12-6-14

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Perfect Game Picks

Louisiana Tech/Marshall – Over 68.5 (-110)
If you combine last weeks games together that these two teams played in it would add up to 240 points! Yes that is correct, 240 points. Louisiana Tech beat Rice 76-31 and Marshall lost to Western Kentucky 67-66 in an OT thriller. The teams both have super star players on their teams and they will have every opportunity to put up gaudy numbers. We looked at taking Louisiana Tech plus the points but the total is a much safer approach (we had this game at 80.5 for the over under prior to the line being released).

Boise State -22.5 (-105)
Our co-favorite play of the week is the late game in College Football on Saturday. There are two reasons why we love this game. The first reason is Boise St. star running back Jay Ajayi, who has been absolutely unstoppable this year. Ajayi has rushed for a ridiculous 1635 yards with 24 TD’s. He is very dangerous catching the ball as well, with 45 grabs for 536 yards and 4 TD’s. Ajayi is going to go wild and could break the recently set single game Rushing record.
The second reason we like this game so much goes along with the first reason. Fresno St. is atrocious against the run game, as they allow 212.2 yards per game. They have faced some good run teams this year, but Ajayi and his Boise St. team is on a whole different level.
Expect Boise to be up by at least 21 by halftime and continue to pour it on. The favorite in this match up is 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings.

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MADDUX SPORTS (CFB)

Alabama -14.5 (10*)

Florida State -4 (10*)

Wisconsin vs Ohio State - Over 52.5 (10*)

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college computer crusher

no limit Marshall

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Northcoast

Early Bird POW - TCU -32

Underdog POW - Ohio State +4

Mountain West POW - Boise State -21

Big 12 POW - Baylor -7.5

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Gonzaga at Arizona

The Bulldogs head to Arizona today to face a Wildcats team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Gonzaga is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Wildcats favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 6 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 513-514: Arizona State at Texas A&M (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 65.120; Texas A&M 66.969 Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2 Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 7 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+7)

Game 515-516: LaSalle at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 56.832; Temple 59.932 Dunkel Line: Temple by 3 Vegas Line: Temple by 1 Dunkel Pick: Temple (-1)

Game 517-518: Rutgers at Seton Hall (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.923; Seton Hall 64.470 Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 10 Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+10)

Game 519-520: St. Bonaventure at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 56.891; Ohio 60.659 Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3 Vegas Line: Ohio by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-1 1/2)

Game 521-522: Oklahoma State at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 66.073; South Carolina 65.841 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+2)

Game 523-524: Wisconsin at Marquette (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 75.411; Marquette 63.237 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 12 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-9 1/2)

Game 525-526: St. Joseph's at Villanova (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 56.545; Villanova 74.802 Dunkel Line: Villanova by 18 1/2 Vegas Line: Villanova by 21 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (+21 1/2)

Game 527-528: Central Florida at Florida State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 51.643; Florida State 66.379 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 14 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida State by 12 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-12)

Game 529-530: Virginia at VCU (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 73.464; VCU 71.489 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 531-532: Loyola-Chicago at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 52.458; Illinois-Chicago 47.080 Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 3 Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-3)

Game 533-534: Indiana State at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 50.463; Ball State 54.632 Dunkel Line: Ball State by 4 Vegas Line: Ball State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-1 1/2)

Game 535-536: WI-Green Bay at Miami (FL) (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.706; Miami (FL) 73.520 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 15 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 10 Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-10)

Game 537-538: South Florida at Detroit (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 50.973; Detroit 59.809 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 9 Vegas Line: Detroit by 6 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-6)

Game 539-540: TX-San Antonio at Washington State (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 46.408; Washington State 51.865 Dunkel Line: Washington State by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington State by 9 Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+9)

Game 541-542: Kansas State at Tennessee (3:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 62.316; Tennessee 68.110 Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1 1/2)

Game 543-544: Northwestern at Butler (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 59.798; Butler 69.246 Dunkel Line: Butler by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Butler by 12 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+12)

Game 545-546: Gonzaga at Arizona (5:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 74.654; Arizona 76.089 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (+4 1/2)

Game 547-548: St. John's at Syracuse (5:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 61.360; Syracuse 72.807 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Syracuse by 6 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-6)

Game 549-550: Penn State at Marshall (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 58.995; Marshall 50.575 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Penn State by 6 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-6)

Game 551-552: Eastern Michigan at Dayton (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 55.478; Dayton 70.294 Dunkel Line: Dayton by 15 Vegas Line: Dayton by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-10 1/2)

Game 553-554: Rhode Island at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 61.777; Southern Mississippi 60.822 Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 1 Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+4 1/2)

Game 555-556: Middle Tennessee State at South Alabama (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 56.689; South Alabama 52.589 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 4 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-2 1/2)

Game 557-558: Wake Forest at NC State (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 54.107; NC State 69.250 Dunkel Line: NC State by 15 Vegas Line: NC State by 10 Dunkel Pick: NC State (-10)

Game 559-560: Alabama at Xavier (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 60.600; Xavier 71.181 Dunkel Line: Xavier by 10 1/2 Vegas Line: Xavier by 8 Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-8)

Game 561-562: St. Louis at Wichita State (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 56.342; Wichita State 70.434 Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 14 Vegas Line: Wichita State by 17 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+17 1/2)

Game 563-564: Mississippi State at Tulane (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 57.718; Tulane 54.314 Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-1 1/2)

Game 565-566: George Mason at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 51.599; Northern Iowa 63.552 Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 12 Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 14 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+14 1/2)

Game 567-568: New Mexico at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 58.609; Valparaiso 68.150 Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 7 Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (-7)

Game 569-570: Hawaii at BYU (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 52.027; BYU 72.741 Dunkel Line: BYU by 20 1/2 Vegas Line: BYU by 17 Dunkel Pick: BYU (-17)

Game 571-572: Pepperdine at CS-Fullerton (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 54.477; CS-Fullerton 54.393 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 2 Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+2)

Game 573-574: Bradley at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bradley 51.172; Memphis 64.392 Dunkel Line: Memphis by 13 Vegas Line: Memphis by 11 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11 1/2)

Game 575-576: Oregon State at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 55.740; Portland 65.450 Dunkel Line: Portland by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Portland by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland (-7 1/2)

Game 577-578: Santa Clara at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 50.878; San Jose State 48.430 Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 2 1/2 Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 4 Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+4)

Game 579-580: Boise State at St. Mary's (CA) (11:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 59.623; St. Mary's (CA) 68.284 Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-5)

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Joe Gavazzi

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
Conference USA Championship
LA Tech at Marshall (-13) Noon ET ESPN2
Each week I look to isolate a quality UNDERDOG who has edges from a statistical point of view, a situational edge or a technical perspective. Often times, this UNDERDOG has won the game outright for us. For the season, the record is 10-4 ATS with no fewer than 6 outright victories. The result last week was a crushing defeat with Auburn, when Alabama scored 28 4th quarter points (resulting in the dismissal of the Auburn DC). Today, we line up with a quality team with great momentum in an outstanding situation.

LA Tech has been one of the surprise teams in college football under 2nd year HC Holtz. Last year, the Bulldogs went 4-8 SU ATS. This year, LA Tech is 8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS, including 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in CUSA play. Their offensive resurgence can be linked in no small part to transfer QB Sokol, who has launched 29 TDs. Last week, LA Tech played their best offensive game of the season in a 76-31 home field victory against Rice, in which they rolled up 677 offensive yards. They enter today on a 4-1 SU ATS run.

On the other sideline is a Marshall team who suffered their first loss of the season last week on this field (67-66) to W. Kentucky. In that game, the Marshall defense allowed 738 yards! Prior to that contest, Marshall had hopes of inclusion in the New Year’s Day Bowl package. But, that crushing home loss leaves them with unbeaten letdown.

Because of Marshall’s formerly undefeated record and high-scoring offense, HC Holliday and QB Cato head a Marshall contingent that is now greatly overvalued. The defensive collapse and the bubble burst of the undefeated season leaves them in vulnerable territory with the remembrance that they lost the title game on this field to Rice last year. LA Tech regained their late season momentum last week and features a coach in Holtz whose numbers surpass the current home field run of the Herd. For Holtz has a lifetime record of 37-18 ATS as underdog, including 11-1 ATS as +6+ on the road. With LA Tech standing 6-0 ATS away to -10 this season, we have all the ammunition we need for an outright victory for this very live pup!

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Matt Rivers

SATURDAY


Top-Rated 500,000♦ play on Cincy and Houston to stay Under the Total today. The price is stitting at 56 1/2 points as of 3:40 AM here in Miami where I'm based.

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Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side
triple-dime bet Boise St. -19.5 (-110) vs Fresno St.
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Boise State on Saturday night. After a horrible start to the season, Fresno State finds them in the MWC title game. That's not just a tribute to the in-season turnaround, but also shows just how weak the conference has been in 2014. Fresno lost their first three games by scores of 52-13, 59-27, and 55-19, to USC, Utah, and Nebraska. This will be there second meeting of the season with Boise State. The Bulldogs caught the Broncos napping, covering a big spread, but falling 37-27 to Boise on October 17. The Broncos were fresh off back-to-back games, including a big win over Nevada the previous week. No flat spot here. Boise State will look to jump out early and expand on the lead, knowing they have a shot at a New Year's Day bowl invitation with a win on Saturday night. The 8th-ranked BSU offense is on-fire, scoring an average of 50.6 ppg during their current 7-game winning streak. And while the offense has been outstanding, the defense has held their opponents to 353 yards per game on the season. They held Fresno to 313 yards in the earlier meeting and I believe they'll shut down the Bulldogs again. Boise State is on a 12-2 ATS run against Fresno, including 6-1 ATS at home. I'm laying the points with Boise State, my Main Event. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Dec 2 2014 12:36AM PST

Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side
double-dime bet Louisiana Tech 9.5 (-110) vs Marshall
Analysis: I'm taking the points with La Tech on Saturday. While the Thundering Herd is playing for a conference championship, their bubble was burst a bit last week when their undefeated season came to an end in a 67-66 OT loss as a 23.5-point favorite to Western Kentucky. Marshall gave up 738 yards of offense, including an average of 6.3 yards per carry and 10.1 yards per pass. That makes two clunkers in a row after pulling out a 23-18 win over UAB the previous week, trailing in that one as late as midway through the fourth quarter. Marshall was a 17.5-point favorite against the Blazers and they're once again laying too many points, in my opinion. La Tech was one of our bigger winners this season (Smack down GOY) when they whipped Western Kentucky 59-10 on November 1. The Bulldogs love to run first and they are averaging 38.8 ppg. They're also 15th against the run and own the nation's 30th stingiest defense in total yards allowed per game. La Tech also has accrued the most interceptions in FBS college football. It's a dangerous spot for a Marshall squad that just lost their perfect season and I expect La Tech to give them all they can handle on Saturday. The Bulldogs are on a 20-7 ATS run on the road and they're on a 4-0 ATS run against teams with a winning record. I'm grabbing the points with Louisiana Tech, my Conf. Championship Shocker. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Dec 5 2014 2:20PM PST

Scott Spreitzer | CBB Sides
double-dime bet S. Carolina 2.0 (-110) vs Oklahoma St.
Analysis: I'm backing South Carolina plus the points on Saturday. Oklahoma State is in a dangerous spot. They're off to a 7-0 start to the season, but the schedule has not been daunting and they aren't exactly loaded with offensive weaponry. In fact, OSU has just two players averaging more than 8.5 ppg. And while Le'Bryan Nash is back from a suspension, the Cowboys should struggle at both ends in this, their first true road game of the season. South Carolina doesn't have the sparkling record at 4-3 SU, but they're "nasty" defending an opponent's shot, holding their seven opponents to 36.4% shooting, which ranks 30th in the nation. The Gamecocks also have seven players averaging over 19 minutes played per contest, so keeping fresh while applying a tough brand of defense is what they do. As mentioned, this is Oklahoma State's first true roadie of the season and they enter on a 3-14-1 ATS slide on the road. They're also on a 1-11 ATS slide under Ford if they're on the road after back-to-back wins by 15 points or more. Meanwhile, since Frank Martin took the USC gig, his team is 10-2 ATS against teams that average at least 77 ppg. putting the clamps down on the defensive end. I'm grabbing the points with South Carolina on Saturday, my Dog Pound release on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Dec 6 2014 12:58AM PST

Scott Spreitzer | CFB Side
triple-dime bet Florida St. -4.0 (-110) vs Georgia Tech
Analysis: I'm laying the point with Florida State on Saturday night. One more wins and the Seminoles will be in college football's Final 4 with a chance to capture their second straight national title. While Ga Tech has had a strong season, they are still too dependent on the ground game, in my opinion. The Yellow Jackets, ranked 122nd through the air, don't expect to have WR DeAndre Smelter (knee), and his absence will hurt them on both the ground and in the passing game. Smelter is the team's leading receiver and it's not even close. Only one other receiver has more than 8 receptions on the season. He's also a strong downfield blocker, a must for WR's in option offenses. The "big" loss for Florida State is RB Karlos Williams, who is expected to be sidelined. But the Seminoles have Dalvin Cook, who actually ran for 728 yards, gaining over 100 yards more than Williams. Cook is the type of back who forces opposing defenses to play an honest brand of defense, making things a little easier on QB Jameis Winston. Bottom line on the other side of the ball is a Florida State defense that ought to make life tough on Ga Tech. GT QB Justin Thomas is a 50% passer, without his best receiver, and will now be forced to create with his arm against the 'Noles stop unit. All advantages for FSU. The Seminoles are on a 6-0 SU/ATS run away from home in the second half of the last two seasons, winning by an average score of 44-15. I'm betting they'll extend the run to 7-0. I'm laying the points with Florida State, my Conf. Championship Tapout. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Dec 6 2014 1:19AM PST

Scott Spreitzer | CBB Sides
dime bet Miami -10.0 (-110) vs Wis.-Green Bay
Analysis: I'm laying the points with Miami on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Pick Made: Dec 6 2014 3:21AM PST

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Dave Cokin:

121 Louisiana Tech +12
128 Ohio State +4
126 Georgia Tech +4

CBB
522 South Carolina +2.5
536 Miami Florida -10
554 Southern Mississippi +4

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KEVIN"S PLAYS


A slow start in bad weather lead to us missing the over by a couple scores. Four plays for today...
2 UNIT = Louisiana Tech @ Marshall - [121] LOUISIANA TECH +9 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [118] BAYLOR -7 (+100)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = Kansas State @ Baylor - [117] OVER 66.5 POINTS (-106)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
2 UNIT = Fresno State @ Boise State - [129 ]OVER 69 POINTS (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)
Cheers,
Kevin

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Topshelfpicks

Carson K

(NHL) Predators -120

CFB
3* Tulane
2* Florida State
2*Ohio State
1* Houston
1*Fresno State

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Football Crusher

Play of the Day
Georgia Tech +4 over Florida State

Rest of the Plays
Louisiana Tech +9.5 over Marshall
Ohio State +4.5 over Wisconsin
Oklahoma State +21 over Oklahoma

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Craig Davis

50 Dimes Georgia Tech +4

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Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day
New Jersey Devils -109 over Washington Capitals

Rest of the Plays
Boston Bruins -132 over Arizona
Calgary Flames -112 over San Jose Sharks
St Louis Blues +109 over New York Islanders

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Jack Jones

25* ALABAMA
15* Florida State