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(They were 3-0 last week in NFL, so they may be getting back on track, although only 1-2 in NCAAF this Saturday. I faded their Miami FL pick yesterday, who lost by 38. I'm not betting against Dallas today. GL!!)
MILL---Miami
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No Limit--Minnesota
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Perfect Play--New York Giants
Not many can make this claim of success against the almighty Patriots in the recent years. Eli Manning and his Giants have captured the last three meetings with the Patriots, most notably and not forgotten, two Super Bowl victories heading into Sunday's matchup of division leaders. Even more shocking is that Tom Coughlin is 5-1 against Bill Belichick. If the Giants are to win outright, coaching will have to overcome the Giants awful defense with ball control on offense. Keep the ball out of Brady's hands. The Patriots will get their first look at Giants star Odell Beckham Jr. He is fourth in the league with 759 receiving yards and has 7 touchdowns catches. The will need his routes to tack on the points after losing RB Davis last week. Rashad Jennings will be Manning's RB. There's nothing to say about how well the Patriots are playing but laying this many on the road and playing with a new mix of offensive linemen is money for the dog. TAKE NY GIANTS
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Inner Circle--Washington
NFC Game of the Month
The Redskins are looking to win their 4th straight home game, which should surprise even diehard Washington fans with that fact. It's hard to quantify or put a hand on it but they using a combination of focus, anger, luck and a chip on their shoulder to stay very competitive. They have Kirk Cousins to thank for that as he is confident as if he and the entire team have something to prove. The Saints are not necessarily road juggernauts and they are coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Tennessee Titans; losing in overtime. The turn around to prepare for this game can't be pleasant. A "key" to the Skins defense, nose tackle Terrance Knighton, will be back and taking charge of an improved defense. Pierre Garson should have a big day against the Saints defense. The Redskins have a lot of heart. They will continue to play hard for Coach Jay Gruden. After all, he's the one that pulled the plug on RGIII; total respect for him. Drew Brees is not the superstar to worry about on the road. Look for effort to be the "key" difference. It plays a tremendous role in evenly matched teams. That and playing in front of your fans on your home field will get the Redskins their fourth straight home game win. TAKE WASHINGTON
-------------- Pinnacle---Tennessee
NFL Shocker of November
Something will catch up to 8-0 Carolina as they attempt to remain undefeated. They may be running on empty after playing Philadelphia, Indianapolis and Green Bay in different types of weather and allowing comebacks and scratching out 3 more wins. After blowing a 17 pt lead to Indy and leading by 23 with Green Bay, the energy expended had to take a toll on them. Look for them to be flat in this game compared to the Titans coming off a road overtime win against the Saints.
Tennessee's star rookie QB, Marcus Mariota, returned against the Saints and was 28 of 39 for 371 yards and four TDs. And he did it with a newly appointed head coach. Interim coach Mike Mularkey changed the offensive line schemes with emphasis on getting the ball out of Mariota's hands faster and quicker. Antonio Andrews and recently activated David Cobb will be the difference makers in the backfield. Mariota is a game changer. The key to this game lies within the Panthers. The average margin of victory for the Panthers is just over 7 points per game. They have Cam and a great defense that play to the level of their competition. They rarely blow out a team. And their margins of victory are lower on the road. Additionally, teams have made great 2nd half adjustments and teams are in the game as Carolina continues to give up many fourth quarter points. Tennessee is a "live" dog. TAKE THE TITANS.
9th Ever Blank Check
Waive The Rating
NFL Game of my Career
SUNDAY
My 9th Ever Blank Check Waive the RatingNFL play is Philadelphia at home against Miami. The Eagles are -6 as of 12:20 in the morning here in Miami where I'm based. I really think this line climbs up to -7. If it does, buy the hook on Philly. Do it if it moves to -7 1/2, too.
15 DIME play on Green Bay at home against Detroit. The Packers are -10 1/2 at 12:10 A.M. Pacific. This is one of those cases where I would endorse buying down the half-point on Green Bay at that 10 1/2 number.
80 Dime selection on the Arizona Cardinals against the Seattle Seahawks. As I release this play at 12:25am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Arizona is +3 in Vegas and offshore. A word of advice: protect yourself. Absolutely buy the half-point up on Arizona if your number is anywhere between +2 1/2 and +4.
2000♦ Double-Your-Wager AFC West Game of the Year Sunday's Selection ...
For Sunday, 2000♦ Double-Your-Wager release is Kansas City plus the points at Denver. At 6:30 am eastern time, the Chiefs are +4 1/2 dogs in Vegas and offshore.
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