Friday 9-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
David Schwab

Week 14 Betting Recap

Last weekend’s betting action in the CFL started with Winnipeg’s 29-9 victory against Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite. In the backend of Friday night’s doubleheader of games, Hamilton stunned British Columbia 24-23 as a heavy 12 ½-point underdog on the road.

In a big East Division clash on Saturday, Toronto upended Montreal 33-19 as a seven-point home favorite to move into first place in the standings. Week 14 came to a close with Calgary grinding out a 15-9 victory on the road against Saskatchewan as a 5 ½-point favorite to extend its straight-up winning streak to nine games.

Friday, Sept. 29

Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (5-8-1 SU, 9-5 ATS)

Game Overview

The Roughriders remain in the thick of the playoff hunt despite Sunday’s loss, but they are going to have to find a way to get their offense back in gear down the stretch run of the regular season. Kevin Glenn was back in the lineup at quarterback against Calgary after missing some time due to injury, but he ended the game completing just 12 of his 19 passes for 127 yards. He left the game in the second half with an injured hand. Saskatchewan’s ground game did not help the cause with 28 yards on 12 carries.

Ottawa fell out of first place in the East with its second loss in three games both SU and against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in its last seven games. Last Friday’s loss was the first time that the RedBlacks failed to post at least 20 points in a game this season. Ryan Lindley got the start at quarterback for an injured Trevor Harris and he completed just 44.4 percent of his 36 passing attempts for 151 yards.

Betting Trends

-- Saskatchewan has won four of the last six meetings SU with the series tied at 3-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games in this inter-division tilt.

Montreal Alouettes (3-10 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (11-1-1 SU, 8-4-1 ATS)

Game Overview

Montreal will have a tall task on its hands this Friday night to try and stop its current six-game skid both SU and ATS. The Alouettes have posted just one SU victory in their last nine games while going a costly 2-7 ATS. In last week’s loss to Toronto, their defense held Ricky Ray to 182 yards passing, but it gave up 141 yards to James Wilder running the ball. Montreal quarterback Darian Durant was picked off three times in that game.

Calgary proved it can win ugly if it has to after averaging 32.9 points in the first eight wins of its current streak. Bo Levi Mitchell went an efficient 24-for-32 against Saskatchewan on Sunday for 222 passing yards and Jerome Messam extended his league-leading rushing total to 897 yards with 127 yards on 23 carries for an average of 5.5 yards a run. The Stampeders also lead the league in points allowed; giving up an average of 17.8 points a game.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal actually won the first meeting this season on July 14 in a 30-23 victory as a four-point home underdog. The Alouettes are 4-2 SU in the last six meetings with a perfect 6-0 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine games in this inter-division matchup.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Friday, September 29

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 6) at OTTAWA (5 - 8 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (3 - 10) at CALGARY (11 - 1 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 15

Trend Report

Friday, September 29

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. OTTAWA
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home

9:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 15

Saskatchewan (6-6) @ Ottawa (5-8-1)— Both teams lost last week; both were held to 9 points. Saskatchewan won four of last six games, is 2-4 on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Under is 4-2 in their road games. Ottawa also won four of last six games; they’re 2-4-1 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Roughriders beat Ottawa twice LY, by total of 3 points; they’re 4-2 overall vs RedBlacks, with 2 of 4 wins in OT. Over is 5-1 in series games. These teams play again in Regina in two weeks.

Montreal (3-10) @ Calgary (11-1-1)— Montreal lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread); under is 8-5 in their games this year. Als are 2-4 as road underdogs this year. Calgary won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders are 5-1 as a home favorite this year. Alouettes won four of last six games vs Calgary, covering all six games; they upset Stampeders 30-23 (+5.5) back in Week 4. Home team won last eight series games; six of last seven series games stayed under total. Montreal lost last four visits here (2-2 vs spread).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

Sep 29 '17, 7:00 PM

NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: Miami-FL -6 -110 at betonline

Duke is off to a 4-0 start, matching its 2014 season when it started 4-0 and that streak ended with a loss against the Hurricanes and we can expect a similar result here. The Blue Devils have shown good balance on offense and the defense has overachieved thus far as they are ranked No. 16 in total defense and No. 17 in scoring defense. Offensively, they have been buoyed by a strong rushing attack that has three players with over 200 yards on the ground but the opposition has played a factor in that. The Miami defensive front will be the best the Blue Devils have faced as the Hurricanes came into the season with the No. 2 ranked defensive line and No. 2 ranked linebacker unit in the ACC. Duke is one of four teams in the nation that is off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start and while some people ride those streaks, it is best to go contrarian. We like what we saw with Miami last week. After having not played in 21 days because of the effects of the hurricane, it got off to a slow start against Toledo and trailed 16-10 at halftime. The Hurricanes found their groove however as they outscored the Rockets 42-14 in the second half. That is something they can carry over into this week and while laying chalk on the road is a rare thing for us, we make the exception here with a team that talent-wise is much better. Good news on the injury front for Miami is that 2016 leading rusher Mark Walton, who was injured last game and 2016 leading receiver Ahmmon Richards, who has missed both games, have both been upgraded to probable. Going back, the Hurricanes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Play (105) Miami Hurricanes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Sep 29 '17, 7:00 PM

NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: Miami-FL -6 -110 at BMaker

Miami FL -6
The Hurricanes head into Duke Friday night and have value laying under a touchdown here.
The Hurricanes ended up blowing away the Toledo Rockets last week, after trailing by 6 at the break. It showed a lot in terms of what this Miami team is really like, as they came out with what looked like a purpose in that 2nd half.
Miami is easily the quickest and most difficult team this Blue Devils team will have seen thus far into the season. They also haven't had much luck against the Hurricanes in the history of the program. Miami leads the head to head series 12-2 and has dominated in almost every fashion.
Some trends to note. Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
This number is valuable here. Miami will control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.
Back Miami.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Sep 29 '17, 8:00 PM

NCAA-F | BYU vs Utah State
Play on: Utah State +3½ -102 at betonline

Play - Utah State (Game 110).
Edges - Aggies: 6-3 ATS the last nine games in this series, including 3-0 when BYU is playing with rest… Cougars: 0-3 SU and ATS and ITS (In The Stats) versus FBS foes this season… With college football home dogs that scored 55 or more points in a SU road favorite win and cover in their last game 14-8 SU and 15-6-1 ATS, we recommend a 1* play on Utah State. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

Sep 29 '17, 7:00 PM

NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: Miami-FL -6 -110 at BMaker


Miami @ Duke 7:00 PM ET
Game# 105-106
Play On: Miami -6.0
Duke has started the season 4-0. However, their 3 wins over FBS opponents came against teams (North Carolina, Baylor, Northwestern) that currently have a combined 3-8 record. Friday night will be far and away their toughest opponent they’ve faced this season. They’ve also benefitted from a turnover margin of +5 thus far, and Miami has turned it over just once during its first 2 games.
Miami shook off the rust from a 3-week layoff in last Saturday’s 52-30 home win over a very good Toledo team, and covered as a 13.5-point favorite while doing so. The Canes trailed 13-10 at the half in that contests before outscoring Toledo by a decisive 42-17 margin during 2nd half action. This will be Miami’s first road game of the year, and they were a perfect 4-0 SU&ATS last season as an away favorite under new head coach Mark Richt. Since 2005, Miami is 6-0 in games played at Duke and won by 10 points or more on each occasion. Bet on Miami minus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Sep 29 '17, 8:00 PM

NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois +6½ -120 at betonline

A few weeks ago, I successfully played on Illinois when it upset Western Kentucky. Readers of this column may recall that we successfully played against the Illini in their following game. Playing their first road game and doing so on a short week, I predicted that they'd get blown out at USF. They did.
The shoe is on the other foot this time though. Illinois hasn't played since that loss at USF, a full two weeks. Nebraska, on the other hand, will be playing on a short week. Also, the Huskers face Wisconsin next week. Note that Nebraska lost its only road game and also that the Huskers, who lost outright vs. Northern Illinois, have yet to win a game by more than 10 points.
The last meeting here saw Illinois score an upset, a 14-13 win in 2015. The Illini also covered at Nebraska last season. With the schedule in favor of the home dog, consider grabbing the points with Illinois.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Toronto Blue Jays (75-84) at New York Yankees (89-69)
DATE/TIME: Friday, September 29 - 1:05 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Blue Jays at Yankees

Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

The New York Yankees may have seen their last chance at catching the first-place Boston Red Sox slip away, blowing a three-run lead in a loss to Tampa Bay on Thursday. Assured of the top wild card, the Yankees have to decide how much effort they want to exert to catch Boston when they open a three-game series Friday against the visiting Toronto Blue Jays.

Aaron Judge continued his torrid final month, extending his hitting streak to 11 games by belting his American League-leading 51st homer - his 14th in September and one of four hit by New York in Thursday's 9-6 loss. Greg Bird has homered in three straight games and owns four blasts to go along with nine RBIs during a six-game hitting streak for the Yankees, who trail the Red Sox by three games with three to play. Toronto has played its last six games against New York and Boston, going 4-2 and piling up 40 runs while hitting 10 homers against the Red Sox. Outfielder Teoscar Hernandez has swatted six homers and collected 11 RBIs during his six-game hitting streak.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, Sportsnet (Toronto), YES (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays RH Joe Biagini (3-12, 5.34 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (12-12, 4.94)

Biagini made one mistake last time out against the Yankees and it was a biggie, serving up a three-run homer to Bird in the fifth inning that wrapped up a postseason berth for New York. He is winless over his last nine appearances, although he had to settle for a pair of no-decisions in two stellar starts against Baltimore in September. Judge is 3-for-5 with a pair of doubles against Biagini.

Tanaka was hit hard by the Blue Jays in Toronto in his last turn, surrendering three homers among six hits while giving up eight runs over 5 2/3 innings. He lasted only four innings in a no-decision at Toronto on Aug. 9, but beat the Blue Jays with seven innings of one-run ball on July 3 at Yankee Stadium. Josh Donaldson, Kendrys Morales and Ryan Goins are a combined 6-for-65 against Tanaka.

WALK-OFFS

1. Judge belted his 32nd homer at Yankee Stadium, tying Babe Ruth for the most at home in franchise history.

2. Hernandez set a franchise rookie record with eight home runs in September.

3. Yankees SS Didi Gregorius is 4-for-25 in the last six games, including 1-for-12 against Toronto.

PREDICTION: Yankees 7, Blue Jays 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Toronto at NY Yankees

W/L Trends

Toronto

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Blue Jays are 6-14 in their last 20 games following an off day. Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 Friday games. Blue Jays are 1-4 in Biaginis last 5 road starts. Blue Jays are 1-4 in Biaginis last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Blue Jays are 1-4 in Biaginis last 5 starts on grass. Blue Jays are 1-6 in Biaginis last 7 starts vs. American League East. Blue Jays are 1-7 in Biaginis last 8 starts. Blue Jays are 0-7 in Biaginis last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Yankees are 11-1 in their last 12 home games. Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series. Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 overall. Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass. Yankees are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. American League East. Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games. Yankees are 7-1 in Tanakas last 8 starts with 6 days of rest. Yankees are 6-1 in Tanakas last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Yankees are 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. American League East. Yankees are 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts on grass. Yankees are 20-6 in Tanakas last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 19-7 in Tanakas last 26 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Yankees are 8-3 in Tanakas last 11 Friday starts. Yankees are 5-2 in Tanakas last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. Yankees are 5-2 in Tanakas last 7 starts. Yankees are 37-16 in Tanakas last 53 home starts.

OU Trends

Toronto

Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 on grass. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East. Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 17-8 in Blue Jays last 25 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-0 in Biaginis last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Under is 4-0 in Biaginis last 4 starts vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in Biaginis last 6 starts overall. Under is 4-1 in Biaginis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

NY Yankees

Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 6-2 in Yankees last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-2-1 in Yankees last 8 Friday games. Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-0-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 4-0 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-1 in Tanakas last 7 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts on grass. Under is 6-2 in Tanakas last 8 Friday starts. Over is 11-4-1 in Tanakas last 16 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Over is 11-4-1 in Tanakas last 16 starts vs. American League East. Under is 5-2-1 in Tanakas last 8 home starts.

Head to Head

Yankees are 4-0 in Tanakas last 4 home starts vs. Blue Jays. Over is 3-0-1 in Tanakas last 4 starts vs. Blue Jays. Under is 6-1-1 in Tanakas last 8 home starts vs. Blue Jays. Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York. Yankees are 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts vs. Blue Jays. Blue Jays are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Pittsburgh Pirates (73-85) at Washington Nationals (95-63)
DATE/TIME: Friday, September 29 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Pirates at Nationals

Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017

Washington Nationals manager Dusty Baker is liberally resting his stars in a bid to keep his team as healthy as possible as it awaits postseason play, and that includes the recently returned Bryce Harper. The 2015 National League MVP looks to draw back into the lineup on Friday as the Nationals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the second contest of their four-game series.

"Nothing. Don't be alarmed. Nothing. Again ... nothing," Baker said in response to reporters asking if something was wrong with Harper, who missed 1 1/2 months with a knee injury before returning to action on Tuesday. Baker also noted that he wants the 24-year-old "to get sharp" before the Nationals face the reigning World Series champion Chicago Cubs in the NL Division Series. Daniel Murphy had three singles in Thursday's 5-4 win to improve to 7-for-15 with a homer, three RBIs and as many runs scored over the last four games for Washington, which has won four of six. Pittsburgh's Josh Bell went deep for the second time in as many games with a two-run homer in the ninth inning on Thursday, giving him six hits and six RBIs in his last three contests.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Pittsburgh, MASN (Washington)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Gerrit Cole (12-11, 4.23 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Stephen Strasburg (14-4, 2.63)

Cole picked up his first win since Aug. 26 on Saturday, albeit in less-than-stellar fashion. The 27-year-old surrendered five runs and seven hits for the second time in three outings in an 11-6 triumph over St. Louis. Cole has yielded 14 runs in last three starts (16 2/3 innings) and looks to regain the form that saw him allow one run on three hits in a 6-1 rout of Washington on May 17.

Strasburg saw his four-start winning streak stalled as he settled for a no-decision in Saturday's game against the New York Mets. The 29-year-old allowed three runs in that contest after tossing five straight outings (35 innings) in which he did not surrender an earned run. Strasburg picked up the win versus Pittsburgh on May 16 after permitting three runs in six innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Starling Marte is riding a nine-game hitting streak, with multi-hit performances in each of his last four.

2. Washington (96-63) can set a franchise record in victories if it wins the final three games of the series.

3. Pittsburgh OF Andrew McCutchen has two homers, eight RBIs and seven runs scored during his five-game hitting streak.

PREDICTION: Pirates 3, Nationals 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Pittsburgh at Washington

W/L Trends

Pittsburgh

Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 overall. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass. Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East. Pirates are 6-14 in their last 20 during game 2 of a series. Pirates are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 7-22 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Pirates are 6-21 in their last 27 road games. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games. Pirates are 8-3 in Coles last 11 road starts. Pirates are 5-2 in Coles last 7 starts vs. National League East. Pirates are 15-6 in Coles last 21 Friday starts. Pirates are 7-3 in Coles last 10 starts during game 2 of a series. Pirates are 2-6 in Coles last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Pirates are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts. Pirates are 1-4 in Coles last 5 starts on grass.

Washington

Nationals are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Friday games. Nationals are 7-0 in Strasburgs last 7 starts vs. National League Central. Nationals are 4-0 in Strasburgs last 4 Friday starts. Nationals are 15-3 in Strasburgs last 18 starts during game 2 of a series. Nationals are 17-4 in Strasburgs last 21 starts with 5 days of rest. Nationals are 44-11 in Strasburgs last 55 starts. Nationals are 44-11 in Strasburgs last 55 starts on grass. Nationals are 27-8 in Strasburgs last 35 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 38-14 in Strasburgs last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 43-18 in Strasburgs last 61 home starts.

OU Trends

Pittsburgh

Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. National League East. Under is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 road games. Under is 20-6 in Pirates last 26 during game 2 of a series. Under is 16-5 in Pirates last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 21-7-1 in Pirates last 29 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-3 in Pirates last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 21-8 in Pirates last 29 on grass. Under is 40-17-1 in Pirates last 58 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 63-31-2 in Pirates last 96 overall. Under is 4-1 in Coles last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 9-3 in Coles last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 16-6 in Coles last 22 starts vs. National League East. Under is 12-5 in Coles last 17 road starts.

Washington

Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 vs. National League Central. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 17-6-4 in Nationals last 27 overall. Under is 17-6-3 in Nationals last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 17-6-4 in Nationals last 27 on grass. Under is 21-8-3 in Nationals last 32 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2-1 in Nationals last 8 home games. Under is 4-0 in Strasburgs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Under is 5-0-2 in Strasburgs last 7 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 5-0 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 starts on grass. Under is 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 starts overall. Over is 8-2 in Strasburgs last 10 starts vs. National League Central. Over is 13-5-1 in Strasburgs last 19 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 34-16-3 in Strasburgs last 53 home starts.

Head to Head

Under is 5-0 in Coles last 5 starts vs. Nationals. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington. Pirates are 4-1 in Coles last 5 starts vs. Nationals. Nationals are 5-2 in Strasburgs last 7 starts vs. Pirates. Pirates are 17-36 in the last 53 meetings in Washington.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: New York Mets (69-90) at Philadelphia Phillies (64-95)
DATE/TIME: Friday, September 29 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Mets at Phillies

Gracenote
Sep 28, 2017

While the New York Mets have been an up-and-down organization in recent years, one constant has been their dominance of the Philadelphia Phillies, who host the Mets for a season-ending three-game series starting Friday night. New York has won 11 of 16 meetings this season, is 50-23 against the Phillies since 2014 and has won six straight season series between the National League East rivals.

The Mets enter this encounter on a good note after taking three straight against Atlanta to close out their home schedule - potentially the final games in New York for manager Terry Collins, whose contract expires after this season. Regardless of who is managing the Mets next season, they will hope for a bounce-back effort from struggling right-hander Matt Harvey, who starts the series opener looking for some positives to take into the offseason. The 28-year-old is 9-16 with a 5.71 ERA over the last two injury-ravaged campaigns and will be tendered a contract to return to the team, according to reports. The Phillies took two of three from Washington to begin their six-game homestand.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, SNY (New York), CSN Philadelphia

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mets RH Matt Harvey (5-6, 6.60 ERA) vs. Phillies RH Ben Lively (3-7, 4.35)

Harvey is 1-3 with an 11.78 ERA in five appearances this month after returning from a shoulder injury. He allowed three runs and four hits - two home runs - over four innings of relief Saturday against Washington. The North Carolina product defeated the Phillies with 5 2/3 solid innings April 11 and he is 7-2 with a 2.70 ERA in 10 career meetings.

Lively dominated the Mets in his first start this month and followed it up with eight solid frames at Washington, but he's struggled ever since. The Florida native surrendered two runs in three innings in a rain-shortened start two turns ago and was rocked for six runs across five innings at Atlanta last Friday. Lively is 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA in five home starts, giving up seven home runs in 25 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Phillies RHP Hector Neris has successfully converted 20 straight saves for a bullpen that owns a 2.52 ERA over a 30-game stretch.

2. Mets C Travis d'Arnaud has 12 RBIs in his last eight games.

3. New York is 6-1 in Citizens Bank Park this year.

PREDICTION: Phillies 6, Mets 5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - NY Mets at Philadelphia

W/L Trends

NY Mets

Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 Friday games. Mets are 12-5 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Mets are 7-15 in their last 22 games following a win. Mets are 3-7 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 2-5 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 road games. Mets are 5-16 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Mets are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 1-6 in their last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 5-13 in Harveys last 18 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 3-8 in Harveys last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Mets are 4-11 in Harveys last 15 starts. Mets are 4-11 in Harveys last 15 starts on grass. Mets are 5-16 in Harveys last 21 road starts. Mets are 1-4 in Harveys last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. Mets are 1-4 in Harveys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mets are 3-13 in Harveys last 16 starts vs. National League East. Mets are 1-6 in Harveys last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Mets are 0-5 in Harveys last 5 Friday starts.

Philadelphia

Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 home games. Phillies are 18-37 in their last 55 Friday games. Phillies are 31-67 in their last 98 games vs. a right-handed starter. Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day. Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 14-37 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Phillies are 4-9 in Livelys last 13 starts. Phillies are 4-9 in Livelys last 13 starts on grass. Phillies are 2-5 in Livelys last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Phillies are 1-4 in Livelys last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU Trends

NY Mets

Over is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games following an off day. Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 overall. Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 on grass. Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 Friday games. Under is 4-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win. Over is 13-5 in Mets last 18 road games. Over is 10-4 in Mets last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Over is 12-5-2 in Mets last 19 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Harveys last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 5-0-1 in Harveys last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Over is 5-0-1 in Harveys last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1-2 in Harveys last 9 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 6-1-2 in Harveys last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-3-3 in Harveys last 18 starts on grass. Over is 12-3-3 in Harveys last 18 starts overall. Over is 18-5-3 in Harveys last 26 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Harveys last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 3-1-1 in Harveys last 5 road starts. Over is 6-2-1 in Harveys last 9 starts vs. National League East.

Philadelphia

Under is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 6-0-2 in Phillies last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 3-0-2 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 7-0 in Phillies last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 during game 1 of a series. Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 overall. Under is 5-1-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass. Under is 5-1-2 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League East. Over is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 games following an off day. Under is 4-1 in Phillies last 5 Friday games. Under is 3-1-4 in Phillies last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 games following a win. Under is 5-2-4 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 31-14-10 in Phillies last 55 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0-1 in Livelys last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Livelys last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 7-1-1 in Livelys last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 6-1-1 in Livelys last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Livelys last 6 starts vs. National League East. Under is 5-1-1 in Livelys last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Livelys last 5 starts on grass. Under is 4-1 in Livelys last 5 starts overall. Under is 3-1-1 in Livelys last 5 home starts.

Head to Head

Mets are 4-1 in Harveys last 5 road starts vs. Phillies. Over is 4-1 in Harveys last 5 starts vs. Phillies. Mets are 6-2 in Harveys last 8 starts vs. Phillies. Mets are 40-15 in the last 55 meetings in Philadelphia. Mets are 47-20 in the last 67 meetings. Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia. Over is 79-38-5 in the last 122 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No trends available.