Thursday 11-9-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, November 9

Chicago @ Philadelphia

Game 1-2
November 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.286
Philadelphia
9.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+100); Over

Edmonton @ New Jersey

Game 3-4
November 9, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
8.428
New Jersey
11.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+105); Under

Minnesota @ Montreal

Game 5-6
November 9, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.234
Montreal
12.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
N/A

Arizona @ St. Louis

Game 7-8
November 9, 2017 @ 8:06 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.538
St. Louis
11.529
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-240
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-240); Under

Detroit @ Calgary

Game 9-10
November 9, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.670
Calgary
10.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+145); Over

Vancouver @ Anaheim

Game 11-12
November 9, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
11.334
Anaheim
9.957
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+130); Over

Tampa Bay @ Los Angeles

Game 13-14
November 9, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.349
Los Angeles
11.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/a
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, November 9

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CHICAGO (7-6-0-2, 16 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (7-6-0-2, 16 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 345-344 ATS (-139.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 47-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-49 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

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EDMONTON (5-8-0-1, 11 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (9-4-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 2-7 ATS (-7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

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MINNESOTA (5-7-0-2, 12 pts.) at MONTREAL (7-8-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-0 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-0-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

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ARIZONA (2-13-0-2, 6 pts.) at ST LOUIS (12-3-0-1, 25 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-15 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 2-15 ATS (+22.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
ARIZONA is 0-8 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
ARIZONA is 6-31 ATS (+68.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-4 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-4 ATS (+6.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 5-10 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-0 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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DETROIT (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) at CALGARY (8-7-0-0, 16 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 99-110 ATS (-60.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
DETROIT is 123-82 ATS (+25.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (8-5-0-2, 18 pts.) at ANAHEIM (6-6-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 372-345 ATS (-110.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 17-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 422-421 ATS (+843.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 5-1 ATS (+6.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
VANCOUVER is 5-1 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 154-128 ATS (+288.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-5 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (12-2-0-2, 26 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (11-2-0-2, 24 pts.) - 11/9/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, November 9

Home side won nine of last ten Chicago-Philly games; Blackhawks lost their last five games in Philly. Under is 5-1-2 in last seven series games. Chicago lost four of last six games, three of last five on road; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Flyers lost five of their last seven games (over 4-2-1); they lost four of last five home games, last two in OT/SO.

Oilers won five of last six games with New Jersey; they split last four games in the Garden State. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Edmonton is 0-4 in game following a win; they’re 2-3 on road. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Devils lost their last three games, allowing 14 goals; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. New Jersey split its last four home games.

Minnesota won its last six games with Montreal; last three series games went over. Wild won 4-1/4-2 in last two visits to Montreal. Minnesota lost three of its last four games; they lost two of last three on road. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three road games. Canadiens won three in row, five of last six games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Montreal won three of its last four at home.

Blues won their last ten games with Arizona; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Coyotes were outscored 15-5 in losing last four games in this building. Arizona is 2-15 this season, 1-9 on the road; their last three games stayed under total. St Louis won six of its last seven games, five of its last six at home. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

Calgary won four of its last five games with Detroit; under is 3-2-2 in last seven series games. Red Wings lost four of last six games in the Saddledome. Detroit won four of its last five games, three of last four on road. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Flames won three of last four games, all at home. Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games overall.

Canucks-Ducks split their last ten games; road team won five of last seven series games. Vancouver is 3-2 in its last five games in the Pond. Canucks are 2-3 in their last five games overall, but they’ve won four in a row on the road. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Ducks lost their last four games, last two in OT/SO; they lost last three home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games overall.

Lightning won three of last four games with the Kings; under is 4-0-1 in last five series games. Tampa bay lost three of last four games in Staples Center. Lightning won in San Jose last nite, their 7th win in last nine games; Tampa Bay won four of its last five road games. Over is 3-1 in their last four games. Los Angeles won five of last seven games; they’re 5-2 at home, with both losses in OT. Last four LA games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, November 9

Trend Report

EDMONTON @ NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Jersey's last 13 games

CHICAGO @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games at home

MINNESOTA @ MONTREAL
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Montreal's last 12 games

ARIZONA @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

DETROIT @ CALGARY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

VANCOUVER @ ANAHEIM
Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Anaheim is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vancouver

TAMPA BAY @ LOS ANGELES
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Time for a slam-dunk side winner here on Thursday in the MAC.

Despite the fact the Tar Heels own just 1 straight up win on the year, I think they are getting a few points too many here on Thursday night against the Panthers of Pitt.

Pittsburgh is feeling good about themselves right now, as they enter play tonight with a pair of wins in a row under their belt, and a win tonight will even their season mark at 5-5. The fact remains, the Panthers are playing with their back-up quarterback, and they are looking to end a 4 game series losing streak to the Tar Heels.

Oh sure, the North Carolina quarterback spot has been a real carousel this season, that's what happens when you are just 1-8 straight up, but the Heels do play off a bye-week, and the last time they were on the field they nearly upset still unbeaten Miami-Florida, losing just 24-19 in a game they did cover as the underdog.

A closer look at this series shows that each of the last 4 since Pitt joined the ACC have been decided by no more than a TD, and in fact the last 6 series meetings since 2000 have been decided by 7-points or less.

Grab the points as North Carolina and Pittsburgh play it close once again this season.

4* NORTH CAROLINA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Thursday's free is the Under in the Seahawks-Cardinals game.

Going to side with the Under to open up Week 10 of the NFL campaign, as I don't see Drew Stanton being able to shred this Seattle defense through the air, and therefore, I do not see too many Cardinals scores this Thursday night at home.

The Seahawks just played an Under at home on Sunday versus the Redskins, and have held Under the total in 3 of their last 4, and 5 of 8 overall this season. The Cardinals were also Under the total at San Francisco on Sunday to make it 2 straight Under the posted price, and Under the total in 6 of their last 7 this season.

The last pair of series meetings between these NFC West rivals played at Arizona have held Under the total, including that infamous 6-6 overtime tie last season. With Seahawks kicker Blair Walsh now having some doubt creep into his mind after missing 3 in as many tries on Sunday, look for the points to be at a premium this Thursday night.

Seattle-Arizona Under the total.

3* SEATTLE-ARIZONA UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Juice

The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Thursday night NBA action. There are two main factors in play here with this decision. First of all it is clearly obvious that while Oklahoma City may be an offensive force to be reckoned with in the future, at this moment they have not gelled, they have not displayed any cohesiveness, and they clearly will need more time in the oven to get their three superstars on the same page, and playing well on the same side of the floor.

Secondly, the Denver Nuggets will always get up to play Carmelo Anthony as they still haven't forgiven him for bailing out on them, even though he has proven since leaving that he cannot take a team deep into the playoffs let alone to a championship. He's a great player but he's just not that player.

A look inside the numbers tells a bleak story for the Thunder. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on 1 day’s rest, they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 versus the Western Conference, and they are 1-4 AST in their last 5 versus teams with a winning overall record.

Denver is the play.

3* DENVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Schroeder

With tonight's free winner, I'm taking a shot here with the Denver Nuggets on the moneyline against the Oklahoma City Thunder. There is a revenge factor to consider, and winless intangible to take in consideration.

The Nuggets are still stinging from Russell Westbrook's buzzer-beating 36-foot jumper last April that eliminated them from playoff contention. And then, just four weeks ago, Westbrook was called for a flagrant-1 foul on Denver center Nikola Jokic during a preseason game.

Denver hasn't forgotten any of this.

And the OKC intangible, well, it hasn't beaten a Western Conference team this year. The Thunder, projected to be one of the top teams in the West this year, is just 4-6, and a dismal 0-5 against intra-conference foes.

After seeing them lose in Sacramento on Tuesday, I have to wonder the mentality of this team, and if it can withstand an angry Nuggets team looking to exact revenge.

I'll take the home underdog to win outright.

2* NUGGETS MONEYLINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

Now about this complimentary winner

I was shocked when I saw the puck line on the St. Louis Blues, because this is the equivalent of say Clayton Kershaw pitching against the worst team in baseball on a Friday night at Chavez Ravine. The line should be huge.

St. Louis is one of the - if not the - best team in the Western Conference. And it is hosting the Arizona Coyotes tonight. It is going to be extremely ugly.

See, the Blues are off to their best start in history, having set a franchise record with 12 wins in their first 16 games.

The Blues, who have won 11 straight meetings with Arizona, boast one of the top lines in the league, with Vladimir Tarasenko, Brayden Schenn and Jaden Schwartz, and the Coyotes have allowed the most goals to teams this season, having given up 68.

Arizona arrives with the league's worst record and also one of the NHL's least productive offenses, having scored just 41 goals.

Take the Blues tonight, as they will rout the Yotes.

5* BLUES PUCK LINE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 Nba free play

Cleveland vs. Houston, 11/09/2017 20:00 EDT

Point Spread: +5½/-115 Cleveland

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: Cavs struggling but against the teams the suppose to beat . Whenever there underdogs or the games supposed to be tight they always show up . Getting points with the best player in basketball always a good idea. Making cavs +6 my Nba free play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

BURNS' FREE PLAY

Philadelphia vs. Sacramento, 11/09/2017 22:00 EDT

Point Spread: +7/-115 Sacramento

Sportsbook:
Betonline

When the money is flowing in one direction, sharps can often lay their cash in the other. Money is coming down on the 76ers after Philly moved to 6-4 with a win over the Jazz on Tuesday, but the Kings themselves may be showing signs that they might not be as bad as everyone thought. Sacramento earned its biggest victory in a long time when it outscored Oklahoma City 60-32 in the middle two periods and earned a comfortable decision in its latest action. Buddy Hield was particularly impressive. Take the home team and the points as Sixers’ young players could be caught looking ahead to a weekend test at Golden State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 09 '17, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh
Play on: North Carolina +9½ -110 at Bovada

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (UNC +9.5)
As surprising as it might sound, I think there’s some value here with North Carolina as a decently priced road dog in this matchup. One thing you have to keep in mind with the Tar Heels 1-8 start is the brutal schedule they have had to play. Out of those 8 losses, 4 were against ranked teams and another was a road game against a very good Georgia Tech team. The other two were against Duke and Virginia, who I think are on par with Pittsburgh and they played both of those teams tough.
I also think this team gained some much-needed confidence with how well they played in their last game against Miami. At the same time, I don’t think the Tar Heels are simply going to just throw in the towel. I expect this team to come out and play their hearts out in this one to try and get that elusive first conference win.
The other big key here is I’m not sold on Pittsburgh being good enough to be laying this many points, especially with starting quarterback Max Browne sidelined for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Backup Ben Dinucci hasn’t exactly impressed in relief of Browne, as he’s completing just 54.9% of his attempts with as many touchdowns (4) as interceptions (4).
Pittsburgh’s offense has went from a pass-happy attack to one that almost exclusively relies on the running game since Browne went down. In their last two games they rushed it 57 times against Duke and had 40 rushing attempts against Virginia. While North Carolina’s defense isn’t anything to write home about, they did hold Miami to just 59 rushing yards on 32 attempts in their last game. If they have any kind of success slowing down this Pitt rushing attack, they not only can keep this within the number, but win the game outright.
It’s also worth pointing out that this is the part of the season where UNC head coach Larry Fedora has got his teams to play their best football, as the Tar Heels are 22-10 ATS under Fedora in weeks 10 through 13 of the regular season. North Carolina is also 30-15 ATS in their last 45 when coming in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on Thursday. Give me the Tar Heels +9.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 09 '17, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Cavs vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -5½ -115 at betonline

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Rockets -5.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the worst defensive team in the NBA by a wide margin this season. Now they're up against a Houston Rockets team that is rolling right now, winning three straight while scoring 119, 119 and 137 points. Look for James Harden and company to continue making life miserable on the Cavaliers, who are 5-6 SU & 2-8-1 ATS in their 11 games this season. The culprit for their struggles has been defensve as they have allowed at least 112 points in nine consecutive games. Give me the Rockets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

Nov 09 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Thunder vs Nuggets
Play on: OVER 216 -115

To this point the Oklahoma City situation has not worked out with the Thunder at 4-6 on the season. Defensively, OKC just been solid, but on offense it has been hit and miss. With tonight's total in Denver at 216 on TNT, know this; when the total is 210 to 219.5, and a team like the Thunder has gone under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, being a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), playing a winning team, the outcome is 30-8 OVER the last 21 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Monohan

Nov 09 '17, 7:05 PM in 51m
NBA | Lakers vs Wizards
Play on: Lakers +10½ -105 at 5Dimes

Los Angeles Lakers +10.5
The Lakers catch too many points here on Thursday night.
Situationally, this is a nice spot for the Lakers to cause some havoc. Washington has dropped 3 straight at home and really aren't playing all that well to start the season.
Allowing 109.6 points per game is not going to cut it against some of these teams as they are allowing easy looks at the rim and way too many open jump shots for the opposition.
Also here, expect PG Lonzo Ball to have a huge impact. After the Wizards called him out plenty of times earlier this season, the Lakers took them down in overtime in LA. Here is another case where you'll see inspired play all around from Ball and his teammates.
Some trends to note. Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
This one should be a scrappy, close affair.
Back Los Angeles.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.