Friday 10-13-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #2 - BELMONT PARK - 1:28 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $12,500.00 CLAIMING $25,000.00 PURSE

#3 PEDRO CERRANO
#4 DROVER CRAZY
#7 MAJOR LEAGUE
#5 GLOBAL POSITIONING

#3 PEDRO CERRANO qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, including "POWER RUN WINS" in his last start, as well as in his 3rd race back. #4 DROVER CRAZY drops in class (-9), has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, and has turned in a trio of "POWER RUNS" in his respective last five outings, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 4th race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 57

Rating: 3

#8 CHALYPSO (ML=3/1)
#7 COPELAN'S CUTIE (ML=4/1)
#5 CLASSY DI (ML=9/2)


CHALYPSO - A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a sharp race is a good omen. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. COPELAN'S CUTIE - Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a nice effort last time out within the last month. She has the top earnings per start. Check out this one. CLASSY DI - Mare's win percentage is better than 50 percent in first and second starts off a layoff. Finished off the board last out at Charles Town, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 9/2 makes me think she's got a chance. A repeat of that latest race on March 17th where she earned a fig of 60 looks high enough to score in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 STAR STELLA (ML=5/2), #3 MARY'S LISTED NEXT (ML=6/1),

STAR STELLA - This morning-line favorite may be out of shape without any recent works. Tough to put your dough on the win end of any entrant that finishes second and third as often as this horse does. MARY'S LISTED NEXT - This filly didn't do much for me last time out of the box. I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled now and then.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 CHALYPSO on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 8

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta


Allowance • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 81 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 8:32P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * PRIVATE FIRST PRIZE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibas e Speed Rating. SWEET CALIENTE ROYAL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PAINT YOUR JEWELS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse rank s in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
PRIVATE FIRST PRIZE
9/5

7/2
3
SWEET CALIENTE ROYAL
8/1

5/1
5
PAINT YOUR JEWELS
5/1

7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Allowance - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 93

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 LA CHIKITA 2/1

# 6 BLANK CZECH 3/1

# 2 TEDDY BREWSKY 8/1

LA CHIKITA is the most respectable wager in this race. Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 93 speed fig which is one of the top in this field. She looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Put up a decent Equibase speed fig last time out. BLANK CZECH - He has quite good class ratings, averaging 90, and has to be given a shot in this race. Has to be carefully examined against this field displaying strong figures as of late and an average speed fig of 81 under similar conditions. TEDDY BREWSKY - Earnings per start in short races is strong for this equine.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 GIANNI BAILES 4/1

# 4 DASH N TRES SEIS 10/1

# 2 JESS A CORONA BABY 5/2

GIANNI BAILES is the top wager in this race. Must be considered here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 79, and has to be considered for this event. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 1 out of 5 in his races lately. DASH N TRES SEIS - This filly has a good win percent in short races. Always tough to beat Bard and Calderon working together, winning 26 percent of their races. JESS A CORONA BABY - Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. I think having Medina ride this filly is a smart choice.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Penn National

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Penn National, Race 7 (Friday October 13, 2017)

INTO BATTLE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PEN-7 1mile DIRT Six Horses
"A" MCL 8,000 F/M 3YUP $15,300
P# dd ex t s ML WP TVL

6 INTO BATTLE 6/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 2:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,700 Class Rating: 73

Rating: 4

#1 HESASHREWDDUDE (ML=7/2)


HESASHREWDDUDE - The jockey/trainer duo of Contreras and Ross has a strong return on investment together. Ran last time around the track against tougher competition at Woodbine. The move down the class scale should suit him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 RED BO (ML=5/2), #5 AFTER PARTY (ML=4/1), #2 CATS CASSINOVA (ML=6/1),

RED BO - In all probability won't make much of a mark this time around. AFTER PARTY - This horse hasn't been in the mix in either of his last two efforts. CATS CASSINOVA - This horse just hasn't looked ready of late. This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last clash which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 HESASHREWDDUDE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 7

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 71 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:30P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * NO SHOW MR JONES: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MDA MOUNTAIN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
NO SHOW MR JONES
7/2

2/1
6
MDA MOUNTAIN
6/1

9/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON LEE

10* FREE MLB PICK (Yankees +155)

I think the price is right here to back the Yankees in Game 1 of the ALCS against the Astros. New York is riding a huge wave of momentum after rallying from an 0-2 deficit to take out the Indians in the ALDS. I think they keep it going here and they will send out Masahiro Tanaka, who got this whole thing going for the Yankees with a sensational start in Game 3 against Cleveland. Tanaka struck out 7 and allowed just 3 hits over 7 scoreless innings. I know he's going up against Houston ace Dallas Keuchel, but this will be just his second start in the last 17 days. I look for him to be off his game a bit here and he had 3 walks and lasted just 5 2/3 in his lone start in the ALDS against Boston. New York is 6-1 in their last 7 road games against vs an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.90 or less. Give me the Yankees +155!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS CLUB

California vs Washington State Over 55

This play just missed out on our premium card. California and Washington State face off on Friday night, and at this total the value sits with the over.
The Washington State Cougars offense is Dynamic, and that will show from early on in this game. So far this season they are averaging 39.7 points per game.
Cal doesn't necessarily have a good defense either. So far this year they are giving up 29 points per game, and I think the Cougars will take advantage of that from early on.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Washington State almost cover this spread by themselves.
This game is going to be a shootout with not a ton of defense being played.
Some trends to note. Over is 5-1 in Golden Bears last 6 Friday games. Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 road games.
Back the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Friday

CFL Ottawa Redblacks (+) @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 10 ET

Saskatchewan is a tough place to visit but, of course, the Redblacks are the defending champs and what I like the most about this situation is the ability to get the full 3 points. The last 4 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 points or less. In fact, the average margin of those 4 games was 1.8 points! To have the full field goal here in a game that is very important for both teams is certainly a "value add". Also, the Redblacks are playing this game with revenge as they did suffer a one point home loss to the Roughriders just 2 weeks ago. In that game Ottawa dominated on the ground and did hold a 24-16 edge in first downs in the game but they fell a point short on the scoreboard. The Redblacks are seeking payback tonight and Ottawa is on a perfect 6-0 ATS run as a road dog of 3 points or less. Saskatchewan is on a 5-11 ATS run as a favorite. Free Pick on OTTAWA plus the points in late night Friday action. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, October 13, 2017

NHL (59) DETROIT RED WINGS VS (60) VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS

Take: UNDER

Reason: Your free play for Friday, October 13, 2017 is in the NHL scheduled contest between the Detroit Red Wings and the Vegas Golden Knights. Red Wings in a tough spot here having played last night in Arizona and now playing in upstart Vegas' backyard. The Red Wings are 2-1 heading into Arizona, having scored just eight goals in their first three games and allowing seven. Vegas is in its inaugural season and has already had multiple firsts. The Golden Knights won their first game of the season at Dallas, then won it's opening night home game over the Arizona Coyotes, 5-2, making the club 3-0. They lead the NHL in goals against (1.3) behind veteran net minder Marc-Andre Fluery. Detroit will be tired here on Friday and not as willing to attack the offensive zone. With a red-hot Fluery between the pipes I look for this game to go UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

FRI NHL Columbus

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Oct. 13 is:

Washington Capitals over New Jersey Devils.

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RAY MONOHAN
MLB | Oct 13, 2017
Yankees vs. Astros
UNDER 8 +105

ALCS Game 1 pins a pair of pitchers who have been dominant this season.
Dallas Keuchel gets the ball for the Astros and he comes in off a solid performance in Game 2 of the ALDS. The huge kicker for him was that the Astros got to avoid using him the rest of the series. Keuchel is on full rest and enters Friday 5-2 with an under 2 ERA against the Yankees.
Tanaka counters and he was dominant in the ALDS versus Cleveland, as he threw 7 shutout innings. Overall, he's thrown 14 straight scoreless frames and is in a prime spot here to hold the Astros down.
Some trends to note. Under is 5-2 in Keuchels last 7 starts vs. Yankees. Under is 18-7 in Tanakas last 25 starts vs. American League West.
Expect a very closely played game with limited scoring chances.
Back the Under.