11-27-16

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cousin sal

balt


best bet

giants

won teaser Thursday minn/pitt

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Tiger
san diego chargers -120 ml $300

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Maddux
20 Cin+4
Everything else 10's
Az +6
Atl Ov 50'
NO -7
Sea -5'
Car +3'
KC + 3'

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Dave Cokin

Chargers -1.5
Bills -7 -120
Ravens -4
Giants -7
Bucs +6
Patriots -7 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King Creole 5*

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King’s Sunday NFL 5***** GAME of the MONTH for November is flying ‘OVER the TOTAL’!



2016-11-27 16:30:00






Sunday, November 27th

#269-270

4:25pm ET / 1:25pm PT

CAROLINA PANTHERS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS

5***** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL



To get the BEST Over / Under line value, it’s IMPORTANT that you bet this one as soon as you possibly can. I made my wager the INSTANT that the opening line of 48 points came out on Tuesday morning. As this is being typed on Tuesday afternoon, the OU line has ALREADY risen a half to a full point (48.5 to 49 points). And you know what they say: Bet your OVERS as early in the week that you can. Yes there’s gonna be a lot of points in this one. In fact, our database models and simulations point a final score of about 34 to 31. But in the business of sports betting, EVERY point is crucial in terms of line value.



Of course, Oakland has been one of our favorite OVER teams to bet on this season. And the Raiders have responded very positively. They’re tied for NUMBER ONE (#1) in OVERS this season with a 8-2 O/U record and an an average of over 50 combined points per game. Their HOME games have averaged 53.5. We’ve bet Oakland OVERS four times this year and have gone 4-0 in those games. And on the flip side, Carolina was one of our favorite OVER teams to bet on last season (when they went 13-6 O/U). We bet Carolina OVERS six times last year and went 5-1… and three times THIS season and gone 3-0. There figures to be a LOT of passing yards in this one. In fact, it’s the ONLY game on the Week Twelve schedule in which BOTH teams are ranked in the BOTTOM FIVE (#27 or worse) in passing yards allowed per game on DEFENSE. Carolina’s once great defense is ranked #27, allowing 272 passing YPG… while Oakland is ranked #29 in the league, allowing 278 passing YPG. The Raiders have already played three games this season against NFC South Division opponents (Norl / TBay / Atl)… and those games have averaged 62.0 combined ppg (3-0 O/U).



I have had this game ‘circled’ since the beginning of the season. Why? Because it applies in one of my favorite database OVER situations. I’m not going to try and explain or decipher WHY this has been so hot. All I know is that it went 20-1-1 O/U from 1992 to 2015… and has already gone a perfect 2-0 O/U this season. It’s based in the fact that one team is off a Thursday game and their opponent just played on Monday night…

22-1-1 O/U since 1992: All NFL games in which one team is off a THURSDAY game (PANTHERS) while the other team is off a MONDAY game (RAIDERS)… when the OU line is 55 or less points. In the last six seasons, these games have averaged a combined 57.6 points per game.



This is one of those weird and freaky NFL games in which one team travels across three different TIME ZONES to play their game. In this case, it’s the East Coast Panthers who are making the long trip west to play Oakland in the West Time Zone. Check out these results:

10-1 O/U last two years: All WEST TIME zone home favorites of -10 < points (OAKLAND) versus an EAST TIME zone opponent (CAROLINA) when the OU line is > 43 points. There has already been SIX such games in this 2016 season. Those games have gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U. Those games were: Jacksonville @ San Diego (OVER won by 4 points)…. Atlanta @ Oakland (OVER won by 15 points)… Atlanta @ Seattle (OVER won by 4.5 points)… Tampa Bay @ San Francisco (OVER won by 6 points)… Buffalo @ Seattle (OVER won by 13 points)… and Miami @ San Diego (OVER won by 6 points). The average combined points in these six 2016 games: 57.5.



We are well aware that the Carolina Panthers are on a major UNDER run these days. Their most recent game was a surprising UNDER against the Saints. Prior to that, their game versus the Chiefs went UNDER. And before that, it was an UNDER against the Rams. So that’s an 0-3 O/U record in their last three games. Despite all that, this week’s OU line for a 0-3 O/U team is still on the high side. Let’s get back into the database… 19-3 O/U since 2009: All NFL non-division teams off 3 or more UNDERS in a row (PANTHERS) when the OU line is 48 > points. Our results improve to a PERFECT 18-0 O/U in GAMES 13 or less of the season. And in the last two seasons, these games have averaged a combined 62.7 points per game!



Oakland has had the exact opposite OU outcome as of late compared to Carolina. The Raiders have gone OVER in four straight games and have WON all four of those games as well to improve to 8-2 on the year… 8-0 O/U last four seasons: All NFL non-division teams off 4+ SU wins in a row AND 4+ ‘Overs’ in a row (RAIDERS) when the OU line is 48 > points. These games have averaged a very impressive 68.8 combined points per game!



As mentioned above, the Panthers just played at home against New Orleans last Thursday. The OU line in that one was 53.5 points, and it went UNDER by -10.5… 6-0 O/U last three years: All GAME EIGHT or greater non-division teams off an UNDER when the OU line in their last game was 53 or more points (PANTHERS).



This is a great Week of the Season for HIGH-scoring results in NON-conference games when the OU line is on the high side… 9-1 O/U since 2011: All GAME 11 non-conference games (AFC vs NFC) when the OU line is in the range of 48 to 56 points.



In terms of ATS results, Oakland is on a 4-game ATS winning streak while Carolina is on a 2-game ATS losings streak… 6-0 O/U last 12 months: All NFL home teams off 2 or more ATS wins in a row (RAIDERS) versus an opponent off 2 or more ATS losses in a row (PANTHERS)… when the OU line is 46 or more points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Points. 10 Star Play.

Ne Pats-7.5

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Football Crusher
Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 over Baltimore Ravens
(System Record: 24-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 24-36-1

Rest of the Plays
San Francisco 49ers +7 over Miami Dolphins
Oakland Raiders -3 over Carolina Panthers
San Diego Chargers -2 over Houston Texans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Soccer Crusher
River Plate + Huracan OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 1061-32, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 1061-809-164

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Hockey Crusher
Vancouver Canucks + Colorado Avalanche OVER 5 (pending)
Nashville Predators -137 over Winnipeg Jets
(System Record: 12-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 12-25-6

Rest of the Plays
Philadelphia Flyers -132 over Calgary Flames

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Basketball Crusher
Drexel +5 over La Salle
(System Record: 15-1, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 15-17

Rest of the Plays
Nebraska +5 over Virginia Tech
Seton Hall -4 over Sanford
Dayton -4.5 over New Mexico

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ZACK CIMINI
arizona +4.5
jacksonville +7.5

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WESTGATE - LV HILTON CONTEST
IN ORDER TOP 5
TENNESSEE -4.5
atlanta
washignton
baltimore
kc
oakland

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MICAH ROBERTS
jets over 46
denver under 39.5
cincinnati +4
houston +1.5
arizona +4
green bay over 47.5

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Ed (Banker Sports)
Underdog GOM Tampa Bay

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KELSO

200* Oakland (GOY)