Friday 7-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:37 PM

Mark Wilson

Jul 12 '19, 7:10 PM in 21h
MLB | Mets vs Marlins
Play on: Mets +106 at pinnacle

Free Play on Mets +106

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:37 PM

Marc Lawrence

Jul 12 '19, 8:40 PM in 23h
MLB | Reds vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -122 at BMaker

Play - Colorado Rockies w/Gray vs. Gray (Game 912).
Edges - Rockies: Jon Gray 4-0 home career tam-starts in this series, and 2-0 versus NL Central this season … Reds: Sonny Gray 24 last six overall team starts in July …We recommend a 1* play on Colorado. Thank you and good luck as always.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:38 PM

Betting Recap - Week 4
Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

This Week

-- Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 4
-- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 4
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 4
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 4
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 4

Year To Date

-- Favorites are 10-5 SU overall
-- Underdogs are 9-6 ATS overall
-- Home teams are 9-6 SU overall
-- Away teams are 8-7 ATS overall
-- The 'Over' is 8-7 overall

Analysis

Montreal (1-2) opened the week on Thursday night with a huge 36-29 win over Hamilton (3-1) in the home opener for the Alouettes, dealing QB Jeremiah Masoli and the high-flying Ti-Cats their first loss and non-cover. It was the biggest upset through the first month of the CFL regular season, as the Als cashed anywhere from +450 to +550 for those brave enough to select them on the moneyline. It's hard to imagine there were many takers after a 41-10 win by Hamilton over Montreal in Week 3.

The Alouettes are now 2-1 ATS and the 'over' has connected in two of their first three. The Ti-Cats were held to 29 points, their lowest point total since they opened the season with a 23-17 win over the Roughriders.

In the best matchup of the weekend, Winnipeg (3-0) flexed its muscle again in a 29-14 road victory against Ottawa (2-1), as the Blue Bombers improved to a perfect 3-0 ATS on the season, too, including 2-0 SU/ATS on the road. Winninpeg is averaging 31.0 points per game (PPG) in two road outings, too. The 14 points they allowed defensively was the lowest this season.

The RedBlacks entered the week with 38.0 PPG, but they were held well under their average. Defense continues to be a challenge for the RedBlacks, who have now allowed 32.7 PPG.

BC Lions (1-3) edged Toronto (0-3) for the 18-17 road victory as the 'under' easily connected. It was, by far, Toronto's best defensive effort of the season. After allowing 96 total points through the first two games, including 64 in Week 1 against the Ti-Cats, the 'under' has now cashed in back-to-back games for the Argos.

The low-scoring result was the first 'under' result after three straight overs to open the season. The Lions allowed 36.0 PPG in the first three outings, and they had scored 23 or more points in each of the contests, so the defensive battle was a departure from the norm. For the Argos, it was their first cover of the season, too.

Calgary (2-1) hit the road without QB Bo Levi Mitchell (pectoral), who is on the six-game injured list. QB Nick Arbuckle stepped in and steered the ship to a road win against Saskatchewan (1-3) by a comfortable 37-10 score. Arbuckle threw for 262 yards and two touchdowns, as the Stamps have now won two in a row. It was their first cover of the season, their highest point total of the season and their lowest defensive total allowed.

Team Betting Notes

-- On Thursday it will be the Eskimos traveling to British Columbia to take on the Lions. Neither of these teams have been particularly attractive against the number. The Esks are 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven after a bye week.

-- The Lions are 1-6 ATS in their past seven games overall, and 1-4 ATS in the past five against West Division clubs. They're also 2-8 ATS in the past 10 in Week 5, for whatever that's worth. In this series, Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in the past seven meetings, but just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 trips to Vancouver. The 'over' is 5-0-1 in the past six meetings in this series.

-- The winless Argonauts travel to meet the high-flying Blue Bombers, and it wouldn't be surprising to see a spread in the high teens or even low 20's in this one. The Argos are 1-6 ATS in the past seven games overall, and 7-19 ATS in the past 26 on the road.

-- For the Blue Bombers, they're 9-2 ATS in the past 11 games overall dating back to last season. They're also 4-0 ATS in the past four games at home, while going 3-1-1 ATS in the past five against losing teams. In this series, the Argos are 0-6 ATS in the past six meetings, and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six trips to Winnipeg. The over is also 6-0 in the past six meetings, and 4-1 in the past five battles in Winnipeg.

-- On Saturday we get Montreal and Ottawa tangling in Canada's capital city. The Als have covered seven of the past eight overall, and they're 6-1 ATS in the past seven against winning teams and 8-2 ATS in the past 10 on the road.

-- The RedBlacks are 4-0 ATS in the past four against East teams, but just 2-6 ATS in the past eight against losing teams. Ottawa has managed a 10-3 ATS mark in the past 13 meetings in this series.

-- As far as the total is concerned in Montreal-Ottawa, it's all under all the time. The under is 7-0 in the past seven meetings. While the over is 4-1 in Montreal's past five, the under is 10-3 in Montreal's past 13 road outings. The Under is 13-4 in the past 17 for the RedBlacks against the East, while going 5-2 in the past seven against losing teams.

-- In Saturday's final game, Calgary and Hamilton tangle in what should be the best matchup of the weekend. The Ti-Cats are 6-18-3 ATS in the past 27 against winning teams, and 0-7-1 ATS in the past eight games in the month of July. In this series, Calgary is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings and 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings in Hamilton. The under is 10-3 in the past 13 meetings in this series, while the under is 5-2 in the past seven in Hamilton.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:39 PM

CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
David Schwab

Betting Recap

On the 4th of July, Montreal posted its first straight-up win of the season in Thursday night’s 36-29 upset against Hamilton as a heavy 13-point home underdog. This was the backend of an East Division home-and-home series.

In Friday’s CFL action, Winnipeg remained undefeated on the year with a 29-14 victory over Ottawa as a three-point road underdog. British Columbia edged Toronto 18-17 as an eight-point road favorite in Saturday’s early game ahead of Calgary’s 37-10 pasting of Saskatchewan as a five-point underdog on the road this past Saturday night.

Friday, July 12

Toronto Argonauts (0-3 SU, 1-2ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Point-spread:
Total:

Game Overview

Toronto is still looking for its first win of the season after losing 14 of 18 games SU in 2018. The Argonauts are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games played on the road. McLeod Bethel-Thompson put the ball up 33 times against BC on Saturday and he completed 25 of those passes for 303 yards and one touchdown. He also tossed an interception. Toronto was held to 41 yards rushing on 11 attempts. James Wilder Jr. has rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries this season.

The Blue Bombers are the only CFL team with a perfect record both SU and ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in their last two games after going OVER 50 ½ point in a 33-23 win against BC in Week 1 with the closing spread set as a PICK. Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols left Friday’s game in the third quarter with an apparent neck injury, but he remains optimistic that he will be able to go this Friday night. Chris Streveler took his place and he completed six of his eight passing attempts for 42 yards and a score.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five home games against the Argonauts. The total has gone OVER in the last five meetings in this inter-division clash. The Blue Bombers have won five of the last six meetings SU overall.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:39 PM

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 5

Friday, July 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (0 - 3) at WINNIPEG (3 - 0) - 7/12/2019, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:40 PM

CFL

Week 5

Trend Report

Friday, July 12

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Winnipeg is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:41 PM

Mike Wynn

Free Play: Tampa Bay w/Chirinos -140 Over Baltimore

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:41 PM

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR FRIDAY: NY METS (Vargas) Pick'em over Miami

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:42 PM

Totals4U

Friday's Free Selection: Houston/Texas under 10

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:42 PM

Atlantic Sports

Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Texas + 185

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:42 PM

#1 Sports

Friday's Free Selection: Seattle Mariners + 150

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:43 PM

Platinum Plays

Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers w/Anderson -175 over San Francisco

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:43 PM

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Friday : Take COLORADO (Gray) -125 over Cincinnati

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-11-2019, 09:44 PM

Hawkeye Sports

Friday's Free Pick: Oakland Athletics - 175

Friday 7-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 7-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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