet right now. This spread should’ve been 9.5 so we’ll go with Brady and Co. here.

2-Unit Play. Take #259 Jacksonville (+14) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
I just don’t know that the Colts are going to be up for this game. They still have to be kicking themselves in the ass for how badly they lost to the Patriots last week. They have crushed the Jaguars the last three times the teams have met and there is no doubt that they are going to take them lightly this time around. The Jaguars are still awful. But they seem like they are headed in the right direction. And since Oct. 1 they haven’t lost a game by more than two touchdowns. I think the Jags defensive front seven can put enough pressure on Andrew Luck to foil some drives and I think that the improving Jaguars offense, with two weeks to prepare, can score just enough points to make this one interesting. The Colts have been priced out of the market.

2-Unit Play. Take #262 Houston (-1.5) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
I like the Texans much more than this rating suggests. But I am going to tread lightly with a Bengals team that is getting some guys back from injury. Look, I think the Bengals – and the rest of the AFC North – is woefully overrated. They all have winning records but that’s only because they have crossed over against the two worst divisions in football: the NFC and AFC South. Houston is a team that I am looking to ride over the last month of the year. I think they have the schedule to go 4-2 down the stretch and finish 9-7 on the year. Ryan Mallett looked sharp in his first outing and I think he’ll be even better at home. The Texans defense has some playmakers and Cincinnati’s offense has been hit or miss. The Bengals are really feeling the impact of losing two excellent coordinators and this team is just not as tight as it has been the past few season. I think this is going to be a back-and-forth game but I can see the Texans prevailing in a FG-centric tilt. Let’s call it 21-16.

2-Unit Play. Take #265 Tampa Bay (+6) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
You always, always, always take the former coach when he goes up against his former players. I think Lovie Smith knows the strengths and weaknesses of this Bears roster. And what he doesn’t know Josh McCown – Chicago’s starting quarterback at this time last year – will be able to fill in the blanks. Between those two they know how to attack Chicago’s terrible defense. The Bears have been so bad defensively that they should not be laying this many points to anyone. Tampa Bay has been pretty spry on the road this year, winning at Pittsburgh and at Washington. They are trending upwards and I think they will be able to put some pressure on Chicago. If the Bears start slowly the home crowd, which is completely pissed about how this year has shaken out, will turn on the Bears in a heartbeat. I think that this is a FG game either way.

2-Unit Play. Take #268 Seattle (-6.5) over Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
Arizona is having a dream season. But I think they are in for a nightmare in this game. Seattle is not a great team. They are not even in the same stratosphere as the team that won the Super Bowl last February. But they can still play. And they are still nearly unbeatable at home. Arizona has been riding the magic and the momentum this year. But they are hitting the end of the line. They are going to lose three or four games this year. That’s not a knock at all. Hell, a 12-4 season is still a pretty damn good one. But that still means three losses in these final six games. This is going to be one of them. Without Larry Fitzgerald the Cardinals receiving corps is really young and really inexperienced. Fitz is a leader and stabilizing force in the huddle. The Cards don’t run the ball so it is all on the QB and the WRs. I don’t think that Drew Stanton-to-John Brown is going to be enough to pull the upset in the Emerald City. Seattle should be extraordinarily motivated and they should wreck shop here.

1-Unit Play. Take #272 Denver (-7) over Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take #275 Dallas (-3.5) over N.Y. Giants (8:30 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)



This Week’s Totals

7-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 47.0 – Cleveland at Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)
The crux of this play is a system. A system which I won’t divulge any of the details of. But I’ve used it a lot and it is rock solid. But even if this wasn’t a system play this would be one of the few games that I would be looking to go ‘over’ this week. Both of these teams have played ‘under’ in six straight games. Six straight. That’s highly unusual in the NFL, where the books adjust swiftly and definitively. But they haven’t with these two teams. And now they are colliding with a total that is shockingly, attention-grabbing high. Shouldn’t this total be around 43.5? But it’s not. And that is the first red flag. The Browns have averaged nearly 350 yards per game the last four games but have managed just 19 points per game. That’s a disproportionately low amount of points and they are due for a 30-point showing, of which they’ve had just one this year. They are going up against the No. 30 defense in football and the Falcons have allowed 26.1 points per game over their last seven games. I just can’t see the Browns not hitting 28 points. On the flip side, the Falcons have been massive underachievers on offense. A big part of that is their horrific offensive line. They can’t protect the quarterback so they can’t let it rip down the field. But they still have an outstanding QB and some very talented receivers that are just itching to break out. They have averaged 334 yards in their last two games but they haven’t busted out yet and have topped 21 points just one time in their last six outings. Again: they are due. And they are facing a Browns defense that has been significantly worse on the road this season. If you kick out that bizarre Cincinnati game – in which the Bengals turned the ball over seemingly every other play – the Browns have allowed an average of 24 points per game in their other three road games. And that includes giving up 24 to the Jaguars and 28 to the Titans. Weather isn’t going to be a factor. And both teams are desperate for this game since both are locked into battles for their respective divisions. Both are going to play a wide open game. Neither defense is very good. Both offenses are solid but underperforming. I think we’ll see over 700 total yards of offense and that should yield right around 50 points. I actually think we’ll see more than 50 and I have this one handicapped at 30-24 for the Browns. Let’s hit that ‘over’.

3-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 44.0 - Cincinnati at Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 48.0 - Detroit at New England (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 48.5 - Green Bay at Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 42.0 - Arizona at Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 50.5 - Jacksonville at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 46.5 - Tampa Bay at Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 48.0 - Miami at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 23)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE DAVIS (NFL)

6-Unit Play. Take #256 New England -7 over Detroit (Sunday, November 23rd at 1:00 pm)

This game is a mismatch from top to bottom. New England has the better head coach and the better team. The Patriots have really played some good football lately including winning vs Denver and at Indianapolis. This week they play a Detroit team that has a good record but they haven’t played well.

The Lions’ offense sputtered mightily last week in their 14-6 loss at Arizona. Peterson shut down Calvin Johnson and Matt Stafford didn’t have any answers. Stafford is a southern boy and playing in the cold is not his cup of tea. With the exception of the good game he had in Green Bay a couple of years ago, he hasn’t performed well when the temperature drops. That means trouble for Detroit this Sunday.

Tom Brady and the Patriots are playing like a team with a point to prove. They understand that home field in the playoffs could mean another trip to a Super Bowl. The Patriots will get it done in a big way this Sunday at home.

Take New England.

[golden contender]

GC: NFL TOTALS PLAy

Sunday NFC West Game of the Year takes Center Stage with 3 Powerful systems, their is a 6* Early Totals system, the Triple Perfect Sunday night Play + 5* Early dog and more. NFL is ranked #1 for a 4th straight week. NCAAF Top plays 5-1 Saturday. NBA Undefeated Power system + NCAAB Too. Free NFL Totals system below.




The Free NFL Totals Play is The under in the Bengals at Houston game. Rotation numbers 261/262 at 1:00 eastern. This one looks to be low scoring and Foster may not play for the Texans and has not practiced all week. For Technical support we note, AFC Favorites at -2.5 or less vs an AFC Team with a total of 47 or less are 15 of 18 under If both teams allowed 10 or less on the road last week 7/7 under. .500 or less home favorites vs a .668 or better with total 40.5 or more are 8 of 9. AFC South vs AFC North 19 of 22 if total 38.5 or higher. In the series these two have played 4 straight to the under. Houston 5 of 6 under vs non division as a home favorite of less than 4 and 4 of 5 vs .667 or better teams. The Bengals are 22 of 30 under vs an opponent that allows 23 0 or more yards passing in the 2nd half, The Bengals are 8 of 9 under in weeks 10-13. Look for this one to be low scoring. Take the under. On Sunday Its a Tremendous card with the NFC West Play of the Year with 3 Big Systems that dates to 1980. There is also a 6* Early totals system with 5 Perfect totals indicators and a 5* Dog that wins outright + our big Triple system Sunday night Side. NFL is ranked #1 for a 4th straight week. In the NBA Its a 100% Power system side and NCAAB Power Angle play. Jump on now and out the Power of this award winning data on your side. For the free NFL Totals play. Take the Bengals and Texans to stay under. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness 31 club

Seahawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Gavazzi

Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (-13-) 1:00 PM EST
The Jags have taken it in the chops on numerous occasions from Indy. The 44-17 week 3 home loss to the Colts now makes it 4 consecutive defeats vs Indy by an average score of 39-10. The Jags’ offense remains largely pathetic, scoring more than 17 points only twice. Today, they travel to Indy, where they will be at the wrong place at the wrong time, for the Colts were just embarrassed on this very field by the New England Patriots on SNF by a score of 42-20. All you need to know is that under the watch of QB Luck, Indianapolis is 12-1 SU ATS following a defeat, and that the Colts have now won and covered 10 consecutive games against divisional opponents.

Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans (-1) 1:00 PM EST
Houston caught Cleveland in a flat spot last week and delivered a 23-7 road victory, outrushing the Browns 213-58. That is the same Cleveland team who the week before defeated this very Bengal contingent by a count of 24-3. Forewarned is forearmed. Now the Texans look to build on that momentum behind rookie QB Mallett, and a #31 ranked pass defense that is allowing 279 PYPG. Far prefer the Cincinnati momentum to continue. The Bengals began this season 3-0 SU ATS; following their BYE week, they dipped to 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS, losing road games at New England and Indy (no shame there). But the Bengals have bounced since that 27-0 shutout at Indy by going 3-1 SU ATS to claim the division lead. That includes a 27-10 upset win at New Orleans last week, in which they outrushed the Saints 186-75. Know that the Bengals have a continuing history of creating momentum, for they are 15-2 SU ATS following exactly one victory, both SU and ATS. In a similar way, this momentum is created when Cinci plays on the road following an underdog victory, in which they allow 10 or fewer points, with a 63% ATS winning mark. Playing to retain the division lead, I like Cincinnati to follow their patterns and record this victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Pick Predictions

Detroit
Minnesota
Cincy
Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux Sports

San Diego-6.5 (20*)
Seattle-6.5 (10*)
Atlanta over 47 (10*)
Washington+9 (10*)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports betting champ
new York Giants (C)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hall of Fame Sports Picks

San Diego Chargers -5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Blues won 11 of their last 14 games.
-- Canadiens won eight of their last nine games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven road games.
-- Blackhawks won five of their last six games.

Cold teams
-- Winnipeg lost four of its last five games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Anaheim lost six of its last eight games.
-- Vancouver lost three of its last five home games.

Series records
-- Blues won seven of last eight games with Winnipeg.
-- Montreal is 8-5 in last 13 games with Rangers, but lost last two visits here.
-- Ducks won five of last six games with Arizona.
-- Chicago/Vancouver split their last dozen meetings.

Totals
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Winnipeg games.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Montreal games.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Anaheim games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Chicago games.

Back-to-back
-- Blues are 1-1 when they played the night before.
-- Canadiens are 4-0 when they played the night before.
-- Coyotes are 2-1 if they played the night before.
-- Chicago is 1-1 if it played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | DENVER at LA LAKERS
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at MEMPHIS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (LA CLIPPERS) off an road win scoring 110 or more points, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days
89-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.0% | 39.3 units )
3-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 3.0 units )

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at MEMPHIS
Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (LA CLIPPERS) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against opponent hot team - having won 8 or more of their last 10 games
89-45 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | LONG BEACH ST at UCLA
Play On - Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (UCLA) team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off a home win scoring 85 or more points
157-90 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 58.0 units )
7-1 this year. ( 87.5% | 5.9 units )

CBB | UC-IRVINE at ST MARYS-CA
Play Against - Any team (ST MARYS-CA) an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games
191-246 over the last 5 seasons. ( 43.7% | 38.8 units )

CBB | MERCER at COLORADO ST
Play On - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (COLORADO ST) with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first ten games of the season
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

jeff hochman

JHSportsline (19-7 YTD)

5* Minnesota
4* New York Jets

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fsotb - fat side of the bacon

ONE UNIT PLAYS
> LIONS PLUS 7 1/2
> VIKINGS PLUS 9 1/2
> SEAHAWKS MINUS 6 1/2
> GIANTS PLUS 3 1/2
> SAINTS MONEY LINE MINUS 2 1/2
> POWER TOTAL PLAY
> JAX/INDY OVER 50