Monday 11-6-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond
Nov 06 '17, 7:05 PM in 38m
NHL | Golden Knights vs Maple Leafs
Play on: Maple Leafs -1½ +160 at 5dimes

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 06 '17, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Hawks
Play on: OVER 204½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Celtics/Hawks OVER 204.5

The Atlanta Hawks clearly play zero defense. They have gone 4-0 to the OVER in their last four games overall while giving up at least 115 points in all four games. They have been keeping up offensively though, scoring at least 100 points in five consecutive games. The Celtics have scored at least 101 points in four straight. Boston should hang a big number on the Hawks tonight to help this game get up and OVER the 204.5-point total. Give me the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Nov 06 '17, 7:05 PM in 38m
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Rangers
Play on: OVER 6 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Blue Jackets vs Rangers over 6 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Nov 06 '17, 10:05 PM in 3h
NHL | Red Wings vs Canucks
Play on: Canucks -150 at BMaker

My 1* Free Play is on the Vancouver Canucks (10:00 EST).
Detroit comes in off a highly satisfying 4-0 win over the Oilers in Edmonton yesterday afternoon and suffice it to say, I believe it’ll suffer a classic letdown here.
The Canucks broke a small two game slide with a solid 4-2 win at home over the Penguins in their latest action. Goaltender Jacob Markstrom made 39 stops in that one and he’s expected to get the call here as well.
Jimmy Howard gets the nod for the visitors and he’s so far been decent, going 2-1 in his last three while allowing seven total goals.
I’ll point out though that despite yesterday’s win, the Red Wings are still just 1-4 in their last five on the road, while Vancouver is a near-perfect 4-1 in its last five against the Eastern Conference.
As mentioned off the top, I think Detroit comes in with “heavy legs” after its big road win yesterday. Consider the home side in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 06 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Heat vs Warriors
Play on: Heat +15 -105 at 5Dimes

Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Miami Heat +15

The Key: The Miami Heat are playing much better now that Hassan Whiteside is healthy. He had missed 5 straight games before returning for the past 3 contests. The Heat beat the Bulls at home, pulled off the upset over the Clippers on the road yesterday, and only lost 94-95 to the Nuggets on the road after blowing a double-digit lead. They may lose to the Warriors tonight, but the price is too good to pass up with them catching 15 points here. Bets against any team (Golden State) off 3 straight covers as a favorite in November games are 32-9 ATS over the last 5 seasons. The Warriors shouldn't be laying this many points tonight. Take Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 06 '17, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Hawks
Play on: Celtics -8½ -105 at BMaker

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Boston Celtics -8.5

Quietly, the Boston Celtics have gone 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall since losing their first two games of the season. This team is playing with a ton of confidence now and clearly don't miss Gordon Hayward as much as most anticipated.

Now the Celtics should keep rolling against one of the worst teams in the NBA in the Atlanta Hawks, who are 2-8 SU & 3-6-1 ATS on the season. Six of their eight losses have come by double-digits, so they have rarely been competitive.

However, they shocked the Cleveland Cavaliers yesterday with a 117-115 road win as 11-point underdogs. But that win works in our favor here as this is now a massive letdown spot for the Hawks. They won't bring the same focus and intensity they played with against the Cavs last night.

The Celtics also played yesterday, but no player played more than 29 minutes, and 13 players saw game action. They'll still be fresh and ready to go tonight. The Hawks have an eight-man rotation and are missing several key players due to injury. The back-to-back situation hurts them more, and that should show up on the scoreboard tonight. Bet the Celtics Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Nov 06 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Heat vs Warriors
Play on: UNDER 226½ -110

Free pick on Warriors/Heat UNDER
I think we are getting some great value here on the total in Monday's late night non-conference tilt between the Heat and Warriors. With Golden State coming off a 127-point outburst in their last game against the Nuggets and the over being such a big public play in Warriors games, I think the books have inflated this total quite a bit.
Miami's playing well right now and just knocked off the Clippers 104-101 on the road yesterday. The Heat know they have no chance in beating the Warriors in a shootout. I expect them to try and slow this game down as much as they can. On top of that, they really have no choice but to play at a slower pace, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd road game in the last 4 days.
UNDER is 4-1 in Golden State's last 5 games after they scored more than 125 in their previous game and 10-4 in their last 14 home games against a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 21-9 in the Heat's last 30 road games in the 1st half of the season and 13-2 in their last 15 off a close win by 3 points or less.
We also have a great system in play backing the UNDER in this contest. UNDER is 32-12 (73%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 220 or more with a road team off at least 1 win and the home team having won at least 2 in a row. Take the UNDER!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Nov 06 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Heat vs Warriors
Play on: UNDER 225 -115

Free Play on Heat vs Warriors under 225 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Nov 06 '17, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Hawks
Play on: Celtics -7½ -110 at BMaker

Take Boston (#501)
Do Not Miss Teddy's One & Only NFL Game of the YEAR on Monday Night! Teddy is riding a smokin’ 80% NFL Run over the last 3+ weeks; cashing at a 66% clip in the NFL since Week 1. Plus, Teddy is a perfect 6-0 on Monday Night Football this year. Get onboard NOW!
The Celtics lost Gordon Hayward five minutes into the season. Boston lost on opening night, then lost the following night at home to Milwaukee. The betting markets immediately devalued Boston; a team with a whole host of new faces just learning to play with one another. That was a mistake!
Head coach Brad Stevens has worked his magic. The Celtics haven’t lost since that defeat to the Bucks on the second night of the season. That includes road wins, by margin, at Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Miami, Orlando and OKC; all of whom are better than the bottom feeder Hawks team they’ll face today.
The Celtics enter Sunday with the #1defense in the NBA, allowing fewer than 96 points per 100 possessions. That’s bad news for a Hawks team that ranks #26 in offensive efficiency this season. Other than veteran point guard Dennis Schroder, this is not a team loaded with playmakers. When the Hawks aren’t draining three’s, they’re a rough team to watch (or bet on). And, frankly, not many teams are draining three’s against this stout Boston defense these days.
The Celtics are set up extremely well for the second night of back-2-backs. No starter reached 30 minutes against the Magic yesterday, and 13 different players saw the floor, leaving them relatively fresh here. That stands in sharp contrast to the Hawks level of ‘freshness’ this evening.
Atlanta is coming off an outright upset at Cleveland yesterday, a big win for a VERY young basketball team. They barely hung on to their double digit lead during crunch time – intense minutes. Head coach Mike Budenholzer went with an eight man rotation in that upset, with four starters on the wrong side of 30+ minutes. They’re both ‘fat and happy’ off a signature win and relatively tired; unable to get the job done in either previous back-2-back spot this season. Road chalk worth laying! Take the Celtics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Nov 06 '17, 9:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Nets vs Suns
Play on: UNDER 234½ -108

1* on Nets vs Suns under 234½ -108