3-18-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sky blue Stephen Austin +7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GMC-CBB Selections

847 25 *Cincinnati
821 Stephen F.Austin
835 Pittsburgh

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Play: Michigan (ML +140)
Line Source: 5dimes
Posted on: March 17, 2016 @ 11:33:35 PM EDT

> Play - Michigan (Game 823).
Edges - Wolverines: head coach John Beilein 18-5-2 ATS in the NCAA tournament, including 8-0-1 ATS off win of 5 or more points and not facing an .860 or greater opponent. Fighting Irish: head coach Mike Brey 2-9 ATS as a favorite in the NCAA tourney, including 0-4 ATS versus a foe off one-win exact. With at least one of the First Four teams having advanced to the round of 32 each year, and that team always from a Wednesday non-16 seed game, we recommend a 3* play on Michigan. Thank you and good luck as always.


Play: Cincinnati (-2.5 -105)
Line Source: Bookmaker
Posted on: March 17, 2016 @ 11:33:35 PM EDT

> Play - Cincinnati Bearcats (Game 847).
Edges - Bearcats: 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss of 5 or more points; and 3-0 SUATS in first round NCAA tourney games off a SU favorite loss of 7 or more points. Hawks: 0-4 ATS in last four NCAA tourney first round games; and 0-5 ATS versus No. 6-10 NCAA tourney seeds. With the Bearcats 7-0 ATS in games off a loss of 2 or more points when facing an Atlantic 10 foe off a win, we recommend a 3* play on Cincinnati. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oc Dooley

"UNSCHEDULED" ADDED EARLY EVENING NCAA TOURNAMENT TOTAL (Pittsburgh/Wisconsin UNDER 130 in an approximate 6:50 eastern tipoff): In games broadcast on TNT including a pair late this afternoon 5 of 6 games have played "above" the total setting up what I feel is an law-of-averages wager. While Wisconsin is 8-1 UNDER in the past nine games, Pittsburgh this season with a near pick-em line between (+3/-3) has gone a staggering 8-0 UNDER the number. Both sides are extremely physical





HIGH-RATED LATE NIGHT BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa/Texas OVER in a 9:50 eastern tipoff): You will see below that I am taking advantage of a low-balled posted total even though a team from the high scoring Big 12 conference is involved (Texas also fits a SYSTEM that has hit 67% of the time OVER the total in the month of March). Also details below how the low scoring Missouri Valley Conference has helped trigger tonight's high-rated move where market "value" involving Northern Iowa who has 3 different seniors with OFFENSIVE capability




NBA (8:35 eastern tipoff): A few nights ago the DALLAS MAVERICKS nearly pulled off a road upset in Cleveland and this evening they tackle another giant (Golden State) who arguably is in "look ahead" to tomorrow's match with San Antonio. In a stunning season-long statistic after 4 consecutive games where the offense tallied 110+ points each time Golden State is 0-7 ATS in ROAD setups like tonight




EARLY EVENING NCAA "RECOMMENDATION": I would "lean" towards Stephen F. Austin (whose head coach used to be a Bob Huggins assistant)




***Friday PREMIUM lineup***


4-UNITS on Northern Iowa/Texas OVER 124' (Primetime Best Bet) (9:50 et tip on TBS) (# 831)


3-UNITS on Oregon State +4' (Afternoon Best Bet) (1:30 et tip on TNT) (# 828)

2-UNITS on Syracuse/Dayton UNDER 129' (early 12:15 et tip on CBS) (# 839)

2-UNITS on Iowa -7 (midday 3:10 et tip on TRU-TV) (# 820)

2-UNITS on Maryland -9 (late afternoon 4:30 et tip on TBS) (# 842)

2-UNITS on Pittsburgh/Wisconsin UNDER 130 (early evening 6:50 et tip pn TNT) (# 836)


2-UNITS on Mavericks +9 (NBA 8:35 et tip) (# 814)










TONIGHT’S “4 UNIT” REDZONE LATE NIGHT NCAA BEST BET TOTAL (Northern Iowa versus Texas OVER 124’ in a 9:50 eastern tipoff telecast on TBS): For those who remember the Missouri Valley Conference postseason tournament almost all games held “below” the total including Northern Iowa’s very low scoring 56-54 triumph in the championship game. The Missouri Valley Conference did get an at-large entrant in Wichita State who yesterday knocked off Arizona (another “under”) where the defense (19 forced turnovers) compensated for the offense (just 3-for-20 from long range). It was back on Tuesday in a “play in” that Wichita State once again excelled on defense holding the opposition to 50 points. Coming into tonight Northern Iowa is 8-1 “under” including 5 games in a row which in turn has led to a “deflated” total for which I am taking advantage. Northern Iowa does have 3 different senior players who have ability on OFFENSE including Matt Bohanon who hold all-time school career marks in THREE POINTERS made (266) and attempted (678). Paul Jesperson during the regular season tied an all-time single game school record nailing 8 different “treys” from behind the arc. Wes Washpun in ranked #2 in all-time Northern Iowa single season ASSISTS dished out (174). Another reason why I am enthusiastic about tonight’s low posted total is that Texas finally has some market “value” attached to a spot after playing in a high-scoring league (Big 12). The Longhorns played the entire regular season conference schedule without their #1 player Cameron Ridley who finally has returned from injury to bolster a balanced offense (11 different players averaging at least 10 minutes of floor time per game). Texas is now coached by the same Shaka Smart that made Virginia Commonwealth relevant in the NCAA Tournament and is mission is now the same for a new employer. Getting back to Northern Iowa they are 7-1 OVER/ROAD when off consecutive games giving up “9 or less” offensive rebounds. Here is a 67-PERCENT SYSTEM (76-38 last five years with a low posted total in the 120’s) which takes teams like Texas after beating the spread by 18+ combined points in a three-game stretch OVER the number if taking the court in the month of MARCH




TODAY’S “3 UNIT” REDZONE AFTERNOON NCAA TOURNAMENT BEST BET SIDE (Oregon State +4’ versus Virginia Commonwealth in a 1:30 eastern tipoff telecast on TNT): Even though the game is being played in the state of Oklahoma this is part of the “Western” Regional which for sheer geographical purposes favors Oregon State if they can pull off a couple of weekend upsets. Among all “major” conference school participating in this year’s tournament Oregon State has had the longest wait (1990) as their last entrant featured future NBA star Gary Payton as their leader. The school that has the absolute longest stretch between NCAA Tournament appearances (1962) was Yale who produced an outright upset yesterday. Most reading this analysis are aware that Thursday was a tough day for schools from arguably the most balanced conference in the land (Pac 12) as participating members went 1-3 overall. The Pac-12 has seemingly taken another hit with news that California’s top player Tyrone Wallace (major injury in practice) will not be able to participate in the Big Dance which is a major blow to what was originally thought of as a school that could wreak havoc. Thus Oregon State is not only representing themselves but also arguably an entire conference. This is a very special day for Oregon State who is the only school in the Pac-12 draw to see both their mens-and-womens teams both chosen for the NCAA Tournament after both have gone through recent struggles. It was a year ago when the Beavers roster featured just one returning starter along with SEVEN different “walk ons”. Oregon State’s star player is Gary Payton II who has won twice the league’s “defensive player of the year” award which is even more remarkable when considering that he spent the initial 2 seasons of his career at the “junior” college level. I am aware that today marks the “sixth” consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance for Virginia Commonwealth but they do NOT have the brilliant schemes of head coach Shaka Smart who bolted for a bigger paycheck with a major-conference program




“2 UNIT” EARLY LINETRACKER TOTAL (Syracuse versus Dayton UNDER 129’ in a 12:15 eastern tipoff telecast on CBS): At most offshore locations this total opened up at 131 and has since dropped which is unusual for games so far in this year’s Big Dance. It was two years ago that these same two sides faced off in a very low scoring 55-53 NCAA tilt where Dayton’s defense ended up holding Syracuse WITHOUT a successful three-point shot for the first time in a 665 game span. After being forced to sit out at this time a year ago due to sanctions against the program Jim Boeheim and his famous matchup-zone DEFENSE return




“2 UNIT” NBA INTANGIBLE SIDE (Mavericks +9 at home versus Warriors in an 8:35 eastern tipoff): At the bottom of this analysis an UNDEFEATED season angle that will be stunning to most. It was just a few nights ago when Dallas traveled to Cleveland and came close to pulling off the outright upset versus LeBron and company in a tilt that was decided by a ONE point margin. Of course Golden State (61-6) continues to chase history but one of their few setbacks (114-91 beatdown) just happened to be in Dallas even though Stephen Curry was injured in that contest. While we have obvious “revenge” this evening it should be pointed out that the Warriors are in a “look ahead” position as they face the NBA’s second-best side (San Antonio) tomorrow. The bottom line is that the roster of the Warriors is DEPLETED with 3 injured reserves not making the trip. For the entire season to date after “four” consecutive games with the offense scoring 110+ points each time Golden State is a stunning 0-7 ATS/ROAD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis 8u Texas A&M -13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

banker has his 5 unit tv play on west virginia over stephen austin

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Maddux NBA
Boston +3