Friday 12-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:26 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 4

#4 PRIME LOCATION (ML=8/1)
#9 WHERE'S BENTLEE (ML=15/1)

PRIME LOCATION - This gelding is in good condition. Ended up first on November 15th. This gelding's last speed figure is high enough to triumph here, I'll play him back again this time. Should do well in this event. Weight shift of -6 from Nov 15th race at Mountaineer Park. WHERE'S BENTLEE - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a sharp race last time around the track within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 JOHN ROOT (ML=9/5), #2 JUMP STREET (ML=2/1), #7 NO SIR REE BOB (ML=5/1),

JOHN ROOT - The fig last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this mount as a vulnerable competitor. JUMP STREET - Can't wager on this pony in today's sprint of 7 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint race recently. This entrant hasn't shown much in the last couple events. NO SIR REE BOB - Don't believe this mount will do much running in today's event. That last speed fig was common when compared with today's class figure.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PRIME LOCATION - This gelding is utmost in the group in earnings per start. I'm investing on this one.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 PRIME LOCATION on the nose if you can get odds of 6/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:26 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 RUNAWAY IDE 2/1

# 3 GRAY RANSOM 4/1

# 5 E LEE 8/1

My choice here is RUNAWAY IDE. Trainer has sharp win rate (25 percent) at this distance and surface. This animal is at the top in this group of animals in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Must be considered - I like the numbers from the last race. GRAY RANSOM - This equine has to be in good condition coming back to race so quickly. Has competitive Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this event. E LEE - He has a very good distance/surface win record - 3 for 12. Have to think this equine will make a good showing again this time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:27 AM

Handicapped by Valuline at Fair Grounds

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Fair Grounds, Race 4 (Friday December 1, 2017)

TAKEOFF
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

FG-4 1mile TURF Eight Horses
"A" CLM 30,000 3YUP $20,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

7 TAKEOFF 8/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:27 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 67

Rating: 4

#2 READY TO FIGHT (ML=6/1)

READY TO FIGHT - Don't throw this one out due to his last event at Hawthorne where he ended up fifth on a track listed as good. Should improve this time around. This gelding is most likely the strongest closer in the field. Outside the top 3 finish last time out at Hawthorne was better than it looked on paper. He improved position in the stretch and never gave up.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GREELEYS SPIRIT (ML=3/5), #4 RED EYE VISION (ML=8/1), #7 YA MON (ML=8/1),

GREELEYS SPIRIT - I foresee disappointment for this equine in this race. RED EYE VISION - Tough to invest in any animal in a short distance event at 8/1 when he hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last sixty days. YA MON - Awfully hard to play this steed when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit lately. This horse doesn't have a winning make-up. Habitually finishes near the winner. This gelding has had a great number of efforts at Hawthorne and still no wins.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #2 READY TO FIGHT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:28 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 4

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager) $1 Pick Three / $1 Daily Double

Trial • 400 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 110 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 8:24P
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT: 124, LBS. (NO SEX ALLOWANCE).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KISSED BY AN EAGLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a p ost position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JESS HAWK: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ONE PROUD EAGLE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
KISSED BY AN EAGLE
8/5

7/2
1
JESS HAWK
5/1

5/1
2
ONE PROUD EAGLE
4/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
JESS HAWK
1

5/1
Average
107

106

3.9

0.0

0.0
2
ONE PROUD EAGLE
2

4/1
Average
105

96

3.6

0.0

0.0
3
DESIGNS BY DYNASTY
3

8/1
Average
98

97

4.8

0.0

0.0
4
APOLLITITAKA
4

15/1
Average
97

92

4.5

0.0

0.0
5
KISSED BY AN EAGLE
5

8/5
Fast
111

109

3.2

0.0

0.0
6
WELL GOOD
6

8/1
Average
100

96

4.9

0.0

0.0
7
JOUET WITH FIRE
7

7/2
Average
96

99

4.6

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:28 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 5

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 5-6) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 5-6-7) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 5-6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5

Allowance • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 97 • Purse: $42,000 • Post: 2:30P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR MD SIRED RACES OR MD BRED RACES OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (WINNERS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Stalker. CONCORDIA'S WAY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PORTANDO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CONCORDIA'S WAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MINERS QUEST: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ENTERTAINER: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DR BOLT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
8
PORTANDO
5/2

9/2
6
CONCORDIA'S WAY
3/1

7/1
1
MINERS QUEST
4/1

7/1
4
ENTERTAINER
15/1

9/1
3
DR BOLT
8/1

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
JOLLY'S CALLING
5

9/2
Front-runner
85

86

89.4

82.4

69.9
8
PORTANDO
8

5/2
Front-runner
96

101

78.0

84.6

81.1
6
CONCORDIA'S WAY
6

3/1
Stalker
98

90

62.4

87.6

82.1
2
GLINDAS GOOD KARMA
2

10/1
Trailer
88

89

65.1

82.7

73.2
7
PREACHIN' GEORGE
7

12/1
Trailer
78

81

62.6

76.8

65.3
3
DR BOLT
3

8/1
Trailer
92

93

48.6

86.2

75.2
4
ENTERTAINER
4

15/1
Trailer
94

94

45.8

86.8

75.3
1
MINERS QUEST
1

4/1
Trailer
96

95

43.7

79.8

72.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:29 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $61000 Class Rating: 86

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MAJESTIC GOLDMINER 8/1

# 3 MATTHEW'S RIDGE 2/1

# 2 SILENT EMPIRE 9/2

MAJESTIC GOLDMINER looks decent to best this field especially at a such a nice price. Displays the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 75 speed figure which is one of the strongest in this group of animals. Change in Lasix (with second time Lasix) may be the means to a return to the track. The Equibase Speed Figure of 75 from his last race looks respectable in here. MATTHEW'S RIDGE - Has performed admirably lately in route races, posting a nifty 75 avg speed figure. Might best this group of animals here, showing solid figures of late. SILENT EMPIRE - Will probably come out very solid - I have liked the way this colt has moved promptly to the lead recently. Should be given consideration based on the competitive speed rating earned in the last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:32 AM

When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, December 1, 2017
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

Preview: Stanford vs. USC

Gracenote
Nov 28, 2017

Stanford will try to defeat USC in the Pac-12 championship game for the second time in three seasons when the No. 15 Cardinal meet the No. 9 Trojans at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Friday night. Stanford has won eight of its past nine following a 38-20 victory against No. 17 Notre Dame on Saturday, and USC has won four straight for the second time this season.

These teams met Sept. 9 in Los Angeles and the Trojans played one of their best games of the season, piling up 623 total yards in a 42-24 victory inside the Coliseum. USC quarterback Sam Darnold completed 21-of-26 passes for 316 yards and four touchdowns, and led the Trojans on six touchdown drives of 75 yards or longer. Stanford's go-to player continues to be running back Bryce Love, who had 160 rushing yards on 17 carries and scored a touchdown in the first meeting, one of 10 games with at least 100 yards rushing this season. USC will see a different quarterback as sophomore K.J. Costello replaced senior Keller Chryst four games ago and is coming off his best performance, throwing for 176 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions against the Fighting Irish.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: USC -4

ABOUT STANFORD (9-3): The Trojans will have their hands full trying to block senior Harrison Phillips, who leads all FBS defensive tackles with 16.5 tackles for loss, including 6.5 sacks. The Cardinal also have a dependable secondary led by strong safety Justin Reid, the conference's co-leader in interceptions with five, including one against the Trojans earlier this season. Reid displayed his versatility against Notre Dame, totaling nine tackles (three solo), a sack and a pass breakup.

ABOUT USC (10-2): The Trojans will also have a somewhat different look than the last meeting against Stanford as the leading rusher from that game, Stephen Carr, hasn't bounced back from a four-game absence in October because of a foot injury. Carr has appeared in two games since his return, but totaled only 12 rushing yards on four carries and caught three passes for 59 yards. Ronald Jones II has flourished as the No. 1 back for USC, especially in the past four games, combining for 674 rushing yards and eight touchdowns in that span.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The South Division is 0-6 in the Pac-12 championship game.

2. Stanford has won seven of the past 10 games against USC.

3. This is the fourth consecutive season the Trojans have played in an NFL stadium.

PREDICTION: Stanford 28, USC 27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:32 AM

Trends - No. 15 Stanford vs No. 9 Southern California

ATS TRENDS

Stanford
Cardinal are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December. Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. Cardinal are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. Cardinal are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Cardinal are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Southern California

Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Trojans are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Trojans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Stanford
Under is 7-0 in Cardinal last 7 games following a straight up win. Under is 7-1 in Cardinal last 8 games overall. Under is 6-1 in Cardinal last 7 conference games. Over is 5-1 in Cardinal last 6 neutral site games. Under is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 games on grass. Under is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.

Southern California

Under is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 games following a bye week.
Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-0-1 in Trojans last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Trojans last 6 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 8-2-1 in Trojans last 11 games in December.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Trojans last 6 neutral site games.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 conference games.
Under is 6-2 in Trojans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Southern California.
Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Southern California.
Over is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:34 AM

Betting action very heavy as NCAAF Championship Week pointspreads hit the board
Patrick Everson

Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern California Trojans (-3.5)

Even with a win this week in the Pac-12 title game, Southern Cal has virtually no chance of reaching the CFP. The Trojans (10-2 SU) have been among the worst spread-covering outfits in the nation, which they demonstrated again in their Nov. 18 regular-season finale, a 28-23 win over UCLA as a 14.5-point home favorite.

Stanford has absolutely no shot at the CFP, but did finish the regular season with style. The Cardinal, who won a tiebreaker with Washington to reach the Pac-12 final, dumped Notre Dame 38-20 getting 3 points at home Saturday night.

“After opening USC -3.5, early bettors took the points with Stanford, and the line moved very quickly to the Trojans as field-goal favorites,” Mason said. “Since the line movement, more bets are on USC, with only 30 percent of the bettors taking Stanford. This lopsided bet count is a little surprising, since the public didn’t back USC too much during the second half of the season. Perhaps the Trojans’ 42-24 thrashing of the Cardinal back in September is still on the minds of the masses. Of the Power Five conference championship games, this one is getting the fewest bets by far.”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:37 AM

College football's biggest betting mismatches: Championship week edition
Monty Andrews

TCU's Kenny Hill was one of the most accurate passers in the nation in 2017, completing two-thirds of his attempts while throwing multiple interceptions just once all season.

Pac-12 Championship

Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans (-3, 57.5)

Cardinal's ball-hawking prowess vs. Trojans' turnover troubles

Things looked bleak early in the season for Stanford, but wins in eight of their final nine games have the Cardinal facing the USC Trojans for Pac-12 supremacy this Friday night. Stanford running back Bryce Love might be on the outside looking in for the Heisman Trophy, but it was still a sensational season for the 5-10 dynamo, who racked up nearly 1,900 yards on the ground. But the focus here isn't on Love: rather, it's on the significant advantage Stanford has in the turnover department.

Stanford has one of the most dangerous secondaries in the nation, finishing the regular season tied for 10th among FBS teams in interceptions (16). Combine that with eight fumble recoveries in 12 games, and the Cardinal finished tied for 11th in total turnovers gained with 24. Stanford won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in last weekend's 38-20 victory over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and forced two turnovers in their earlier meeting with the Trojans, a 42-24 setback in their second game of the season.

USC dominated that initial matchup despite losing the turnover battle, but will need to be better in that department if it hopes for a similar result this Friday. The Trojans finished outside the top 100 nationally in total turnovers allowed with 22 - 10 fumbles lost and 12 interceptions. USC turned the ball over a combined five times in its two regular-season losses to Washington and Notre Dame - and if it can't do a better job against the Cardinal, it could have one more loss on its 2017 ledger.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:38 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, December 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 12/1/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
USC is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 3-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 3-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:38 AM

NCAAF

Conference Championship Week

Trend Report

Friday, December 1

STANFORD @ SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games
Southern California is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 6 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-01-2017, 08:40 AM

When: 7:00 PM ET, Friday, December 1, 2017
Where: Amway Center, Orlando, Florida

Matchup Edge

GS	Edge in:	ORL
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Warriors at Magic

Gracenote
Nov 30, 2017

The Golden State Warriors got their two MVPs back on Wednesday but still needed overtime to win the opener of a six-game road trip. The Warriors will try to take care of things before the end of regulation when the trip hits the east coast with a visit to the Orlando Magic on Friday.

The banged-up defending champions are staring at a stretch of three games in four days in three different cities and declared Stephen Curry (hand), Kevin Durant (ankle), Andre Iguodala (knee) and David West (knee) all probable for Friday's tilt against the Magic while Klay Thompson (ankle) is questionable. All but West were available for the opener of the trip at the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday, and Curry, Durant and Thompson combined for 77 points in the 127-123 overtime triumph. The Magic ended a nine-game slide with a 121-108 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday and were happy to get out of the funk. "There's no getting around that -- it's a relief to get around that part of it (the losing streak) and to get a W and understand that we've said repeatedly throughout this that we've got a good team and we've just got to play a complete game," Orlando coach Frank Vogel told reporters. "And now our assignment is to do it again."
TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCS Bay Area (Golden State), FS Florida (Orlando)

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (16-6): Golden State leads the NBA in scoring (117.3 points) and is among the leaders in field-goal percentage defense (.434) but still doesn't seem to be playing in its top gear on a consistent basis. "I didn't think we competed tonight," coach Steve Kerr told reporters after Wednesday's victory. "I don't think we've really competed that well all year. It's just the way it is right now." Curry is dealing with a painful injury to the ring finger on his right hand and was just 6-of-17 from the field through the first four quarters on Wednesday before knocking down a pair of 3-pointers in overtime and scoring 13 of his 28 points in the final five minutes.
ABOUT THE MAGIC (9-13): Power forward Aaron Gordon exploded for 40 points and 15 rebounds in Wednesday's win. The 22-year-old is shooting 51 percent from the floor on the season and is 12-of-23 from 3-point range over his last three games. "He's just hungry, he wants to prove himself so much," veteran Arron Afflalo told the team's website of Gordon. "It's just about tempering your ego, tempering your self-motivation to make sure that everything works within the group. When he plays within the confines of the offense and with the team, he's unbelievable. He's got a high motor, very athletic and very skilled around the entire floor. He's going to be a great player."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Orlando SF Terrence Ross is out indefinitely due to a sprained MCL and a non-displaced fracture in his right leg.

2. Thompson made at least four 3-pointers in each of the last four games.

3. Golden State took the last nine in the series, including a 110-100 home win on Nov. 13.

PREDICTION: Warriors 123, Magic 105

Friday 12-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 12-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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