Saturday 9-9-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[New York Knight]

Calgary Stampeders (8-1-1 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) vs. Edmonton Eskimos (7-3 SU, 3-7 ATS)



Point-spread: Calgary -6
Total: 56

Game Overview
Calgary continued to assert itself as the top team in the CFL with Monday’s victory. It was the Stampeders’ sixth SU win in a row while going a very profitable 5-0-1 ATS. The total went OVER the closing 55-point line against the Eskimos and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games. While Calgary’s offense has averaged 35.7 PPG during this winning streak, the defense has held opposing teams to fewer than 20 points in five of the six games.

The Eskimos’ current slide has reached three games both SU and ATS following an impressive SU seven-game winning streak to start the season. Edmonton has been a tough team to bet on all season long and it is 1-4 ATS in five previous home games this season. Mike Reilly completed 34 of his 53 passing attempts for 320 yards and two touchdowns in Monday’s losing cause, but he also tossed two interceptions to raise his total to nine on the year.

Betting Trends
The Stampeders have now won the last three meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in the last four games between these two bitter West Division rivals.

[New York Knight]

CFL Trends

SASKATCHEWAN @ WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


HAMILTON @ OTTAWA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton


CALGARY @ EDMONTON
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Calgary is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Edmonton's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary

[New York Knight]

Saskatchewan (5-4) @ Winnipeg (7-3)

Roughriders ended Winnipeg’s 5-game win streak with a 38-24 home win last week. Saskatchewan won its last three games, scoring 41-54-38 points after a 2-4 start- they lost 43-40 at home to Bombers earlier this season. Riders are 1-3 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog; under is 3-1 in their road games. Winnipeg is 3-1 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite; seven of their last eight games went over. Blue Bombers have scored 33+ points in 8 of their 10 games this season. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

[New York Knight]

Hamilton (1-8) @ Ottawa (4-6-1)

Short week for Tiger-Cats, who upset Toronto Monday for their first win of season. Hamilton is 0-4 on road, 1-3 as road underdogs; three of those four games went over total. Ottawa won its last three games after a 1-6-1 start; RedBlacks are 2-3-1 at home, 2-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-1-2 in their last nine games. Ti-Cats lost 37-18 at home to Ottawa three weeks ago; RedBlacks won five of last six series games- over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hamilton split its four visits here.

[New York Knight]

Edmonton (7-3) @ Calgary (8-1-1)

Eskimos allowed 33-54-39 points in losing last three games after a 7-0 start that included five wins by 5 or less points. Edmonton is 3-2 on road, 2-2 vs spread as an underdog; over is 6-1 in their last seven games, 3-2 in their home games. Calgary is 15-3 in its last 18 series games, with last four games going over the total. Calgary won/covered its last six games; they’re 3-1-1 on road, 3-2 as road favorites. Over is 3-2 in their road games. Short week for both teams after Calgary beat Eskimos 39-18 at home on Labor Day.

[New York Knight]

CFL Betting Trends

SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 4) at WINNIPEG (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 3:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 131-95 ATS (+26.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ________________________

HAMILTON (1 - 8 ) at OTTAWA (4 - 6 - 1) - 9/9/2017, 6:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 5-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 5-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ________________________

CALGARY (8 - 1 - 1) at EDMONTON (7 - 3) - 9/9/2017, 9:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 127-93 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
CALGARY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

NCAAF's Biggest Betting Mismatches: Week 2



Auburn Tigers at Clemson Tigers (-5.5, 53.5)
Jarrett Stidham's turnover troubles vs. Clemson's vaunted pass rush

One of this week's marquee matchups is an all-tabby affair, with Auburn and Clemson both coming off eerily similar victories in their respective openers. Auburn steamrolled Georgia Southern 41-7, limiting the overmatched Eagles to just 78 total yards - including a scant eight passing yards. Clemson was even more impressive in its opener, holding Kent State to one yard through the air en route to a 56-3 drubbing of the visiting Golden Flashes.

If there's one thing Auburn will need to improve heading into this week's difficult test, it's their turnover game. The Tigers coughed the ball up three times in their season-opening victory; quarterback Jarrett Stidham was the biggest culprit, throwing an interception and losing one of his two fumbles. It may have just been a combination of rust and jitters for Stidham, who was playing his first collegiate game since 2015 - but two turnovers against a weak opponent is still cause for concern.

Auburn, which turned the ball over three times as a team and fumbled four times overall, will need to be much more careful against a Clemson defensive unit that has been one of the best in the nation at pressuring the quarterback in recent years. The Tigers ranked 12th in Division I in sack percentage a season ago, and second overall in 2015. Experts believe this roster might be even better - which could mean very bad things for Stidham and the rest of the Clemson offense.

Oklahoma Sooners at Ohio State Buckeyes (-7.5, 64.5)
Sooners' surgical passing vs. Buckeyes' shaky first-half D

Expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this one as the Sooners and Buckeyes do battle at Ohio Stadium on Saturday night. As expected, both teams are coming off one-sided victories in their respective curtain raisers, with Oklahoma crushing Texas-El Paso 56-7 and Ohio State cruising to a 49-21 triumph over Indiana. But the Buckeyes had a little more work to do in their opener, and that could foretell some problems against a truly dominant Oklahoma passing game.

Sure, it was a home game against a lowly Conference USA opponent, but completing 32 of 36 passes is an impressive achievement no matter the opponent. Sooners starter and Heisman Trophy candidate Baker Mayfield was truly surgical in the opener, misfiring on just one of his 20 pass attempts while finishing with 329 yards and three touchdowns. Backups Kyler Murray (10-for-11) and Tanner Schafer (3-for-5) were also impressive as Oklahoma did whatever it wanted on the offensive end.

Contrast that with a rough first half for Ohio State, which actually trailed 14-13 at the half before putting its foot on the gas over the final 30 minutes. A Buckeyes pass defense that allowed the third-lowest opponent quarterback rating in the nation a year ago looked flat-footed against Indiana, allowing the Hoosiers to rack up 420 yards through the air (albeit on 68 pass attempts) and seven pass plays of 16+ yards in the first half alone. A much better effort will be required Saturday against a red-hot Mayfield.

Georgia Bulldogs at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-4.5, 55.5)
Georgia's rush D woes vs. Notre Dame's pounding ground attack

There are major concerns in Athens after starting quarterback Nick Eason suffered a sprained knee ligament in the Bulldogs' season-opening triumph over Appalachian State. Jake Fromm will make his first career start against Notre Dame this weekend after asserting himself well in relief last week. But there are bigger concerns with the Bulldogs - primarily, how are they going to slow down a Fighting Irish run game that dominated last week against Temple?

Last week's out come was never in doubt, as the Bulldogs scored the first 31 points of the game and then coasted to the finish. But permitting 4.3 yards per carry on 32 attempts against Appalachian State is a troubling development - and one that has carried over from last season, with Georgia allowing an average of 225.7 rushing yards over its final three games of 2016. With the Bulldogs now facing the toughest schedule in the nation based on the Football Power Index, that run defense had better improve in a hurry.

The Fighting Irish will be more than happy to provide a stiff test in that department. Notre Dame ran roughshod over the Owls last week, racking up 422 rushing yards on 44 attempts for an absurd 9.6 YPC average. Three players finished with more than 100 yards on the ground; it's believed to be the first time in school history that has happened. The Irish were a below-average rushing team in 2016, but did finish the season averaging better than 200 yards on the ground over their final three games.

Stanford Cardinal at USC Trojans (-6.5, 56)
Bryce Love's Heisman skill set vs. USC's ineffective 2-4-5

The big matchup out West this weekend pits the Trojans against the Cardinal in their annual early-season tilt. Both teams prevailed to open the year, with Stanford laying a 62-7 beating on Rice and USC using a big fourth quarter to subdue Western Michigan 49-31. The Cardinal rocked the Trojans for more than 300 yards on the ground in their 27-10 victory last season - and if last week is any indication, USC might find itself on the wrong end of another virtuoso rushing performance.

With Christian McCaffrey now property of the NFL's Carolina Panthers, there were questions about how Bryce Love would fare as the Cardinal's new full-time lead back. Those questions were effectively answered last week, as Love rumbled for 180 yards and a touchdown on just 13 carries in the one-sided win over Rice. Love came into the year averaging better than seven yards per carry on 141 collegiate attempts, so it wasn't like he was a great unknown.

Love and the Cardinal should have a decided advantage on the ground against a Trojans defense that was gashed for 263 rushing yards by a plucky Western Michigan side. USC rolled with a 2-4-5 defensive alignment, and that gave the Broncos plenty of room to roam; LeVante Bellamy gained 102 yards on just nine attempts, while Jamauri Bogan added 77 yards and a score. If USC doesn't close those gaps, Love is going to pad his Heisman resume in a major way Saturday night.

[New York Knight]

CFB Week 2 Notes:



Oregon players went toward Pacific coast to practice this week after air in Eugene was affected by wildfires in that area. Ducks (+3) lost 35-32 in Lincoln LY, despite rushing for 336 yards- since 2015, they are 3-10 vs spread at home. Since ’13, Nebraska is 12-6-1 vs spread in road games; Cornhuskers allowed 415 passing yards in surprisingly tough 43-36 home win over Arkansas St. last week. ASU outgained Nebraska 497-463. Last 4+ years, Big 14 teams are 15-10-1 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent, but only 4-6 when favored- underdogs were 17-8-1 vs spread in those games.

Louisville/North Carolina are meeting for first time as ACC rivals; Cardinals won three of last four meetings (last one was in ’12). Louisville outgained Purdue 524-344 LW but struggled to a 35-28 (-26) win in Hoosier Dome. Cardinals are 10-7 vs spread on road under Petrino, 7-5 as a road favorite; they’ve got a great QB (Jackson) but only three other returning starters on offense. North Carolina lost 35-30 (-12.5) at home to Cal last week; Tar Heels allowed 363 passing yards. UNC is 19-12 vs spread at home under Fedora.

Iowa won three of last four games with Iowa State, winning 31-17/27-21 in last two visits to Ames. Iowa averaged 34.5 pts/game in their last four games at ISU. Hawkeyes shut down Wyoming 24-3 LW but gained only 263 yards themselves- they are 16-4 vs spread in last 20 road games, covering 11 of last 12 tries as a road favorite. Cyclones beat a I-AA team last week; State was 4-1 as a home dog LY, in Campbell’s 1st year as ISU’s coach. Iowa’s OL has 99 returning starts, State only 35. Since 2011, Big X teams are 10-9 vs spread when facing a Big 14 opponent.

Pittsburgh (-5) beat Penn State 42-39 last year; Pitt ran the ball for 341 yards in former rivals’ first meeting since 2000. Panthers needed OT to beat I-AA Youngstown 28-21 LW, after blowing a 21-0 halftime lead. Nittany Lions crushed Akron 52-0 LW, running ball for 247 yards- since ’14 they’re 10-6 vs spread as a home favorite. Since ’15, Pitt is 6-3 vs spread as a road underdog; they’re 3-12 vs spread in last 15 non-league games. ACC teams won 8 of last 10 games vs Big 14 foes (6-4 vs spread). Both teams have experienced offensive lines.

Arkansas (+7.5) won 41-38 at TCU LY, teams’ first meeting in 20+ years. Frogs outgained the Hogs 572-403 but were -2 in turnovers in game Arkansas led 13-0 at the half. Since 2014, TCU is 7-5 vs spread in non-league games; since 2011, they’re 5-13 as a road favorite. 9 of Horned Frogs’ top 10 OL guys are back from LY. Arkansas is 6-8 vs spread in last 14 home games; they’re 6-6 as a home dog under Bielema. Razorbacks have 70 starts back on OL. both teams have senior QB’s. Last three years, Big X teams are 9-7 vs spread when facing an SEC squad.

South Carolina was outgained 504-246 last week but they beat NC State 35-28; Gamecocks ran kick back for a TD- since 2013, Carolina is 7-13 vs spread in true road games- they’ve got 98 starts back on OL and have an impressive sophomore QB in Bentley. Problem is, NC State threw for 415 yards against them LW. Missouri gained 815 TY LW in 72-43 win over a I-AA team- game was 48-35 at half. Mizzou covered five of last seven home games. Teams split last four meetings. Both teams have 10 returning starters on offense.

Clemson (-9) held off Auburn 19-13 LY, outgaining War Eagles 399-262, holding Auburn to 87 rushing yards. Since 2014, Auburn is 4-8 vs spread on road; Baylor transfer Stidham gets his first big test as Auburn’s QB- his OL has 106 returning starts. Clemson has a new QB; they thrashed Kent State LW, but Kent threw only 5 passes the whole game, so Clemson’s pass defense is an unknown. Since 2013, Clemson is 15-12-1 vs spread at home. Since 2015, ACC teams are 15-11 vs spread won facing an SEC opponent.

Georgia’s starting QB Eason sprained his knee last week; true freshman Fromm gets his first college start here— he was 10-15/143 against Appalachian State LW. Since 2014, Dawgs are 7-5 vs spread on road; their OL has only 45 returning starts, but they’ve got 10 returning starters on defense. Since 2013, Notre Dame is 8-10 vs spread as a home favorite; Irish have 15 starters back- their OL has 76 returning starts. ND beat rebuilding Temple 49-16 LW, running ball for 422 yards- their QB and two RB’s all had 100+ yards on the ground.

Ohio State (-1) went to Norman LY and beat Oklahoma 45-24, running ball for 291 yards; they were +2 in turnovers. Buckeyes were down in 3rd quarter at Indiana LW but won going away, 49-21; they’re 17-19 vs spread as home favorites under Meyer. OSU has a senior QB and 15 returning starters. Since 2012, Oklahoma is 15-10 vs spread on road; they’re 4-2 as a road underdog the last 10 years. Sooners have a new coach, but a senior QB and 97 retiring starts on their OL. Indiana threw for 420 yards LW; can Mayfield pull the road upset?

Memphis/Central Florida both have offensive lines with 100+ returning starts; Tigers won opener 37-29 in quagmire LW, so stats are misleading. Memphis is 5-2-1 in last eight games as a road underdog. Since 2010, Knights are 24-14 vs spread as a home favorite; they passed for 439 yards LW in easy win over FIU. UCF won its last nine games with Memphis, but covered only one of last four; teams haven’t met since 2013— Memphis has gotten good since then, but they’re still 0-4 in last four trips to UCF (0-4 vs spread).

Stanford won its last three games with USC, by 19-10-17 points; underdogs are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Cardinal won four of last five games in the Coliseum. Stanford is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 true road games; they were in Australia two weeks ago, crushing Rice 62-7- they’ve got 8 starters back on both sides of the ball. USC was tied with Western Michigan in 4th quarter LW, pulled away late for 49-31 win. Since 2011, Trojans are 23-11 as home favorites; since ’14, they’re 13-6 vs spread at home.

Utah won its last six games with BYU; they were underdog in three of those games- their last four series wins were all by 7 or less points. Utes are 12-5 vs spread in last 17 true road games. BYU is 13-11-1 vs spread at home; they didn’t cross the 50-yard line in ugly 27-0 loss to LSU in New Orleans last week. Utes won last two visits to Provo, 20-13/34-10. This is intense rivalry that had a 2-year gap in it- this is Utes’ first visit to BYU since 2013- underdogs covered six of last seven series games. BYU is 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine games as an underdog.
Boise State (-11) beat Washington State 31-28 LY, despite Coogs passing for 480 yards; Boise is 11-6 vs spread on road under Harsin- they’re 9-6 vs spread in last 15 non-league games. Wazzu is 8-5 vs spread in its last 13 home games; they’ve got 16 starters back and Falk is a really good senior QB (29 starts). Boise State (-11) got past Troy State 24-13 LW; Coogs drilled an inferior I-AA opponent. Last 2+ years, Pac-12 schools are 15-9-1 vs spread when playing a Mountain West opponent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque

Albuquerque - Race 6

Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta


Claiming $6,250 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $8,800 • Post: 3:35P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FIRST PRIZE DESIRIO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TELLERS FLY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style desi gnation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PAINTTHISROYALWAGON: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GREEN EYE GIRL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing.
2
FIRST PRIZE DESIRIO
4/1

5/1
7
TELLERS FLY
6/1

5/1
5
PAINTTHISROYALWAGON
3/1

8/1
1
GREEN EYE GIRL
12/1

8/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 98

MANITOBA MATRON S. - FILLIES AND MARES, 3-YEAR-OLDS & UPWARD. WEIGHTS: 3-YEAR-OLDS, 117 LBS. OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $12,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED IN 2017, ALLOWED 5 LBS. FEES: $50 TO NOMINATE - $225 TO ENTER - $225 TO START.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 WITT'S TOWN 9/2

# 4 C J'S FLAIR 8/5

# 3 GOLD N SOCHI 12/1

WITT'S TOWN could be the wager in here. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong speed figures (99 average) at today's distance and surface recently. This racer has some longshot angles going for her. Should keep the good string of finishes intact this time out. C J'S FLAIR - Always seems to be close at the finishing post. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 84 speed figure which is one of the most respectable in this group. GOLD N SOCHI - With a nice Equibase class rating average of 87, has one of the most competitive class advantages in this group of horses in this race. Vaunts solid speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of animals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Seattle Slew Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#4 SECURITIZ
#6 FAR FROM OVER
#3 CONQUEST WINDYCITY
#1 BACKSIDEOFTHEMOON

The race honors the incredible career of Seattle Slew who won the Triple Crown in 1977the tenth of twelve horses to accomplish the feat. He is the only horse to have won the Triple Crown while having been undefeated in any race previous. In the Blood-Horse magazine List of the Top 100 U.S. Racehorses of the 20th Century Seattle Slew was ranked ninth. Joe Hirsch of the Daily Racing Form wrote: "Every time he ran he was an odds-on favorite, and the response to his presence on the racetrack, either for a morning workout or a major race, was electric. 'Slewmania' was a virulent and widespread condition." In this year's edition of The Slew, which is just the 2nd running of this stakes test, #4 SECURITIZ, a 5-1 shot, drops in class (-2) and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five outings, The morning line favorite is #6 FAR FROM OVER who has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his 4th and 5th races back. Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Todd Pletcher send him to the post for the "Saturday Feature" ... they've hit the board with 56% of more than 150 entries saddled as a team to date.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Maiden - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 MISTER NOLEN 12/1

# 10 DASHING RED LEXUS 6/1

# 9 TF DASHIN AND FLYIN 8/1

MISTER NOLEN is the most competitive wager in this contest and is a competitive value-based wager given the 12/1 line. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the lead recently. This gelding could improve with second time Lasix. This gelding looks very good for this race since Jeane has a sharp win percentage with horses going this distance. DASHING RED LEXUS - Overall the speed figures of this pony look quite good in this race. He has decent class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be given consideration for this event. TF DASHIN AND FLYIN - Must be carefully examined as he drops to compete against this less demanding lot. Might go off at a big price and has some positive angles going for him.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #6 - Post: 8:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,100 Class Rating: 53

Rating: 4

#4 SHE LOVES LEATHER (ML=3/1)
#2 TIZ A GOOD LIFE (ML=8/1)


SHE LOVES LEATHER - After the race aboard this animal on August 19th, the jockey is going to know the filly much better. Looking at the information on all of these ponies, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a serious look at this horse. Ran a winning race August 19th, but just couldn't haul in the winner. This filly is in good condition. Finished second on Aug 19th. Taking a trip down the class ladder; has the ability to make her presence felt. TIZ A GOOD LIFE - This fine animal should be thundering in the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ISLAND SUNRISE (ML=7/2), #7 GETWITHIT (ML=4/1), #8 MAIN LINE PHILLY (ML=4/1),

ISLAND SUNRISE - Hard to bet on any animal to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the risk. No triumphs for this runner at Penn National. GETWITHIT - Not much value on this one at the probable odds of 4/1. MAIN LINE PHILLY - You believe this animal is going to win today just because she's always close. Just doesn't win often. More than enough races at Penn National with no sojourns to the victory podium.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SHE LOVES LEATHER - Playing the top earnings per start horse is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 SHE LOVES LEATHER on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Prairie Meadows

Prairie Meadows - Race 1

Win, Place, Show (17% Takeout), Exacta, Quinella, .10 Superfecta Daily Double (20% Takeout), .50 Trifecta (23% Takeout), .50 Pick 3 (19% Takeout)


Claiming $12,500 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WHOO DAT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PERRYS GLORY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designat ion or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MARYS ICE DANCER: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top th ree in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
WHOO DAT
2/1

7/2
3
PERRYS GLORY
4/1

4/1
5
MARYS ICE DANCER
8/5

8/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Allowance - 8.3 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $69,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: 4

#6 ULTIMATE CAUSE (ML=9/2)
#1 MEDDYBEMPS (ML=20/1)


ULTIMATE CAUSE - This horse has recorded the best recent turf speed fig at the dist-surf. May be extremely hard to beat this thoroughbred on the grass today. In the last race scored a nice turf figure, the highest of any of these animals. The thoroughbred with the top average Equibase class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This pony fits the bill. A repeat effort from any of last 3 outings, and this one should be in first place. MEDDYBEMPS - Merryman is solid in turf routes. This equine should have no excuses if she doesn't win. I believe the addition of blinks today will help this mare focus her attention on racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ADVERT (ML=3/1), #2 MINI HERO (ML=7/2), #9 SET TO DANCE (ML=6/1),

ADVERT - I don't possess a positive feeling about this mount in this contest. MINI HERO - Finished fourth in her most recent performance with a substandard fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. SET TO DANCE - Will be hard for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - ULTIMATE CAUSE - I would surmise that this pony should sit in the 'garden' spot, then this filly should be flying down the stretch and romp to victory.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #6 ULTIMATE CAUSE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
6 with 1 with [2,4,8] Total Cost: $3