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4 Unit Play. Take #958 Milwaukee +100 over St. Louis (7:40p.m., Tuesday Aug 29)
What a great 2-game series in Milwaukee that starts tonight as both of these NL Central teams still have playoff hopes. The Brewers are at home and are coming off a weekend road series win against the Dodgers beating them 2 out of 3 games and tonight I see the Brewers winning against the Cardinals. St. Louis comes to Milwaukee dropping 6 out of their last 8 games and tonight I see the Brewers starter matt Garza having a quality start. Early this month Garza beat the Cardinals at home 2-1 and Garza has pitched well at home and again tonight he will provide the pitching while the Brew Crew bats score runs and win this home game. St. Louis is 10-21 against NL Central teams and the Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games. Last 6 meetings between these two teams the Brewers have won 5 games and the Cardinals continue to struggle on the road.
2-Unit Play. Take #951 Miami (+135) over Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
The Marlins got bombed yesterday. But I think that they have a great chance to rebound and get a win here. They've lost to the Nationals three straight times, but this has not been a one-sided series by any stretch of the imagination. The Marlins have been hot lately, going 13-4 in their last 17 games, and even though he has a 5.70 ERA on the season they are somehow 7-1 in Vance Worley's last eight starts. Worley has shut down the Nationals in his last two starts against them, giving up just one run and eight hits in 13 innings against them this month. I still absolutely refuse to buy into the Edwin Jackson resurgence and it is only a matter of time before this guy melts down. His strikeout numbers are going down, his walks and hits are going up, and he is going to come back down to earth at some point. I think this is good value on the hot Marlins.
3-Unit Play. Take #953 Atlanta (-105) over Philadelphia (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take #969 Boston (-1.5, -130) over Toronto (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
The season can't end fast enough for the Blue Jays. They are dusting Brett Anderson off and trotting him out there and this is Anderson's first start since May 6. Anderson posted a 8.18 ERA in his first six starts with the Cubs this year before they cut him loose. And if you go back to last year Anderson has given up four or more runs in six of his past 10 starts while posting a 10.00 ERA in those 10 outings. Anderson has failed to make it out of the third inning in half of those 10 starts; he has failed to make it two full innings in three of his last 10. Oh, and the Red Sox are going with Chris Sale. So yeah, we'll go with the Red Sox.
2-Unit Play. Take #972 Minnesota (-1.5, -120) over Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
The White Sox deserve credit for not completely mailing it in. The have won four of their last five and they just took three of five from the Twins in a series win last week. In fact, the White Sox have won or tied three straight series. However, I don't see them winning today. Ervin Santana has been rock solid for the Twins this year. And Minnesota will definitely want revenge after giving away that series in Chicago last week. Chicago is going with James Shields and he's gotten lit up most of this season while sporting a 5.62 ERA. Shields has given up fewer than three runs just one time in his last 10 starts. He hasn't pitched into the seventh in his last nine starts while giving up five or more runs four of nine times. It's not good. And I think the Twins will get their cuts in on him while seeing him for the second time in six days.
Today's Totals
7-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.0 (-105) L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (9:30 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
1-Unit Play. Take #962 Arizona (+115) over L.A. Dodgers (9:40 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
So, pretty much everything in this game is pointing toward the 'under'. These are two playoff teams with outstanding pitchers on the mound. It's an N.L. game so it should be lower scoring. Both teams have been dead 'under' plays and are coming off lower scoring series over the weekend. And the public, by a 3-to-1 count, is betting this one 'under'. The line even dropped from an open of 9.5 to 9.0 to accommodate the 'under' action. But we are going to go the other way and take a shot with the 'over'. The first reason is Rich Hill. The guy has been killing it this season. He's been awesome. But he is in a precarious situation here and in a killer letdown spot. Hill nearly threw a perfect game his last time out, going eight perfect innings. Not only did he lose his perfect game, but he also actually lost his no-hitter - and lost the game - in the 10th inning when the first hit he allowed was a walk-off home run. That one is brutal and could have lingering effects. On the other side is Zack Godley, who has also been quietly excellent this season. But some cracks are starting to show for Godley. He's given up 12 runs and 36 base runners in his last 23 innings (4.69) and he has 10 walks in last 16 innings. He has a 1.70 WHIP in his last three starts and has been skating by. The Dodgers just saw him on Aug. 8 and they have revenge after he beat them 6-3. Godley is trending downward. Hill is in a letdown spot. Both lineups are due to break out (Arizona rung up 11 in their last game), especially the Dodgers. And I think the public is going to take one on the chin here as this game tucks over with around 11 or 12 runs.
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.5 Miami at Washington (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Atlanta at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.0 San Francisco at San Diego (10 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 9.0 Cleveland at N.Y. Yankees (7 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29) ...................... NO PLAY
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Tampa Bay at Kansas City (8 p.m., Tuesday, Aug. 29)
Best pick:
(#953) Braves vs Phillies (Game Total: over 8½ -110)
Secondaries picks:
(#967) Mariners vs Orioles (Game Total 1st 5-innings: over 5-120)
(#977) Athletics vs Angels (Game Total 1st 5-innings: over 5½+100)
MARCO\\\\\\\\\\\\\\\'S MLB GAME OF THE WEEK
Game: (975) Tampa Bay Rays at (976) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2017 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Kansas City Royals -110
View Analysis
PLAY: (976) KANSAS CITY -110 (Westgate)
RATING: 4% PLAY
Last night we were all over Tampa Bay because of the scheduling situation and it paid huge dividends for us as they won 12-0 as our 5% Play. Tonight now we look to switch sides as now it’s game 2 of the series and teams who lose Game 1 of a home stand become strong plays in game 2. Tampa Bay will be facing Kansas City pitcher Jake Junis for the first time giving him an added advantage over the hitters. Junis has really found his groove as he has been razor sharp in his last 3 starts as he has a ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 0.82. His strikeout to walk ratio is 16-1 telling me he has had full command of all his pitches as he is fooling the hitters. Note that Tampa Bay won 12-0 yesterday and following a win by 4 runs or more this season Tampa Bay is just 4-15 in their next game. Remember yesterday was a huge negative for the Royals as they were returning home from a road trip and that huge series against Cleveland. Now the Royals snap out of their funk behind the pitching of Jake Junis. We are getting great line value here because of their 4 game losing streak. Kansas City should be -125 to -130 here. One last night note as a Home Favorite of -110 or more Kansas City is 87-47 the last 3 seasons. My numbers have Kansas City winning 5-3.
TAKE KANSAS CITY as MARCO’S 4% AMERICAN LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK
MARCO\\\'S LATE MONEY PLAY
Game: (957) St. Louis Cardinals at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Aug 29 2017 7:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 3%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -130
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