If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -7½ -110 at BMaker
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -7.5)
Most are going to stay away from the Wildcats after failing to cover the spread in each of their first two games in the SEC Tournament, but I like the value here with Kentucky in the title game against the Razorbacks. Arkansas was no match for the Wildcats when these two met in the regular season, as Kentucky rolled to a 26-point win, nearly scoring 100 points (97). Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. The Wildcats have played much better now that the games mean something and I expect them to play their best with a SEC title on the line. Give me Kentucky -7.5!
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Rhode Island vs VCU
Play on: UNDER 134 -110
Rhode Island vs. VCU
Game# 883-884
Play On: Under 134.0 (5*)
Rhode Island has held opponents to less than 40% shooting during 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 11 games. The Rams also allowed a paltry 60 points or less during 5 of their previous 6 contests. VCU has made a miserable 23.7% of its 3-point attempts and went a less than inspiring 63.4% from the free throw line throughout their previous 5 games. These teams met once during the regular season, and Rhode Island came away with a 69-59 win. That contest easily went under the total of 139.0, both teams shot an awful 35%, and there was only a combined 102 field goal attempts taken. If not for both teams combining to go 51-69 (7.9%) from the free throw line, the contest would’ve been hard pressed to reach 110 points scored. I’ll go out on a limb, and predict that we won’t see anywhere close to a combined 69 free throws like we saw in the first meeting. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Kentucky
Play on: Arkansas +8½ -110 at GTBets
Game Analysis
Ricky Tran is recommending a 10* play (2% of bankroll) on Arkansas.
Here are 3 reasons why:
Kentucky Not Covering: The Wildcats have won 10 straight, but failed to cover in half of those games.
Defense: Arkansas has held teams to just 66 points per game at neutral sites this season.
Free Throws: The Razorbacks have hit over 80 percent from the free throw line in their last five games, 10 percent better than Kentucky during that same span.
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -8 -115 at betonline
Game Analysis
10* Kentucky (1:00 ET): Another lethargic start led to a "closer than it should have been" final for Kentucky yday against Alabama. The Wildcats, who are gunning for a third straight SEC Tournament Title here, shot 52 percent from the field in Saturday's semifinal. But despite going 13 of 17 over the final six minutes, they were just 69% from the FT line. Still, they never relinquished the lead over the final 17 minutes and here they are. Given that they were outrebounded, outscored in the paint (almost 2:1!) and -13 in bench points, perhaps it should be considered impressive that they won by any margin at all. I'm going to lay the points here as UK is fortunate not to draw Florida or even Vanderbilt in the Tournament Final. Rather, it's Arkansas, a team that's overvalued after a surprise blowout yday.
Arkansas routed Vanderbilt Saturday, 76-62 and they led by more than the final margin for much of the second half. It was an impressive win considering the Razorbacks were slight underdogs in the contest. But remember they were playing Vandy a day removed from an OT win that was a late finish. Here, they've got the shorter turnaround compared to the opponent. The Hogs also stand to gain little from an upset of UK. Their lot is cast as they figure to be a middle seed (8-10) in the Big Dance next week. I do not expect the Razorbacks to play as well today, especially when it comes to shooting the ball (were 48% vs. Vandy).
The Razorbacks' tempo proved to be way too much for a Vandy team that was not only off an OT game the day prior, but also playing its third game in as many days. Kentucky is a different story. The Wildcats have the SEC's best defense and had held their previous five opponents to an average of 63.9 PPG before Alabama. Overall, the 'Cats have won 10 straight. They crushed Arkansas in Lexington earlier in the year, winning 97-71 as 17.5-pt favorites. There was no meeting in Fayatteville. It sure does seem as if the oddsmakers have overadjusted the line based on the result of that first matchup. 10* Kentucky
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Kentucky
Play on: UNDER 157 -115
Game Analysis
15* Arkansas/Kentucky CBB Blue Chip Premium Play
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (ARKANSAS) - in a tournament game. This system is 304-178 (73%) against the total sicne 1997. BET THE UNDER!
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-B | Arkansas vs Kentucky
Play on: Arkansas +8½ -105 at BMaker
Game Analysis
KENTUCKY VS ARKANSAS
Kentucky has won 9 straight but have been struggling on offense. They average 86 points a game but haven't reached that in 10 of their last 11 games. They have been held below 80 points in 6 straight games and have won by 11 points or less in 8 of their last 9 games. Arkansas has won 3 straight games and 8 of their last 9 overall. They can probably match Kentucky on offense as they average 80 points a game and have gone over that average in 4 of their last 8 games. Their only loss in this stretch was against an excellent Florida team. They have won by double digits in 4 of their last 6 wins.
Comment