Thursday 9-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Thursday: Tampa Bay Rays + 180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Thursday, September 28, 2017

9/28 04:05 PM MLB (961) TAMPA BAY RAYS (J FARIA - R) VS (962) NEW YORK YANKEES (S GRAY). Play OVER the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Roz Wins

Roz's Thursday, September 28, 2017, Free Pick

9/28 04:05 PM MLB (953) PITTSBURGH PIRATES (I NOVA - R) VS (954) WASHINGTON NATIONALS (E JACKSON). Play Pitt.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Thursday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

Houston vs. Boston, 09/28/2017 19:10 EDT

Money Line: -107 Boston

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Boston -104

A potential first round preview takes place on Thursday inside Fenway and the home team has value here.

While the Astros are still fighting for the top AL spot, the Red Sox have much more important work to wrap up. They need to clinch the AL East and avoid playing in that 1 game Wild Card Playoff.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the ball for the Red Sox and his recent run is certainly worth noting. He's gone 2-1 in his last 4 starts, allowing only 6 runs in 25.1 innings of work. He's pitching with a lot of confidence right now and Boston has gone 5-1 in his last 6 home starts.

Some trends to note. Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games on grass.

This price is too light on the Red Sox.

Back Boston.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

Iowa St +5
Packers -7

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty was waiting on the Red Sox on Wednesday and likes Iowa State on Thursday.

The deficit is 945 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Sep 28 '17, 7:10 PM

MLB | Braves vs Marlins
Play on: Marlins -107 at BMaker

Free Play on Marlins -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

This is the week we see those playoff hopefuls really distance themselves from the pack. Today's National League Central clash between the Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds is a prime example.

That's why my free play is on the Brewers on the Run Line, as they're going to blast Cincinnati.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.

That said, the main reason here is not just the playoff motivation, but there is revenge to consider. The Reds shocked Milwaukee earlier this month, when they swept a three-game series in Cincinnati by a combined score of 21-8.

Milwaukee manager Craig Counsell downplayed the revenge factor, but the players don't forget that sort of thing. They'll want this series for both reasons, and can wrap up a sweep today.

Coming into this series, Reds had won four of their past six meetings with the Brewers. But after last night's win, Milwaukee leads the season series 11-7. And it is must-win time for the Brewers.

3* BREWERS RUN LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Sep 28 '17, 8:00 PM

NCAA-F | Texas vs Iowa State
Play on: Iowa State +5 -105 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on Iowa State +
I like the value here with the Cyclones as a home dog against the Longhorns. This is a much improved Iowa State team and there's no doubt they have had this one circled on the calendar.
Not very often the Cyclones are the center attention of the college football world. This is the only game on tap for Thursday and will be aired on ESPN. This is the spot where Iowa State isn't just thinking about keeping it close, but winning this game outright.
I like the direction that Matt Campbell has this program headed in and he's really got the offense clicking to start out 2017. ISU ranks 42nd in the country in total offense (460 ypg) behind the nations 18th ranked passing attack (311.7 ypg). They figure to have success here against a Texas defense that comes in ranked 82nd against the pass, allowing 248.3 ypg.
A lot of hype here with Texas in the first year under head coach Tom Herman, but we have already seen this team lose to a middle of the pack Big Ten foe in Maryland on their home field. They did play a great game against USC, but they also got the Trojans in a great spot after their big game against Stanford.
As for Iowa State, they proved themselves in a game at home against Iowa a few weeks ago. They needed up losing 41-44, but should have won that game outright. I just think this is a more evenly matched game than the average fan would think, making this an easy play for me on the Cyclones. Take Iowa State!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Carlo Campanella

Sep 28 '17, 8:25 PM

NFL | Bears vs Packers
Play on: OVER 45½ -105

Packers have struggled early this season on offense. That's exactly what happened the last two years as well. Expecting them to improve on Thursday Night Football in front of a national TV audience while hosting a well known division rival, the Bears. NFL Teams that have scored 7 points or less in the 1st Half of back-to-back games have gone 32-9 Over/Under! With the Pack defense allowing plenty of points once again, this game flys over 45.5 points.
10* FREE Play on UNDER 45.5 points (Bears@Packers)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 28

National League
Reds @ Brewers
Romano is 1-2, 3.57 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Reds are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-8-3

Brewers won last five Suter starts (1-0, 3.38), last three of which stayed under. Milwaukee is 6-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-3-2

Reds lost seven of their last eight games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Milwaukee lost four of last six games (under 4-1-1). Brewers are 2.5 games out in the Wild Card race.

Pirates @ Nationals
Nova is 0-4, 7.77 in his last five starts, last three of which stayed under. Pirates are 4-13 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-15-3

Strasburg is 4-0, 1.06 in his last five starts; under is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Washington is 9-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-4

Pirates won their last four games; under is 12-2 in their last 14 road games. Pittsburgh is 2-7 in last nine road series openers. Washington is 6-4 in its last ten games; under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 games. Nationals are 7-9 in last 16 home series openers.

Braves @ Marlins
Teheran is 4-1, 2.31 in his last six starts; under is 7-1-2 in his last ten. Braves are 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-5

Peters is 0-2, 6.31 in five starts this year (over 4-1). Miami lost both his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2

Braves lost four of last five games; under is 6-1 in their last seven. Atlanta is 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Marlins lost three of last four games (under 3-1); they’re 11-6 in last 17 home series openers.

Cubs @ Cardinals
Hendricks is 3-1, 2.48 in his last six starts, last five of which stayed under total. Cubs are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-5

Lynn is 1-1, 13.97 in his last three starts; under is 12-4 in his last 16. St Louis is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-15-2

Cubs won 12 of last 15 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11. St Louis won six of last nine home games; under is 7-3 in their last ten.

——————————–

American League
Rays @ New York
Faria is making his first start since August 16; he is 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts. Under is 6-1-1 in his last eight. Rays are 5-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-4-2

Gray is 2-2, 3.42 in his last four starts (under 8-2). New York is 2-2 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 4-5-1

Tampa Bay is 4-8 in its last 12 games; three of their last five games went over. New York won 11 of last 14 games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

Twins @ Indians
Twins clinched playoff berth last night; not sure how long Santana goes here. Santana is 1-1, 2.41 in his last three starts. Twins are 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-8-7

Carrasco is 5-0, 1.52 in his last six starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Indians are 10-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 22-7-2

Twins won five of their last six games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games- they clinched a playoff spot last night. Cleveland is 30-3 in its last 33 games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 home games.

Astros @ Red Sox
Peacock is 3-0, 2.35 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Astros are 8-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-4-2

Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.13 in his last four starts; under is 9-1 in his last ten. Boston is 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-12

Houston won 11 of its last 13 games; under is 6-4 in their last ten. Boston won 10 of last 13 games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games.

A’s @ Rangers
Manaea is 2-2, 5.49 in his last four starts (under 3-1). A’s are 6-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-13-5

Gonzalez is 1-2, 7.16 in four starts for Texas (over 2-2). Texas lost his only home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2

A’s won 8 of last 10 games; over is 9-5 in their last 14 road games. Oakland is 2-6 in last eight road series openers. Texas lost its last six games; under is 7-4 in their last 11. Rangers are 6-1 in last seven home series openers.

Angels @ White Sox
Angels got eliminated last night; no idea who pitches here. Likely a bullpen game.

Covey is 0-4, 8.15 in his last four starts (over 5-4-3). Chicago is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-8-1

Angels lost eight of their last ten games; seven of their last ten road games stayed under- they are now eliminated from playoff contention. Chicago won five of last seven games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games.

Tigers @ Royals
Norris is 0-4, 9.82 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. Tigers are 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9-2

Duffy is 2-1, 3.18 in his last three starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. Royals are 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-4

Detroit lost its last nine games; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13. Royals won three of last four home games; under is 9-6 in their last 15.

__________________________

Interleague


______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Mil: Romano 6-9; Suter 8-5
Pitt-Wsh: Nova 13-17; Strasburg 21-6
Atl-Mia: Teheran 15-16; Peters 1-4
Chi-StL: Hendricks 11-12; Lynn 14-18

American League
Min-Clev: Santana 19-13; Carrasco 23-8
TB-NY: Faria 8-5; Gray 4-6
Hst-Bos: Peacock 14-6; Rodriguez 13-10
A’s-Tex: Manaea 13-15; Gonzalez 2-2
LAA-Chi: unknown Covey 3-8
Det-KC: Norris 7-10; Duffy 11-12

Interleague

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Cin-Mil: Romano 6-15; Suter 1-13
Pitt-Wsh: Nova 11-30; Strasburg 4-27
Atl-Mia: Teheran 10-31; Peters 2-5
Chi-StL: Hendricks 8-23; Lynn 10-32

American League
Min-Clev: Santana 8-32; Carrasco 5-31
TB-NY: Faria 2-13; Gray 2-10
Hst-Bos: Peacock 2-20; Rodriguez 6-23
A’s-Tex: Manaea 9-28; Gonzalez 1-4
LAA-Chi: unknown Covey 7-11
Det-KC: Norris 3-17; Duffy 6-23

Interleague
_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
AL @ NL– 75-72 NL, favorites +$396
Total: 156-131 AL, favorites +$116

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 146-133-12

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 28

Trend Report

12:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

4:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 17 games
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Houston is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

7:15 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games
St. Louis is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Texas's last 19 games when playing Oakland

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games

8:15 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 28

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CINCINNATI (67 - 91) at MILWAUKEE (83 - 75) - 4:10 PM
SAL ROMANO (R) vs. BRENT SUTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 8-23 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-26 (-16.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 83-75 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-48 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-58 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 40-35 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 36-36 (+8.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 78-101 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-8 (+0.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.5 Units)

SAL ROMANO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ROMANO is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

BRENT SUTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SUTER is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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PITTSBURGH (73 - 85) at WASHINGTON (95 - 63) - 7:05 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-85 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-48 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 46-63 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 115-135 (-31.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 132-273 (-75.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
NOVA is 4-14 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 68-35 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-51 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-34 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 183-162 (-54.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 13-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
JACKSON is 56-76 (-28.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

IVAN NOVA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOVA is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
JACKSON is 8-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 8-7 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-7. (-0.8 units)

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ATLANTA (71 - 87) at MIAMI (74 - 84) - 7:10 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. DILLON PETERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEHERAN is 14-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 17-9 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 139-180 (+2.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-37 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 71-86 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-37 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 50-56 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 98-81 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TEHERAN is 15-11 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 9-3 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 30-40 (-11.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MIAMI is 63-84 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-59 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 10-5 (+4.9 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.2 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

JULIO TEHERAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
TEHERAN is 6-4 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 9-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+0.8 units)

DILLON PETERS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (89 - 69) at ST LOUIS (82 - 76) - 7:15 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 13-5 (+7.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LYNN is 6-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 7-10 (-5.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+1.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (83 - 75) at CLEVELAND (99 - 59) - 12:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. CARLOS CARRASCO (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-11 (+0.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SANTANA is 7-11 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.83 and a WHIP of 1.248.
His team's record is 9-15 (-6.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 17-7. (+9.4 units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
CARRASCO is 4-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.451.
His team's record is 5-8 (-6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.2 units)

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TAMPA BAY (76 - 82) at NY YANKEES (89 - 69) - 7:05 PM
JACOB FARIA (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 144-175 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 91-117 (-31.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 108-120 (-20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 22-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-6 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 49-24 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 64-33 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 19-29 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 3-13 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 8-20 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 8-16 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 12-6 (+4.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.3 Units)

JACOB FARIA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
FARIA is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
GRAY is 3-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.270.
His team's record is 4-6 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-7. (-6.2 units)

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HOUSTON (98 - 60) at BOSTON (92 - 66) - 7:10 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-22 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-23 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 52-26 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-47 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 98-60 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 24-13 (+10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 50-27 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 35-19 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 31-17 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 17-7 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 688-617 (-81.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 371-293 (-47.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 14-21 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-42 (-7.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 437-399 (-79.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BOSTON is 225-227 (-64.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEACOCK is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 12.39 and a WHIP of 2.879.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 0-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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OAKLAND (73 - 85) at TEXAS (76 - 82) - 8:05 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. MIGUEL GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 210-272 (-47.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 364-461 (-98.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 27-50 (-16.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 9-25 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 39-58 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MANAEA is 2-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 171-152 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-19 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-69 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 127-105 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 80-68 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-110 (+18.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 33-18 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 145-123 (+41.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 15-10 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
OAKLAND is 36-35 (+6.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 39-43 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 18-24 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 9-6 (+3.3 Units) against TEXAS this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MANAEA is 2-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

MIGUEL GONZALEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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LA ANGELS (78 - 80) at CHI WHITE SOX (65 - 93) - 8:10 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. DYLAN COVEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+0.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

BUD NORRIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
NORRIS is 1-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

DYLAN COVEY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (62 - 96) at KANSAS CITY (78 - 80) - 8:15 PM
DANIEL NORRIS (L) vs. DANNY DUFFY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-96 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 24-43 (-19.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 28-49 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 4-22 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
DETROIT is 36-67 (-29.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 27-47 (-22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 12-25 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 78-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 88-70 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 81-70 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-75 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NORRIS is 8-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 16-7 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NORRIS is 9-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 27-26 (-22.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 282-398 (-108.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 11-7 (+4.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
12 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.7 Units)

DANIEL NORRIS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
NORRIS is 0-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-5. (-4.9 units)

DANNY DUFFY vs. DETROIT since 1997
DUFFY is 7-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.82 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 9-9 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-1.8 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

Thursday, September 28

Texas @ Iowa State

Game 103-104
September 28, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
99.006
Iowa State
89.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 9 1/2
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 4
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-4); Over

NC Central @ Florida A&M

Game 301-302
September 28, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
58.266
Florida A&M
40.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
by 17 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC Central
by 9
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(-9); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Thursday, September 28

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Bears at Packers

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7, 45.5)

The oldest rivalry in the NFL has become one-sided in recent years, something the Chicago Bears hope to change when they pay a visit to the Green Bay Packers on Thursday night in a prime-time NFC North matchup. The Packers swept the season series last year en route to winning the division title and have captured six of the last seven matchups.

It will mark the 195th matchup between Chicago and Green Bay -- and the first where both teams are each coming off an overtime victory. Running back Jordan Howard's 19-yard touchdown run provided the exclamation point on the Bears' 23-17 victory over Pittsburgh, helping them avoid an 0-3 start for third straight season. Green Bay was seconds from a second straight defeat before Aaron Rodgers tossed a tying touchdown pass to Jordy Nelson, setting up a game-winning field goal in overtime in a 27-24 victory over visiting Cincinnati. The series could not be more evenly matched -- each team has won 93 times to go along with six ties.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

POWER RANKINGS: Bears (+2.5) - Packers (-4) + home field (-3) = Packers -9.5

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as seven-point home favorites and by Wednesday evening many books were adding the hook to 7.5. The total hit the betting boards at 45.5 and has yet to budge.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "A black-and-blue division matchup kicks off Thursday night at Lambeau Field in the NFL when the Green Bay Packers host the Chicago Bears. The Bears haven't won consecutive games since December of 2015, going 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS following a victory in that span. Meanwhile, the bruised and battered Packers know they are 401-13 SU and 36-17 ATS at home in division play behind QB Aaron Rodgers. It appears there is only one way to look here." - Marc Lawrence.

INJURY REPORT:

Bears - LB Nick Kwiatkoski (Out, Chest), S Deon Bush (Questionable, (Hamstring), S Quintin Demps (Out, Arm), S Chris Prosinski (Questionable, Hamstring), OL Tom Compton (Probable, Hip), OL Hroniss Grasu (Questionable, Hand), OL Josh Sitton (Questionable, Ribs), LB Jerrell Freeman (I-R, Concussion), WR Kevin White (I-R, Shoulder), DB Deiondre' Hall (I-R, Hamstring), RB Ka'Deem Carey (I-R, Wrist), LS Patrick Scales (I-R, Knee), WR Cameron Meredith (I-R, ACL), C Eric Kush (I-R, Hamstring).

Packers - RB Joe Kerridge (Questionable, Calf), DE Mike Daniels (Questionable, Hip), CB Davon House (Doubtful, Quadriceps), WR Randall Cobb (Probable, Shoulder), S Kentrell Brice (Probable, Groin), RB Ty Montgomery (Probable, Wrist), T Kyle Murphy (I-R, Foot), LS Brett Goode (I-R, Hamstring), T Bryan Bulaga (Questionable, Ankle), T David Bakhtiari (Questionable, Hamstring), LB Nick Perry (Questionable, Hand), LB Jake Ryan (Questionable, Concussion), T Jason Spriggs (I-R, Hamstring), LB Vince Biegel (Out, Foot), DT Montravius Adams (I-R, Foot), T Don Barclay (I-R, Ankle), CB Demetri Goodson (PUP, ACL), G Lane Taylor (Questionable, Foot), S Marwin Evans (Questionable, Lower Body), DT Quinton Dial (Questionable, Chest), CB Herb Waters (I-R, Shoulder).

ABOUT THE BEARS (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS, 0-3 O/U): Chicago will try to run the ball for two reasons -- to keep the ball out of Rodgers' hands and alleviate the pressure on quarterback Mike Glennon, who threw for only 101 yards and a TD on 15-of-22 passing. The Bears rushed for 220 yards against the Steelers as Howard, despite dealing with an ailing shoulder, piled up 138 and two scores while electrifying rookie Tarik Cohen had 78 yards on 12 carries. With the wide receiver corps ravaged by injury, Howard and Cohen also led the team with five and four catches, respectively. Safety Quintin Demps broke his arm in Sunday's game, a blow for a defense that has only eight interceptions in each of the past two seasons.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U): Rodgers is second in the league with 967 yards passing, exceeding 300 in each of the first three games, although his passer rating is below 100 for only the third time in 10 seasons since he took over as Green Bay's starter. Rodgers has attempted at least 42 passes in each game behind a banged-up offensive line, among the reasons he has been sacked a league-high 13 times. Running back Ty Montgomery, despite leading the team with 18 receptions, has rushed for only 124 yards in three games, but he carved up the Bears for a career-best 162 yards and a pair of rushing touchdowns in December. The Packers are eighth in the league, allowing 296.7 yards per game.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
* Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 13-3 in Packers last 16 games overall.
* Bears are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Packers at a rate of 67 percent and the Over is picking up 64 percent of the totals action.