11-23-14

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StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NHL | MONTREAL at NY RANGERS
Play On – A favorite against the money line (NY RANGERS) off a home win where they shut out their opponent against opponent off a road win
51-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.7% | 31.4 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NHL | CHICAGO at VANCOUVER
Play On – Home teams against the money line (VANCOUVER) after allowing 3 goals or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 3 straight games
39-17 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.6% | 24.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.3 units )

NHL | MONTREAL at NY RANGERS
Play Against – Road teams against the money line (MONTREAL) off a win by 2 goals or more over a division rival, tired team – playing their 2nd road game in 2 days
27-7 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

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EZWINNERS

EZ's Plays For Sunday

A solid day on Saturday going 2-1 in college football and 3-1 in college basketball making a profit of $250. Three NFL selections and one college basketball selection on my card for Sunday. Best of luck!

-EZ

3* (253) Tennessee Titans +11

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from Bookmaker on 11/22/14)

The next person I see on the Titans with me this week will be the first. This is an ugly play as surely the Eagles high powered offense will bounce back after being destroyed by Green Bay last week won't they? I'm not so sure. Let's not forget this is Mark Sanchez under center. Sanchez looked like an all pro in his first start, but lets not forget that this was against a horrible Carolina team. Titan's quarterback Zack Mettenberger played well against the Steeler's on Monday night and should be able to move the ball against an Eagles defense that is last in the NFL giving up 272 passing yards per game at home. Take the double digit points in this one.


3* (258) Minnesota Vikings +8

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from Bookmaker on 11/22/14

This line has dropped some, but it is still inflated after the Packers have put up back to back 50 point performances at home the last two weeks. Green Bay also blasted the Vikings in the first meeting in Green Bay. This time around in the rematch, Minnesota has rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater under center and the Vikings have covered the spread in three straight games. The Vikings defense is also improving as they have held three of their last five opponents to 17 points or less and have averaged four sacks per game during this span. Let's not also forget that the Packers have a losing road record and I don't think this will be as easy as most think. Take the points.


3* (268) Seattle Seahawks -7

(Risking $330 to win $300)
(Line from Bookmaker on 11/22/14)

Laying seven points to the team with the best record in the league seems really crazy and that is exactly why I am doing it. Seattle was out muscled last week in Kansas City by the Chiefs power running game, but the Cardinals don't have that same kind of physical offense that can take advantage of the Seattle defense. The Seahawks are a much different team at home. They will be pissed off from last week and also will remember this Cardinals winning here last year. Drew Stanton has played well in place of injured Cardinals starting quarterback Carson Palmer, but I expect the Hawks to make it a long day for Stanton and company. Lay the points as Seattle win big at home.


2* (519) Long Beach State 49ers +11

(Risking $220 to win $200)
(Line from Bookmaker on 11/22/14)

UCLA is off to a 3-0 start and are leading the nation in scoring after playing three very weak opponents. The Bruins will be tested in this game against the 2-2 49ers who will provide a much stiffer test on the defensive end of the court. The Beach also has enough offensive firepower to let the Bruins know that they were in a game. Take the points as I expect Long Beach to keep this one within single digits.

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Northcoast

NFL Totals POW

Under 42.5 Arizona Cardinals/Seattle Seahawks

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Kevin's Pick(s):
We picked up a WINNER with the Over on Thursday, and hit the first leg of our teaser with the Redskins +15.5 remaining.
*I'm adding another 2 units on the Redskins against the spread. If you didn't get 2 units in on the teaser with Redskins pending I would have Redskins as a 4 unit play.
2 UNIT = Washington Redskins @ San Francisco 49ers - REDSKINS +9 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts - JAGUARS +14 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ New England Patriots - LIONS +7 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.84 units)
2 UNIT = St Louis Rams @ San Diego Chargers - CHARGERS -5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
4 UNIT = Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants - OVER 47.5 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.81 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
4 UNIT = Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks - SEAHAWKS -7 (-110)
(Note: I'm risking 4.00 units to win 3.64 units)
Let me start off by saying that I can't recall in a long time when the public was fading the Seahawks at home. I appears that the public is going to ride the dog in this game, which doesn't seem so stupid backing a 9-1 +7 underdog. However, I think this situation bodes well for the Seattle Seahawks. We have the Cardinals that are coming off a 14-6 over the Lions, and the Seahawks got downed by the Chiefs 24-20 in Kansas City. In my opinion the public is basing their picks off of last week. As we all know that will lead you to the poor house by doing it on a consistent basis. I am willing to bet that most people with money on the Cardinals this week didn't watch their game last week. The Cardinals scored a couple of quick touchdowns to go up 14-0 early, but after that the offense was completely neutralized. The Lions made some adjustments on defense and Drew Stanton didn't know what to do with the ball other than pass it to the other team. Stanton tossed a couple of interceptions right to the Lions, but they couldn't take advantage of it. At home, the Seahawks should be able to take advantage of Stanton's mistakes. This is the same team that blew the Packers out at home remember. The same Packers team that a lot of people have going to the Super Bowl. They slipped up against the Dallas Cowboys, a 30-23 loss, but the Hawks have still only loss twice at home in the last two years. Who was the other team to do it? The Cardinals. I see this as a revenge angle in the Seahawks' favor. There is a huge motivational edge to the Seahawks in this game for multiple reasons. The Cardinals are sitting pretty with a lead in the NFC West, meanwhile with a 6-4 record for the Seahawks, they should treat this like a playoff game. Despite the loss at home, they are still beating teams by an average of 10 points per game in Seattle. Their most recent outing at home was a 38-17 beat down of the Giants. Since 2012 the Seahawks cover 63.3% of the time after coming off a loss. I think Stanton is in for a rude awakening in Seattle this week. For all of the talk about the Cardinals' defense, they can be exploited through the air as they own the 27th best pass defense in the NFL. It looks like a win and cover for the Seahawks in week 12.
2 UNIT = Cleveland Browns @ Atlanta Falcons - FALCONS -3 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
For as bad as the Falcons have been this season, they were actually one less Lions penalty away from being on a three game winning streak at the moment. If you recall, in London the Lions missed a game winning field goal, but were saved by a delay of game penalty which gave Matt Prater another opportunity to win the game. The Falcons responded with wins over the Buccaneers and Panthers. Not the most daunting opponents, but they needed to get back in the win column for some confidence. Owner Arthur Blank called the team out after the Lions game, so I am pretty sure that had something to do with the better efforts as well. It really is inexcusable for a team with Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, and Roddy White on the same field to be 2 games below .500. Throw in Devin Hester and they should have a dymanic offense, but it seems to me there is an effort problem in Atlanta. I think the remarks from Arthur Blank after blowing that Lions game reignited a spark under them a little bit. Note that the Falcons are 2-1 at home, not 2-2, the 2nd loss doesn't take into account the loss in London. The Falcons have wins over the Saints and Bucs at home, with their lone loss coming to the Bears. This is about the part where I think the Browns fall on their faces. They won three straight, including a win over the Bengals, but the offense was out of sync last week against the Texans, scoring only 7 points. The Browns sent Ben Tate to waivers, later claimed by the Vikings, which left Isaiah Crowell as the starter. Starting quarterback Brian Hoyer had 50 attempts for the Browns last week, 30-50. That is not how the Browns are going to win games. They need some resemblance of a running game to set the offense up. They are now moving forward without a reliable running back, and center Alex Mack is out for the season. The Falcons have a poor pass defense and the Browns should pass plenty more this week. While the Falcons have trouble defending the air attack, they should be able to play well this week against what should be a predictable offense. The Browns did lose earlier in the season to the Jaguars on the road, a game in which I called. The Falcons have been on the road four straight weeks if you can believe that. This isn't the same unbeatable Matt Ryan at home squad like we once knew, but they still have a great home field advantage in the Georgia Dome. At 4-6 the Falcons still have time to turn the season around. I think they'll at least be going in the right direction after winning their third in a row against the Browns on Sunday.
Cheers,
Kevin

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Steve Merrill

Steamroller Blowout - San Diego

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ATS Lock club

6* St Lou +5.5
5* NE -7
5*Dallas/ovr 47.5

Hockey PASS

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Johnny Wynn

Iona -6.5

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Wolkosky Milan


20* Browns / Falcons Under 48
20* Bengals / Texans Under 44
20* Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6
20* Cardinals / Seahawks Over 41
20* Rams / Chargers Over 43
20* Miami Dolphins +7

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Ben Burns' 10* NHL PERSONAL FAVORITE

NYR

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AL DEMARCO

15 Dime NFL Release Philadelphia Eagles

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Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for November 23rd, 2014

Game: Tennessee Titans @ Philadelphia Eagles
Time: Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Tennessee +11 (-105) at Bovada

The Philadelphia Eagles had everything going at 7-2 until they went to Lambeau last week. In that game they suffered a humiliating loss as the Packers torched them for over 50 points. Mark Sanchez seemed to show signs of why he lost his starting QB role with the NY Jets: turnovers. Sanchez threw two INTs and also fumbled three times, losing two of them. That isn't a good sign because he had shown confidence replacing Foles, but the issues that drove him out of New York may ultimately be back to haunt him in Philly. Tennessee is just 2-8 on the season which won't get the interest of Philly. Especially considering the Eagles played a big game last week and they have an even bigger game next week on Thanksgiving Day off short rest. The fact is they follow Dallas on Turkey day with Seattle, and then Dallas again, so this is a huge sandwich game for them. The Eagles have not been good after a poor defensive game as they are 3-12-1 ATS after allowing more than 350 yards in their previous game. The Eagles have allowed 25.1 poitns per game on the season so I expect the Titans to find some success. Tennessee has nothing to lose here and Mettenberger has been able to move the ball fairly well, throwing for 7.8 yards per attempt, which is better by more than a yard compared to Jake Locker. Grab the generous points on Tennessee.

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XpertPicks
TOP NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Miami +6.5 over Denver—-RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
4:30 PM EST
Miami has covered the spread in 38 of the last 54 games vs. AFC West Division Opponents and they have covered the spread in 11 of the last 17 games coming off five or more UNDER the totals. Miami has covered the spread in 10 of the last 16 road games when the total posted is greater than 45.5 points and they are only allowing an average of 9 points on defense over the last three games.
Play New York Giants +4 over Dallas—-RISK 15% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST
Dallas has lost 15 of the last 23 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread when playing in the month of November. Dallas has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread after having won five or six of the last seven games and they have lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in their last game.
BONUS NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Indianapolis -14 over Jacksonville—-RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play Philadelphia -11 over Tennessee—-RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
Play St. Louis +5.5 over San Diego—-RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL

Winning Angle Football
CANADIAN FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS
Play Hamilton -3.5 over Montreal (TOP CFL PLAY)
Play Calgary -6 over Edmonton (TOP CFL PLAY)

Winning Angle Football
Play Philadelphia -11 over Tennessee (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Tennessee has lost 19 of the last 27 games against the spread when playing with six days or less of rest and they have lost 18 of the last 25 games against the spread when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points.Tennessee has lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread coming off a loss in their last game and they are allowing an average of 25 points a game on defense this season.
Play Indianapolis -13.5 over Jacksonville (NFL)
1:00 PM EST
Indianapolis has covered the spread in 16 of the last 22 home games and they have covered the spread in 8 consecutive games vs. division opponents.Indianapolis has covered the spread in 8 consecutive games coming off a loss by ten points or more and they are averaging 31 points a game on offense this season.
Play Miami +7 over Denver (NFL)
Play New York Giants +3.5 over Dallas (NFL)

Winning Angle
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Golden State -8 over Oklahoma City (NBA TOP PLAY)
Golden State has won 31 of the last 41 games when playing as a road favorite and they have won 50 of the last 75 games when playing in the 1st half of the season.Golden State has won 44 of the last 69 games after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games and they have won 27 of the last 44 games vs. Northwest Division Opponents.
Play Portland -5 over Boston (NBA BONUS PLAY)
Play Memphis -3 over Los Angeles Clippers (NBA BONUS PLAY)
NCAA BASKETBALL
Play Miami -7.5 over Charlotte (NCAA TOP PLAY)
Miami has covered the spread in 75 of the last 120 games after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games and they have covered the spread in 20 of the last 26 games coming off a win by ten points or more in their last game.Miami has covered the spread in 84 of the last 149 non-conference games and they have covered the spread in 14 of the last 19 games coming off a game as a favorite.
Play Florida Atlantic +14.5 over Georgia (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
Play West Virginia +3.5 over Connecticut (NCAA BONUS PLAY)
NHL HOCKEY
Play Winnipeg +110 over St. Louis (NHL TOP PLAY)
Play Vancouver +100 over Chicago (NHL TOP PLAY)

BeatYourBookie
NBA BASKETBALL
10* Play Golden State -8 over Oklahoma City (TOP NBA PLAY)
10* Play Portland -5 over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)
NCAA BASKETBALL
10* Play West Virginia +3.5 over Connecticut (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Boston College +5.5 over Dayton (TOP NCAA PLAY)
10* Play Akron +5 over South Carolina (TOP NCAA PLAY)
NHL HOCKEY
10* Play Anaheim -190 over Arizona (TOP NHL PLAY)
10* Play Montreal +125 over NY Rangers (TOP NHL PLAY)

BeatYourBookie
FOOTBALL
10* Play San Francisco -9 over Washington (Top NFL Play)
Washington is 8-18 ATS in all games the last two seasons
Washington is 5-14 ATS when playing as an underdog
10* Play Miami +6.5 over Denver (Top NFL Play)
Miami is 38-16 ATS vs. AFC West Division Opponents
Miami is 11-6 ATS coming off five or more UNDER the totals
10* Play Indianapolis -13.5 over Jacksonville (Top NFL Play)
Indianapolis is 8-0 ATS vs. division opponents the last two seasons
Indianapolis is 8-0 ATS coming off a loss by ten points or more in their last game
10* Play New York Giants +4 over Dallas (Top NFL Play)
Dallas is 8-15 ATS when playing as a favorite the last three seasons
Dallas is 3-7 ATS when playing in the month of November

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Prediction Machine


Detroit +7 @ N E 58.3%

Cleveland +3 @ ATL 57.4%

Tenn +11 @ Philly 57.2%


Dallas @ N Y G 47.5 54 OVER 59.7%

Miami @ Denver 49.5 43.9 UNDER 58.5%

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Betting First Look with Marco D’Angelo

Detroit Lions+pts

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Gordon24

NFL $400 Bucs/Bears Under 46