Sunday 9-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

NFL & MLB Picks 9/8

100* Falcons +3.5
100* Titans +5.5
100* Rangers -140

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 5	WPS, Exactor, Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7), 20 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Starter Allowance $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $16,400 • Post: 3:12P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 8 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (COLTS AND GELDINGS PREFERRED)(*PLUS UP TO $810 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. DIDDLEY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DIDDLEY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
1	DIDDLEY	9/5	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	TOBRUK	4	15/1	Front-runner	84	79	68.4	72.4	61.4
7	AUNTIE KATHERINE	7	5/1	Front-runner	87	89	50.2	56.9	45.4
1	DIDDLEY	1	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	94	94	93.8	89.4	86.4
2	KITTEN'S SOLUTION	2	7/2	Stalker	95	90	77.0	88.4	85.9
5	OUR VICTOR	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	90	89	60.1	82.5	77.0
6	WHERE'S ANTHONY	6	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	91	83	78.6	81.8	73.3
3	MR CHANGUE	3	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	80	66.2	73.4	61.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sweetwater County Fair

Sweetwater County Fair - Race 6	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 3:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 8, 2019 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * KREWS PASS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sp rint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CLASSY CAM: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. COWLICK HERO: Today is a sprint and the ho rse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GOTTCHA MY DEAR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
5	KREWS PASS	10/1	5/1
3	CLASSY CAM	8/1	6/1
1	COWLICK HERO	3/1	6/1
2	GOTTCHA MY DEAR	20/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	KREWS PASS	5	10/1	Front-runner	61	64	75.0	61.7	54.7
1	COWLICK HERO	1	3/1	Front-runner	72	66	0.0	59.6	51.6
2	GOTTCHA MY DEAR	2	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	76	64	0.0	63.0	52.5
3	CLASSY CAM	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	67	0.0	59.4	55.4
6	PEARL OFTHE HARBOR	6	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	61	60	64.5	54.6	43.6
8	RICH PATCH	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	61	46	56.8	48.2	33.7
7	E LEE	7	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	72	64	31.6	58.0	51.5
4	SOMETHING	4	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	62	57	0.0	46.4	35.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:22pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#3 DAZZLE ME (ML=5/1)
#1 SNOW BLOSSOM (ML=1/1)


DAZZLE ME - Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the ability to make her presence felt. Brown moves this horse here to Parx Racing from Monmouth Park. Looking at the horse's PPs, she has shown the ability to win on different ovals. SNOW BLOSSOM - I like to play this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid race within the last 30 days. I like this animal. Should be familiar with this level since she ran against the same type last race out at Delaware Park.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DISCREET CATHY (ML=5/2), #2 FREE COFFEE (ML=8/1),

DISCREET CATHY - Awfully hard to wager on this vulnerable equine when she hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the task completed infrequently. FREE COFFEE - Hard to take this horse at the price after the finish position (fifth) in the last affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 DAZZLE ME to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4050 Class Rating: 68

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 JUSTANOTHER BOB 6/5
# 1 EIGHTY EIGHT 2/1
# 2 MARRY ME NEXT 3/1

JUSTANOTHER BOB looks to be a respectable contender. His 64 average has this gelding with among the most competitive speed figures here. Should definitely be given a chance in this event if only for the competitive Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last affair. Has been moving in the most competitive company of the field recently. EIGHTY EIGHT - Ought to be carefully examined based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last outing. I like the rider on this gelding - competitive chance to win the affair. MARRY ME NEXT - Has to be given a chance - I like the figures from the last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Monmouth Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:31pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#3 MISS MI MI (ML=9/2)
#7 WHAT TO EXPECT (ML=4/1)


MISS MI MI - Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a solid effort on Aug 23rd. We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. 58-60-62 are last three speed figures. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here. WHAT TO EXPECT - Look at this mare's PP lines. With each race she keeps getting closer. This mare is in excellent physical condition right now. Ran first last race out and comes back promptly. This one has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 50 to 54 to 63 in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RESONATE (ML=6/5), #6 LOVE THAT CHICK (ML=7/2), #5 VERY CHARMING (ML=6/1),

RESONATE - This pony hasn't been on the track since Aug 16th. Not even any works. There may be a set back this time around, after the physical exertion last race out. LOVE THAT CHICK - Not likely that this horse will finish better than she did last time out when ending up fifth. The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced equine. VERY CHARMING - Hard to back any equine with declining speed ratings of 66/63/53.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 MISS MI MI is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 62

WINNIPEG FUTURITY - 2-YEAR-OLDS. WEIGHTS: FILLIES, 119 LBS. COLTS AND GELDINGS, 122 LBS. FEES: $50 TO NOMINATE - $275 TO ENTER - $275 TO START.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CASH OR CARD 1/2
# 1 BYE Y'ALL 8/1
# 2 ROLLIN SEVENS 7/2

My choice in this race is CASH OR CARD. He has put up very good figures under today's conditions and should fare well versus this field. Has competitive speed figures and has to be considered for a wager for this race. Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this group in his last outing. BYE Y'ALL - Will most likely go to the lead and may never look back. She has been running strongly and the speed figures are among the best in this group. ROLLIN SEVENS - Has been running in the most competitive company of the group lately. It's a good signal that Duncan is using Nelson on this entrant.

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/08/19, GP, Race 9, 5.31 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.01 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $35,000.
Claiming Price $35,000 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLDWHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 9-10-11)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	Fast Venezuela	6-1	Jaramillo E	Delgado Alexis	JSFEL
096.9651	8	Lady Joanna	7/2	Gutierrez R	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	T
096.9265	3	Joplin	9/2	Rendon J	Gold Stanley I.	C
096.6909	2	Raven	4-1	Zayas E J	Gonzalez Oscar M.
095.2486	5	Lucky Milady	5-1	Gomez D F	Plesa. Jr. Edward
095.1132	7	Hurricane Lorn	8-1	Martinez G A	Cadahia Benny C.	W
095.0560	4	Princess Ulele	6-1	Jimenez A	Fawkes David
094.4137	1	Marching In	12-1	Reyes L	Rodriguez Juan Andres

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GP.

6	4.80	1.17	28.57	4	14	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Second Start
8	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
3	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
2	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
5	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
7	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
4	.60	1.02	27.78	5	18	[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Race Age 2
1	13.80	1.04	38.64	68	176	[All Dirt] *Actual Post 1

* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

PURCHASE

09/08/19, BEL, Race 7, 4.13 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $75,000.
(UP TO $13,050 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	7	Striking Beauty	5-1	Castellano J	Jerkens James A.	JW
099.8908	1	Abilene Trail	8/5	Franco M	Pletcher Todd A.	TS
099.3097	3	Lucky Dime	5/2	Alvarado J	Mott William I.
098.2412	6	Maedean	9/2	Velazquez J R	Hennig Mark A.
097.1090	2	Fiftyshays Ofgreen	10-1	Rosario J	Servis John C.	F
095.8340	4	Miss Marissa	10-1	Davis D	Ryerson James T.	L
095.2662	5	Cat's Pajamas	12-1	Lezcano J	Mott William I.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to BEL.

7	17.40	1.38	60.87	14	23	[All Dirt] Second Start
1	17.40	1.38	60.87	14	23	[All Dirt] Second Start
3	17.40	1.38	60.87	14	23	[All Dirt] Second Start
6	11.30	1.08	44.29	31	70	[Dirt MdnMClm] Horse Not Age 4UP
2	21.10	1.35	50.00	15	30	[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
4	21.10	1.35	50.00	15	30	[Dirt MdnMClm] Not Second Race After 45 Days Off
5	17.40	1.38	60.87	14	23	[All Dirt] Second Start

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian’s 9* NFL Absolute Cover

Kansas City vs. Jacksonville, 09/08/2019 13:00 EDT

Point Spread: +4/-115 Jacksonville

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Jacksonville was a team that burned me numerous times last season but I am back on them week 1 as they present a tremendous level of value my only worry is that they come out rusty like the Bears here. Jaguars have a leader at QB and I think you will notice a big difference on both sides of the ball as it will help their stoudt defense as well. Jags will want to put last season behind them and I love home dogs here as I believe Jags get this outrite but we will take the points for good measure.



Invest 9 units on the Jaguars rotation #464

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence
Sep 08 '19, 1:00 PM in 21h
NFL | Bills vs Jets
Play on: Bills +3 -120 at Mirage

Play - Buffalo Bills (Game 457).

Edges - Bills: 9-2 ATS with revenge in season opening games, and 3-0 ATS in the first of consecutive away games … Jets: 25-50-3 ATS long-term as home favorites, including 4-8 SU and 3-9 ATS in home openers.

We recommend a 1* play on Buffalo. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports
Sep 08 '19, 2:45 PM in 23h
Soccer | Italy vs Finland
Play on: Italy -135 at BetOnline

Italy -135

The Free soccer play is to take Italy over Finland which takes place on Sunday afternoon.

Italy 2

Finland 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule
Sep 08 '19, 4:25 PM in 1d
NFL | Giants vs Cowboys
Play on: Cowboys -7 -114 at GTBets

This is a Free NFL play on Dallas.

The Cowboys start the season at home versus the Giants, and a seven point spread seems a little low. Dallas has swept the season series in each of the last two years, and the Giants are in the middle of a rebuild. Coming off an 5-11 season, the Giants are still going with Eli Manning at quarterback. It might not take long for the fans to call for Daniel Jones. New York has failed to cover in six of their last eight season openers, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus Dallas. The Cowboys have covered in four straight against division rivals, and this looks like a potential for a blowout.

Take DAL.

GL,

Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY BOYD
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Rams vs. Panthers

1* Free Pick on Panthers +3 -120

I really like the value here with Carolina as a home dog against the Rams. I get the hype around Los Angeles after they made it all the way to the Super Bowl last year and have their core guys back, but I have my concerns.

More times than not the team that loses in the big game the previous year really has a hard time resetting the clock and focusing on the new year. Hard to blame them after coming 1-game from the ultimate goal.

I'm not saying the Rams will be bad, but they definitely got a much bigger target on their back. I think Belichick showed how you can contain Goff in McVay's offense and we don't exactly know how healthy Todd Gurley is. No question the offense wasn't as good when he wasn't playing at an elite level.

Panthers are also a team that I think could be a serious contender in the NFC. I like the upgrades Carolina had on the defensive side of the ball and Cam Newton is back healthy. Newton really looked good in Norv Turner's offense prior to getting hurt. I like the Panthers to win this game outright, but I'll take the field goal for some added insurance. Take Carolina!