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Marco D
PLAY: (772) COASTAL CAROLINA +1.5
RATING: 3% PLAY
I’ll make this one simple wrong team is favored here as too much of an adjustment has been made for the location of this game. Coastal Carolina won both meetings during regular season and I see no reason that they don’t win again. My numbers have Coastal Carolina winning by 3-5 points.
This one fits the same angles as our play this afternoon with George Washington. The market has over reacted to the fact that Illinois had to go to OT last night. I like a team that has a game under their belt and won in a tight game vs a team playing it’s first Tournament game. You can’t get any tighter than OT right? Playing in that kind of game vs a team that hasn’t played yet is a big advantage. Illinois plays with revenge as Iowa not only beat them during the regular season but knocked them out of Tourney last year. Iowa is just 5-12 ATS as a favorite this year. Over the last 2 seasons Iowa is just 2-10 ATS on the road following a loss. This goes to the wire as I have Illinois winning by 1-3.
TAKE ILLINOIS as MARCO’S 4% THURSDAY NIGHT BEST BET
AIR FORCE VS FRESNO ST. | 3/14 | 11:30 PM EDT
4:48 PM
There is no comparison in talent between these two teams. Fresno State is a top 60 team with a great defensive minded set from their coach Justin Hutson. Fresno also has the No. 19 best 3-point shooting team in the country and No. 30 most effective field goal team. Air Force is ranked between 220 and 240 with well-below average offense and defense. Revenge! Fresno lost at home to Air Force 64-61 just three weeks ago. Look for a high motitvated Bulldogs team.
10-3 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +658
3-0 IN LAST 3 AF ATS PICKS | +300
MARQUETTE -3.5
ST. JOHN'S VS MARQUETTE | 3/14 | 7:00 PM EDT
4:46 PM
Marquette's Markus Howard will be the best player on the floor and take the Madison Square Garden crowd out of the game. The Golden Eagles lost both meetings to St. John's so they come into the game with revenge on their minds. They also have the goal of winning the Big East Tournament. Take Marquette.
10-3 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +658
3-2 IN LAST 5 MARQET ATS PICKS | +76
Game: (307803) Bakersfield at (307804) UT Rio Grande Valley Date/Time: Mar 14 2019 5:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 3% Play: UT Rio Grande Valley -2.0 (-107)
All-Access customers back by 11 AM ET Friday for day games.
#307804 3* UT Rio Grand Valley -2 Bakersfield 5:30 PM
Bakersfield has lost 5 straight and 8 of 9 and now suspended their #3 scores and 3-pt specialist. UTRGV has an offense close to Bakersfield but also has the #86 defense compared to #234. UTRGV also #7 in free throws in the country which is a plus if it’s a close game.
Game: (779) Marshall at (780) So Mississippi Date/Time: Mar 14 2019 10:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker Play Rating: 4% Play: So Mississippi -3.0 (-102)
#780 4* Southern Miss -3 Marshall 10 PM
Marshall comes in red-hot winning and covering 5 straight but none of those games against the top 5 teams in CUSA and 3 of 4 before the Rice win last night were at home. Marshall is an up-tempo team (#7 in country) that has averaged 85.4 PPG their aslt 5 but hey are also a team that only shoots 41.4% away from home. Southern Miss is the polar opposite with a slow tempo (#314) that has oe of the conference’s best D’s.
Top opinions:
#688 Seton Hall
#695/#696 Richmond/St Louis Under
#703/#704 Ball St/ Bowling Green Over
#731/#732 Memphis/ Tulane Over
#750 Arizona St
Game: (787) Montana State at (788) Eastern Washington Date/Time: Mar 14 2019 10:00 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker Play Rating: 3% Play: Eastern Washington -1.0 (-110)
#788 3* Eastern Washington -1 Montana St 10 PM
Eastern Washington started 1-9 and have gone 13-8 down the stretch. There a team that took their lumps against the #21 non-conference schedule and got much better. In Montana St’s last 8 games they went 4-4 but all 4 wins were against the bottom 5 teams in the league. The Bobcats played an Idaho team last night that ranks 347 out of the 353 teams and had to shoot 54% and 46% from 3-pt to beat them by 4. Eastern Washington has played without Jacob Davison the last 7 games (tied for #2 in scoring) and if he’s back this team can win the tournament (still a play today with or without him).
Game: (751) Oregon at (752) Utah U Date/Time: Mar 14 2019 11:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 3% Play: Oregon -4.0 (-108)
#751 3* Oregon -4 Utah 11:30 PM ESPN
As we played on a team last week, I don’t mind taking a superior defensive team on B2B nights versus a rested team that relies on their offense to win. The Ducks are playing that type of D allowing 33.9% shooting their last 5 games!!
7-Unit Play. Take #717-718 Penn State/Minnesota GAME TOTAL UNDER 135 (Thursday, March 14 at 7:00 PM ET)
Take Penn State/Minnesota GAME TOTAL UNDER as my 7-Unit CBB Smash for Thursday night. This pick falls into one of my top college basketball systems and I have this game staying well under the posted total here tonight. Penn State has shot just 40.4% as a team on the road this season and they have held opponents to shooting just 38.5% against them over their last five games. Minnesota has shot just 39.8% as a team on the road this season and just 40.2% over their last five games. Minnesota has also held opponents to shooting just 39.9% against them over their last five games and neither one of these teams can shoot the ball from beyond the arc effectively. Minnesota has averaged just 62.9 points per game on the road this season and Penn State has held opponents to just 63.8 points per game over the last five games. Penn State has only average 66.2 points per game on the road this season and the over/under is 1-5 for Penn State in their last 6 neutral court games when favored. There was only 129 total points in the only meeting between these two teams this season and that was with Penn State shooting 47.1% as a team from beyond the arc and Minnesota making it to the free-throw line 30 times. The over/under is 4-12 for Minnesota in their last 16 games as an underdog and I look for both of these teams to step it up defensively here tonight. Play the UNDER as we moved to 15-7 with my last 22 college basketball picks.
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