Wednesday 1-10-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

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ROB VINCILETTI
NBA | Jan 10, 2018
Jazz vs. Wizards
Wizards-7

The NBA Comp play for Wednesday is on Washington at 7:05 eastern. The Wizards have revenge for one of their worst losses in franchise history a 116-69 beat down in Utah. Washington is a solid home team and they are 5-1 ats at home with 3+ days rest and have covered 4 of 5 off a loss. The Jazz are a lousy 3-17 on the road and 0-5 ats on the road vs a team with a .600 or better win percentage. The Jazz are also 0-5 ats on the road on Hump day. Look fore the Wizards to serve up revenge on a cold platter. On Hump day the NCAAB Game of the Month headlines along with a 27-2 RPI Scale road warrior side and the NBA TV Totals system on ESPN. For the NBA Free play. Take Washington. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun-Sports Complimentary Selection Wednesday

CBB: 3* (759) Loyola-Chicago +1 vs. Illinois State 8PM

Cajun-Sports continues to cash on the hardwood make sure you join them on Wednesday for their NBA and CBB Best Bets. Tonight’s Complimentary Selection comes from the college basketball card on Wednesday night. The featured affair is between Loyola-Chicago and Illinois State. We know Illinois State coming off a SU win in their last game and now facing Loyola-Chicago as a favorite. Illinois State are a perfect 0-5 ATS in the current situation. Loyola-Chicago coming off an ATS win in their last game and now play on the road have produced a record of 34-15-1 ATS. If they are installed as a road underdog in that same situation their record is 29-9-1 ATS including a perfect 6-0 ATS in the current price range. Loyola-Chicago coming off a SU and ATS victory in their last game and now play away from home have posted a record of 27-10-1 ATS. If they are installed as a road underdog they are 22-7-1 ATS including a perfect 5-0 ATS in the current price range. We want to play AGAINST CBB conference home favorites or pickem teams coming off a game at home as an underdog and the game went Under the posted total because these home teams are 44-71-3 ATS. We are going to play Loyola-Chicago on Wednesday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 FLY AS A FALCON 5/2

# 8 TAYNTED LOVER 5/1

# 1 EL BESTIA 8/1

FLY AS A FALCON is the strongest wager in this race. Recent figures for the jockey - 24 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group of horses. Should be given a chance based on the very good Equibase speed fig earned in the last race. In this field, this horse is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. TAYNTED LOVER - Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at a juicy mutuel. Conditioner boasts sharp win figures at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 6

DD (Races 6-7) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 5 (.50 min.) (Races 6-10) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:59P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * HEAVENLY QUEST: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. TIZ THE TIME: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MY GAL SARAH: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ANGELIC KRISS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's ave rage winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3
HEAVENLY QUEST
4/1

9/2
11
TIZ THE TIME
8/1

5/1
1
MY GAL SARAH
12/1

9/1
8
ANGELIC KRISS
7/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
MY GAL SARAH
1

12/1
Front-runner
56

58

79.4

42.4

30.4
11
TIZ THE TIME
11

8/1
Front-runner
67

56

77.8

50.4

44.4
10
WINNIE THE ROO
10

10/1
Front-runner
48

52

69.4

45.0

35.0
6
MY CRUSADER LADY
6

8/1
Front-runner
53

50

67.6

47.0

34.5
9
TOUGH LANDING
9

6/1
Front-runner
53

62

54.4

38.8

25.8
3
HEAVENLY QUEST
3

4/1
Alternator/Front-runner
61

60

71.6

51.8

47.8
8
ANGELIC KRISS
8

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
64

59

44.0

46.2

37.2
5
NOLA'S FIREBALL
5

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

57

52.2

38.0

25.0
4
TAMY'S SHOT
4

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
50

46

51.6

30.6

10.1
2
LINE RUNNING LASS
2

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
49

45

51.0

37.4

20.9
7
GIBBY'S SPOT
7

5/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68

62

36.4

43.8

33.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: 4

#6 SWEET DEAL (ML=7/2)


SWEET DEAL - This filly is at the top in earnings per start (EPS). Give the once over to this horse in the post parade.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SILVA QUEEN (ML=5/2), #9 CHICKIE'S TRICK (ML=9/2), #1 COMMISSIONED (ML=6/1),

SILVA QUEEN - Hasn't been coming close at all recently. CHICKIE'S TRICK - 9/2 is not pegged at the proper price for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance event of late. This vulnerable equine ran a quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race. She shouldn't run better and will probably get beat today running that fig. COMMISSIONED - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (70/59/50) of Equibase speed figs.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 SWEET DEAL is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9900 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 10. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 TIGER DISTINCTION 10/1

# 8 FINISHING A DREAM 15/1

# 4 PEPE 5/1

TIGER DISTINCTION looks solid to best this group of horses in this race and is a very strong value-based bet given the 10/1 line. With Barbaran aboard him, this gelding will probably be able to break out sharply in this event. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of quite good win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. Bernardini and Barbaran have won 21 percent of their races giving this racer a formidable chance. FINISHING A DREAM - He looks strong in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #6 - Post: 8:16pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,800 Class Rating: 87

Rating: 3

#1 WHAT THE CHUB (ML=7/2)
#4 I WANDA WIN (ML=5/2)
#6 POLISHED DEGREE (ML=6/1)


WHAT THE CHUB - This gelding won on Aug 6th at a higher class level and the same 5 1/2 furlongs distance as today. Ran in the last race against better company at Laurel. The move to a lower level should suit him well. Sub-par performance last time out at Laurel was due to the off-going (he ran fifth). Have to do better in today's race under normal track conditions. I WANDA WIN - Faced tougher last race out at Parx Racing. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of top contenders. Earnings per start is something that I believe can be a valuable handicapping factor. This horse is ranked number 1 in this field. POLISHED DEGREE - This horse could be tough today, especially since Inirio rode in the last race and now should be familiar with this one. I believe Graci is making a good move here. This horse can only benefit from the shorter trip. The morning line odds on this horse are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Graci. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DUKE OF FLATBUSH (ML=9/2), #5 GIANT TWO STEP (ML=5/1), #3 LEONARDO DA VINCI (ML=6/1),

DUKE OF FLATBUSH - Speed kills. Plenty of early speed in this affair compromises this horse's efforts. GIANT TWO STEP - It appears like too much early zip is signed up in this affair. This speed merchant will likely get roasted on the front end. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. LEONARDO DA VINCI - This gelding will probably bounce, and not be anywhere near the last speed figure of 87.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - WHAT THE CHUB - My calculations and statistics say it usually takes a horse at least 2 races after a layoff to get back into proper shape. That's just what we have here, so I expect a lot for this horse.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 WHAT THE CHUB to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,4,6] with [1,4,6] with [1,4,5,6,7] with [1,4,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs

Tampa Bay Downs - Race 2

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4) / Super High 5


Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 68 • Purse: $10,400 • Post: 12:53
FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. OUTSTANDING GIO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OUTSTANDING GIO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the dista nce/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
OUTSTANDING GIO
3/1

7/5




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
OUTSTANDING GIO
2

3/1
Front-runner
78

70

82.2

64.0

59.5
7
TAP SPEED
7

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
68

58

39.8

52.8

44.8
3
HEMAKESGIRLSSMILE
3

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

11.4

55.0

45.5
5
ROYAL CHANGE
5

5/2
Trailer
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
6
REBEL RITHMS
6

5/1
Alternator/Trailer
72

70

36.8

57.7

52.2
4
INDY WARS
4

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
70

54

63.3

30.5

19.0
8
SWEET TALKIN SAM
8

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

49.3

30.3

16.8
1
CAVALLO D'ORO
1

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

21.7

38.7

27.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Turf Paradise

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Turf Paradise, Race 2 (Wednesday January 10, 2018)

PONTIFICATOR
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

TUP-2 5.5f DIRT Six Horses
"A" ALW F/M 4YUP $14,000
P# dd ex q p3 t s ML WP TVL

5 PONTIFICATOR 1/1 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover Free Wednesday NBA Play

Utah vs. Washington, 01/10/2018 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: +7½/-110 Utah

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

There's a certain randomness factor here since both teams last played during the weekend. Randomness is good when backing an underdog, especially one in the mid-size points range.

Utah has really been struggling losing 13 of its last 16. A combination of injuries and a road-heavy December schedule are big reasons why its record has been so bad. But with two full days off, the Jazz were able to get in a couple of much needed practices as they continue to adjust to the absence of center Rudy Gobert.

There is evidence this will help. The Jazz are 6-4 when playing with two or more days rest, including covering four of the last five times in this situation. This compares favorably when you consider they are 5-15 when having one day of rest.

There also are clear indications that the Wizards play down to the level of their competition. Washington is 23-17, yet just 9-10 versus below .500 opponents. The Wizards are 3-8 ATS the past 11 times they've gone against sub .500 foes and 3-8 ATS the last 11 times they've been favored.

The Jazz have had the Wizards' number, too, winning and covering the last four in the series. The teams met early last month and the Jazz absolutely destroyed the Wizards, 116-69. That was Utah's most impressive game of the season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

Chase's 15* NBA LOCKDOWN

Detroit vs. Brooklyn, 01/10/2018 19:30 EDT

Point Spread: +2/-105 Brooklyn

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

This game features the 21-18 Pistons and the 15-25 Nets. Pistons have been better this year but not on the road where they are just 8-13. Nets are 15-14 ATS this season and have cashed 6 straight games this looks like another one where we the books can get the public good. 73% are backing the Pistons I'll take the Nets plus the points for a 15* winner.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Free Pick Wednesday NHL

Ottawa vs. Toronto, 01/10/2018 19:30 EDT

Total: -105/+6 Over

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #1 Wednesday Free Pick OVER the total in Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:35 ET - The Senators are a mess right now due to missing so many players. With that said, and with this being their final game before a week long break, another wild high-scoring game is likely tonight. The Sens lost 8-2 last night and both goalies struggled and allowed 4 goals apiece. That doesn't bode well for now facing a Maple Leafs team that is very hungry off of a loss after blowing a very late 2-goal lead in their most recent game. Toronto will be ready to respond here and should score plenty but I also expect the Senators to answer the goals quite often as they are off of that embarrassing home loss to Chicago last night. Ottawa had scored 6 goals in each of their two prior games. Overall, the over is 7-3 in the Senators last 10 games. Also, the Sens last 5 games with the division rival Maple Leafs have gone 4-1 to the over. The over is 17-8 in Ottawa's games against teams with a winning record this season. The Maple Leafs have allowed an average of 3.2 goals per game in their last 9 games. The Leafs have scored an average of 3.4 goals per game in their last 10 games. More of the same here! Free Pick on OVER the total in Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 Nba free play

Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota, 01/10/2018 20:00 EDT

Total: -110/+210½ Over

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Fp: both of these offense can light it up avg over 100 points per . And both teams treat defense like a option . Look for a all star game total in this one making the over my Nba free play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Jan 10 '18, 8:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-B | Drake vs Valparaiso
Play on: Valparaiso -3½ -115 at betonline

If you have bought any of my premium plays this season you know I have cashed a lot on this Drake Bulldog team. They have been playing great with their new head coach and sit atop the Missouri Valley Conference.
I think it's time to back off now as this team as a target on their back and won't be getting over looked for the remaining part of conference play. Drake is undefeated in the conference but 3 of the 4 games game down to the wire winning by 3 twice and 2 one time.
Valpo defends their home court well going 6-1 SU and are coming off a nice 22 point win over Southern Illinois. I think they get the job done here tonight.