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Friday 9-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Fp: 13 runs in a game is alot know matter who's playing and what ball park hitting a baseball still the hardest skill in pro sports . This total set a little to high for my liking making the under my mlb free pick.
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick CFL Friday Montreal Alouettes (+) @ Calgary Stampeders @ 9:30 ET - The Stampeders have been red hot and the Alouettes have been ice cold. However, this line is over-inflated given the situation. While it is true that Calgary has revenge here (their lone loss this season was at Montreal), it is also true that the Stampeders are on a short week plus have a bye on deck. After battling hard in a defensive battle versus a divisional foe, Saskatchewan, for the win Sunday, Calgary has to be happily looking ahead to their upcoming bye. As a result, I expect Calgary to be in a bit of a "coast mode" here and just put it on cruise control. Montreal's defense has played well against the Stampeders and has held them to just 16.8 points per game in the last 5 meetings. The Alouettes also have a perfect 4-0 ATS mark as an underdog of 10 points or more. Calgary is on an ugly 2-8 ATS run when playing with revenge. Look for the Als to keep this one much closer than many are expecting. Free Pick on MONTREAL in Friday's 2nd of 2 CFL games. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
It has not been a pretty season for the BYU Cougars, as BYU heads to nearby Utah State with 3 losses in a row saddled to their team bus.
The Cougars were shutout at home by LSU 27-0 back at the start of September, they lost a 19-13 defensive slugfest to Utah on the 9th, and they were also routed by Wisconsin, 40-6 in their last game. Perhaps the bye-week the Cougars are coming off of will help here as they step down the ladder in competition just a little to play an Aggies team that walloped San Jose State, 61-10 last week on the road.
BYU has been able to dominate in this series, as they have won the last pair of series meetings, and 8 of the past 10 series meetings overall. The Cougars have also turned the tide at the ticket window in this rivalry, covering the last pair and 3 of the past 4.
Yes, Tanner Mangum is out for tonight's game, but just feel the added rest, and a chance to step down in talent level will do wonders for BYU's psyche tonight versus Utah State.
National League
Reds @ Cubs
Stephenson is 1-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Reds are 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3-2
Quintana is 2-0, 2.18 in his last five starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Cubs are 6-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-4-3
Reds lost eight of their last nine games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Cincy is 5-14 in last 19 road series openers. Cubs won six of last eight games (under 5-2-1). Chicago is 6-1 in last seven home series openers.
Pirates @ Nationals
Cole is 1-3, 5.58 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Pirates are 9-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-14-8
Strasburg is 4-0, 1.06 in his last five starts; under is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Washington is 9-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-4
Pirates won four of their last five games; under is 13-2 in their last 15 road games. Washington is 7-4 in its last 11 games; under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 games.
Mets @ Phillies
Harvey is 1-3, 13.19 in his last four starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Mets are 2-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-9
Lively is 0-1, 4.80 in his last three starts; under is 3-0-2 in his last five. Phillies are 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-9-4
Mets won their last three games; over is 7-3 in their last ten road games. NY is 2-5 in last seven road series openers. Phillies are 5-2 in last seven home games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Phils are 7-6 in last 13 home series openers.
Braves @ Marlins
Gohara is 1-3, 5.02 in four starts (over 2-2). Braves won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3-1
Straily is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Marlins are 9-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-11-4
Braves lost five of last six games; under is 7-1 in their last eight. Marlins lost three of last five games (under 4-1).
Dodgers @ Rockies
Ryu is 0-2, 4.24 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. dodgers are 3-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-4
Bettis is 1-3, 7.97 in his last five starts (under 7-1). Colorado is 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-5-1
Dodgers won their last four games, last three of which went over. LA is 13-5 in last 18 road series openers. Colorado won three of last four games; under is 8-2 in their last ten. Rockies are 15-5 in last 20 home series openers.
Brewers @ Cardinals
Anderson is 3-1, 1.99 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Milwaukee is 7-5 in his road starts— their 1st 5-inning record with him: 15-7-2
Gant allowed one run in three IP (48 PT) in his first ’17 start, which was on the road. Cardinals’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1
Milwaukee won five of last six road games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Brewers are 6-10 in last 16 road series openers. St Louis lost five of last six games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games. Cardinals are 8-5 in last 13 home series openers- they got eliminated yesterday, while Milwaukee is two games behind Colorado for Wild Card spot.
Padres @ Giants
Lyles is 1-2, 7.92 in four starts for San Diego (over 3-1). Padres split his two road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2
Stratton is 1-1, 5.02 in his last four starts (under 5-4). Giants are 4-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5-1
Padres lost their last four games, all of which went over. San Diego is 4-7 in last 11 road series openers. Giants lost four of last six games; under is 6-1 in their last seven home games. SF is 5-14 in last 19 home series openers.
——————————–
American League
Blue Jays @ New York
Biagini is 0-3, 7.71 in his last four starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Toronto is 3-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-1
Garcia is 0-3, 6.03 in eight starts for New York (under 6-2). NY is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-5-2
Toronto won three of its last four games; their last four road games went over. Blue Jays are 7-12 in last 19 road series openers. New York won 11 of last 15 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 home games. NY won its last four home series openers.
Orioles @ Rays
Miley is 0-4, 9.92 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Baltimore is 8-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-17-2
Odorizzi is 4-1, 3.62 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Tampa Bay is 4-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-4
Orioles lost four of last five games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Baltimore is 9-16 in road series openers. Tampa Bay lost three of last four games; under is 19-9-1 in their last 29 home games. Rays are 3-7 in last ten home series openers.
White Sox @ Indians
Pelfrey is 0-5, 8.76 in his last five starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. White Sox are 3-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-2
Bauer is 6-1, 3.10 in his last eight starts; under is 9-1-1 in his last 11. Cleveland is 9-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 18-8-4
White Sox won six of last eight games; under is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Chicago is 3-7 in last ten road series openers. Cleveland is 31-3 in its last 34 games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games. Indians are 10-1 in last 11 home series openers.
Astros @ Red Sox
Morton is 3-1, 2.74 in his last four starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Houston is 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-7-2
Fister is 0-1, 11.12 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Boston is 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-9
Houston won 12 of its last 14 games; over is 5-0 in their last five. Boston won 10 of last 14 games; over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.
A’s @ Rangers
Alcantara is 1-0, 0.00 (8.2 IP) in two starts this season (over 1-1). A’s won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-0
Perez is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Texas is 8-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-14-4
A’s won 9 of last 11 games; over is 9-6 in their last 15 road games. Texas lost its last seven games; under is 8-4 in their last 12.
Tigers @ Twins
Boyd is 1-0, 1.15 in his last two starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Detroit is 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11-6
Berrios is 1-2, 4.50 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four starts. Minnesota is 8-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-3
Twins won five of last seven games but lost last two; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Minnesota is 6-3 in last nine road series openers. Detroit lost nine of its last ten games; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14. Tigers are 0-8 in last eight home series openers.
Mariners @ Angels
Gonzales is 1-1, 7.01 in six starts this season (over 5-1). Seattle is 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-4
Skaggs is 1-4, 5.98 in his last eight starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Angels are 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-9-3
Seattle is 3-8 in its last 11 games; their last eight series openers stayed under. Mariners are 11-5 in last 16 road series openers. Angels lost nine of last 11 games; under is 5-3 in their last eight. Halos are 6-15 in last 21 home series openers.
__________________________
Interleague
Diamondbacks @ Royals
Greinke is 3-0, 3.49 in his last six starts; under is 6-1-2 in his last nine starts. Arizona is 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 19-7-5
Kennedy is 0-4, 8.72 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Royals are 5-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-18-4
Arizona won five of last seven games (over 5-2). Snakes won four of last five road series openers. Royals are 5-3 in last eight home games; under is 4-1 in last five. KC is 4-7 in last 11 home series openers.
______________________________
Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Cin-Chi: Stephenson 6-4; Quintana 9-4
Pitt-Wsh: Cole 17-15; Strasburg 21-6
NY-Phil: Harvey 6-11; Lively 13-14
Atl-Mia: Gohara 1-3; Straily 15-17
LA-Colo: Ryu 11-12; Bettis 3-5
Mil-StL: Anderson 13-11; Gant 0-1
SD-SF: Lyles 2-2; Stratton 5-4
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
AL @ NL: Over 75-65-8
Total: Over 146-133-12
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56
Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56
Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47
Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Stphnson) 15.100
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 16.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-180
No Total Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-180); N/A
Pittsburgh @ Washington
Game 903-904
September 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 14.173
Washington
(Strasburg) 15.863
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-185
7 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-185); Under
NY Mets @ Philadelphia
Game 905-906
September 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Harvey) 15.386
Philadelphia
(Lively) 12.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-135
9 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+115); Over
Atlanta @ Miami
Game 907-908
September 29, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Gohara) 14.043
Miami
(Straily) 12.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-150
8 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+130); Over
LA Dodgers @ Colorado
Game 909-910
September 29, 2017 @ 8:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 13.882
Colorado
(Bettis) 17.349
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-115
12 Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-105); Under
Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Game 911-912
September 29, 2017 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Andrson) 16.201
St. Louis
(Gant) 12.803
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A
San Diego @ San Francisco
Game 913-914
September 29, 2017 @ 10:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lyles) 11.367
San Francisco
(Stratton) 13.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-135
8 1/2 Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-135); Over
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Game 915-916
September 29, 2017 @ 1:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Biagini) 15.928
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 17.076
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
No Line
N/A Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
N/A
Baltimore @ Tampa Bay
Game 917-918
September 29, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Miley) 14.335
Tampa Bay
(Odorizzi) 16.325
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-145
9 Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-145); Over
Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland
Game 919-920
September 29, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Pelfrey) 15.163
Cleveland
(Bauer) 17704
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A
Houston @ Boston
Game 921-922
September 29, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Morton) 18.876
Boston
(Fister) 15.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 16.079
Minnesota
(Gibson) 15.014
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
No Line
N/A Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
N/A
Seattle @ LA Angels
Game 927-928
September 29, 2017 @ 10:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 15.996
LA Angels
(Skaggs) 14.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-160
9 Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+140); Under
1:05 PM TORONTO vs. NY YANKEES
Toronto is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
NY Yankees are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games
2:20 PM CINCINNATI vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
7:05 PM NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing NY Mets
7:05 PM PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
7:10 PM CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
7:10 PM ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
7:10 PM HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Houston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing Houston
7:10 PM BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games at home
8:05 PM OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas's last 12 games
8:10 PM LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Colorado
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 18 games at home
8:10 PM DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Detroit
8:15 PM ARIZONA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona
8:15 PM MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 21 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
10:07 PM SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Seattle's last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of LA Angels's last 23 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Angels are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Seattle
10:15 PM SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 game
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