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HCPICKS also known as HOT CHIK PICKS
In college......
Take [552] GEORGIA +3 to bite the Aggies!
Take [585] JAMES MADISON +5.5 to have all the pride today!
Take [587] IOWA STATE -1 to win the battle of the birds!
in NFL.....
Take KANSAS CITY +5 to have a tea party of their own in the harbor today!
Take GREEN BAY +7.5 to chase the birds away as my biggest play this week!
09:00 AM Pacific, Rotation: 524
My ratings favor Butler by 24 ½ points and the Bulldogs have shown no mercy against bad teams so far this season, going 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 17 points or more. Butler has lost 3 of their last 4 games so I expect the Bulldogs to be focused for this game and I’ll take Butler in a 2-Star Best Bet at -20 points or less and for 1-Star up to -21.
**NEBRASKA OMAHA (-7) over Purdue-Fort Wayne
11:00 AM Pacific, Rotation: 688
Nebraska-Omaha applies to a 91-39-3 ATS home momentum situation that is based on their current 6 game win streak and my ratings favor the Mavericks by 8 ½ points against an IPFW squad playing without their point guard Mo Evans, who’s become academically ineligible. IPFW was 12-1 ATS with Evans but lost by 16 points as a 10 point dog in their first game without him and I expect the offense to take a few games to find their rhythm (just 35% shooting in their one game without Evans). I’ll take Nebraska Omaha in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less and for 1-Star up to -8.
Opinion – KANSAS (-21 ½) over Tcu
11:00 AM Pacific, Rotation: 560
Kansas is coming off a loss at West Virginia but the Jayhawks are 26-11 ATS after a loss the last 8 seasons, including a 19 point win over UCLA following their only previous loss this season. TCU has been getting smashed on the road, losing by 25 at Washington, by 21 at Oklahoma State, and by 28 at Baylor, and none of those teams are as good as the Jayhawks are. Kansas is winning by an average of 25.9 points at home against teams with an average rating slightly higher than that of TCU and my ratings favor Kansas by 24 points. I’ll lean with the Jayhawks based on their team trend and some line value and I’d take Kansas in a 1-Star Best Bet at -21 points or less.
Opinion - Central Michigan (+1) over BUFFALO
12:30 PM Pacific, Rotation: 573
Central Michigan struggled early in the season but the Chippewas are better with senior PG Chris Fowler the last 9 games (he missed the first 7 games). My ratings favor the Chippewas by 1 point and I’ll lean with CMU at +1 or more and I’d take Central Michigan in a 1-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more.
***TENN CHATTANOOGA (-7 ½) over E Tennessee State
02:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 688
East Tennessee State has won 6 games in a row and have covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 lined games. However, that hot streak actually sets the Buccaneers up in a very negative 17-75-2 ATS subset of an 88-196-8 ATS road underdog letdown situation against a 15-3 Chattanooga squad eager to take over 1st place in the Southern Conference. My ratings favor Chattanooga by 9 ½ points, so I see some line value to go along with the strong situation, and I’ll take Chattanooga in a 3-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -9 points.
**Brigham Young (-9) over PORTLAND
03:00 PM Pacific, Rotation: 613
BYU is coming off an upset win at Gonzaga but that upset actually sets up the Cougars in a solid 82-29-3 ATs road favorite momentum situation and I don’t mind laying points with a BYU team that rarely lets down against lesser competition. BYU is 22-2-1 ATS as a road favorite of 14 points or less against a team with a losing record (1-0 ATS after a win over Gonzaga) and home dogs are historically bad after losing streak up as a favorite of 5 points or more (they lost as a 9 point favorite to San Diego on Thursday). In fact, Portland applies to a negative 14-64-1 ATS situation based on that premise. My ratings favor BYU by 10 ½ points, so the line is fair, and I’ll take BYU in a 2-Star Best Bet at -10 points or less and for 1-Star up to -11.
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