Saturday 10-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Southern Mississippi at Texas-San Antonio

ATS Trends
Southern Mississippi

Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Golden Eagles are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Golden Eagles are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Golden Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Golden Eagles are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Golden Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Texas-San Antonio

Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Roadrunners are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Roadrunners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Roadrunners are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.

OU Trends
Southern Mississippi

Under is 6-1 in Golden Eagles last 7 games overall.
Under is 6-1 in Golden Eagles last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 10-2 in Golden Eagles last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Golden Eagles last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-2-1 in Golden Eagles last 11 games in October.
Under is 3-1-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 road games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Golden Eagles last 7 games following a bye week.
Under is 5-2-1 in Golden Eagles last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Golden Eagles last 11 games on grass.

Texas-San Antonio

Over is 5-1 in Roadrunners last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-1 in Roadrunners last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Roadrunners last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Roadrunners last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 5-2 in Roadrunners last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Roadrunners last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: TDECU Stadium, Houston, Texas

Preview: SMU at Houston
Gracenote
Oct 4, 2017

SMU will take its high-scoring offense to in-state rival Houston on Saturday in a key American Athletic Conference matchup. The Mustangs have won back-to-back games by a combined 44 points and rank third nationally with a scoring average of 48.2 points per game.

Quarterback Ben Hicks - who is fourth nationally with 14 passing touchdowns - and the Mustangs will get a test from a Houston defense that is allowing 14.8 points. Houston may be without star tackle Ed Oliver (sprained left MCL), who is listed as day-to-day after leaving in the first half of the win at Temple. "Once he gets the brace on and starts getting more active with it, we'll have to evaluate it throughout the week," coach Major Applewhite told the media Monday. The SMU defense, meanwhile, leads the nation with 21 sacks while the Cougars have allowed four.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network. LINE: Houston -9.5.

ABOUT SMU (4-1, 1-0 AAC): Hicks (89-of-164, 1,275 yards, three INT) is coming off his best game of the year after a 27-of-37 performance for 280 yards and four TDs against Connecticut. Trey Quinn (37 catches for 431 yards, four TDs) and Courtland Sutton (20 catches, 329 yards, FBS-best seven TDs) give the Mustangs a pair of explosive targets. Defensive end Justin Lawler (30 tackles, eight tackles for loss, team-high six sacks) was named the AAC defensive player of the week after recording four sacks and a blocked field goal last week.

ABOUT HOUSTON (3-1, 1-0): Kyle Postma (36-of-54, 371 yards, one INT, two TDs) started in place of Kyle Allen (80-of-104, 771 yards, four INTs, four TDs) last week and is listed atop this week's depth chart, although Applewhite won't name a starter until closer to the game-time. Linell Bonner (32 catches, 300 yards, three TDs) and Steven Dunbar (24 catches, 290 yards) lead a talented receiver corps while D'Eriq King has 12 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown to go with a rushing touchdown in two games. Linebacker Matthew Adams leads the conference with 10.8 tackles while safety Khalil Williams has a team-best seven tackles for loss.

EXTRA POINTS

1. SMU is one of two FBS schools -- joining AAC foe Central Florida -- to score at least 36 points in every game this season.

2. SMU's Kyran Mitchell (3), Tyeson Neals (3) and Mason Gentry (2) also have multiple sacks.

3. Sophomore DT Aymiel Fleming (three tackles this season) got the most playing time of his career in place of Oliver last week.

PREDICTION: Houston 38, SMU 31

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Southern Methodist at Houston

ATS Trends
Southern Methodist

Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Mustangs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Mustangs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Mustangs are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Houston

Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cougars are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Cougars are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cougars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

OU Trends
Southern Methodist

Over is 5-0 in Mustangs last 5 road games.
Over is 4-0 in Mustangs last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 4-1 in Mustangs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 13-4 in Mustangs last 17 games in October.
Over is 8-3 in Mustangs last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Mustangs last 13 conference games.

Houston

Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 games on turf.
Under is 6-0 in Cougars last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 conference games.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

Preview: Kansas State at Texas
Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

First-year Texas coach Tom Herman came in with a reputation as one of college football's top offensive minds after winning the Broyles Award as offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach for Ohio State's 2014 national championship team. But it's been a much-improved defense that is carrying the Longhorns into Saturday night's Big 12 contest with visiting Kansas State.

Texas allowed an average of 31.5 points and and 448 yards per game in 2016 and was embarrassed by Maryland, 51-41, in Herman's Longhorn head coaching debut on Sept. 2. But in three games since that debacle, including a better-than-expected 27-24 double overtime loss at Sam Darnold-led USC, Texas is allowing an average of just 11.3 points and 298.3 yards per game and has held each opponent to less than 100 yards rushing, including Iowa State to just 10 yards on the ground in a 17-7 victory last week. That defense figures to be put to the test again this week by a physical Kansas State offense that is averaging 37.5 points and 229 yards rushing. "I'm really proud of the way that our defense has played the last three weeks," Herman said. "They're certainly playing at a level that we can certainly win with."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: Texas -7

ABOUT KANSAS STATE (3-1, 1-0 Big 12): Senior quarterback Jesse Ertz is off to a strong start for the Wildcats, rushing for a team-high 332 yards and three touchdowns while also passing for 706 yards and five more scores. He had 78 yards rushing and two touchdowns to go along with 171 passing yards and another TD to highlight Kansas State's 24-21 win over the Longhorns last season. The defense, led by linebacker Trent Tanking (26 tackles) and tackle Will Geary (three sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss), ranks 15th nationally in scoring (15.0 points allowed) and 21st in total defense (308.5 yards).

ABOUT TEXAS (2-2, 1-0): Shane Buechele, who returned to the starting lineup at Iowa State after missing two games with a shoulder injury, is expected to start again at quarterback despite wearing a walking boot earlier in the week for a sprained ankle. He passed for 171 yards and connected with 11 different receivers in the Iowa State win despite playing behind a thin offensive line that is without All-American left tackle Connor Williams (sprained MCL, torn meniscus, sprained PCL) for the immediate future. The The defense, led by nose tackle Poona Ford, linebacker Malik Jefferson (team-high 33 tackles) and cornerback DeShon Elliott (four interceptions in last two games), has already forced eight turnovers this season, including seven interceptions.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Kansas State leads the series with Texas, 10-7, but is just 3-6 in Austin.

2. Texas already has five non-offensive touchdowns this season after having none in 2016 and leads the NCAA with four defensive TDs.

3. Kansas State has won its last six games against teams from Texas including five major FBS programs (Texas, Texas A&M, TCU, Texas Tech, Baylor).

PREDICTION: Texas 21, Kansas State 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Kansas State at Texas

ATS Trends
Kansas State

Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 games in October.

Texas

Longhorns are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Longhorns are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Longhorns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
Kansas State

Under is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a straight up win.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 12-5 in Wildcats last 17 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 games overall.
Under is 14-6 in Wildcats last 20 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Texas

Under is 4-0 in Longhorns last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Longhorns last 9 games on fieldturf.
Under is 8-2 in Longhorns last 10 games in October.
Under is 21-6 in Longhorns last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 20-7-1 in Longhorns last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 20-7 in Longhorns last 27 games following a ATS win.
Under is 20-8 in Longhorns last 28 games following a straight up win.
Under is 7-3 in Longhorns last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-4 in Longhorns last 13 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 35-16 in Longhorns last 51 games overall.
Under is 37-18-1 in Longhorns last 56 home games.
Under is 35-17-1 in Longhorns last 53 conference games.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Texas.
Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:15 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts

Preview: Virginia Tech at Boston College
Gracenote
Oct 4, 2017

No. 19 Virginia Tech has a good opportunity to rebound from its first loss of the season when it visits Boston College for an ACC tilt Saturday night. The Hokies were outclassed by No. 2 Clemson 31-17 last weekend, outgaining the Tigers by 10 yards but committing each of the game's three turnovers.

"We were prepping to play a good team and practicing hard, we all expected to execute," sophomore defensive tackle Tim Settle told reporters. "And the fact we didn't is kind of a low blow. Our motto is the next game, 1-0. So we've just got to move forward." The Hokies could draw upon their recent meetings with the Eagles, including a 49-0 rout at home last year and a 26-10 win at Chestnut Hill in 2015. Boston College lost 34-7 to Clemson two weeks ago to finish a difficult stretch of games before returning home to knock off Central Michigan by a 28-8 margin last week. Jon Hilliman scored three times for the Eagles, who are playing under the lights on a Saturday night at home for the first time since 2014.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: Virginia Tech -16.5

ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (4-1, 0-1 ACC): Freshman Josh Jackson threw multiple interceptions for the first time in his young career against Clemson but he did manage to complete at least 65 percent of his passes for the third straight game. Jackson is one of five rushers to amass between 133 and 191 yards and one of seven to find the end zone for the ACC's fifth-ranked ground attack (192.6 yards). Senior Cam Phillips is second in the conference in receiving yards (597) and needs five catches to surpass Isaiah Ford (210) and establish a school record.

ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (2-3, 0-2): Hilliman did find the end zone three times but often was outshined by rising freshman AJ Dillon, who broke out for a personal-best 120 yards on 25 carries. Coach Steve Addazio said that Dillon "is doing really great" after he was forced from the Central Michigan game due to a big hit. The Eagles are 12th in the ACC in yards per carry (3.6) and could use some improvement to assist redshirt freshman quarterback Anthony Brown, who has totaled just 218 yards on 51 passes over the last two weeks.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Hokies K Joey Slye is 8-for-14 on field goals this year but needs seven points to overtake K Shayne Graham (371) as the program's all-time leading scorer.

2. Eagles FS Lukas Denis is tied for the FBS lead with five interceptions after recording two last week.

3. Boston College was held to 124 total yards and completed 9-of-29 passes in last year's blowout loss at Virginia Tech.

PREDICTION: Virginia Tech 27, Boston College 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 19 Virginia Tech at Boston College

ATS Trends
Virginia Tech

Hokies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Hokies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Hokies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Boston College

Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-10-2 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Eagles are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 conference games.

OU Trends
Virginia Tech

Over is 4-0 in Hokies last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 13-3 in Hokies last 16 games in October.
Under is 4-1-1 in Hokies last 6 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Hokies last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 9-3 in Hokies last 12 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 19-8 in Hokies last 27 conference games.
Under is 7-3 in Hokies last 10 road games.

Boston College

Under is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 19-6-1 in Eagles last 26 games in October.
Under is 12-4 in Eagles last 16 home games.
Under is 36-14-1 in Eagles last 51 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 35-15-2 in Eagles last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 36-16-2 in Eagles last 54 conference games.
Under is 29-13-1 in Eagles last 43 games following a ATS win.
Under is 35-16-1 in Eagles last 52 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 40-19-1 in Eagles last 60 games on fieldturf.
Under is 65-31-2 in Eagles last 98 games overall.

Head to Head

Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:15 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: Kyle Field, College Station, Texas

Preview: Alabama at Texas A&M
Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

Top-ranked Alabama has looked more than imposing over the past two weeks and aims for another convincing victory when it visits Texas A&M on Saturday in SEC play. The Crimson Tide routed Vanderbilt and Ole Miss by a cumulative 125-3 over the past two games while averaging 645 yards of total offense.

Even never-satisfied coach Nick Saban complimented his players for the back-to-back shellackings but he also is cautioning his squad that it needs to be supremely prepared for the Aggies, who have won four straight games. "This is by far, I think, the strongest team we've played to this point all the way around," Saban told reporters of a slate that began with Florida State. "It's certainly going to be a real challenge for us and test for us being a division game on the road." Texas A&M has responded well from its season-opening loss against UCLA -- when it blew a 34-point lead -- and coach Kevin Sumlin insisted his club won't deviate from the formula against the red-hot Crimson Tide. "Our emphasis and what we're doing here is not going to change because of the opponent," Sumlin said at a press conference. "We've got goals every week internally that we're trying to reach, and this team responds to that by getting a little bit better every week. ... Whether or not that will be good enough, we'll see."

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Alabama -26.5

ABOUT ALABAMA (5-0, 2-0 SEC): Sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts has gone 169 passes without throwing an interception dating back to last season -- the third-longest streak in school history -- but is a bigger force with his legs as he has a team-best 461 rushing yards. Junior receiver Calvin Ridley is having another solid campaign with 24 receptions for 322 yards and his 185 career catches are third most in school history behind Amari Cooper (228 from 2012-14) and D.J. Hall (194 from 2004-07). Senior cornerback Levi Wallace, who has a team-best three interceptions, was the SEC Defensive Player of the Week after picking off two passes and returning one for a touchdown in the 66-3 annihilation of Ole Miss.

ABOUT TEXAS A&M (4-1, 2-0): The Aggies have already racked up 20 sacks -- led by 5.5 from junior defensive end Landis Durham -- and are receiving solid play from senior safety Armani Watts (team leader with three interceptions and 37 tackles) and junior weakside linebacker Otaro Alaka (team-best seven tackles for loss). Junior gamebreaking receiver Christian Kirk is only averaging 11.5 yards per catch while hauling in 23 passes (including four scores) but has been superb with a 30.2 kickoff return average to go with one touchdown. Freshman quarterback Kellen Mond has passed for 808 yards and six touchdowns against two interceptions while sophomore running back Trayveon Williams (384 yards) hasn't maintained his season-opening dominance when he rushed for 202 yards against UCLA.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Alabama holds a 7-2 series edge and has won the past four meetings.

2. Crimson Tide senior DE Da'Shawn Hand (knee) will miss the contest, while sophomore CB Trevon Diggs (foot) is questionable.

3. The Aggies allowed just 23 rushing yards and had seven sacks in last Saturday's 24-17 win over South Carolina.

PREDICTION: Alabama 48, Texas A&M 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 1 Alabama at Texas A&M

ATS Trends
Alabama

Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Crimson Tide are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Crimson Tide are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Crimson Tide are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Crimson Tide are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games in October.
Crimson Tide are 16-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Texas A&M

Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 16-34-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games in October.
Aggies are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Aggies are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 conference games.
Aggies are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games on grass.
Aggies are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Aggies are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Aggies are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Aggies are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Alabama

Over is 6-1 in Crimson Tide last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Crimson Tide last 8 road games.
Under is 20-8 in Crimson Tide last 28 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Texas A&M

Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 12-4 in Aggies last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 13-5-1 in Aggies last 19 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 home games.
Under is 7-3 in Aggies last 10 games in October.
Over is 38-18-1 in Aggies last 57 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky

Preview: Missouri at Kentucky
Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

Kentucky hopes to keep its SEC East title hopes alive when it hosts struggling Missouri on Saturday. The Wildcats have won their last two meetings with the Tigers, including a 35-21 road victory a year ago.


The Wildcats’ division title hopes took a hit with a heartbreaking 28-27 loss to Florida on Sept. 23, but they have a favorable schedule over the next five weeks. If Kentucky can run the table during that stretch, its Nov. 18 contest at Georgia could have title implications. Missouri is making its first road trip of the season and hopes to have more luck than it has had at home. The Tigers have had two weeks to try to figure things out since being routed 51-14 by Auburn for their third straight loss - a slide during which they’ve been outscored 117-30.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network. LINE: Kentucky -10


ABOUT MISSOURI (1-3, 0-2 SEC): The Tigers average 445.2 total yards per game, although that total is skewed by a record-setting effort in a season-opening win over Missouri State. The offense has mostly sputtered since then despite returning most of the key players to a unit than came on strong at the end of last season, including quarterback Drew Lock. However, the Tigers’ biggest concerns are on defense, as they’ve allowed 452.5 total yards and 40 points per contest.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (4-1, 1-1): The Wildcats have the third-best run defense in the nation, allowing just 74 yards per game after limiting Eastern Michigan to 13 last week. They’ve also been opportunistic, ranking third in the SEC and 11th in the nation with a plus-7 turnover margin. Running back Benny Snell Jr. is Kentucky’s biggest threat on offense, and he could be in line for a big performance against a Missouri defense that allows 194.8 rushing yards per game.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Kentucky WR Garrett Johnson has 127 career receptions and needs two to move into the top 10 on the school’s all-time list.

2. Missouri WR J’Mon Moore has caught a pass in 21 straight games, the fourth-longest active streak in the SEC.

3. Kentucky K Austin MacGinnis (298) needs eight points to pass Lones Seiber as the leading scorer in program history.


PREDICTION: Kentucky 30, Missouri 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Missouri at Kentucky

ATS Trends
Missouri

Tigers are 28-7 ATS in their last 35 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Tigers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference games.
Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Kentucky

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Wildcats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Missouri

Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games in October.
Under is 21-7-1 in Tigers last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 13-5 in Tigers last 18 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games on grass.
Over is 12-5-1 in Tigers last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 11-5 in Tigers last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 19-9 in Tigers last 28 games overall.

Kentucky

Over is 9-1-1 in Wildcats last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 12-5-1 in Wildcats last 18 conference games.

Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Fresno State at San Jose State
When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, California
Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The San Jose State Spartans are ranked 114 on offense, averaging 321.2 yards per game. The Spartans are averaging 117.8 yards rushing and 203.3 yards passing so far this season.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are ranked 53 on offense, averaging 429.2 yards per game. The Bulldogs are averaging 145.2 yards rushing and 284.0 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The San Jose State Spartans are 1-2 at home this season, 0-2 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Spartans are averaging 22.0 scoring, and holding teams to 38.7 points scored on defense.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 0-2 while on the road this season, 1-0 against conference opponents and 1-2 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Bulldogs are averaging 13.0 scoring, and holding teams to 44.5 points scored on defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Fresno State at San Jose State

ATS Trends
Fresno State

Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October.
Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Bulldogs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

San Jose State

Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Spartans are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends
Fresno State

Under is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 6-2 in Bulldogs last 8 games in October.
Over is 7-3-1 in Bulldogs last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Over is 15-7 in Bulldogs last 22 games on fieldturf.

San Jose State

Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 34-16-2 in Spartans last 52 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Head to Head

Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Jose State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 7, 2017
Where: Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan

Preview: Michigan State at Michigan
Gracenote
Oct 5, 2017

Seventh-ranked Michigan looks to keep its perfect record intact when it hosts Michigan State in the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy on Saturday. The Wolverines have won their first four games of the season, including a 28-10 victory against Purdue, but will be without starting quarterback Wilton Speight, who suffered a neck injury against the Boilermakers, and John O'Korn hopes to rise to the occasion by leading Michigan to back-to-back wins against the Spartans for the first time since 2006-07.

"John's done a fantastic job ever since he got here," Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh told reporters. "He's acquitted himself very well including coming off the bench and leading our team to a victory against Purdue." Michigan State bounced back from a disappointing 38-18 home loss to No. 22 Notre Dame by shutting down Iowa 17-10. The Spartans, who held the Hawkeyes to just 231 total yards, are hoping for a repeat performance against Michigan's struggling offensive line, as they strive for their fifth win in their last six visits to Ann Arbor. "When you play in a rivalry game, it's just not another football game, it means more," Michigan State head coach Mark Dantonio told reporters. "My goal when I came here was to make it a rivalry and I think it's a rivalry so we'll leave it at that."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC. LINE: Michigan -10.5

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (3-1, 1-0 Big Ten): Wide receiver Felton Davis was named the Big Ten's Co-Offensive Player of the Week after hauling in a career-high nine passes for 114 yards and two touchdowns in the win over Iowa. Brian Lewerke threw for 212 yards and two touchdowns to go along with another 42 on the ground to take his season total to 248 rushing yards, which is second best among Big Ten quarterbacks. Senior running back Gerald Holmes, who has rushed for 1,120 yards and 13 touchdowns in his career, and safety Matt Morrissey were named the team captains for Saturday's clash.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (4-0, 1-0): O'Korn came off the bench to replace Speight, who will miss "multiple weeks," according to Harbaugh, and put on an impressive display as he completed 18-of-26 passes for 270 yards and a touchdown in the win against Purdue. Defensive end Chase Winovich continues to terrorize opposing backfields as he registered eight tackles, including 3.5 for loss, and 2.5 sacks against the Boilermakers to give him five sacks on the season, which ranks second nationally. Defensive back Nate Johnson was dismissed from the team on Wednesday after he was charged with domestic violence.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Michigan State has won seven of the last nine meetings with Michigan.

2. The Wolverines lead the nation in total defense (203.3 yards) and sacks (4.5) per game.

3. Saturday will mark the first night game in the 110 editions of the rivalry.

PREDICTION: Michigan 27, Michigan State 17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Michigan State at No. 7 Michigan

ATS Trends
Michigan State

Spartans are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Spartans are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Spartans are 17-8-2 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Spartans are 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Spartans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.

Michigan

Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Wolverines are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Wolverines are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

OU Trends
Michigan State

Over is 7-1 in Spartans last 8 games following a bye week.
Under is 5-1 in Spartans last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 12-4 in Spartans last 16 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 7-3 in Spartans last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.

Michigan

Over is 5-1 in Wolverines last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Wolverines last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 12-4-1 in Wolverines last 17 games following a bye week.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wolverines last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 15-5-1 in Wolverines last 21 games on fieldturf.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wolverines last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wolverines last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 12-4-1 in Wolverines last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 18-7-1 in Wolverines last 26 games overall.
Over is 10-4 in Wolverines last 14 games in October.
Over is 10-4-1 in Wolverines last 15 home games.
Over is 12-5 in Wolverines last 17 conference games.
Over is 7-3 in Wolverines last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 9-4-1 in Wolverines last 14 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 11-5 in Wolverines last 16 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Head to Head

Spartans are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Michigan.