11-27-16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRAD POWERS
3-star (269/270) Carolina/OAKLAND OVER 49. 4:25pm ET.
2-star (267/268) Seattle/TAMPA BAY OVER 46. 4:05pm ET.


Opinion: (253) Tennessee -6 over CHICAGO. 1:00pm ET.
Opinion: (261/262) San Francisco/MIAMI OVER 46. 1:00pm ET.
Opinion: (262) MIAMI -7 over San Francisco. 1:00pm ET. Top opinion.
Opinion: (265) NY Giants -7 over CLEVELAND. 1:00pm ET.
Opinion: (271) Kansas City +3.5 over DENVER. 8:30pm ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik
Added
Giants/Browns o44.5
Jaguars/Bills o44

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Prediction machine ats


Carolina lock
Buffalo
Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Winners Circle

SUNDAY

NFL FOOTBALL

1000* Play Jacksonville +8.5 over Buffalo

Buffalo has lost 44 of the last 78 games against the spread after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games and they have lost 94 of the last 181 games against the spread coming off a win in their last game.

Extra NFL Football Plays

100* Play Kansas City +3.5 over Denver
100* Play Miami -7 over San Francisco
100* Play New York Jets +8 over New England

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NBA BASKETBALL

50* Play Philadelphia +12 over Cleveland

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NCAA BASKETBALL

50* Play Iowa State +4 over Gonzaga
50* Play Drexel +5 over LaSalle

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NHL HOCKEY

50* Play Edmonton -215 over Arizona

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WAYNE ROOT

MILL--Denver -
No Limit--Cleveland +
Perfect Play--New York Jets +
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Inner Circle--Tampa Bay +
We are watching Jameis Winston mature into a decent quarterback and it's showing in the win/loss column. Winston has made major progress in limiting his turnovers after throwing eight interceptions in the Buccaneers' first four games and a 1-3 start. He has thrown just two in the last six games, and the Buccaneers have gone 4-2 to claw back to a .500 record. The Bucs have to be rejuvenated. Tampa Bay is just one game behind Atlanta for the NFC South lead with six games to play and with a win today could move into a tie as Atlanta is playing Arizona. Seattle has a vulnerability against the run and will be without top safety Earl Thomas. The Seahawks are struggling with injuries at running back, getting starter Thomas Rawls back but with limited depth behind him. The Bucs are coming off an unexpected win in Kansas City as a important win moving forward. The Bucs certainly are capable of winning today, and for Seattle, travelling across the country is never easy. Tampa wins a close one today. Roberto Aguayo's late field goal is the difference. A win over Seattle makes the Buccaneers’ 2016 NFC Playoffs push a serious one. Seattle is coming off consecutive victories over Buffalo, New England, and Philadelphia and could be in for a less than stellar performance.
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Pinnacle--Arizona +
Did you realize that the Arizona Cardinals are playing great defense? But it's not showing in the win/loss column. When thinking of Zona, Carson Palmer and scoring comes to mind. But Palmer is struggling as are his wide receivers and running attack. The Cardinals get Tyrann Mathieu, their playmaking safety, back this week after he missed the last two games because of a shoulder subluxation. His addition could make the league's top-ranked defense, which is allowing a league-low 287.4 total yards per game as well as the fewest passing yards per game (190.2), that much more dangerous against Matt Ryan's Falcons' team. But Sunday may be just what is needed to get Palmer back on track. The Falcons are 31st against the pass and have yielded 23 touchdowns through the air, 30th in the NFL. The Cardinals are a heartbeat away from having any realistic chances at playoff contention so they have to stop QB Ryan. Pass rushers Chandler Jones, Markus Golden and Alex Okafor should be effective in their pass rush of Matt Ryan if the Cardinals are going to win. The Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games at home. On more relevant trend is that the Falcons are 1-6 SU in their last seven games as home favorites. Arizona has the talent to kick-start their sense of desperation and get the victory.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Northcoast
STAR RATED PLAYS:
GOM: 4* NY Giants -6.5 over Cleveland 1:00 pm
3* Baltimore -3.5 over Cincinnati 1:00 pm
3* Houston +2.5 over San Diego 1:00 pm

Top Opinions:
Sunday Night Marquee: UNDER 39 Kansas City / Denver 8:30pm NBC
Arizona +4.5/+4 over Atlanta 1:00 pm NFL Dog POD & comp on button 3
OVER 48.5 Carolina/Oakland 4:25 pm Afternoon Pro POD

Reg Opinions:
Miami -7.5 over San Francisco 1:00 pm NFL Chalk POD
OVER 45.5 Seattle/Tampa Bay 4:05 pm NFC POD
Jacksonville +9.5 over Buffalo 1:00 pm AFC POD

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lee Sterling

25* TEN Titans -6
20* BAL Ravens -3.5
30* U45.5 MIA/SF
25* KC Chiefs +3.5

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MTI

5 star GOY- NO/Rams OVER 45

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Pointwise Plays
Phil 3*
Arizona 4*
Tenn 4*
Kansas City 5*

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James Jones

2 Units: (259) Arizona Cardinals +5
2 Units: (274) New York Jets +8
2 Units: (272) Denver Broncos -3.5

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Goodfella

3* oak/ Car OVER

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Rocketman

6 star: New Orleans -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

(3% play) SAN DIEGO -2.5 -115 (at Houston) - 1:00 pm ET #251

San Diego is just 4-6 SU on the season, but the Chargers should have a much better record. Their first four losses all could have been wins, but they lost each one of those games late after having fourth quarter leads. San Diego has a huge scheduling advantage over Houston in this game. The Chargers come into this game fresh off their bye while the Texans will be playing on short rest after a game in Mexico on Monday night. San Diego’s offense is averaging 29.2 points per game on 5.9 yards per play versus defenses that allow just 23.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Chargers will take advantage of a Houston defense that was clearly gassed from the high altitude in Mexico City.

Houston comes into this game with a 6-4 SU record, but the Texans may not be as good as their record indicates. Houston’s offense is only averaging 18.1 points per game on 4.8 yards per play versus defenses that allow 22.2 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Five of Houston’s six wins this season have come 7 points or less, and that is a clear indication that the Texans are a mediocre team at best. Their defense has good seasonal numbers, but they’ve faced a weak slate of opposing offenses that only average 22.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. Houston’s defense is taking a big step-up in class against the potent San Diego offense. The Chargers are simply the better team, so we’ll lay the points in this game on Sunday afternoon.

Play CHARGERS (-) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) CAROLINA +3.5 -115 (at Oakland) - 4:25 pm ET #269

Carolina comes into this game with a 4-6 SU record, but the Panthers have been a much better team since their bye five weeks ago and they are now an underdog for the first time this season. Carolina has won three of their last four games with their lone loss coming by just 3 points to the Kansas City Chiefs. Overall, Carolina’s offense is averaging 24.4 points per game on 5.5 yards per play versus defenses that allow 23.5 points per game. On the road, the Panthers have been even better while averaging 26.0 points per game. Carolina will now face a poor Oakland defense that is giving up 28.0 points per game on a whopping 7.4 yards per play and 9.9 yards per pass at home this season.

Oakland is in a terrible scheduling spot for this game against Carolina. The Raiders will be playing on a short week after beating the Texans in Mexico on Monday night. Oakland was clearly a gassed team from the high altitude, and on short rest, we don’t expect the Raiders to be at their best in this game, especially since the Raiders went into their last game off a bye. Overall, Oakland’s offense has good seasonal numbers, but they will now face an improving Carolina defense that has held their last four opponents to 20 points or less. Carolina is catching Oakland at the perfect time, so we’ll take the Panthers plus the points in this game on Sunday afternoon.

Play PANTHERS (+) as a 3% play.

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(3% play) OVER 47 (Patriots/Jets) - 4:25 pm ET (time-change) #273

New England and New York match up well for a high-scoring game this afternoon. The Patriots have scored 23 points or more in nine of their ten games, and 30 points or more in five of their ten games this season. Overall, New England is averaging 27.1 points per game on 6.2 yards per play versus defenses that give up 22.6 points per game on 5.7 yards per play. The Patriots’ offense has been even better on the road where they are averaging 30.8 points per game on 6.3 yards per play. New England will now face a New York defense that is allowing 24.4 points per game on 5.7 yards per play versus offenses that only average only 20.9 points per game on 5.6 yards per play.

New York’s offense has struggled this season, but they’ve faced a tough slate of opposing defenses that only give up 20.8 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Jets come into this game fresh off their bye, so we expect a strong offensive performance this afternoon. New York will face a New England defense that has faced a terrible group of opposing offenses that only average 21.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play. The Jets’ offense is more than capable of scoring points as prior to their last game, they had scored 23 points or more in three consecutive games. Look for a high-scoring game between the Patriots and Jets on Sunday afternoon.

Play OVER (Patriots/Jets) as a 3% play.

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(additional opinion)

(1% opinion) DENVER -3.5 -105 (vs. Kansas City) - 8:30 pm ET (time-change) (NBC) #272

Kansas City comes into tonight’s game off a bad 19-17 home loss versus the Buccaneers last Sunday. The Chiefs were 7-point home favorites in that game, and their offensive struggles were on full display. Kansas City has scored 20 points or less in three consecutive games, and overall, the Chiefs are only averaging 22.2 points per game on 5.6 yards per play versus defenses that allow 25.1 points per game on 5.9 yards per play. Kansas City will now face a Denver defense that is only giving up 18.2 points per game on 4.9 yards per play at home this season.

Denver comes into this game fresh off their bye, so we expect a strong performance tonight. The Broncos have won three of their previous four games after losing back-to-back games prior to that. Denver has an exceptional defense as noted above. Overall, the Broncos are only giving up 18.9 points per game on 5.1 yards per play versus offenses that average 25.7 points per game on 5.8 yards per play. Kansas City will have trouble moving the ball consistently, so we’ll back Denver in this game on Sunday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Boston hoops
M-Flor
San Fran

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Bob Balfe
tn -6//chicago
nygiants 6-//clev
denver 3-//kc