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Diamond Trends - Saturday
September 2, 2017
TOP SU TREND:
-- The Cubs are 11-0 since Jul 14, 2017 off a home game in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent.
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TOP OU TREND:
-- The Cardinals are 10-0 OU (3.95 ppg) since Aug 10, 2017 as a favorite after they used 5+ pitchers last game.
TOP STARTER TREND:
-- The Tigers are 0-10 since Jun 19, 2016 when Jordan Zimmermann starts as a dog after they scored first in his last start
TOP CHOICE TREND:
-- The Tigers are 0-15 since Sep 21, 2015 as a home dog off a home game in which they had fewer team-left-on-base than their opponent.Comment
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ATLANTA (59 - 74) at CHICAGO CUBS (74 - 60) - 2:20 PM
LUCAS SIMS (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LESTER is 95-39 (+33.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 67-81 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 21-16 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 61-84 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-60 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 895-815 (-158.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-30 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-50 (-24.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-62 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-35 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 112-104 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 822-771 (-157.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)
LUCAS SIMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
JON LESTER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
LESTER is 5-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.088.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)
LA DODGERS (92 - 41) at SAN DIEGO (59 - 75) - 3:40 PM
BROCK STEWART (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 119-116 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 30-37 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 79-84 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 59-75 (+1.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 35-32 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 44-48 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 77-91 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 45-37 (+17.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 92-41 (+29.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 64-27 (+22.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 51-15 (+24.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-3 (+3.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)
BROCK STEWART vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.
CLAYTON RICHARD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARD is 7-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.487.
His team's record is 13-8 (+9.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.3 units)
ST LOUIS (68 - 66) at SAN FRANCISCO (53 - 84) - 4:05 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 68-66 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 52-53 (-11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 76-76 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 79-68 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-84 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-61 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-37 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-29 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-59 (-28.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-48 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)
LANCE LYNN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LYNN is 1-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.548.
His team's record is 3-5 (-4.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.7 units)
CHRIS STRATTON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.
CINCINNATI (58 - 77) at PITTSBURGH (63 - 72) - 7:05 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 160-107 (+49.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
TAILLON is 16-3 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 61-71 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-51 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 424-396 (+48.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 63-72 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 73-74 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 4-13 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 92-115 (-36.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-53 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 105-126 (-33.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 67-87 (-26.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 32-37 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 10-4 (+8.2 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)
TYLER MAHLE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MAHLE is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
JAMESON TAILLON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
TAILLON is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.753.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.7 units)
PHILADELPHIA (51 - 83) at MIAMI (66 - 68) - 7:10 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-83 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-57 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-64 (-26.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 66-68 (+1.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 54-53 (+2.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 24-13 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
STRAILY is 33-25 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 20-10 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 17-8 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 19-13 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 393-352 (+47.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
MIAMI is 49-55 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-7 (+1.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)
AARON NOLA vs. MIAMI since 1997
NOLA is 1-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)
DANIEL STRAILY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
STRAILY is 3-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.544.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)
WASHINGTON (81 - 53) at MILWAUKEE (71 - 64) - 7:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-24 (-13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-59 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 71-64 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-40 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 56-51 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 37-32 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-19 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-8 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-26 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 56-27 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)
MAX SCHERZER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SCHERZER is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.85 and a WHIP of 0.872.
His team's record is 2-4 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)
BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.
ARIZONA (77 - 58) at COLORADO (72 - 62) - 8:10 PM
PAT CORBIN (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 72-62 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 40-27 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 29-22 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 21-15 (+8.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 34-27 (+7.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 27-23 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 77-58 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 32-23 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 55-38 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 58-44 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 46-30 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 24-16 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 7-6 (+0.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)
PAT CORBIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CORBIN is 5-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.409.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.8 units)
JON GRAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GRAY is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.528.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)
LA DODGERS (92 - 41) at SAN DIEGO (59 - 75) - 10:10 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. JORDAN LYLES (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 10-3 (+3.1 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)
YU DARVISH vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DARVISH is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)
JORDAN LYLES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LYLES is 0-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.86 and a WHIP of 1.709.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.7 units)
BOSTON (77 - 58) at NY YANKEES (71 - 63) - 1:05 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 38-37 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
POMERANZ is 10-23 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 42-23 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-18 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
POMERANZ is 11-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
POMERANZ is 12-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 71-63 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-8 (+2.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.4 Units)
DREW POMERANZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
POMERANZ is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)
MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. BOSTON since 1997
TANAKA is 6-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.029.
His team's record is 6-7 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.1 units)
CLEVELAND (78 - 56) at DETROIT (58 - 76) - 6:10 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 34-28 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 85-46 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 43-24 (+15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 47-20 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 58-76 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 229-240 (-59.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 33-55 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 39-58 (-17.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-8 (+0.8 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)
COREY KLUBER vs. DETROIT since 1997
KLUBER is 6-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 9-10 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-11. (-5.2 units)
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 11.42 and a WHIP of 1.903.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)
TORONTO (62 - 73) at BALTIMORE (69 - 66) - 7:05 PM
MARCUS STROMAN (R) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 62-73 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 25-35 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 11-17 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-19 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 24-35 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 35-49 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 11-21 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 23-38 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 68-66 (+0.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 22-14 (+7.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
BALTIMORE is 42-27 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 30-23 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 49-45 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 68-40 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-30 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 65-32 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILEY is 2-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 10-4 (+7.4 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.9 Units)
MARCUS STROMAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STROMAN is 3-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
WADE MILEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
MILEY is 2-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.65 and a WHIP of 1.510.
His team's record is 3-6 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)
TAMPA BAY (68 - 68) at CHI WHITE SOX (52 - 81) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. CARLOS RODON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 136-161 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARCHER is 26-35 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 16-23 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 27-23 (+15.7 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 25-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)
CHRIS ARCHER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ARCHER is 3-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.025.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.3 units)
CARLOS RODON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
RODON is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 7.71 and a WHIP of 1.713.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
KANSAS CITY (66 - 67) at MINNESOTA (70 - 64) - 7:10 PM
ONELKI GARCIA (L) vs. KYLE GIBSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-5 (+3.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)
ONELKI GARCIA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.
KYLE GIBSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GIBSON is 5-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 9-4 (+7.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.9 units)
LA ANGELS (69 - 66) at TEXAS (67 - 67) - 7:15 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. A.J. GRIFFIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 67-67 (+2.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 44-28 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 89-59 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 31-16 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 73-57 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 121-94 (+30.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 122-103 (+19.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 90-71 (+17.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-23 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 14-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
GRIFFIN is 24-12 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 13-2 (+11.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 30-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 18-6 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 30-13 (+16.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRIFFIN is 25-10 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 69-66 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 539-512 (+50.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 53-48 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 48-46 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 37-28 (+14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NOLASCO is 81-78 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 63-50 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 9-5 (+4.8 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)
RICKY NOLASCO vs. TEXAS since 1997
NOLASCO is 1-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 7.33 and a WHIP of 1.799.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)
A.J. GRIFFIN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
GRIFFIN is 4-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.085.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)
OAKLAND (58 - 76) at SEATTLE (67 - 68) - 9:10 PM
JHAREL COTTON (R) vs. YOVANI GALLARDO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 58-76 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-38 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 10-20 (-9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
OAKLAND is 21-45 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 21-36 (-11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 32-52 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 65-104 (-31.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 83-114 (-33.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COTTON is 1-8 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 41-21 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-8 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
SEATTLE is 32-34 (-15.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 115-114 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 127-145 (-56.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 622-575 (-101.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 51-61 (-27.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 8-6 (+0.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.8 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)
JHAREL COTTON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
COTTON is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.06 and a WHIP of 1.470.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)
YOVANI GALLARDO vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GALLARDO is 2-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 3-6 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)
NY METS (58 - 75) at HOUSTON (80 - 53) - 7:10 PM
SETH LUGO (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 58-75 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 46-55 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 13-37 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 39-18 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-32 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LUGO is 14-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 81-69 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-31 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 249-300 (-76.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 55-53 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
SETH LUGO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
BRAD PEACOCK vs. NY METS since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 0.93 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)
NY METS (58 - 75) at HOUSTON (80 - 53) - 2:10 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 58-75 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 12-27 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 46-55 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 13-37 (-24.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HARVEY is 11-19 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 14-27 (-17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 39-18 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-32 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 432-444 (+37.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
HOUSTON is 81-69 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-31 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 249-300 (-76.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
HOUSTON is 18-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
MORTON is 15-36 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MATT HARVEY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.
CHARLIE MORTON vs. NY METS since 1997
MORTON is 0-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.426.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Oakland +120 over SEATTLE
Jharel Cotton finally found his strikeout pitch in his last outing by whiffing nine Rangers (with 0 walks), after previously striking out more than five hitters in a game only once since May 9th. A 15% swing and miss rate in that last outing confirm he had good stuff so we’ll keep an eye out today to see if that was an isolated incident or the beginning of a strong season-finishing kick. We know for sure that Cotton has the ability to dominate because his filthy stuff has been on display before. Jharel Cotton is not the target here, as Yovani Gallardo remains high on our fade list priorities.
Gallardo has worked out of the rotation and out of the bullpen this year for a total of 25 appearances covering 123 innings. Last year, he appeared in 23 games over 118 innings but missed two months with a shoulder injury after a rough April. Things hardly improved upon his return and nothing has changed this year. In fact, it’s getting worse while the innings increase. This year, Gallardo has posted career-worst command with a vile BB/K split of 56/90 over 123 frames. He’s also posted the worst skills and xERA of his career while his 53% first-pitch strike rate continues to speak to his strained relationship with the strike zone. The pitcher you remember from 2009-12 no longer exists and it’s not getting any better. This is one of baseball’s riskiest favorites that must be faded because his chances of losing are greater than his chances of winning every time he’s handed the ball.
Cincinnati +134 over PITTSBURGH
Jameson Taillon was very high on our radar for the first four months of the season and he delivered the goods for us but things turned sour for him about a month ago, which was about the time we started fading him. Taillon is running out of gas, which is evident throughout his profile. He’s walking more batters, he’s striking out less, his swinging strike rate is down to 8% over his last five starts and he’s been downright awful against left-handed bats. Taillon’s xERA since the beginning of August covering five starts is 8.15 and most of that can be attributed to 15 walks over his past 28 frames with a brutal line-drive rate of 30%. Taillon is a big-time risk spotting a price and he’ll now face a hot-hitting Reds’ squad that will see him for the third time in less than a month. Incidentally, he was blown up by Cinci in the first game. Taillon managed to hold the Reds to one run in a rematch in his last start but still labored through 108 pitches in just four innings in that effort and was extremely lucky to not give up a crooked number.
Tyler Mahle made his debut last week and took the loss after giving up three earned runs in five frames for an ERA of 5.40. That’s what the market sees but we see so much more. Mahle had a 64% groundball rate in his first start to go along with 5 K’s in 5 innings and a 13% swing and miss rate. The problem was that he walked four batters otherwise he would’ve thrown a gem. The good news is that walking batters is not a characteristic of this starter. He only walked 1.9 batters per nine over his minor league career. His advanced pitchability and knack for keeping hitters off-guard by changing speeds have made him difficult to hit. Mahle commands and controls his 89-95 mph fastball extremely well and is able to spot it impeccably to both sides of the plate. We watched and liked his debut very much and made note of it. Now that his feet are wet and the nerves settled, expect even better things out of this starter today. Nice overlay here.
Arizona -1½ +200 over COLORADO
We’re not going to go into a lot of details here regarding the pitchers because it matters not when playing at Coors Field. We are going to commit to playing the underdog all season long at Coors Field on the ALTERNATIVE run line. What that means is that we are playing the remainder of Colorado’s home games this season and we’ll be playing the underdog in each game, whether it’s the Rocks or the opposition and we’ll be playing it regardless of who’s pitching. We’re suggesting that this wager has nothing but big profits in store. With totals being in the 10 to 12½ range daily at this venue, far more games are decided by two runs or more than one run and the underdog wins just as much as the favorite. The pitching matchups rarely matter because even the best get rocked at this park. We’ll keep a running record on this angle all season long.
Year to date:
22-37 + 22.75 units
SAN FRAN +129 over St. Louis
Matt Cain gets bumped to the bullpen and the beneficiary of that is Chris Stratton, who has made five starts since Cain’s demotion. Giants’ manager Bruce Bochy said that Stratton won't be a one-time deal either, meaning the rotation spot is his for the rest of the year with a chance to stick next year too. In his last start at Arizona against the Snakes respected lineup, Stratton three a six-inning, four-hit, two earned runs beauty. Two starts ago against Washington, Stratton struck out 10 batters, walked just one and allowed a mere six baserunners in 6.2 innings of work. He now has 33 K’s in 38 innings this year.
We can’t say just yet if his early results are a fluke or not. What we can say is that Stratton didn’t get overly lucky to get these results, as his fastball command has been on point with a curveball that has induced plenty of bad swings (19.2%). His slider and change hint at upside, though it would be asking a lot for Stratton to touch his ceiling with at least three of his pitches all working on a given night. He does have a four-pitch arsenal and even if he doesn’t pitch at his best, Stratton should be heavily considered here because he was a high prospect back in 2012 and has a 14% swing and miss rate since he returned.
As the calendar turns to the final month of the season, beware of teams playing the spoiler role, especially underachieving clubs like the Giants. San Fran finally has something to play for and that is to spoil the dreams of teams’ thinking about the post-season. Furthermore, our continued attack on Lance Lynn is not about to stop here.
Lynn has a 3.14 ERA this year after 27 starts. He also has a 3.40 ERA on the road after 14 starts. Over his last three starts, Lynn is 0-0 with an ERA of 3.22. All of that looks sweet on paper and so this market is going to pay dearly to back Lynn’s surface stats but we promise you that ALL OF IT, the overall ERA, the road ERA and his ERA over his last three starts is all a massive fluke. Lance Lynn has been riding a wave of extreme good fortune this entire season and at some point it’s going to catch up to him. Lynn’s swing and miss rate since the beginning of July is 5%. His first-pitch strike rate this year is 51%. Over his last five starts covering 31 innings, Lynn has walked 15 and posted a WHIP of 1.70. Lynn comes in with the highest strand rate in MLB at 86.4%. He also comes in with the lowest BABIP (Batting Average of Balls in Play) among all starters today at .234. His xERA since the beginning of July is 6.22 and yet here he is, priced like he’s pitching like Carlos Martinez when in fact, he’s pitching more like Matt Cain. Lance Lynn is not the worst starter in baseball by any stretch but he is without question one of MLB’s luckiest and most overpriced pitchers and must be faded when he’s road chalk.Comment
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Larry Ness
Oakland vs. Seattle
Pick: Seattle -130
The Mariners entered their five-game slide last night, edging the A's 3-2. Seattle needs a sweep here against the the sad-sack A's, as the team's recent struggles has left them 4 1/2 games back of the Twins for the second wild card in the American League, as well as dealing with the fact that there were four other teams between them and Minnesota. Seattle.
Mike Leake picked up the win in his debut for the team after being acquired from St. Louis earlier in the week (7 IP / 2 ERs) but the struggling Yovani Gallardo (5-10, 5.78 ERA) takes the mound tonight for the host Mariners, opposed by Oakland rookie Jharel Cotton (7-10, 5.40 ERA), Seattle was hoping that in signing Gallardo in the off-season, that he'd somehow regain the form he showed for the Brewers when he won a minimum of 12 games and a maximum of 17, in a five-year stretch from 2009-13 (72 total wins). However, that hasn't been the case. Gallardo just finished August 0-3 (7.46 ERA) in five starts with Seattle winning once. He owns a 1.50 WHIP and .270 BAA to go along with a 5.78 ERA on the season with just five wins in 25 appearances (21 starts).
Cotton allowed two runs over 6.2 innings in a 3-2 win at Houston back on Aug. 20 and then limited Texas to two runs (one earned) while matching a career high with nine strikeouts in an 8-3 victory seven days later. Cotton now hopes to win three straight starts for the first time in his major-league career. This rookie has faced the Mariners at home twice this season, giving up two runs in a 4-3 win on April 22 before getting tagged for six runs and eight hits, including three HRs, in a 6-3 loss on Aug. 9.
Gallardo entered the 2017 season with an 0-5 career record against Oakland but he is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA in four starts against them here in 2017 (Seattle is 3-1). That's enough for me to back the Mariners here, as 58-76 Oakland is not only tied with Detroit for the AL's second-worst record (White Sox are dead-last at 52-81), the A's are a woeful 21-45 away from home on the season, while getting outscored 5.27-to-3.86 RPG.Comment
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The Real Animal
Ball State +6
Illinois is still in rebuilding mode with Coach Lovie Smith. The Illini has endured five consecutive losing seasons including 3-9 last year. They are 7-9 ATS the past five seasons as a home favorite. The secondary is in shambles with senior corner Jaylen Dunlap expected to miss and safety Patrick Nelson nursing a shoulder injury. QB Chayce Crouch has limited experience throwing for 249 yards in four appearances. Illinois averaged just 19.7 points per game in 2016 and were shutout by Iowa 28-0 in their last home appearance. Ball State QB Riley Neal had 29 touchdown passes and over 4,800 yards in the air last season. Ball State was 5-0 ATS last year as a road underdog and has covered 17 of 24 when catching points. Illinois has cashed just two times in their last dozen when giving up 11 points or fewer at home. Ball State showed improvement under 1st-year coach Mike Neu last season. They were +78 yards per game on offense and -47 yards on defense compared to 2015. Ball State easily has the best running back on the field with James Gilbert coming off 1,332 yards last season. I think the Cardinals stay in the hunt.Comment
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CHIP CHIRIMBES
Florida State vs. Alabama
Play: Florida State +7.5
It what is the biggest opener in college football this season two potential National Championship contenders will knock helmets in Atlanta. Alabama has one four NCAA titles under Nick Saban but lost in the Final 35-31 to Clemson last time out, they also lost a number of their top defensive players to the NFL and lost one of their returning defensive players to a gun shot wound last week. Florida State under Jimbo Fisher has notched a National Championship of their own and will have the best payer on the field in quarterback Deondre Francois. The Seminoles are 9-1 against the SEC under Fisher but Alabama leads the series 2-1-1 with State winning the last meeting 21-14 in 2007Comment
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OC Dooley
UMass -2.5
Massachusetts has won 3-or-less games with their current head coach each of the past three seasons so the fact that they have gone from an underdog (on the opening offshore line) to favored status speaks volumes. The Minutemen do have the advantage of playing an "extra" game in what resulted in a 38-35 loss at home last week where they also were favored. Coastal Carolina has enjoyed much success in Division I-AA but the jury is still out as to how they will perform at the I-A levelComment
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Carmine Bianco
Orlando City SC at New England
Play: New England -0.5 -148
Tough not to go against a Orlando City SC side that haven't won since 8 games back 1-0 at Real Salt Lake and this season have only picked up 9 of a possible 36 on the road. They face a Revs side who much like themselves are hanging on to a slim hope of making the playoffs but have played well at home where they've picked up 26 of their 29 points this season and have won 3 straight and back to back clean sheets. Against an OCSC with some bodies missing today we'll take the Rev to win.Comment
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Wunderdog
Oakland @ Seattle
Pick: Seattle -130
Seattle defeated the Athletics 3-2 Friday night as Mike Leake got his first win since coming over to the Mariners. Yovani Gallardo goes tonight and he is 2-0 against Oakland this season while allowing seven runs in 21 1/3 innings and a .192 batting against average. Jharel Cotton is 7-10 with a 5.40 ERA and the right-hander is 1-7 with a 7.40 ERA in night games this year. Cotton has faced the Mariners twice and gave up eight runs on 14 hits in 12 innings and Seattle hitters are batting .292 against him this season. Last-place Oakland has lost four in a row and 43 of its last 61 road games. Also, the Athletics have lost 59 of their last 87 division games and their last four against Seattle. The Mariners have won seven of their last nine versus teams with losing records.Comment
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Bruce Marshall
Reds at Pirates
Pick: Reds
Based upon recent performances, not sure why the Reds are such an underdog tonight at Pittsburgh. The Bucs are reeling and looking as if they have thrown in the towel this season, and unlikely to get much relief from starter Jameson Taillon, who has walked 12 batters and allowed 17 hits and ten runs over just 14 IP in his last three starts. Meanwhile, Tyler Mahle showed promise in his first start for the Reds last Sunday vs. these same Bucs.Comment
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