Thursday 9-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #46
    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, September 27


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (78 - 80) at COLORADO (88 - 70) - 3:10 PM
    JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 78-80 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-49 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-18 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 57-64 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    COLORADO is 88-70 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 55-43 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    COLORADO is 53-34 (+22.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 855-901 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    PHILADELPHIA is 447-451 (+46.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.0 Units)

    JAKE ARRIETA vs. COLORADO since 1997
    ARRIETA is 2-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.11 and a WHIP of 1.571.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

    ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (89 - 69) at NY METS (74 - 84) - 7:10 PM
    JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. JASON VARGAS (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 22-19 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    VARGAS is 95-84 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    ATLANTA is 89-68 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ATLANTA is 47-31 (+15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 22-15 (+7.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    ATLANTA is 46-31 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    ATLANTA is 19-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    ATLANTA is 48-23 (+27.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ATLANTA is 58-47 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ATLANTA is 23-18 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 39-29 (+8.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    ATLANTA is 38-22 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    TEHERAN is 14-5 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
    TEHERAN is 10-4 (+9.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    NY METS are 73-84 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 34-43 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    NY METS are 136-149 (-56.2 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
    NY METS are 33-39 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 22-30 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    NY METS are 110-129 (-26.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 60-80 (-27.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    NY METS are 14-22 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 13-5 (+9.1 Units) against NY METS this season
    10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

    JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
    TEHERAN is 9-6 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.22 and a WHIP of 1.041.
    His team's record is 13-10 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-9. (+4.3 units)

    JASON VARGAS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    VARGAS is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.74 and a WHIP of 1.659.
    His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (80 - 77) at CHICAGO CUBS (92 - 66) - 8:05 PM
    TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 14-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
    LESTER is 23-8 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    LESTER is 43-16 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    PITTSBURGH is 80-77 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 41-31 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1787-1828 (-265.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 36-35 (-16.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 954-852 (-156.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 444-393 (-82.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1320-1362 (-207.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 50-43 (-10.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 38-38 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 208-241 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 9-9 (+3.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.7 Units)

    TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    WILLIAMS is 1-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.275.
    His team's record is 1-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

    JON LESTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    LESTER is 8-6 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.338.
    His team's record is 9-8 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-8. (+0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY YANKEES (97 - 61) at TAMPA BAY (88 - 70) - 1:10 PM
    C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JAIME SCHULTZ (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 9-9 (+6.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

    C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    SABATHIA is 16-16 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.275.
    His team's record is 25-22 (-4.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 23-22. (-1.6 units)

    JAIME SCHULTZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (100 - 58) at BALTIMORE (46 - 112) - 7:05 PM
    GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DAVID HESS (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    GERRIT COLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    DAVID HESS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (64 - 94) at MINNESOTA (73 - 84) - 8:10 PM
    FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. GABRIEL MOYA (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 11-7 (+1.7 Units) against DETROIT this season
    12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.2 Units)

    FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    LIRIANO is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.40 and a WHIP of 1.608.
    His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

    GABRIEL MOYA vs. DETROIT since 1997
    MOYA is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (89 - 69) at KANSAS CITY (56 - 102) - 8:15 PM
    JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. GLENN SPARKMAN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 89-69 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 25-27 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    CLEVELAND is 39-36 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 54-46 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    CLEVELAND is 68-48 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    CLEVELAND is 48-40 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    TOMLIN is 1-7 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
    TOMLIN is 7-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    KANSAS CITY is 115-109 (+15.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 56-102 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 307-434 (-114.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
    KANSAS CITY is 37-72 (-22.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    KANSAS CITY is 15-53 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 5-10 (+0.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

    JOSH TOMLIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    TOMLIN is 9-5 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.067.
    His team's record is 13-8 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-11. (-3.7 units)

    GLENN SPARKMAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS (66 - 92) at SEATTLE (86 - 72) - 10:10 PM
    ARIEL JURADO (R) vs. MARCO GONZALES (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 86-72 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 38-34 (+5.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    SEATTLE is 62-44 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SEATTLE is 57-48 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SEATTLE is 43-27 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
    TEXAS is 239-246 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 102-94 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 177-171 (+25.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 22-14 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 39-41 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 940-850 (-117.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 174-213 (-55.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
    SEATTLE is 11-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS is 8-7 (+3.4 Units) against SEATTLE this season
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

    ARIEL JURADO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    No recent starts.

    MARCO GONZALES vs. TEXAS since 1997
    GONZALES is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.367.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #47
      Jimmy Boyd

      Sep 27 '18, 7:10 PM in 5h
      MLB | Braves vs Mets
      Play on: Mets +110 at sportsbook

      1* Free Pick on New York Mets +110
      New York shouldn't be a home dog to the Braves in Thursday's series finale. Atlanta has already locked up the NL East, securing them a spot in the NL Divisional Round. They just had their 6-game win streak snapped in yesterday's loss and I believe the focus now is just about staying healthy, especially after they just lost shortstop Dansby Swanson to a wrist injury.
      New York has won 4 of 6 as they close out a disappointing 2018 season, so there's still some fight in this team. The even more important thing here is they have the red-hot south paw, Jason Vargas, on the mound. Vargas has gone 4-1 with a rock-solid 3.11 ERA in his last 11 starts.
      Julio Teheran will take the mound for Atlanta and he's really struggled with his command of late. Teheran has walked 13 hitters over his last 3 starts, which has spanned just 16 1/3 innings. He's also got a very average 4.12 ERA in 13 road starts. Take New York!
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #48
        Marc Lawrence

        Sep 27 '18, 8:00 PM in 6h
        NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Miami-FL
        Play on: Miami-FL -18 -110 at BMaker

        Play - Miami Florida (Game 104).
        Edges - Hurricanes: Head coach Mark Richt 7-0 SUATS career when coming off a double-digit win and facing a conference foe coming off a SU underdog win … Tar Heels: 3-9 ATS as a dog following a SU underdog win … With that we recommend a 1* play on Miami Florida. Thank you and good luck as always.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #49
          Brandon Lee

          Sep 27 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
          MLB | Pirates vs Cubs
          Play on: Cubs -154 at GTBets

          10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -154)
          I'll take my chances here with the Cubs at home in Thursday's series finale agains the Pirates. After dropping the first two games against Pittsburgh, Chicago came away with a 7-6 win in extra innings and in the process punched their ticket into the postseason. That only secured a Wild Card spot. The Cubs want the division title and they can move a full 1-game up on Milwaukee with a win in this one. They have just the guy on the mound to deliver the goods in Jon Lester, who has heated up down the stretch and comes into this one with a 2.55 ERA in his last 3 starts. Chicago has won 5 of Lester's last 6 starts against the Pirates. On the flip side of this, Pittsburgh has lost 4 of Trevor Williams 5 career starts against the Cubs. Williams has been throwing it well, but Chicago is 8-2 in their last 10 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. They are also 38-14 in Lester's last 52 home starts. Give me the Cubs -154!
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #50
            Jack Jones

            Sep 27 '18, 8:10 PM in 6h
            MLB | Tigers vs Twins
            Play on: Twins -125 at BetPhoenix

            Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Minnesota Twins -125
            The Minnesota Twins have impressed me down the stretch with the way they have finished the season. They are 6-3 in their last nine games overall and are clearly still trying to win games. I think we are getting them at a good value here as small home favorites over the Detroit Tigers.
            Gabriel Moya is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his five starts this season. The Twins use their bullpen by committee approach when Moya starts. He has started against the Tigers three times this season and has a 0.00 ERA in those three starts.
            Francisco Liriano is 5-11 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.504 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 3-6 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.494 WHIP in 16 road starts. Liriano has never been able to figure out the Twins, going 3-3 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in seven career starts against them.
            The Tigers are 23-51 in their last 71 road games. Detroit is 13-38 in its last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Twins are 5-1 in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota is 25-12 in its last 37 home games. The Twins are 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Twins Thursday.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #51
              John Martin

              Sep 27 '18, 8:15 PM in 6h
              MLB | Indians vs Royals
              Play on: Royals +146 at 5Dimes

              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Kansas City Royals +146
              The Indians have absolutely nothing to play for right now. It’s already decided that they will be traveling to Houston in the divisional round. They will likely be resting starters in this series with the Royals. And Kansas City has gone 4-1 in its last five games overall to offer some resistance. Josh Tomlin cannot be this big of a favorite for the Indians. He is 0-3 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in three road starts. The Indians are 0-6 in Tomlin’ last six starts. Cleveland is 3-8 in Tomlin’s last 11 road starts. The Royals are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. Give me the Royals.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #52
                Cole Faxon

                Sep 27 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
                NFL | Vikings vs Rams
                Play on: UNDER 49½ -115

                FREE PLAY on Vikings/Rams under 49½ -115
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #53
                  Bobby Conn

                  Sep 27 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
                  NFL | Vikings vs Rams
                  Play on: UNDER 49½ -109

                  1* Free Play on Vikings/Rams under 49½ -109
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #54
                    Totals Guru

                    Sep 27 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
                    NFL | Vikings vs Rams
                    Play on: Vikings +7 +100 at BMaker

                    Free Total Annihilator On away +7 +100
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #55
                      Steve Janus

                      Sep 27 '18, 8:20 PM in 6h
                      NFL | Vikings vs Rams
                      Play on: Rams -6½ -110 at GTBets

                      1* Free Sharp Play on Rams -6½ -110
                      My money is on the LA Rams to win and cover at home against the Vikings on Thursday Night Football. This might seem like a big price to lay with the Rams against a Minnesota team that a lot of people feel are right there with LA as one of the best teams in the NFC. While the Vikings are a solid team, this is a really tough spot for them. Not only are they playing on a short week of rest after that ugly loss to the Bills this past Sunday, but they have had to travel all the way to the west coast for this one. The loss of Everyone Griffen is huge for the Vikings defense, which was already going to have a hard time stopping this explosive Rams offense. I just don't see Minnesota's offense being able to keep pace in this one. Look for LA to easily win here by double-digits. Bet the Rams -6.5!
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #56
                        Top Dog NFL MINNESOTA VIKINGS +275
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #57
                          Ace / V.I.P. MLB PITTSBURGH PIRATES +140
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #58
                            Team Underground MLB ATLANTA BRAVES/NEW YORK METS +105 o8
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #59
                              Wise Guy Insider MLB MINNESOTA TWINS ‑130
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #60
                                Pinnacle Sports Picks MLB SEATTLE MARINERS ‑175
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