Monday 1-28-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, January 28


Winnipeg @ Philadelphia

Game 71-72
January 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
9.764
Philadelphia
11.204
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+100); Over

New Jersey @ Pittsburgh

Game 73-74
January 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
8.933
Pittsburgh
11.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-225
6
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-225); Over

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NHL

Monday, January 28

Trend Report

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Winnipeg is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
New Jersey is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games
New Jersey is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
New Jersey is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against New Jersey

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NHL's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):

1. Senators 30-17
2. Sharks 31-19
3. Blackhawks 27-17
4. Panthers 26-17
t5. Flames 25-21
t5. Avalanche 25-21
7. Sabres 26-21
8. Lightning 26-20


NHL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Ducks 32-17
2. Islanders 30-16
3. Stars 28-15
4. Bruins 28-18
t5. Hurricanes 29-20
t5. Kings 29-20
7. Blue Jackets 26-18
8. Canadiens 28-22

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NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, January 28

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WINNIPEG (31-15-0-2, 64 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (19-23-0-6, 44 pts.) - 1/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 92-56 ATS (+22.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 21-9 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 44-16 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 256-275 ATS (-29.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (+17.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (18-23-0-7, 43 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (26-16-0-6, 58 pts.) - 1/28/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 18-30 ATS (+50.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 4-16 ATS (+25.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-18 ATS (+28.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 19-4 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 5-6 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-5-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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Lightning to light lamp vs Penguins, and this week's NHL predictions and picks
Monty Andrews

Philly Special

Wells Fargo Center has provided one of the biggest road-ice advantages to date – and the Flyers would love nothing more than to change that as they host the Jets on Monday night. Philadelphia has dropped five consecutive home games against teams with winning records, and own the second-worst home record in the Eastern Conference (10-10-3). The Jets, meanwhile, have been a respectable 13-9-0 on the road this season en route to going into the break with the top record in the Central Division, even with Nashville on points but with four games in hand. That said, the home team has won the last six games in this series.

Can Columbus Rattle Sabres Again?

The Buffalo Sabres had an up-and-down first half of the season – and the start of the unofficial second half is a challenging one as the Sabres visit the Columbus Blue Jackets on Tuesday night. Columbus has dominated the head-to-head series of late, winning six of the previous eight meetings – including the past four at Nationwide Arena. Worth watching: the Blue Jackets' power play, which ranks 27th out of 31 teams at 14.6 percent for the season but added Hall of Fame forward Martin St. Louis as a special teams consultant. Buffalo has the league's ninth-best penalty kill at 82.2 percent.

You're Invited to the Goal Parade

You might see Wednesday's game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins and think, "Boy, I bet these teams score a lot against each other." And friend, you would be right. Two of the most dangerous offenses in the NHL renew hostilities at PPG Paints Arena, and bettors shouldn't be surprised to see this one carry a total of 6.5. The teams have combined for seven more more goals in each of their previous seven meetings, and 11 of their past 12. And if you're thinking of sliding down to a slightly lower total, you'll be pleased to know that they've scored six or more goals in 14 straight games.

There's No Place Like Home

The New Jersey Devils went into the All-Star break as the worst value play in the NHL – but they're in good position to start the second half on a positive note as they entertain the New York Rangers on Thursday night. Bettors siding with the Devils would be down 12.34 units through their first 48 games, thanks in large part to a dismal 5-17-3 SU record away from Prudential Center. But Thursday's opponent might offer some relief; while the Rangers entered the break 10th-most units won (0.85), they're one of only two teams in the top 10 with a negative unit return on the road (-1.65).

Goalie Profile: Juuse Saros, Nashville Predators

There might not be a goaltending controversy brewing in Music City, but if Saros continues to outplay incumbent starter Pekka Rinne, there might be. Saros has been one of the best netminders in the league this month, boasting a 4-1-0 record with a 1.47 goals-against average, a .955 save percentage and one shutout. Contrast that with Rinne's 3-2-2 record, 3.33 GAA and .896 SV%, and it's clear who has been the better option so far this calendar year. Look for Saros to see more action as the season winds down; Nashville is 12-8-1 SU and 14-6-1 O/U in his 21 appearances on the campaign.

Injury Update: F Nathan MacKinnon, Colorado Avalanche

A bruised foot kept Avalanche superstar MacKinnon out of this weekend's All-Star Game, though he did participate as a coach. Colorado fans are holding their collective breath after MacKinnon underwent multiple MRIs to determine the severity of the injury. His absence would be a significant blow to an Avalanche team that has been a three-man show on offense. MacKinnon enters the week in a tie for fifth in the league in points with 71, eight behind league leader Nikita Kucherov of Tampa Bay, three behind teammate Mikko Rantanen, and 17 ahead of linemate Gabriel Landeskog. The Avs are +1,800 to win the Western Conference.

Hat Trick Trends

The unofficial first half of the season produced an almost even number of overs and unders, as you might expect. The league saw 367 unders through the All-Star break (50.6 percent), compared to 359 overs (49.4 percent). Of the 163 non-push games that went to overtime, 90 went over (55.2 percent) while 73 went under (44.8 percent).

The biggest development over the previous 30 days worth of games: Bettors who have shown faith in the road team have been handsomely rewarded. Road teams have won at a 50 percent clip over that span (102-91-11), with road favorites prevailing at a 60-percent clip (36-21-3). Favorites overall converted 56 percent of the time in that stretch (112-85-3).

It should come as no surprise that the league-leading Lightning have been the biggest profit producer entering the final week of January, having returned 17.81 units to date. The New York Islanders continue to surprise as the No. 2 team in profit (15.53), while the Calgary Flames round out the top 3 (11.07).

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Totals Guru

Jan 28 '19, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Notre Dame
Play on: OVER 150 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Duke vs Notre Dame over 150 -110

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Doug Upstone

Jan 28 '19, 7:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Jets vs Flyers
Play on: Jets -127 at betonline

In truth, the money line does seem low and possibly oddsmakers are telling up something. This is a game Winnipeg should win with ease and they are 8-2 when playing with three or more days rest. Yet, when digging around, we find the home team is on a 6-0 run. Still, the Jets at this price is too good to pass up, plus, the Flyers are 3-13 after scoring five or more goals and Winnipeg is 36-15 after scoring two or fewer goals.

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Info Plays

Jan 28 '19, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | North Carolina Central vs Savannah State
Play on: Savannah State +3 -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Savannah State +3 -109

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Mike Williams

Jan 28 '19, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | North Carolina Central vs Savannah State
Play on: Savannah State +3 -109 at GTBets

1* on Savannah State +3 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 28 '19, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Bethune-Cookman vs Coppin State
Play on: Coppin State +3 -110 at Bovada

Free Pick on Coppin State

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Dustin Hawkins

Jan 28 '19, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Bethune-Cookman vs Coppin State
Play on: Coppin State +3 -110 at sportsbook

Free Play on Coppin State +3 -110

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Mike Lundin

Jan 28 '19, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Nets vs Celtics
Play on: Nets +11 -110 at sportsbook

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Brooklyn Nets have been among the hottest teams in the NBA in recent weeks, winning 10 of their last 12 and entering this contest on a six-game winning streak.
The Nets are 9-3 ATS during that 12-game stretch which includes a 109-102 home win over Boston on January 14, and here they'll face a Celtics team in a tough spot following a hard-fought loss against the Warriors on Saturday.
Brooklyn on the other hand has had two full days off since its 109-99 win over the New York Knicks Friday night and is a solid 8-1 ATS in its last nine games playing on two days rest.
Free pick on Brooklyn Nets.

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John Martin

Jan 28 '19, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Nets vs Celtics
Play on: Nets +10½ -100 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Brooklyn Nets +10.5
The Nets are playing too well to be getting 10.5 points from the Boston Celtics tonight. The Nets are 19-5 SU & 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall. They have won six straight coming in and they’ll be working on two days’ rest having last played on Friday. The Celtics are definitely in a hangover spot after losing at home to the Warriors 111-115 Saturday. The Nets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games when playing on two days’ rest. Give me the Nets.

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Doc's Sports

Jan 28 '19, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Nets vs Celtics
Play on: Nets +10½ -102 at pinnacle

These teams met earlier this month in Brooklyn and the Nets won straight up, and we think that shows that they matchup up well here. This is a very underrated team and they should not be double-digit underdogs here. That win against Boston started the Nets current six-game winning streak. While most of the opponents have been lousy teams, they did beat both the Celtics and the Rockets during this streak. Brooklyn has covered in five of the last eight meetings and they always seem to play hard in this matchup because it’s a regional rivalry. We think there is a very good chance for a close game here.

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Brandon Lee

Jan 28 '19, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Nuggets vs Grizzlies
Play on: Grizzlies +6½ -110 at sportsbook

10* FREE NBA PICK (Grizzlies +6.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies in this one. Memphis snapped a 8-game losing streak with a 106-103 win at home against the Pacers on Saturday. However, to the public that means next to nothing as they just see that as a result of Indiana playing their first game without Victor Oladipo.
You could just see the relief with Memphis after that win and that tells me this team was really pressing to play better and I think there's a good chance we see them carry over some of that momentum into this game. Denver is without a doubt the better team, but they will be without second leading scorer Jamal Murray and playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.
Hard to see the Nuggets playing their best basketball in this one and Grizzlies are a team that can really ugly up a game. I think Memphis easily covers here and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Grizzlies +6.5!