Service Plays Saturday 11/10/18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hackman
stars 125
Montreal -105
leafs 125

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's

6 Unit Play. Take #116 Houston Cougars -4.5 over Temple Owls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBSSN) Houston has dominated this series as AAC opponents, going 3-0 ATS. This is the second straight road game for Temple, and they are facing another explosive offense in Houston. The Cougars are coming off a head-scratching loss to SMU last week, but expect them to rebound in a big way against Temple at home. Houston is just too explosive on offense for Temple to keep pace. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. Playing back-to-back road games against two explosive offenses will doom in Temple during the second half of this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #124 Under 67.5 in Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas A&M Aggies (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS)

3 Unit Play. Take #124 Texas A&M Aggies -13 over Ole Mis12 p.m.ls (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS) Both teams coming off losses, but expect the Aggies to rebound at home against Ole Miss. Texas A&M has a defense, and that is something lacking on the Ole Miss sideline. This is an important game for Jimbo Fisher to keep the emotions high and not let the season get away from them. The Rebels have had trouble scoring points against the top defenses in the SEC. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in College Station. Ole Miss is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #139 Miami Hurricanes +3 over Georgia Tech7 p.m.ow Jackets (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN) Mark Richt may not be a great coach, but he sure has had success against Georgia Tech and their option attack. He has beaten Georgia Tech 15 of 17 games, and getting points with Miami is too good to pass up on Saturday night. Miami is in desperate need of a victory today in order to salvage their season, as they enter this game having lost 3 straight games. If they can stop the option and force Georgia Tech to pass, they will win this game straight-up. Miami has covered the spread in 7 of their last 9 games against Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

2 Unit Play. Take #142 Kansas State Wildcats -112 p.m. Kansas Jayhawks (12p.m., Saturday, November 10 FSN) Both teams are struggling, and Kansas has a lame duck coach that has been told he will not return in 2019. The Wildcats have won 9 straight games against the Jayhawks (7-2 ATS), and Bill Snyder needs a victory in the worst way on Saturday. K-State has had a brutal schedule, but it lightens up to close out the season, and they must win all three of their remaining game to become bowl eligible. The favorite in this game is 18-5 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Kansas State has been beating Kansas by 29 points per game in the last nine meetings, and expect them to win this game by 14-17 points.

7 Unit Play. Take #156 Cincinnati Bearcats -14 over USF Bulls (7p.m., Saturday, November 10 ESPN U) AAC GAME OF THE YEAR! The Bulls are in freefall at the moment, having lost two straight games after a 7-0 start to the season. They will not get out of that funk tonight against Cincinnati a team that is a sneaky 8-1 on the season. USF is getting no respect from the linemakers, as is evident by being a big underdog two of the last three weeks. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. USF played cupcakes to open the season, and their defense will provide little resistance against the Bearcats. USF is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 AAC games. This is going to be a double-digit blowout for the Bearcats, and we will collect big with them in the process.

4 Unit Play. Take #200 Arkansas Razorbacks +13.5 over LSU Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 10 SECN) Take a flier with Arkansas in this game as we expect lingering effects from LSU's loss to Alabama last week to show up in this game. Arkansas is terrible, but LSU is not explosive at all on offense, and thus I wonder if they can cover this big spread on the road. Look for Arkansas to take care of the football and keep this deficit under double-digits for 60 minutes. The Razorbacks have had good success against the Tigers, covering the spread in 8 of the last 11 games.

[swaminator]

Megalocks cfb 23-15-2
North Carolina +10
Northwestern +10.5
Georgia Southern +1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bondi

10* GOY Cincinnati

Bondi

4* Texas A&M
3* West Virginia
3* Washington State

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

CFB - 4* Game 220 - Michigan State (+3.5)
Edges - Spartans: Head coach Mark Dantonio 16-5 ATS as a conference dog when allowing 22.2 or less PPG when facing foes coming off a win, including 8-0 ATS the last eight; and Dantonio 11-4-1 ATS as a home dog with a win percentage of less than .850, including 4-0 ATS with revenge versus an .833 or greater opponent … Buckeyes: 3-10 ATS in this series when MSU is coming off a win of 7 or more points. We cement the call with this from our powerful database: college football road favorites on a 5-game or more ATS losing streak are 0-11 ATS since 1990 from game Ten out when coming off a conference ATS loss of more than 10 points and facing a .181 or greater opponent. In addition college football conference home dogs coming off a road favorite SUATS win, that was preceded by a SU home dog win, are a perfect 6-0 ATS in this role. With the Spartans playing with revenge from a 48-3 loss last season - the worst Big Ten loss of Dantonio's career - and the Buckeyes allowing 457 YPG the last five games, we recommend a 4* play on Michigan State. Thank you and good luck as always.

CFB - 3* Game 119 - Virginia Tech (+3)
Edges - Hokies: 7-1-1 ATS conference dog when coming off consecutive losses … Panthers: Coach Pat Narduzzi 0-4 ATS favored off consecutive wins in his career (the last by double digits); and Narduzzi 0-3 ATS in games when coming off consecutive SUATS wins in his career; and Pitt never favored in 17 meetings in this series; and 4-10-1 ATS when coming off consecutive wins, the last as a dog … We seal the deal noting that sub .800 college football conference home favorites coming off a double-digit road dog win that was preceded by a SU home dog win are 0-8 ATS since 1980. With Tech head coach Justin Fuente 5-0 ATS as a road dog off a loss with a .500 or greater record in his career, and Tech 3-1 SU away from home this season and looking to keep its bowl streak alive since 1992, we recommend a strong 3* play on Virginia Tech. Thank you and good luck as always.

CFB - 3* Game 122 - Boston College (+20)
Edges - Eagles: 8-1 ATS with conference revenge; and 12-4 ATS as a home dog of 14 or more points, including 5-0 ATS with a win percentage of .666 or greater … Tigers: 0-6 ATS in this series when coming off a win of more than 20 points … We cement the call as our Perfect System Club tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any undefeated college football conference road favorite of more than 6 points from Game Ten or later if they won 12 or fewer games last season provided they are coming off a SUATS win and are facing a greater than .500 opponent. That's because the undefeated teams are 0-16 ATS in this situation since 1980. With that we recommend a strong 3* play on Boston College.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tiger from PHG

733 under 148 ok st
733 under 70.5 ok st 1st h

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Swag Picks

Adding:

West Virginia -14

Florida -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pointwise phones

4-cincinnati
4-temple
3-alabama
3-pittsburgh
3-oklahoma st
3-purdue
3-georgia
2-wisconsin
2-miami florida
2-troy
2-smu

[uwinnow]

NORTH Coast 5 * GOY 5* Arizona State more in a moment

[KingWell07]

Bill Hilton Gameday
4* West Virginia
3* Arizona St
2* Iowa, Oregon, Ohio st

[uwinnow]

North Coast 4* Tx, W Vig Mia Fla 3* Smu Mid Tenn St Troy
TOTALS 48 Under WISCONSIN, 3* under Byu Under Bowling GREEN

[Steel11]

Nelly's Sports

NCAA3* #116 Houston -4.5 over Temple 6:00 PM CTHouston was stunned at SMU last week after a 4-0 start in AAC play. The Cougars remain the West leaders but the rest of the November schedule features two home games with some risk before heading to Memphis in the season finale. Houston is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation posting nearly 48 points per game and in going 4-0 at home the Cougars have won by an average margin of nearly 30 points per game including blowout wins over Arizona and South Florida. Last week’s 31-point performance was the lowest output of the season for Houston but this is a matchup that will get all of Houston’s attention and the 40-point performance last week was the second highest output of the season for Temple. Last season Houston won at Temple just 20-13 but that was before D’Eriq King took over at quarterback. King has accounted for 42 touchdowns this season with only five interceptions, posting 9.1 yards per attempt while Houston also gains 5.8 yards per rush. Temple poured a lot into last week’s primetime game at UCF, looking to snap the nation’s longest winning streak. Temple led much of the way but wound up losing 52-40 in a game where both teams eclipsed 600 yards. Anthony Russo has just one more touchdown than interception thrown this season and while he had big numbers vs. the bottom of the conference he has thrown five interceptions in the past two games against quality teams. This is a second straight road game for Temple and while the Owls were unlucky in blowing a lead last week, they had big comebacks in the previous two wins vs. Navy and Cincinnati, including a very fortunate overtime win and cover vs. the Bearcats. Houston has a formidable run defense allowing only 3.6 yards per carry while the great pass defense numbers for Temple have a lot to do with the schedule facing a few teams that simply don’t rely on the passing game at all in Maryland, Tulsa, and Navy, ultimately playing five of eight FBS games vs. teams outside the nation’s top 80 in passing yards per game. Temple’s top rusher Ryquell Armstead hasn’t been 100 percent and even after returning last week he battled through his ankle issue and wasn’t on the field the late in the game and is a question mark to play this week as is center Matt Hennessy, who also left last week’s game. Houston is 22-2 S/U at home since 2015 and Ed Oliver could return for this game as this is a short home favorite price for the Cougars off a loss with the division lead on the line. UCF was as high as a 12-point favorite last week hosting Temple, Houston doesn’t rate as a touchdown worse than the Knights and this will be a tougher situation than last week for the Owls given long travel and the injuries.
2* #126 Tennessee +5.5 over Kentucky 2:30 PM CTKentucky has been a great story but last week’s loss to Georgia ended the bid for the SEC East title for the Wildcats. Having to go on the road for this rivalry game could be a challenge following a big run of games and the Wildcats are certainly a suspect road favorite. The last two road games for Kentucky have been tight games losing in overtime vs. Texas A&M and winning by one at Missouri. In the A&M game Kentucky had only 178 total yards and eight first downs as turnovers kept them in the game including a late fumble return for the tie. Against Missouri Kentucky caught a similar fourth quarter break with a 67-yard punt return touchdown while also scoring a second late touchdown as time expired to go from being down 14-3 to winning 15-14. Kentucky was an underdog in both of those games but now will be favored in Knoxville vs. a competitive Tennessee team. Tennessee is 4-5 as they need to win two of the final three to make a bowl game. The Volunteers haven't been as competitive in a 1-4 SEC start btu they had to play Auburn and Alabama teams that Kentucky didn’t face. Tennessee beat Auburn on the road and lost by three at South Carolina as the Volunteers haven't been far from better results. Also facing West Virginia means that Tennessee has faced one of the nation’s toughest schedules. Kentucky has scored just over 19 points per game in SEC play as Tennessee has been the stronger scoring team in the conference and against a one-dimensional Kentucky offense the Tennessee defense can provide better results, using the same game plan the keyed the upset vs. Auburn, stopping the run and forcing a limited passing game to try to make big plays in the air without making mistakes. Kentucky beat Tennessee last season for the first time since 2011 as this will be a big revenge spot for the Volunteers and the last time Kentucky won in this series by more than three points was 1984 while last winning by more than five points in 1981. Kentucky is 10-26 ATS in this series since 1982 while Kentucky has only been a road favorite once vs. anyone since 2010, winning but failing to cover last season at Southern Miss as this is a rare unprecedented price for the Wildcats in this venue. 1* #158 Coastal Carolina +7 over Arkansas State 4:00 PM CTArkansas State was the overwhelming favorite at the start of the season in the Sun Belt. The Red Wolves will have a shot to still get to the title game despite the current 2-3 record in league play but the most important game in that aim is next week hosting current West leader UL-Monroe. The only Sun Belt wins for Arkansas State came vs. Georgia State and South Alabama at home with those teams both 1-4 in SBC play and 2-7 overall. Arkansas State is 0-2 on the road in league play and this is a dangerous game despite a 51-17 home win in this matchup last season. The Chanticleers were a bit of a mess last season as a new FBS entrant with their head coach needing to take medical leave. This year Coastal Carolina is 5-4 and on the verge of a bowl bid with three games to go. Last week Coastal Carolina was shut down by a very good Appalachian State defense but Arkansas State has allowed 32 points per game in conference play. Arkansas State is 114th nationally allowing 5.2 yards per rush as the home underdog will have an opportunity to have an edge on the ground. Coastal Carolina has gained 5.0 yards per rush this season to best the numbers for Arkansas State. Coastal Carolina is also 10th nationally gaining 9.0 yards per pass this season with a big play offense that has used two quarterbacks in recent weeks making for a tough matchup to prepare for. After a bad performance against likely the best team in the conference Coastal Carolina is a threat to knock off Arkansas State with the Red Wolves mostly underperforming all season. 2* #177 Auburn +14 over Georgia 6:00 PM CTGeorgia clinched a spot in the SEC title game last week picking up a pair of huge division wins in consecutive games with Florida and Kentucky. A rematch of last season’s SEC title game will not be overlooked but ultimately the Bulldogs know their fate hinges on the game December 1. That Auburn is 6-3 isn’t a huge disappointment but the SEC West champions are a heavy underdog this week and still have a trip to Tuscaloosa in two weeks as 7-5 seems to be the likely scenario. This is a huge game for the Tigers who won 40-17 hosting Georgia last November before losing 28-7 in the SEC title game in the rematch. Those results were each as lopsided as the scores for greatly contrasting performances though Auburn had two turnovers in the SEC title games and still only trailed by six in the fourth quarter, while the regular season meeting was a true Auburn blowout. Auburn has played a very difficult schedule and has played close games almost every week, finding ways to win late in several big games notably vs. Washington and last week vs. Texas A&M. The only lopsided loss came by 14 at Mississippi State and that was a seven-point game until two minutes to go. Georgia simply hasn’t been in close game situations this year as they were blown out in the loss at LSU while winning every other game by at least 14 points. Georgia caught big breaks in the wins over Missouri and Florida and this is a massive spread adjustment considering Auburn was just +1.5 in Atlanta less than a year ago. Auburn grades a bit worse than last season obviously but not nearly two touchdowns worse as this line has been overcorrected. Auburn still remains an elite defensive team allowing just 17 points per game on the season while allowing only 3.5 yards per rush compared to Georgia allowing 4.0 yards per rush

Any Gavazzi

[swaminator]

Ness LEGEND California

[Tmo82]

Budin 75 dime UCF

[DamnMexican]

gurusdeportivos.com (3-1 last week)

Minnesota +10.5
Texas/Texas Tech over 62.5
Washington State -6
Georgia -14