Service Plays Sunday 4/14/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #16
    Stephen Oh

    Saint Louis -125
    Atlanta +145
    Oakland -129



    ATLANTA +145


    N.Y. METS @ ATLANTA | 4/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
    4:38 AM
    I realize that the Braves have a tough task ahead of them in facing Jacob deGrom. But deGrom was shelled in his last start, giving up six runs on eight hits in four innings to the Twins, proving he can be hit. In addition, Atlanta went 5-1 last season against the Mets in games started by deGrom. My model says that the Braves win more than 50 percent of the simulations, making this moneyline way off.

    15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +738
    11-6 IN LAST 17 NYM ML PICKS | +631

    3-1 IN LAST 4 ATL ML PICKS | +215


    ST. LOUIS -125


    ST. LOUIS VS CINCINNATI | 4/14 | 4:10 PM EDT
    4:37 AM
    The Reds have won four straight games, outscoring teams 26-3 during the winning streak. But I think the streak ends Sunday in Mexico. Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas is 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA against the Reds in his career. In addition, Reds starter Anthony DeSclafani (0-1, 6.75 ERA) was rocked by St. Louis last season (10 earned runs on 20 hits in 12 innings) and has struggled against Paul Goldschmidt (7-for-11) and Matt Carpenter (9-for-20, three homers). My model says the Cardinals win 66 percent of simulations, so this is a strong play on the moneyline.

    15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +738
    16-6 IN LAST 22 STL ML PICKS | +1076

    5-2 IN LAST 7 CIN ML PICKS | +371


    OAKLAND -129


    OAKLAND @ TEXAS | 4/14 | 3:05 PM EDT
    4:36 AM
    After being rained out on Saturday, the Rangers send Adrian Sampson to the mound for his first start of the season while the A’s will counter with Brett Anderson. Texas has lost five of six while the A’s have won four straight. In his only appearance against the A’s, on Sept. 7 of last year, Sampson gave up three runs on four hits and lasted only one-third of an inning. My model has Oakland winning 61 percent of simulations, making this moneyline play a good value.

    15-6 IN LAST 21 MLB ML PICKS | +738
    11-5 IN LAST 16 OAK ML PICKS | +628

    11-8 IN LAST 19 TEX ML PICKS | +604
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #17
      Larry Hartstein

      Portland -2.5


      PORTLAND -2.5


      OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 4/14 | 3:30 PM EDT
      FRI 4/12
      The Thunder swept four games against Portland this season, which is one of the reasons why this number is so low. Oklahoma City gets 19.7 percent of its possessions in transition (fourth most in the NBA), but the playoffs have a way of slowing down fast-break teams. Home-court advantage is huge in the playoffs, and the Blazers' fans are as rabid as any.

      83-66-1 IN LAST 150 NBA ATS PICKS | +1033
      28-19 IN LAST 47 OKC ATS PICKS | +761

      7-2 IN LAST 9 POR ATS PICKS | +480
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #18
        Sleepyj

        3* Oklahoma +3.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #19
          Adam Thompson


          OAKLAND -139


          OAKLAND @ TEXAS | 4/14 | 3:05 PM EDT
          10:50 AM
          Oakland is getting hot and Texas is heading in the wrong direction. Plus, the A's start their ace Brett Anderson, while the Rangers are going with a reliever with five career starts. Adrian Sampson isn't likely to go much longer than five innings, and he'll be relieved by a bottom-10 bullpen.

          3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +198
          15-6 IN LAST 21 TEX ML PICKS | +775


          KANSAS CITY +130


          CLEVELAND @ KANSAS CITY | 4/14 | 2:15 PM EDT
          10:44 AM
          I'm wary of backing Jacob Junis and his subpar bullpen behind him, but the Indians' offense is in a real funk. Cleveland is hitting under .200 on the road, in day games AND against righties this season, and has managed just one run in a pair of losses at Kansas City so far. Corey Kluber is Corey Kluber, but he got shelled against the Twins two starts ago and may not get any run support. It's a good price to take a flyer on the home team.

          3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +198
          10-5 IN LAST 15 CLE ML PICKS | +453

          5-1 IN LAST 6 KC ML PICKS | +447


          TAMPA BAY -152


          TAMPA BAY @ TORONTO | 4/14 | 1:07 PM EDT
          10:19 AM
          Marcus Stroman has been solid this season for the Blue Jays, but he doesn't have a win to show for it because Toronto's offense is really cold. The Rays' bats are not, hitting a MLB-best .390 on teh road, plus .261 on day games. Toronto is hitting .206/.208 in those splits. Charlie Morton hasn't allowed more than two runs in a start yet.

          3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ML PICKS | +198
          9-3 IN LAST 12 TB ML PICKS | +547
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #20
            Stephen Nover

            2*
            Oklahoma +3.5
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358322

              #21
              Rockdeman Sports

              MLB
              New York Mets
              Arizona Diamondbacks
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358322

                #22
                MidAmerican Sports

                MLB
                Orioles +1.5 runs
                Mariners
                Dodgers
                Diamondbacks
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                • FATMANWINS
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 1334

                  #23
                  allan desrosiers
                  baseball
                  10 cards
                  8 cleveland
                  7 tampa under

                  Comment

                  • FATMANWINS
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 1334

                    #24
                    allan desrosiers
                    nhl
                    7 penguins -1.5

                    Comment

                    • FATMANWINS
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 1334

                      #25
                      allan desrosiers
                      nba
                      10 portland over
                      7 celts under

                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358322

                        #26
                        Sportsvipvegas 4/14

                        Cincy
                        sf
                        arizona rl
                        detroit rl
                        clevland
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358322

                          #27
                          Indian Cowboy mlb 4-14

                          7 Unit Rockies-104
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358322

                            #28
                            David Kelly


                            OVER 5.5


                            N.Y. ISLANDERS @ PITTSBURGH | 4/14 | 12:00 PM EDT
                            11:32 AM
                            Pittsburgh HAS to start scoring...don’t they? Well there's no better time than the present and for Pens fans it would come just in the nick of time. At home, pent up potential and super-star Sidney Crosby off the schneid... good recipe for the Over wager today.

                            8-2 IN LAST 10 NHL O/U PICKS | +597
                            13-8-2 IN LAST 23 NYI O/U PICKS | +485
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358322

                              #29
                              Tom Fornelli


                              PORTLAND -3.5


                              OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 4/14 | 3:30 PM EDT
                              11:33 AM
                              The Blazers enter this game having had four days off, and rest has been quite good to them this season. Portland's 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games with three days of rest of more. They've also gone 32-19-1 ATS this season when favored, as well as 24-16-1 ATS at home. Lay the points.

                              60-39 IN LAST 99 NBA PICKS | +1700


                              BOSTON -7


                              INDIANA @ BOSTON | 4/14 | 1:00 PM EDT
                              11:23 AM
                              While Boston won three of the four meetings between these two during the regular season, they split the series ATS. Boston did win two of the games by more than 20 points, though, and I like the Celtics here at home with plenty of rest.

                              60-39 IN LAST 99 NBA PICKS | +1700
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358322

                                #30
                                From Northcoast group of handicappers:

                                ------------------------------------
                                Master Sports

                                MLB
                                4* #960 Arizona -130 (Greinke)
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