Sunday 9-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOHN MARTIN
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Bills vs. Jets

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets -2.5

The New York Jets are pretty cheap as only 2.5-point favorites at home against the Buffalo Bills in Week 1. I expect the Jets to be one of the most improved teams in the NFL. Their offense took off in December last year as Sam Darnold had the best QBR of any quarterback in the NFL in the last four weeks. Darnold should be much better in Year 2. It helps that the Jets signed Le’Veon Bell to give themselves a running game. And getting his best WR in Robby Anderson back healthy is a big boost. The Bills have a good defense, but they had one of the worst offenses in the NFL last year. I don’t see that changing this season as they have a bunch of no-name receivers and running backs for QB Josh Allen. The Bills are 14-28 ATS in their last 42 games as a road dog of 3 points or less. Give me the Jets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MARK WILSON
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Rams vs. Panthers
Free Play on Panthers +3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CALVIN KING
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Lions vs. Cardinals
[1%] Free Play on Cardinals +2½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PURE LOCK

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Sunday 9-8-19

Oakland -1 1/2 -137

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DUSTIN HAWKINS
NFL | Sep 08, 2019
Bengals vs. Seahawks
1 Dimer on Bengals vs Seahawks over 44 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Sunday, September 8

LA Rams @ Carolina

Game 467-468
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
138.483
Carolina
138.587
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
Even
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+3); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 455-456
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.165
Philadelphia
133.740
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 15 1/2
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-8 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ NY Jets

Game 457-458
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
120.399
NY Jets
127.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 7 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 3
40
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-3); Over

Atlanta @ Minnesota

Game 453-454
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
132.898
Minnesota
134.341
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+4); Under

Baltimore @ Miami

Game 459-460
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.334
Miami
128.741
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 5 1/2
37 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+5 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ Jacksonville

Game 463-464
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
140.011
Jacksonville
125.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 14 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3 1/2); Over

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 465-466
September 8, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
129.627
Cleveland
136.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 5 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-5 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Seattle

Game 471-472
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
124.693
Seattle
139.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 14 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-9); Over

Indianapolis @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
September 8, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indianapolis
133.228
LA Chargers
141.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 6 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-6 1/2); Under

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay

Game 461-462
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
124.752
Tampa Bay
134.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 10
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
Pick
50
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
Over

NY Giants @ Dallas

Game 475-476
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.072
Dallas
137.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 7
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-7); Under

Detroit @ Arizona

Game 469-470
September 8, 2019 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.036
Arizona
126.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 7
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+2 1/2); Under

Pittsburgh @ New England

Game 477-478
September 8, 2019 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
135.756
New England
143.602
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 8
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 6
51
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-6); Under


Monday, September 9

Houston @ New Orleans

Game 479-480
September 9, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
133.867
New Orleans
136.699
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 7
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+7); Under

Denver @ Oakland

Game 481-482
September 9, 2019 @ 10:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
121.907
Oakland
127.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 6
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 1
43
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+1); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 1

Sunday, Sept. 8

ATLANTA at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs 4-12 vs. line last two years on reg season road. Zimmer 11-4-1 vs. spread as host since 2017, also “under” 9-1-1 last 11 home.
Tech Edge: Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds have won and covered last four meetings since 2017. Though Philly just 2-6 vs. points at Linc LU after Pederson was 11-4-1 vs. spread reg season as host previous two years. Note division dogs 17-4 vs. line last 21 in opening week.
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles, based on series trends.


BUFFALO at NY JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gase Jets debut! Teams split four the past two years, though Gase 0-3-1 vs. line vs. Bills last two years with Miami. Jets 0-4-1 vs. points last five at home. Bills “under” 8-2 last 10 away
Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on team trends.


BALTIMORE at MIAMI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Flores Dolphins debut! Miami 7-3-1 as home dog for Gase past three years, but failed to cover last 8 vs. Ravens (all Harbaugh). Balt won and covered last 3 openers, and covered last 3 away LY.
Tech Edge: Ravens, based on team trends.


SAN FRANCISCO at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Arians Bucs debut! The last two Arians Cards teams were only 12-19-1 vs. line. Niners only 2-6 vs. line away LY and lost 27-9 at Raymond James. Bucs have won and covered last three openers.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bucs, based on team trends.


KANSAS CITY at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags closed 2018 on 2-10 SU and 3-8-1 spread run down stretch. Marrone was 3-0 as home dog LY, though Jags on 6-11-1 spread slide last 18 reg season games. Also “under” 11-6 last 17 reg season games. Andy Reid 7-2 vs. line last nine away, and Chiefs 9-1 “over” last ten away.
Tech Edge: Chiefs and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals’ trends.


TENNESSEE at CLEVELAND (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns closed 2018 on 5-2 spread run. Titans have lost and failed to cover last three openers. Vrabel 6-4 as dog LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Browns, based on team trends.


LA RAMS at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rams only covered 4 of last 12 in reg season LY, also “under” 6-2 as reg season visitor LY. Cam 4-1 as home dog since 2017, 16-8 overall as dog past four years.
Tech Edge: Slight to Panthers, based on team trends.


DETROIT at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Kingsbury Cards debut! Lions ended 2018 “under” last 7 and 9 of last 10 games. Big Red “under” 1–5 as host past two years.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Lions, based on “totals” and team trends.


CINCINNATI at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Taylor Bengals debut! Cincy was 6-2 as away dog LY for Marvin Lewis. Pete Carroll 5-2-1 vs. line at home LY, and 9-5-2 overall vs. number. Hawks also “over” 7 of last 8 LY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Seahawks, based on “totals” and team trends.


INDIANAPOLIS at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Colts were 6-3-1 v. line LY down stretch in reg season but that was with Luck. Indy covered 4 of last 9 in 2017 with Brissett. Bolts just 2-6 as home chalk LY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Colts, based on team trends.


NY GIANTS at DALLAS (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Dallas has now won and covered last four vs. Giants, though both close LY. Eli was 6-1 as road dog in 2018 and Giants 10-4 in role since 2017. Five of last six in series “under” (exception was Week 16 game LY).
Tech Edge: Slight to Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.


PITTSBURGH at NEW ENGLAND (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Tomlin finally beat Belichick LY after losing and failing to cover previous five. Last four meetings “under” as well. Belichick 13-3 vs. line last 16 at home. Tomlin has covered last five as road dog and was 6-0 as underdog LY.
Tech Edge: Belichick, based on extended series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Falcons at Vikings (-4/47), 1 p.m. ET: Running back Dalvin Cook’s return to full strength will be the x-factor set to separate the Vikings from the elite team they were in 2017 (13-3) and the mediocre 8-7-1 unit they were last year. Although he only played in four games as a rookie before tearing his ACL and got into 10 last season, he’s showing off the burst that he brought into the league and should give the offense the boost it was missing in scoring just 10 or fewer points in three of the last five. Receiver Stefon Diggs missed practice earlier in the week but is expected to play through a hamstring issue. Corner Mike Hughes, who shined as a rookie, is coming off a knee injury and may be the only player not ready to go in this opener.

Atlanta is mostly healthy too, but may have to start a rookie at right tackle in late first-round pick Kaleb McGary, who dealt with an injury in camp, so it is dealing with uncertainty up front. WR Julio Jones is expected to play despite his contract situation remaining unsettled. The Falcons lost four of their first five last season and have never defeated Minnesota in September, losing all eight all-time meetings. The Vikings went just 5-3 SU (4-3-1 ATS) at home last season after putting together a 9-1 run (7-3 ATS) spanning the end of the US Bank Stadium’s first season and its second.

Redskins at Eagles (-10/45), 1 p.m. ET: Carson Wentz will play in his first game since being shelved last December and didn’t get in during the preseason. Per Philly observers, he’s looked sharp in joint practices and looks noticeably leaner, losing the brace he was playing with to help protect him last season after his ACL surgery. He’ll have two new running backs to hand off to with Bears import Jordan Howard and rookie Miles Sanders taking over. New deep threat Desean Jackson has returned to Eagles nation and is expected to play after dealing with a hand issue late in the preseason.

Colt McCoy was the frontrunner to start this one when camp began but couldn’t get on the field to prepare and is still strengthening his leg. Case Keenum gets the nod and will work with a receiving corps featuring four players whose next catch will be their first as pros. Paul Richardson and rookie third-round pick Terry McLaurin are expected to be his top targets at wideout. Tight end Jordan Reed should play despite coming off a concussion. Derrius Guice won the running back job over Adrian Peterson, but both are worse off for tackle Trent Williams’ continued holdout. Philadelphia has won the last four meetings between these NFC East rivals, capturing each by double-digits.

Bills at Jets (-3/41.5), 1 p.m. ET: Sam Darnold and Josh Allen will be tied together as long as they’re at the helm for their respective teams. They were the second and third quarterbacks taken behind Baker Mayfield in the 2018 draft and started against one another in Week 14 last December. Darnold picked up the win while Allen ran for over 100 yards and threw for more than 200. Combined, they threw three picks. Since both teams were going nowhere 10 months ago, this contest will have a completely different feel as the season opener.

The Adam Gase era begins against a Greg McDermott’s Bills, who beat Miami in three of four head-to-head meetings over the past two seasons but stunningly cut LeSean McCoy in the preseason, moving forward with veterans Frank Gore and T.J. Yeldon in addition to rookie Devin Singletary. Le’Veon Bell joining the Jets is even bigger news that Gase’s hiring and should further aid Darnold’s progression. The ‘over’ is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these teams, cashing in each of the last three games.

Ravens (-6.5/39.5) at Dolphins, 1 p.m. ET: Baltimore has won its last three season openers under John Harbaugh by a combined score of 80-10 and has produced victories in eight of 11 under their long-tenured head coach. Flacco started every one of those, capturing the first as a rookie, but he’s set to debut under center for the Broncos on Monday night.

South Florida native Lamar Jackson looks to improve on a 6-1 regular-season record as the Ravens’ starter and will look to ruin Brian Flores’ coaching debut with the Dolphins. Miami’s personnel moves point to it tanking for Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa this season, and that includes riding with veteran QB Ryan Fitzpatrick over Josh Rosen. RB Kenyan Drake is expected to get a lot of touches after being cleared from a foot injury that has bothered him the past few weeks. After dealing star left tackle Laremy Tunsil, Julien Davenport is likely to replace him on Miami’s new-look offensive line. The Ravens will have everyone on the roster available so long as rookie WR “Hollywood” Brown plays through a foot issue. This is a homecoming game for him too.

Chiefs (-3.5/51.5) at Jaguars, 1 p.m. ET: Kansas City WR Tyreek Hill avoided suspension and now gets another matchup with Jalen Ramsey, who called him a “return specialist” last season and held him to just four catches and 61 yards when they matched up for the first time last season. Ramsey is expected to shadow him throughout the field, so reigning MVP Patrick Mahomes should have the option to again feature Travis Kelce and take new toy LeSean McCoy out for a spin.

Jacksonville lost at Arrowhead 30-14 last Oct. 7 in a game where former starter Blake Bortles was intercepted four times. Former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles was acquired in the offseason and looks to pull off a home upset to set the tone for a big year. After limited action in the preseason, we’ll finally get to see him debut despite abdominal soreness. Left tackle Cam Robinson (knee) and his backup, Cedric Ogbuehi (hamstring), appeared on this week’s injury report. The Chiefs are 5-1 in openers under Andy Reid, winning the last four. Four of those victories have come on the road, including the very first, a 28-2 rout in Jacksonville. The Jaguars have lost their last four matchups against Kansas City, last winning in 2009.

Titans at Browns (-5/45.5), 1 p.m. ET: Baker Mayfield looks to build on a spectacular rookie season by helping the Browns open a season with a victory for the first time 2004 after watching last season’s 20-20 tie against Pittsburgh as Tyrod Taylor’s backup in his debut. A lot has transpired over the past 12 months and new weapons Odell Beckham, Jr. and Kareem Hunt will be deployed here to try and help Mayfield move the ball against one of the NFL’s most talented secondaries. ODB is reportedly still dealing with a hip issue but should debut for the Browns. Safeties Kevin Byard and Kenny Vaccaro could ruin the party in Cleveland, where its team being favored at home was news less than a year ago.

Marcus Mariota held off the charge of the newly acquired Ryan Tannehill and has a new coordinator calling the shots with Arthur Smith replacing current Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. The game plan is expected to be heavy on ball control and running back, who broke out as a 1,000-yard rusher for the first time, scoring 12 touchdowns. He’ll be running behind a line that will have tackle Jack Conklin in the mix but could be without projected starting right guard Kevin Pamphile.

Rams (-1.5/50) at Panthers, 1 p.m. ET: Cam Newton has come through shoulder surgery and feels he’s sufficiently healed from a foot injury suffered in the third preseason game, so the Panthers’ offense should have some bite since he’ll be able to throw the ball downfield for a change. TE Greg Olson is also healthy, WR Curtis Samuel is expected to take a step forward and Christian McCaffrey emerged as one of the league’s best weapons, so Norv Turner has plenty to work with as he looks to match wits with Sean McVay.

The Rams gave Jared Goff $110 million guaranteed this past week, extending him in the hopes he’ll have more productive Super Bowls ahead of him. Todd Gurley, whose lack of involvement in the most recent NFL title game due to a knee injury was glaring, isn’t going to be on a pitch count as he attempts to pick up where he left off pre-injury. Carolina has won four of its past five season openers. The Rams went 7-2 SU (5-4 ATS) on the road last season.

Bengals at Seahawks (-9.5/44), 4:05 p.m. ET: With A.J. Green out for at least another month, the Bengals have had to install new head coach Zac Taylor’s offense with key receivers sidelined. The expectation is that they’ll unveil elements of his up-tempo offense that should feature backs Joe Mixon, Giovani Bernard and Samaje Perine. Undrafted rookie Damion Willis will fill in for Green opposite Tyler Boyd and top tackle Cordy Glenn could be sidelined with a concussion that would make an already unstable offensive line situation even worse.

Pete Carroll hasn’t gotten enough credit for rebuilding Seattle’s defense on the run the way he has, but they’ll be tested to start the season with games against the Steelers, Saints, Rams and Browns. We’ll see whether newcomers like Jadeveon Clowney, Ziggy Ansah, Al Woods and rookies L.J. Collier and Marquise Blair hit the ground running. Offensively, Russell Wilson has a new red-zone weapon in second-round pick D.K. Metcalf. The Seahawks have won 10 straight home openers, the last nine under Carroll, and have given up 16 or fewer points in all of them.

Colts at Chargers (-6.5/44.5), 4:05 p.m. ET: The Colts were just a three-point underdog when this line was released and Andrew Luck’s inclusion was still expected. After announcing his retirement, L.A. became a much heavier favorite despite the increasing likelihood that star RB Melvin Gordon wouldn’t be involved either. Still holding out and likely to be traded, Gordon will be absent as Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson try to replicate his production.

Indianapolis won’t find it as simple to replace Luck, although Jacoby Brissett has plenty of experience doing so after starting most of 2017. The Colts went 4-11 with him as the starter and saw him complete just two passes for two yards last season, but they’re hopeful that he can help salvage the season. Another former Pats backup, Brian Hoyer, will be the No. 2. The Chargers are 10-6 SU (6-10 ATS) at the Stub Hub Center, struggling to find a true homefield advantage in a building where opposing fans often outnumber those rooting for L.A. This will be the Colts’ first visit to this stadium after losing three of four in San Diego over the past 15 years.

49ers at Bucs (-1.5/50.5), 4:05 p.m. ET: Jimmy Garoppolo had a miserable preseason, both in games he played and in practices where he battled turnover issues. Coming off a torn ACL, he’s having trouble getting his timing back and could have a difficult time getting settled in if the Bucs are able to get after him as Todd Bowles debuts as Bruce Arians’ defensive coordinator. Rookie top pick Devin White debuts next to Lavonte David, who has been cleared to play after a knee issue.

Last year’s first-rounder, Vita Vea, also practiced in full. The 49ers will have center Weston Richburg available in addition to Joe Staley up front, but their defense could have issues in the back with Jimmie Ward (hand), Jason Verrett (ankle) and K’Waun Williams (knee) all questionable. No. 2 overall pick Nick Bosa is likely to debut as a third-down pass rusher despite being sidelined for weeks by a high ankle sprain. Since losing his first start, Tampa Bay QB Jameis Winston has won three straight openers.

Lions (-2.5/46) at Cardinals, 4:25 p.m. ET: For months, we’ve heard all about the Cardinals working in secret to get top pick Kyler Murray up to speed running Kliff Kingsbury’s high-octane offense. Can a college offense flourish in the NFL? Unsurprisingly, Kingsbury didn’t divulge much during the preseason, putting together vanilla game plans and essentially hiding how far along Arizona really is in installing his concepts in Year 1 of a very interesting experiment. The Lions open their second season under former Patriots defensive coordinator Matt Patricia, who has had months to decipher what might be coming in Glendale on Sunday by combing through Texas Tech and Oklahoma film. It’s certainly not ideal, but he should be prepared for what should be a chess match.

The Lions added Arizona training camp backup QB Charles Kanoff to their practice squad, hoping to seek further insight into what might be coming. Lions standout linebacker Jarrad Davis is questionable with an ankle injury while Arizona could be without LB Hassan Riddick. Cards’ right tackle Marcus Gilbert and Detroit center Frank Ragnow are expected to play through lower body injuries. If Matthew Stafford is coaxed into a shootout, he’ll be working against a secondary missing top corners Patrick Peterson (suspension) and Robert Alford (broken leg).

Giants at Cowboys (-7/45.5), 4:25 p.m. ET: Ezekiel Elliott probably won’t see his usual workload after just returning this week after signing a six-year $90 million extension, but he’ll start and is expected to have enough juice to help Dak Prescott and Amari Cooper fuel Dallas’ offense. Jason Witten is making his return to the NFL and Randall Cobb debuts. It remains to be seen how everything comes together since there hasn’t been much time devoted to working as a unit given Elliott’s holdout and Cooper’s heel injury. The Cowboys defense also has a few question with Robert Quinn suspended and Randy Gregory still not reinstated. New York will have Eli Manning at the controls for at least one more season opener as it looks to turn the page from the Odell era.

The Giants have dropped seven of their last eight openers and have dropped nine of 12 against the Cowboys, including four in succession. New York has won only one of its last six at AT&T Stadium, winning in Week 1 of 2016 thanks to a late TD pass from Manning to the now-retired Victor Cruz. We’ll see whether New York has solved its offensive line woes. It should help matters that new right tackle Mike Remmers (illness) is expected to play next to new right guard Kevin Zeitler.

Steelers at Patriots (-5.5/49.5), 8:20 p.m. ET: Tom Brady and Ben Roethlisberger will both be Hall of Famers and have eight Super Bowl wins between them but there’s an obvious pecking order that has really shone through in Foxboro. Although Pittsburgh won last season’s meeting in Week 15 last December, Brady has won all five games he’s played in against the Steelers at Gillette Stadium, throwing 18 touchdowns without being intercepted.

The 42-year-old Brady led New England to a 28-21 win over Pittsburgh in Week 1 of the ’15 season and has won three of his last four openers. He’ll have Demariyus Thomas as a target in addition to the recently reinstated Josh Gordon but Julian Edelman should remain his security blanket with Rob Gronkowski gone. Roethlisberger is expected to ride with Juju Smith-Schuster as his go-to with the trifling Antonio Brown causing headaches with the Raiders. With James Conner back, expect Pittsburgh to try and shorten the game by running the ball and attempting to control time of possession.

Brady should be able to excel through the air by picking on the fact the Steelers will have to start an inexperienced free safety in AAF product Kameron Kelly, who should start with Sean Davis unlikely to return from an ankle injury.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 1
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
-- The Vikings are 10-0-1 ATS (7.59 ppg) since Nov 02, 2008 as a home favorite when the game total is at least 46.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
-- The Colts are 0-10 ATS (14.0 ppg) since 2008 in season opening games when the total is under 55.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
-- The Steelers are 7-0 ATS (7.00 ppg) since Oct 12, 2015 as a dog facing a team Ben Roethlisberger threw at least 2 touchdowns against last meeting.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:
-- Teams in week 1 with 4 or fewer losses (including playoffs) last season are 38-49-1 ATS. Active against LA Rams and New Orleans.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:
-- The Lions are 8-0 OU (10.38 ppg) since Sep 09, 2007 in the first game of the season.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
-- The Jets are 0-7 OU (-8.57 ppg) since Sep 15, 1991 at home when the total is over 40 with a Monday night game next.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

453ATLANTA -454 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in dome games in the last 3 seasons.

455WASHINGTON -456 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 since 1992.

457BUFFALO -458 NY JETS
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road dog of <=3 since 1992.

459BALTIMORE -460 MIAMI
BALTIMORE is 31-17 ATS (12.3 Units) against the AFC East since 1992.

461SAN FRANCISCO -462 TAMPA BAY
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

463KANSAS CITY -464 JACKSONVILLE
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

465TENNESSEE -466 CLEVELAND
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

467LA RAMS -468 CAROLINA
LA RAMS are 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

469DETROIT -470 ARIZONA
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15 Units) in road games against the NFC West since 1992.

471CINCINNATI -472 SEATTLE
CINCINNATI is 80-107 ATS (-37.7 Units) in the 1rst half of the season since 1992.

473INDIANAPOLIS -474 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 16-1 ATS (14.9 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

475NY GIANTS -476 DALLAS
DALLAS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

477PITTSBURGH -478 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (15.2 Units) at home when the total >=49.5 since 1992.

481DENVER -482 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 26-51 ATS (-30.1 Units) in home games when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, September 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (7 - 9) at MINNESOTA (8 - 7 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (7 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 8) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (6 - 10) at NY JETS (4 - 12) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (10 - 7) at MIAMI (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (4 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (13 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 11) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (9 - 7) at CLEVELAND (7 - 8 - 1) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 117-153 ATS (-51.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (15 - 4) at CAROLINA (7 - 9) - 9/8/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 139-189 ATS (-68.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 68-103 ATS (-45.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (6 - 10) at ARIZONA (3 - 13) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (6 - 10) at SEATTLE (10 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (13 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 29-5 ATS (+23.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (5 - 11) at DALLAS (11 - 7) - 9/8/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (9 - 6 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (14 - 5) - 9/8/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 262-200 ATS (+42.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 202-146 ATS (+41.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 125-84 ATS (+32.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (11 - 6) at NEW ORLEANS (14 - 4) - 9/9/2019, 7:10 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (6 - 10) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/9/2019, 10:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 52-85 ATS (-41.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 80-108 ATS (-38.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 146-183 ATS (-55.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL TRENDS

Sunday, September 8

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home
Carolina is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Rams is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Rams is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Carolina
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 21 games at home
Cleveland is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 2-8-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Kansas City is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
Kansas City is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Miami's last 21 games at home
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami

New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games
NY Jets is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
NY Jets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing NY Jets
Buffalo is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
Philadelphia is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Chargers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
LA Chargers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 9 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Seattle is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Seattle
Cincinnati is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games at home
Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Giants is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Dallas
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants's last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games when playing San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

New England Patriots
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England's last 12 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 16-5-1 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against New England


Monday, September 9

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
Houston Texans
Houston is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games
Oakland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Oakland's last 23 games
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games at home
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Denver is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Denver is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 1

Atlanta @ Minnesota (-4)— Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 22-7-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 16-2-1 outside NFC North. Vikings won last three series games; Falcons won three of last five visits to the Twin Cities. Last two years, Atlanta is 4-12 vs spread on road, 1-6 as a road underdog; they’re 6-14 vs spread n last 20 non-division games. Falcons won three of last four road openers; they split last eight season openers. Five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Minnesota won four of last five season openers; they won/covered their last four home openers- Vikings’ last five HO’s stayed under. Minnesota struggled to find a kicker this summer; they traded a 5th-round pick for a kicker, then cut him three weeks later.

Washington @ Philadelphia (-8.5)— Keenum is on his 4th team in four years; he started 39 games (21-18) the last three years. Eagles won last four series games, all by 10+ points; Skins lost last two visits here, 34-24/28-13. Since 2012, Iggles are 7-13-1 vs spread in NFC East home games; under Pederson, Philly is 8-8-1 as a HF (2-6 LY). Last three years, Redskins are 11-8 vs spread as a road underdog- they covered once in last six NFC East road games. Washington snapped a 5-game skid on Opening Day LY; they won last three road openers. Over is 7-3 in their last ten RO’s. Philly started 1-0 in seven of last eight seasons; they won four of last five home openers (under 4-1). Redskins’ LT Williams is holding out; thats a problem.

Buffalo at Jets (-3)— Teams split eight meetings last four years, going 2-2 in each stadium; average total in last three meetings is 52. Gase lost three of last four games vs Bills when he was in Miami. Jets won six of their last eight home openers; since ’13, they’re 16-8-2 as a home underdog. Over last decade, Gang Green is 11-3 as an AFC East home dog. Since 2014, Buffalo is 2-6-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they’re opening on road for first time in five years. Over last decade, Bills are 1-3 vs spread as an RF in AFC East road games. Bills lost last three road openers, scoring 7-3-3 points. Gase was 7-3-1 as a home underdog with the Dolphins. Jets picked up the kicker Minnesota cut, so they’re struggling to find a kicker, too.

Baltimore (-4.5) @ Miami— Miami traded LT Tunsil and two other starters for mostly draft picks, so they’ve already given up on this year, like Oakland did LY. Ravens won last three Week 1 games by combined score of 80-10; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road openers. Baltimore won last two games wth Miami by a combined score of 78-6, with last meeting in ’17. Since 2013, Baltimore is 6-11-1 as a road favorite. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen RO’s. Miami covered five of its last six home openers (4-2 SU). Dolphins’ last ten home openers stayed under the total; nine of their last ten RO’s went over. Over last eight years, Ravens are 14-25-2 vs spread in non-division road games. Since 2012, Dolphins are 14-7-2 as home underdogs, 9-3-1 outside the AFC East. 36-year old Fitzpatrick leads an offense that just traded his blindside protection.

San Francisco @ Tampa Bay (-1)— When Arians was in Arizona, he won his last six meetings with SF. Last four years, 49ers are 5-27 SU on road; they’re 8-12 vs spread in last 20 road tilts outside NFC West. Over last five years, Bucs are 16-24 vs spread at home. 49ers lost last four road openers (1-3 vs spread), losing by average of 13.8 ppg; four of their last six road openers stayed under. Tampa Bay won its last two Week 1 games, scoring 31-48 points; they didn’t play in Week 1 in 2017 because of a hurricane. Arians was 2-3 in openers while he was Arizona’s coach. Keeping an eye out to see if the hurricane impacts life in the Tampa Bay area.

Kansas City (-3.5) @ Jacksonville— Chiefs won last four season openers; they covered five of last six road openers. Over is 5-3 in their last eight RO’s. Since ’13, KC is 15-7 vs spread as road favorites, 8-4 outside AFC West. KC won last four series games, pounding Jags 30-14 (-3) at home LY- they’re 2-4 SU in six visits here, with last visit in ‘13. Under Marrone, Jaguars are 6-4 as home underdogs, after being 10-24-1 from 2009-15. Jacksonville won its last two season openers, but lost six of last seven home openers- they’re 3-9 vs spread in 12 HO’s. Four of their last five home openers went over.

Tennessee @ Cleveland (-5.5)— Lot of pressure on Browns; they’re actually favored to win AFC North. Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-18-1 SU in Week 1; they tied Steelers in LY’s opener. Cleveland did cover five of last seven home openers. Tennessee beat Browns last two years, by total of five points- they nipped Cleveland 12-9 in OT here LY. Titans lost last three season openers, but won/covered five of last six road openers. Over last nine years, Browns are 7-14-2 as a HF, 6-10-2 outside AFC North- over last three years, they’re 1-3 ATS when favored. Tennessee was 6-4 vs spread as an underdog LY, in Vrabel’s first year as HC.

Rams (-3) @ Carolina— Under McVay, Rams won their season openers 46-9/33-13; they’re 7-6 as RF under McVay, 3-4 outside NFC West. Since 2014, Panthers are 7-3 as home dogs, 4-0 outside the NFC South. Since 2000, Rams are 4-15 vs spread in road openers (4-5 in last nine). Four of their last five road openers stayed under total. Carolina won its last five home openers, allowing 8-3 points last two years; they won four of last five season openers. Under is 5-1 in their last six HO’s. Carolina won six of last seven series games, but teams haven’t met in McVay era. Rams’ lost last three visits here, with last win 38-32 in 2001. Since 2003, Super Bowl loser is 3-13 vs spread in its first game the next season.

Detroit (-1.5) @ Arizona— Rookie head coach, rookie QB; Cardinals are a great unknown. Lions beat Arizona last two years, after losing previous seven meetings. Last five years, Lions are 11-4-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points; they were 5-0 vs spread LY in non-divisional road games. Last three years, Cardinals are 8-16 SU at home; since 2013, Redbirds are 18-11-1 vs spread in non-divisional home games. Detroit started six of last eight seasons 1-0; Lions covered last three road openers; over is 9-4-1 in their last 14. Cardinals lost last three home openers, scoring 14.7 ppg; six of their last seven home openers stayed under.

Cincinnati @ Seattle (-8.5)— Seahawks won their last ten home openers (8-2 vs spread); under is 15-2-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Bengals won four of last five road openers; eight of their last nine RO’s went over total. Cincy won four of last five Week 1 games. Bengals won three of last four series games; home side won five of last six meetings- Cincy lost three of last four visits here. Last four years, Seattle is 12-15-1 vs spread as a home favorite, 8-8-1 outside NFC West. Since 2011, Bengals are 22-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs, 12-7-3 outside AFC North. New coaches went 0-7 SU (1-6 ATS) in Week 1 LY, after they were 17-10 SU from 2014-17.

Indianapolis @ Chargers (-7)— Line jumped after Andrew Luck retired; Brissett was 4-11 as a starter for the ’17 Colts. Last five years, Chargers are 13-25 vs spread at home, whether it be San Diego or Carson, 11-14 outside AFC West. Chargers won six of last eight meetings, taking pair of playoff wins over Indy in 2007-08. Teams haven’t met in California since 2013. Last four years, Colts are 11-9 vs spread as non-division road underdog. Colts lost seven of last nine road openers; they’ve started last five seasons 0-1. Indy’s last three season openers went over. LA lost its two home openers in Carson after winning six of last seven in San Diego; 13 of their last 16 HO’s went over. Bolts started last three seasons 0-1.

Giants @ Dallas (-7.5)— Giants lost seven of last eight season openers; they’re playing road opener in Dallas for 6th time in last seven years. NY is 2-7 in last nine RO’s overall, 1-4 in last five RO’s here- their last three RO’s stayed under. Cowboys are 4-0 vs Big Blue last two years, winning 19-3/20-13 here. Dallas won six of last eight home openers; they split last ten season openers, with four of last five staying under. Last couple years, Giants are 10-4 vs spread as road underdogs, but only 2-3 in NFC East games. Since 2010, Cowboys are 9-22-1 vs spread when laying points in divisional home games. RB Elliott is still holding out, which is a problem for the Dallas offense.

Pittsburgh @ New England (-6)— Pitt opens on road for 5th straight year; since 1997, Steelers are 1-8-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener; five of their last six RO’s stayed under. Patriots won 15 of last 17 home openers, but are 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven (under 5-2). NE started 13 of last 15 seasons 1-0, losing in ’14/’17. Patriots won five of last six series games; Pitt lost last three visits here, with last win at NE in 2008. Over last decade, Steelers are 18-11-1 vs spread as road underdog, 5-0 last three years; they’re 25-15-2 vs spread in last 42 games as a single digit underdog. Since 2013, Patriots are 28-13-3 as home favorites, 17-8-1 outside AFC East. Last five Super Bowl champs are 3-1-1 vs spread in their season opener the next year.

Houston @ New Orleans (-7)— Saints started last five seasons 0-1; NO lost its last four home openers and were favored in three of them- last three went over total, with Saints giving up 35-36-48 points. Since 2014, New Orleans is 13-20-1 as a home favorite, 8-13-1 outside NFC South. Home side won all four series games; Texans lost 31-10/40-33 in their visits here. Under O’Brien, Houston is 14-16-1 as road underdogs (3-1 LY)- they covered six of last eight games as a non-divisional road dog. Texans lost three of last four road openers (under 4-0); in franchise history, they’re 4-8 vs spread in RO’s. Houston fortified QB Watson’s blindside by trading for LT Tunsil.

Denver @ Oakland (-2.5)— Broncos are opening on road for first time since 2010; they won last seven season openers, but obviously, all those were in Denver. New coach, new QB for Denver, which over last nine years is 4-12 vs spread as an AFC West road underdog. Over last decade, Oakland is 13-18 as a home favorite. Broncos are 7-8 in last 15 road openers, with three of last four going over total. Raiders lost four of last five home openers; since 2003, they’re 4-12 vs spread in HO’s, with four of last five going over. Teams split season series last four years; Raiders lost six of last seven visits here, dropping last three, by 1-6-18 points. This is likely Raiders’ last home opener in Oakland, with Las Vegas move on deck in 2020.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS

Event: (455) Washington Redskins at (456) Philadelphia Eagles
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 1PM EDT
Play: Philadelphia Eagles -8.5 (-108)

3% Take Philadelphia (#456)

Early in the NFL season, I’m looking to bet against the very worst teams in the league; before the markets catch up to how bad they actually are. And the Washington Redskins absolutely deserve to be on that ‘bet-against’ list. No team in the league has a worse QB situation than the Redskins coming into Week 1. Their offensive line is a bottom tier unit, especially without starting pro bowl tackle Trent Williams. Washington isn’t loaded with playmakers. Their pass rush is limited at best; their secondary suspect. Head coach Jay Gruden is favored to be the first coach fired this season. Washington lost both meetings with Philly last year, non-competitive in defeat: 28-13 and 24-0. They lost by double digits to the Eagles twice in 2017 as well. And with Carson Wentz sitting all preseason, don’t expect the Eagles to take their foot off the gas with a lead here. Bet it now – this line is only going up between now and kickoff. Take the Eagles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

Event: (473) Indianapolis Colts at (474) Los Angeles Chargers
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: September 8, 2019 4PM EDT
Play: Indianapolis Colts 6.5 (-108)

Indy’s post-Andrew Luck plight is a bit more involved than simply comparing 2018’s playoff run to the last season Luck missed in 2017, a 4-12 mess when the Chuck Pagano regime was on its last legs and new GM Chris Ballard had just begun his roster rebuild. That was also before the hire of HC Frank Reich, who proved a significant upgrade, and previous work suggests Jacoby Brissett can at least be a serviceable stop-gap at QB. The Bolts have Super Bowl hopes, but have taken some attrition in August, and yet to develop much home edge in Carson (2-6 vs. line as host LY).