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Friday 5-24-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 2:55P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2019 RUIDOSO QUARTER HORSE FUTURITY. WEIGHT: 124, LBS. ALL HORSES MUST ENTER FOR THE TRIALS ON FRIDAY MAY 17, 2019 BY 10:00 A. M. AND PAY THE $1,200 ENTRY FEE, IF THEY ARE TO RUN IN THE TRIALS. LATE NOMINATIONS OF $30,000 (INCLUDES ALL FEES) WILL BE ACCEPTED UNTIL TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS. THOSE WHO WANT TO REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE 2020 RUIDOSO DERBY, BUT ELECT NOT TO RUN IN THE 2019 RUIDOSO FUTURITY TIME TRIALS MAY DO SO IF THEY ARE STILL ELIGIBLE AT THE TIME OF ENTRY INTO THE TRIALS, BY PAYING THE $1,200 ENTRY FEE INTO THE RUIDOSO FUTURITY TIME TRIALS. THE FIVE FASTEST TIMES FROM THE TRIALS FOR EACH DAY WILL QUALIFY FOR THE FINALS. THERE WILL BE NO ALSO ELIGIBLE LIST FOR THE FINALS. NOTE: ALL RACES THIS DAY WILL BE TRIALS, FIRST POST TIME MAY CHANGE DUE TO THE NUMBER OF RACES.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RELENTLESS EPISODE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average E quibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SUM STORM: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
8
RELENTLESS EPISODE
3/1
9/5
1
SUM STORM
5/1
7/2
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
SUM STORM
1
5/1
Average
73
48
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
HERESTOTHEGOODOLDAYS
4
12/1
Average
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
FM APOLLITICAL ROCK
5
20/1
Slow
0
0
8.9
0.0
0.0
8
RELENTLESS EPISODE
8
3/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
70
64
6.6
0.0
0.0
9
C SPECIAL PYC
9
7/2
Average
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: GONNA B FAMOUS (8/1) [Jockey: Flores James A - Trainer: Reed Gerald W], KIEVA (6/1) [Jockey: Smith Cody Rodger - Trainer: Crawford Clinton], NAMGISKISSMYSNAPSHOT (15/1) [Jockey: Silva Agustin - Trainer: Keeton Toby], KISS MY AX
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $14,250 • Post: 8:35P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. MINNESOTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ASTONISHING TWEET is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ASTONISHING TWEET: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. DION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LANGS LEGEND: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. H orse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
ASTONISHING TWEET
8/5
Emerald Downs - Race #3 - Post: 7:36pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,600 Class Rating: 62
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#6 MISS MONIQUE (ML=5/1)
#2 WAISILIVA (ML=4/1)
#4 SHE CHERIE (ML=5/2)
MISS MONIQUE - I like when a race sets up this way. This filly has the lone pace to crush this field. The jockey/conditioner duo of Ceballos and Lucarelli has a strong ROI together. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the ability to make her presence felt. WAISILIVA - Always be wary of the longer priced equine when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Orozco's agent must relish anytime Wright gives them a mount; win percent together is tremendous. This racer coming off a solid contest in the last month is a solid contender in my humble opinion. The 65 most recent race speed rating looks strong on paper. SHE CHERIE - Carreno comes to ride again after getting to know the filly in the last race. Another way to determine class is (EPS) earnings per start. This thoroughbred has the top in the bunch. I think she'll be close at the finish line. This thoroughbred coming off a solid contest in the last month is a contender in my book.
COASTAL TULIPS - This filly raced very well on May 5th finishing third, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. I don't like the hard fact that bandages were used on May 5th. PERFECT BLOSSOM - Today's contest is 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair in the last two months. Not the best of omens. A bit of a lackluster performance when this filly finished fourth. This racer will probably need at least one more run after the lackluster showing following the very long layoff. VIETORIA SECRET - Trying to beat this participant this time out at the value of 8/1.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 MISS MONIQUE to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4,6] with [2,4,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10800 Class Rating: 73
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE NOVEMBER 24. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 FOREST DEW 3/1
# 1 ANNA MAY OUR QUEEN 2/1
# 3 VIBRANT GINGER 5/2
I think FOREST DEW is a very good choice. Sound average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this pony a key contender. Reason to like this mare as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. She looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. ANNA MAY OUR QUEEN - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Gonzalez ought to have this mare in excellent position to win the race. Gonzalez will most likely be able to get this mare to break out quickly for this race. VIBRANT GINGER - Kreiser has a reliable 29 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Should definitely be carefully examined in this competition if only for the respectable Equibase Speed Fig garnered in the last contest.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pimlico
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 70
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 YOU MADE IT 5/2
# 8 FREEDOM BELLA 7/5
# 7 WEEKEND FLYER 6/1
YOU MADE IT looks to be a decent contender. Don't overlook this filly in your wagers - very dangerous with Centeno aboard. The speed rating of 70 from her most recent race looks respectable in here. She has put up respectable figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this field. FREEDOM BELLA - Could best this group here, showing quite good numbers of late. Hard to pass on this filly with Cruz in the irons. WEEKEND FLYER - A nice return on investment of +1 with this rider and handler combo. Has been racing solidly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance.
Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:25pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 97
Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar
#1 IT'S THE ICE (GB) (ML=6/1)
#6 KING EDDIE (ML=7/2)
IT'S THE ICE (GB) - A definite class advantage goes to this horse. A pretty good sign he will be very competitive in this grass race. Finished ahead of today's favorite in the last race at Golden Gate Fields. Can do the same again in this field. Finished fourth at Golden Gate Fields last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 6/1 in this event, he looks like a possible contender. KING EDDIE - This gelding is almost always in the top three. Jockey hops back aloft after getting to know the horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a good indicator. McCanna brings him right back. I suggest you stick with this hot gelding.
KATIE'S COWBOY - Didn't meet expectations as the public's choice twice. Could be tough for this mount to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the possibly overvalued contestants list. MAXINAMILLION - If he goes off anywhere close to the oddsmaker's morning line of 2/1, I'll have to pass. LOLLY EXPRESS - I'd like to see more conducive recent outings with morning line odds of 8/1. Can't make a habit of betting on horses that rarely win. Finished fourth in his most recent performance with a disappointing speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 IT'S THE ICE (GB) is going to be the play if we are getting 9/5 or better
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE
05/24/19, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.00 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000.
Claiming Price $50,000 (Rail at 30 feet). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 1-2-3) - $0.50 Early Pick 5 (Races 1-5) - $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $1 Rolling Super High 5 /$2 HRR - (RED 3,5: 1/1. BLK 2,6,7: 1/1. GRN 1,4: 10/1.)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 4 Sapori Girl 8-1 Talamo J Yakteen Tim TW
099.2109 5 Kittyhawk Lass 5/2 Quinonez A Puype Mike S
099.1720 2 Sybil's Kitty 3-1 Prat F Baltas Richard J
098.7823 3 Dulverton Darling 7/2 Gutierrez M Drysdale Neil D. FELC
098.2114 1 Boldest Vow 12-1 Van Dyke D Hollendorfer Jerry
098.1730 7 Crazy Sexy Munny 4-1 Fuentes R O'Neill Doug F.
093.2828 6 More Smores 6-1 Blanc B Mandella Gary
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
4 73.20 1.30 29.03 36 124 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
5 73.20 1.30 29.03 36 124 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
2 73.20 1.30 29.03 36 124 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
3 73.20 1.30 29.03 36 124 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
1 63.60 1.26 23.77 29 122 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
7 73.20 1.30 29.03 36 124 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
6 63.60 1.26 23.77 29 122 [Turf MdnMClm] Not Morning Line Favorite(not entry)
------------------------------
If Race Is Off Turf
------------------------------
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 3 Dulverton Darling 7/2 Gutierrez M Drysdale Neil D. ELC
099.8921 4 Sapori Girl 8-1 Talamo J Yakteen Tim TW
098.6957 5 Kittyhawk Lass 5/2 Quinonez A Puype Mike SF
096.8179 7 Crazy Sexy Munny 4-1 Fuentes R O'Neill Doug F.
096.4467 2 Sybil's Kitty 3-1 Prat F Baltas Richard J
095.5861 1 Boldest Vow 12-1 Van Dyke D Hollendorfer Jerry
093.5605 6 More Smores 6-1 Blanc B Mandella Gary
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
3 24.80 1.05 38.55 106 275 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
4 24.80 1.05 38.55 106 275 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
5 24.80 1.05 38.55 106 275 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
2 24.80 1.05 38.55 106 275 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
1 27.60 1.27 41.18 21 51 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Actual Post 1
6 24.80 1.05 38.55 106 275 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Is Same Track As Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
05/24/19, GP, Race 2, 1.47 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.01 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000.
Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $2 HRR - (RED 5,7: 4/5. BLK 1,3,4: 7/5. GRN 2,6: 8/1.)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags
100.0000 4 R True Talent(b-) 6-1 Jaramillo E Baxter Georgina SW
098.8874 5 I Like Archie 2-1 Vasquez M A Spatz Ronald B. FE
098.3885 1 Bodebabe 3-1 Jimenez A Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. TL
096.8327 6 Adamant 8-1 Panici L Jolley Emmet
095.4394 3 Hotsokie 8-1 Burgos A O'Connell Kathleen C
095.1655 2 Mary Lee and Me 10-1 Zayas E J Sano Antonio J
095.0953 7 Papa's Little Girl(b+) 4-1 Rendon J Garoffalo Jose
After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.
Pgm# Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Profitable Conditions
4 26.80 1.84 31.25 5 16 [All Dirt] Blinkers Off From On
1 49.00 1.12 33.67 67 199 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint or Route And Not Same As Today
2 49.00 1.12 33.67 67 199 [All Dirt] Last Race Was Sprint or Route And Not Same As Today
951Cincinnati -952 Chicago Cubs
CHICAGO CUBS are 182-296 SU (-143.6 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 since 1996.
953Miami -954 Washington
WASHINGTON is 4-20 SU (-18 Units) in home games when playing on Friday in the last 3 seasons.
955La Dodgers -956 Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH is 13-0 SU (13 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.
957Philadelphia -958 Milwaukee
PHILADELPHIA is 14-30 SU (-26.2 Units) in road games vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
959Atlanta -960 St Louis
ATLANTA is 19-11 SU (12.2 Units) vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.
961Arizona -962 San Francisco
ARIZONA is 71-57 SU (17.8 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
963Tampa Bay -964 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 30-46 SU (-21.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
965Chi White Sox -966 Minnesota
MINNESOTA is 53-43 SU (17.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons.
967Boston -968 Houston
HOUSTON is 11-2 SU (10 Units) vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game in the current season.
969Ny Yankees -970 Kansas City
NY YANKEES are 19-9 SU (12.1 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
971Seattle -972 Oakland
OAKLAND is 20-8 SU (16.6 Units) in home games vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
973Texas -974 La Angels
TEXAS are 15-5 SU (9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive home games in the current season.
975San Diego -976 Toronto
SAN DIEGO is 9-19 SU (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the current season.
977Detroit -978 Ny Mets
DETROIT is 3-13 SU (-11.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.
979Baltimore -980 Colorado
BALTIMORE is 9-20 SU (-12.9 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.
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