11-27-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sky Blue


Denver
Arizona
San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

450 - den
300 - chargers
300 - Miami

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

One-and-Only

TRIPLE YOUR WAGER

3000♦

NFL Game of the Year

Saints

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

10* Broncos

10* Panthers

8* 49'ers

8* Chargers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HSW
1* Under NYG

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns


11/27 11:00 AM CB (719) KENT STATE VS (720) NORTHEASTERN (11/27 05:31 AM)

Take: (720) NORTHEASTERN

Reason: I'm playing on NORTHEASTERN 8* PERS FAV. This game (in Boston) ends a stretch of four road (or neutral site) games in the first seven to start the season for the Flashes. After this, they return to the M.A.C. Center for four games from Dec. 2-18. While the Flashes have been playing relatively well, thats a fairly gruelling schedule out of the gate. I expect it to cattch up with them here. Dave Coen's Huskies already have an outright upset of UConn under their belts, so they're no slouches. Coincidentally, yhey caught the Flashes off a game against Wofford the only other (2009) previous time that these teams met. The Huskies won and covered that game (played at Santa Clara) and I look for them to do so again this afternoon.

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11/27 10:30 AM CB (733) IOWA STATE VS (734) GONZAGA (11/27 05:36 AM)

Take: (733) IOWA STATE

Reason: I'm playing on IOWA STATE 8* MAIN EVENT. Both these teams are playing well out of the gate, both worthy of their rankings. I really like what I'm seeing from the Cyclones thus far though and I expect them to "leave it all on the floor" this afternoon. Iowa State coach Steve Prohm has said this of his team's effort here: "Resilience, leadership and character of our seniors. The thing that people question about us — our toughness and our defense — I thought that won games for us." Indeed, the Cyclones have been diving all over the floor. Iowa State's Naz Mitrou-Long had this to say about how his team feels: "This tournament means everything." They're 11-6 ATS as underdogs the past 2+ seasons and I expect them to step up and earn AT LEAST another cover here.

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11/27 03:05 PM NBA (709) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS VS (710) INDIANA PACERS (11/27 05:40 AM)

Take: (710) INDIANA PACERS

Reason: I'm playing on INDIANA 10* BEST BET. While the Pacers will be without Paul George, I believe that they're offering excellent value here. Obviously, George is a great player and he makes the Pacers a much better team. That said, they've been pretty inconsistent and have under-achieved to start the season. In that type of situation, learning how to play and win without its star can often help a team. While the competition (Nets) was admittedly on the weak side, the Pacers played great without George last time out, earning a 21-point win over Brooklyn, a win which should provide them with plenty of confidence. Coach Nate McMillan said this after that win: "Tonight is what I feel we can become. I told the guys we can't go back. We can't keep going back and forth. We've got to build off of this and establish our identity." The Clippers proved beatable last time out, stumbling at Detroit. Knowing that this is their last home game for awhile and that they'll face these same Clippers again on their upcoming road trip, I expect the Pacers' best effort and for that to result in AT LEAST a cover.

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11/27 10:00 AM NFL (253) TENNESSEE TITANS VS (254) CHICAGO BEARS (11/26 09:31 AM)

Take: UNDER

Reason: I'm playing on Chicago/Tenn. UNDER the total 10* BLUE CHIP. Considering that Chicago is averaging less than 16 ppg and that Bears' games arae averaging less than 40 ppg overall, I feel this line will prove to be too high. After last week's 22-16 loss at NY, the Bears have now seen four of their past five games produce fewer than 40 combined points. Meanwhile, after a string of high-scoring games, the Titans came back to earth last week, a 24-17 loss at Indianapolis. Games here in Chicago are averaging a mere 34.2 points, the UNDER going 3-0-1. In three games here, dating back to the beginning of October, the final combined scores have been 31, 33 and 30. Going back further finds the UNDER at 13-6-1 the last 20 games played here. I'm expecting another defensive affair.

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11/27 10:00 AM NFL (255) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS (256) BUFFALO BILLS (11/26 09:39 AM)

Take: (255) JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

Reason: I'm playing on JACKSONVILLE. While the Bills just want to get back above .500, this game figures to have some extra meaning for Jags' assistant head coach Doug Marrone. He essentially walked out on the Bills and this is his first game back. While the fans haven't forgotten, most Bills' players don't seem to resent Marrone too much. If it has an effect at all, I expect the "Marrone factor" to favor the Jags, in terms of motivation. Either way, I don't feel the Bills should be laying such a big number. They're only 1-3 their last four games and they haven't beaten an opponent by more than four points in well over a month. While they haven't been winning, the Jags remain competitive. Their last three games have all been decided by seven or fewer points. Look for the Jags to give the Bills all they can handle, Jacksonville improving to 3-1-1 ATS its last five as a road underdogs in the +7.5 to +10 range and Buffalo falling to 8-12 ATS its last 20 as a favorite overall.

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11/27 10:00 AM NFL (263) LOS ANGELES RAMS VS (264) NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (11/26 10:43 AM)
Take: (263) LOS ANGELES RAMS

Reason: I'm playing on LA 10*. While they still came up short, I like the way that the Rams played with Goff under center. While the offense admittedly still struggled, I liked what I saw from Goff. He wasn't asked to do too much - but he executed and did what was asked of him. Goff was playing with a wet ball but didn't turn the ball over, never lost his composure, and gave the Rams a chance to win. Fisher said afterwards: "I'm really proud of him." As for Goff, I agree when he said: "Game experience is priceless." While its only one game, I expect Goff to have benefitted from the experience of being involved in a close game. Weather won't be a factor this time and he'll be playing at a venue where visiting teams have averaged 32.6 points and 406 yards per game. The Rams, who have seen five straight games decided by seven or fewer points, are 2-0-2 ATS against other teams with a losing record, going 8-3-3 ATS their last 14. With the Saints, who have seen six of seven decided by six or less, just 7-17-1 ATS the last 25 times that they were favored, I'm grabbing the points.

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11/27 10:00 AM NFL (265) NEW YORK GIANTS VS (266) CLEVELAND BROWNS (11/26 10:40 AM)

Take: (266) CLEVELAND BROWNS

Reason: I'm playing on CLEVELAND 8*. Admittedly, it'd be easier to do a writuep on the Giants. NY has won five straight while Cleveland hasn't won in ages. I'm only interested in which team covers though, not an 'easy writeup.' In this case, I expect it to be Cleveland. Sure, the Giants have won five straight. However, a closer look at those five wins reveals that NONE of them came by more than seven points. The Giants won those five games by an average of only 4.6 points. In fact, an even closer look shows that NY hasn't won a game by more than seven points this entire season. While the Giants have covered two of three so far this month, November has not been kind to their backers over the years. Indeed, the Giants have won just 40 of their last 100 November games overall, going a money-burning 35-61-4 at the betting window. Look for them to have their hands full the entire way here.

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11/27 01:25 PM NFL (269) CAROLINA PANTHERS VS (270) OAKLAND RAIDERS (11/27 04:51 AM)

Take: (269) CAROLINA PANTHERS

Reason: I'm playing on CAROLINA 10* BEST BET. While I won with the Raiders last week, this is a tough spot for them. First of all, even though I had them, I don't mind saying that the were Raiders were a little fortunate to leave Mexico with a win and cover, as they didn't play particularly well for most of the game. Regardless, they're now playing on a short week after just having played outside the country, in a very difficult/challenging environment. They'll be facing a Carolina team which is desperate, talented and playing with extra rest, having played last Thursday. As of this writing, most shops have an O/U line of 49.5. With the Raiders just 1-10 ATS the last 11 times they played a home game with an O/U line of 49.5 or higher, I'm taking the points with Carolina.

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11/27 05:30 PM NFL (271) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS (272) DENVER BRONCOS (11/26 01:30 PM)

Take: (271) KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

Reason: I'm playing on KC 10* GOW. The road team won both meetings in this series last season. The Broncos won 31-24 at KC in September. Then, playing at Denver, the Chiefs returned the favor. Listed as +3.5 point underdogs, the Chiefs won by a score of 29-13. It was never close, as KC led 19-0 at halftime. While it was more the defense that won it, that was still a big win for Alex Smith as he'd previously had trouble beating Manning. Now 2-0 ATS their last two visits here. Smith and the Chiefs should feel right at home. The stats from both teams are very similar. The Broncos average 23.9 ppg, while KC averages 22.2. Both teams allow just under 19 ppg. KC allows 18.7, Denver allows 18.9. Even with a loss last week, the Chiefs are still 5-1 their last six games. That lone loss came by two points. While the Chiefs have allowed 19 or fewer points in four straight games the Broncos have allowed 19 or more in three straight, including 30 and 23 their last two. I'm taking the points.




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11/27 04:35 PM NHL (61) CALGARY FLAMES VS (62) PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (11/27 05:45 AM)
Take: (62) PHILADELPHIA FLYERS

Reason: I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA 8* PERS FAV. The home team won both meetings last season and I look for home ice to prove the difference in this one. The Flames, still playing without Goudreau, are averaging a mere 2.1 goals per game (28 shots) on the road. The Flyers fire 33 shots per game on home ice, averaging 3.2 goals here. Off b2b losses, look for the Flyers to be the hungrier team here and for them to ultimately come away with two points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SHARPEST EDGE SPORTS
NFL
San Francisco 49ers +9 – 1 Unit
Giants/Browns Under 45 – 1 Unit

NCAAM
Portland Pilots -1.5 – 3 Units
Gonzaga Bulldogs -4.5 – 2 Units
Florida Gators -3 – 1 Unit
UCLA Bruins -3.5 – 1 Unit
Eastern Washington Eagles +1 – 1 Unit

[Can'tPickAWinner]

mti 6pt teasers
4.5 buff-no
4 hou-no
4 hou-buff

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Scandaliato


2016 NFL PRO FOOTBALL:
NEW YORK JETS +8
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS +8(-120) buying the 1/2 point
CLEVELAND BROWNS +7
tennessee titans @ chicago bears UNDER 42
Current record: 48 wins - 41 losses - 5 pushes for +2.60 units
Current BEST BET record: 5 wins - 4 losses - 0 pushes for +0.60 units

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chuck Luck
Sunday sure thing Carolina

[Can'tPickAWinner]

nfac
cbb
500
cs northridge

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports bank
lock
oakland over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco

Cincinnati +3.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

Carolina Panthers +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

15* Bucs +5½