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Friday 8-2-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Friday comp play of the suddenly sizzling New York Mets as they open a series in the Steel City against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
New York put the wraps on a 3 game away sweep in Chicago over the White Sox, as New York held the Sox to just 4 runs plated while scoring 13 in those 3 games to extend their current winning streak to 7 straight and 8 of 9 overall. Included in the run is a 3-0 sweep of the Bucs at Citi Field, one of the wins a 3-0 victory when Steve Matz and Trevor Williams (tonight's starters) were on the bump.
Pittsburgh continues to fade, as the Pirates enter this series with losses in 9 of their last 10, and they are just 8-20 now for their last 28 games overall.
Matz is off his first career shutout over Pittsburgh in his last turn, and his team stands at 13-4 their last 17 games overall.
Williams was the hard-luck loser versus New York his last time out, and stands at 1-3 over his last 7 starts, and owns a season ERA at PNC Park well over 5.
-- The Braves are 25-0 SU since 2014 as a favorite of more than 130 after a game in which their starter went six-plus innings and their opponent left fewer than ten men on base.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
-- The Red Sox are 0-12 SU since 2005 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem after a loss as a home favorite in which their opponent scored first and they took the lead.
OU Trend of the Day:
-- The Astros are 0-19 OU since 2006 in the first game of a series with no rest at home after a game in which they had more than ten team-left-on-base and struck out fewer than twelve times.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day:
-- The Indians are 16-0 SU with Mike Clevinger at home when he averaged four-plus per batter in his last start and had a WHIP higher than 0.500.
Wade Miley, Houston Astros (9-4, 3.06 ERA, $765): The Astros rotation is getting all the headlines post-trade deadline and Miley may be the forgotten man. But he shouldn’t be. The veteran lefty is on an outstanding run, pitching to a1.95 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP, while limiting opponents to a .178 batting average over his last six starts. The Astros are big -260 home favorites for tonight’s matchup with the Mariners with a total of 10.
SLUMPING
James Paxton, New York Yankees (5-6, 4.72 ERA, $-674): The Yankees surprised most people by not upgrading their rotation at the trade deadline, so they’ll need guys like Paxton to turn things around instead.
The Big Maple’s first season in the Bronx has not gone to script and his current slump hasn’t helped matters. The lefty has an 8.78 ERA and a 1.95 WHIP over his past three starts, while allowing opponents to get on base at a .400 clip.
Aug 02 '19, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | LAA vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9 -115
The Angels take to the road after losing five of seven to the Orioles and Tigers, the two worst clubs in the AL. The team from Anaheim almost daily is trying to piece together starting pitching and has allowed 6.9 RPG in the process. Cleveland should knock around some dude named Dillon Peters with ease. The question is will the Halos get to the Indians Mike Clevinger (5-2, 3.28), who was 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA with 41 strikeouts in five July starts (31 innings)? The total has dipped from 9.5 to 9, but I'll say the Tribe bats have their way and win 7-3 for an OVER.
Aug 02 '19, 10:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Padres vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -150 at betonline
My free play is on the LA Dodgers at 10:10 ET. The LA Dodgers are cruising to their SEVENTH straight NL West title. The Dodgers moved a season-high 33 games over .500 (72-39) with Thursday’s 8-2 victory over the Padres, giving them a 16-game lead over the second-place Giants. The visiting San Diego Padres are a WHOPPING 20 1/2 games back of LA in the division and have also faded from the wild card race by losing 17 of their last 25 games (Padres are SEVEN games out of the second wild card spot, with SIX teams ahead of them!). San Diego lefty Eric Lauer (5-8, 4.52 ERA) will take the mound tonight, while LA counters with its top pitching prospect, 21-year-old Dustin May, making his major league debut. Lauer hasn't won since beating the Philadelphia Phillies 8-2 on June 3. He's 0-4 with a ERA in six starts since that win, with the Padres going 2-4. He's really struggled since returning from bereavement leave at the beginning of the month (missed about two weeks), allowing a total of nine ERs on 14 hits over three starts covering just 8.1 innings (9.72 ERA). Good news for San Diego comes in the fact that Lauer is 3-0 with a 147 ERA in five career starts vs the Dodgers (Padres are 4-1). May earned the call to the majors after going 6-5 with a 3.38 ERA and 110 strikeouts in 106.2 innings across 20 combined starts in Double A and Triple A this season. He joins a rotation that features Ryu (11-2, 1.66 ERA), Kershaw (10-2, 2.85) and Buehler (9-2, 3.38), so he has little pressure on him. He takes the mound pitching for a team which is 41-14 at home, outscoring opponents 5.42-to-3.24 RPG. May was VERY sharp in Triple-A (3-0 with a 2.30 ERA in his five starts) and I expect him to 'live up to expectations" in his debut. Good luck...Larry
Big price to pay here, but I'm rolling with the Minnesota Twins as my free pick, and we'll get them on the run line against the struggling Kansas City Royals.
The Royals have lost three straight, they're 30 games under .500 and they're buried in fourth place in the American League Central.
On the other hand, the Central-leading Twins are riding high thanks to their powerful lineup that has helped them to a 24-13 mark against intra-division foes.
The Twins are slugging an American League-best .499, led by Nelson Cruz's team-high .603. He is hitting .400 (12-for-30) with a double, seven home runs and 13 RBIs in the Twins' last 10 games. There's also Max Kepler, who leads the Twins with 74 RBIs and is batting .265.
I can list just about everyone in Minnesota's lineup - it's that good.
No sense in getting long-winded here, though. The Twins are the better team, it's Friday night, they're at home and they'll unleash. Huge blowout win.
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