Service Plays Sunday 10/14/18

[TheRooster]

anyone got Warren Sharp? TYIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

5*) Chicago Bears - 3

5*) Jacksonville - 3

6*) LA Chargers -1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy



3-Unit Play. #257. Take Under 44.5 Carolina vs. Washington (Sunday @ 1pm)
You'd have to think after giving up 40+ point last game the Redskins defense shows up here at home. The Redskins don't have any elite skill position players and it is becoming more and more apparent that this team's only strength is their defense as Alex Smith is doing what Alex Smith which is to dink and dunk all game long and then it becomes 3rd and 3 and they fail to convert on another dunk becomes it becomes utterly obvious everything is underneath. The Panhters offense can be questionable and unreliable on the road as they were in Atlanta (especially the first half) and we like the Redskins defense to bounce-back after a horrible game on a stand alone NFL Game where they were embarrassed nationally - and in turn we like the Panthers to do what they do and continue to be the strength of this team.

7-Unit Play. #262. Take Cincinnati Bengals -2 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday @ 1pm)
You really trust the Pittsburgh Steelers on the road? I know they had a great game against last week against a decimated Atlanta defense, but this team is so hit or miss in general. The Steelers now sit at 2-2 but the Bengals sit at 4-1 and legitimately this team can prove that it's a contender with a big win here. Remember, take a look at the Bengals splits here, they beat the Colts by 11 on the road, they beat a good Baltimore team by 11, they lost to Carolina on the road by 10, they beat Atlanta on the road by 1 and Miami by 10 points. When the Steelers play any decent defense they struggle. They faced the Browns who have a decent defense and tied, they faced the Ravens and lost by 12, they beat the Bucs and Falcons who have terrible decimated defenses and they lost to the Chiefs by giving up 42 points. Give us the better defense and the team with the more balanced offense here.

3-Unit Play. #265. Take Seattle Seahawks -3 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday @ 1pm)
We're believers in the Seahawks. That young team is coming together and the morale is solid as the team basically believes in Russel Wilson as the team leader - that is the difference. The team got rid of all the other Alphas on the team and just kept Wilson as the Alpha with a slew of young core players to rally around him. Who is the better QB here? Wilson. Not Carr who has thrown a NFL leading 3 picks in the Endzone. Like the Seahawks and their team coming together coming off a loss here look to avoid back to back losses here and we think they will make life hell once again for Derek Carr.

3-Unit Play. #263. Take Tampa Bay Bucs +3.5 over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm est)
Jameis is back and Crab legs for everyone in Celebration! You think the juice is with Tampa Bay Bucs who is getting their starting QB back or Atlanta who has lost time and time again by 1 possession and just got blown out by Pittsburgh in an embarrassing and deflating loss. It's becoming apparent that Atlanta does not have defensive depth and they simply are losing this team by morale. This is a Bucs team that has even more offensive weapons than the Falcons honestly, who is healthier overall and who sports the #1 offense in the league with all the weapons that they have and with Atlanta struggling on defense, we like the Bucs here in what should be a high scoring performance but one in which it sees the Bucs win Outright (similar to Bucs vs. Saints in the 1st week of the Season).

[Bear's Fan]

Mike Francesa LW(2-1) YTD (6-9)
Cle
NE
GB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharpe

7 Unit Play Take #276 New England -3 over Kansas City (8:20pm est):

The injury story in this one isn't about who's hurt as much as it is who's now back for the New England Patriots. The Patriots looked bad in their week three loss to the Detroit Lions but they were missing three defensive starters in that game along with not having wide receivers Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon on offense either. Many of those guys are now playing and this makes New England once again a very dangerous team. No NFL franchise has won more big games over the past 15 years than New England and they have been nearly unstoppable when playing at home covering the spread at a 70% rate in their last 50 home games.

Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes is having an excellent start to the 2018 season but he looks to have come back down to earth some the last few weeks and especially since facing much tougher defenses of late as well. This will be one a very difficult test here for Mahomes on the road in New England and going up against Bill Belichick who's also had extra time to prepare for this contest. One big thing to come out of the Chiefs win last week was the fact they lost a few key guys to injury and those losses could be huge here. This is all about line value and right now the Chiefs are overvalued in the betting markets. No doubt this is a good team but it has an awful defense and is missing some key guys for this contest. Things set up nicely here for the Patriots here at home.

Take New England minus the points here.

3 Unit Play Take #258 Washington -1 over Carolina (1:00pm est):

I don't like what I've seen so far from this Carolina Panthers team here in 2018. They faced a below average Dallas Cowboys squad in their season opener and they won that game by a 16-8 score in what was an ugly game all around. The Panthers lost their next game to an Atlanta Falcons team who's only won that game all season currently. The Panthers were clearly outplayed in that game and were down much of the 2nd half by two possessions. Carolina won their next game as it was played at home against the Cincinnati Bengals as the Bengals hung close throughout despite being minus 4 in turnovers in the contest and lost their star WR for the 2nd half. The Panthers had a bye week and two weeks to prepare for a bad New York Giants team and they still needed a 63 yard field goal late to beat New York. It wasn't pretty as the bad Giants offense moved the football up and down the field against the Panthers with the Giants passing game throwing for nearly 400 yards and over 10 yards per attempt while scoring 31 points in the game. I'm a big believer in offensive line play being undervalued in the NFL and the Panthers are in trouble up front as their already below average offensive line has lost it's two best offensive lineman from last year, one to free agency and then their other top guy to a season ending injury after week one of this year.

The Washington Redskins were in a very tough spot last week losing to the red hot New Orleans Saints on the road on Monday night football by a 43-19 score. The Saints and their fans were fired up for that national TV contest along with the Drew Brees setting an NFL record. Washington demolished Arizona on the road, a place where the Cardinals went toe to toe with both Seattle and Chicago this year. The Redskins also have a strong showing at home over Green Bay where they won that game easily. They face a Panthers team here that's the only team in the NFL that's played just one road games so far this season.

Take Washington.

3 Unit Play Take #265 Seattle -2.5 over Oakland (1:00pm est):

I've actually been surprised with how Seattle has played so far this year. The Seahawks nearly won in Denver to start the season and playing in Denver in week one has been an almost impossible task for a visiting team. The Seahawks were missing a ton of starters in week two on Monday night against Chicago and they lost that one by just a touchdown. It was two very difficult games both on the road to start the year and the Seahawks played okay. In week three Seattle was finally at home and they had an easy win over Dallas and then went on the road again in week four and got the win over Arizona. Last week though might have been Seattle's most impressive showing yet as they lost a two point game to an LA Rams team that's currently ranked number one by most folks and they gave the Rams their toughest game so far this year.

On the other side of things we have an Oakland Raiders team here who's not only 1-4 to begin the year but they are currently dealing with a rash of injuries especially to their offensive line. The Raiders defense is one of the worst in the NFL so they rely heavily on a decent offense but we started to see signs of things falling apart on that side of the football last week as they only managed to score 10 point against a LA Chargers defense that had given up an average of 30 points per game in their other four contests.

Take Seattle in this one.

3 Unit Play Take #271 Jacksonville -3 over Dallas (4:25pm est):

This is a total fade on the Dallas Cowboys who come in at 2-3 on the season but this is a bad football team. One of their two wins was against Detroit at home where the Cowboys made some big plays late including converting on a last second field goal to beat the Lions and Detroit was coming off their emotional win over New England the week earlier. The Cowboys are missing two key guys right now due to injury and those losses are huge as the betting markets still haven't caught up to their impact. Dallas dropped a close one last week at Houston in overtime but they were lucky to be that close as the Texans were the much better team in that game and should have won that game by 10+ points.

Take Jacksonville minus the points here.

[Knuckle Sandwich]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WEEK #6 - Final Report

4-UNIT STRONGS
VIKINGS -10 vs cardinals (1pm)
BEARS -3 (-130) at dolphins (1pm)
STEELERS +1.5 at bengals (1pm)
BRONCOS +7 (-120) vs rams (4:05pm)
TITANS +3 (-125) vs ravens (4:25pm)
PATRIOTS/CHIEFS OVER 59.5 (SNF - 8:20pm)
PACKERS -9.5 vs 49'ers (MNF - 8:15pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 10/12/18 - 10pm
**All times Eastern
------------------------------------------------------
4-UNIT STRONG
(W)EAGLES/GIANTS OVER 44 (TNF - 8:20pm)

*All Lines from VI Consensus 10/11/18 - 4:20pm
**All times Eastern

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ocal sports:
10* minn-10
10* k.city ov 59.5
7*jax un 40.5
7* tenn un 42
5* pitts+2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones
4-tampa bay
3-cleveland
3-pittsburgh
3-minnesota
3-houston
2-denver
2-indianapolis

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PREFERRED PICKS:


5 Steelers +2
3 Broncos +7
3 Titans +3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fat jack

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Tampa
Wash
Indy

[Majorp]

LasVegasDataBase

Broncos +265

upset of the week

[dawggy]

From Arthur Ralph Sports.

SUN: Super PICK Pittsburgh + 2, GOLD Keys BROWNS -1, Pats -3, Jacksonville -3 Top Opinion OVER 59 Pats/Chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ken Thomson

3* New York Jets -2.5

3* Minnesota -10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fred faour

2* Pittsburgh +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

3* GOW

New England -3.5