Sunday 10-13-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LARRY NESS
NFL | Oct 13, 2019
Cowboys vs. Jets
Cowboys-7

My free play is on the Dal Cowboys at 4:25 ET.

he Dallas Cowboys opened the 2019 season with three lopsided victories (surpassing 30 points in each game) and became a trendy pick to emerge out of the NFC this season. However, the team's offense was completely stymied in a 12-10 setback at New Orleans in Week 4 (SNF) and the Cowboys were manhandled by visiting Green Bay in Week 5 at home, falling behind by 28 points in a 34-24 loss. The Cowboys get a break this Sunday, as they draw the 0-4 NY Jets at MetLife Stadium looking to snap the team's two-game losing streak. The Jets have scored the second-fewest points in the league in their 0-4 start (9.8 PPG) but will be hoping for a boost with the return of QB Sam Darnold to the lineup. "I feel good. Energy is awesome," said Darnold, the No. 3 overall pick a year ago who has been sidelined three games due to mononucleosis. "Just looking forward to playing this week."

QB Dak Prescott opened the season completing 25 of 32 passes for 405 yards with four TDs and zero INTs (perfect QB rating of 158.3). In fact, he entered the Cowboys' Week 4 game in New Orleans with nine TDs and just two INTs but then he and the entire offense 'laid an egg.' Dak put up big numbers in last week's loss to the Packers (but remember, Dallas fell behind 28-0), throwing for a career-high 463 yards and two TDs. However, he also was intercepted three times and absorbed three sacks. RB Ezekiel Elliott posted B2B 100-yard rushing efforts in Weeks 2 and 3 but while he has scored in each of the last two weeks, he has rushed for a total of just 97 yards in the two losses. "I'm not really concerned at all. We're still the same offense," Elliott said. "I'm just concerned about figuring out how to get things right in this offense.” The Jets were forced to start third-string QB Luke Falk in their last two games and the result was two dismal offensive performances. The Jets lost 30-14 to the Pats, gaining just 105 yards with six FDs. Then came a 31-6 loss to the Eagles, when the Jets gained 128 yards on nine FDs. In his two starts, Falk completed 27 of 48 passes for a total of 218 yards without a TD pass, while throwing three INTs (he posted QB ratings of 47.2 and 37.3). Without a 'real' NFL QB, RB Le'Veon Bell was held to 78 yards rushing in those two games. As for New York's D, it's allowed 25.2 PPG (24th). However, the Jets are getting QB Sam Darnold back this week and Bell was thrilled. "Him getting back in the huddle and him just calling plays in practice, just hearing his voice and getting that normal cadence that everybody's normally used to hearing," Bell said, "it's like, Oh yeah, Sam's back. We ready. Ain't nobody more excited than me. Not the coaches, not the fans -- nobody. I'm ready for him to be back." Darnold threw for 175 yards and a score in the season opener but the Jets blew a 16-point lead against Buffalo. Bell only has 206 yards rushing this season but the NFL's most-versatile back the last few seasons has a team-leading 27 catches for 166 yards and TD. The problem for the Jets is that the Dallas D has been good this season. What's more, I expect a HUGE effort from the Dallas offense (remember those three straight games of 30-plus points to open the 2019 season?), which should lead the way to a convincing win. I've never been a big fan of laying this may points on the road but I will here.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB VALENTINO

I know that Cleveland cannot be as bad as they looked on Monday night when they were taken out to the woodshed in their visit to Santa Clara that yielded a 31-3 loss to the San Francisco 49ers, but good God, Freddie Kitchens' team sure looked BAD that particular night.

The Brownies are back at home for this game, and do have a bye-week up next, but it is hard for me to find any other compelling reason to take them as the now small home underdog. This line did open with Cleveland as the small home favorite, but then Monday happened, and the line swung to the Seahawks as the road favorite.

I don't mind laying this small impost with Seattle, as they definitely have the scheduling advantage as they last played 10 days ago under the Thursday night lights when they held off the L.A. Rams, 30-29. The Seahawks are 4-1 now straight up, and they know that a win today guarantees they pick up a game on either the Rams or the 49ers in the division standings, as the Niners will be playing in L.A. against the Rams later today.

Russell Wilson continues to excel this season, as he leads the NFL in QB rating at 126.3 and he is also completing 73% of his passes. How does that compare to his counterpart Baker Mayfield? Well, Baker has regressed in his first full season under center with a 55.9% completion rate, and also 8 interceptions to go along with just 4 touchdown passes. The Cleveland offensive line has been bullied for the most part this year, so while the Browns are at home, I just don't see them stepping up against a quality team like Seattle to stop the bleeding before their break.

Seattle was able to win and cover at both Pittsburgh and Arizona already this season, and they are 6-1-1 now their last 8 road games against the spread, while also sporting a 8-4-2 against the spread mark when out of division their last 14 tries.

Cleveland has dropped 13 of their last 18 spread decisions against the NFC after their Monday night stinkeroo.

Give me Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson today over Freddie Kitchens and Baker Mayfield.

3* SEATTLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Sunday Week 6 odds and line moves: Despite spread drop, book needs Texans vs Chiefs
Patrick Everson

Deshaun Watson's Houston squad opened as 8-point underdogs for Sunday's game at Kansas City, and the line dropped to -4. But The SuperBook still needs the Texans, as the public piles on the Chiefs.

NFL Week 6 Sunday features a clash of dynamic quarterbacks, in a game seeing reverse line movement. We check in on the action for that contest and three others, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs – Open: -8; Move: -6.5; Move: -6; Move: -5.5; Move: -6; Move: -5.5; Move: -5; Move: -5.5; Move: -5; Move: -4.5; Move: -4

Kansas City was certainly expected to remain among the league’s unbeaten, but got an unpleasant surprise in Week 5. The Chiefs (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) went off as 10.5-point home favorites against Indianapolis in the Sunday nighter, but lost outright 19-13.

Houston has lacked consistency thus far, but the Deshaun Watson-led offense was certainly on the mark in Week 5. The Texans (3-2 SU and ATS) cooked up a 50-plus burger against Atlanta, including 37 second-half points in a 53-32 victory as 4-point home faves.

The SuperBook opened the Chiefs -8 before their Sunday night tilt, took the line off the board during that game, then reopened -6.5 Monday morning. The line since plunged to -4, but looks can be deceiving here.

“We definitely need the Texans,” Osterman said of this 1 p.m. ET kickoff. “Sharps have been on the Texans, but it’s fair to say the Chiefs are the most popular public team. With all Kansas City’s injuries and Mahomes’ ankle, it makes sense that the line moved the way it did. But there’s no shortage of people willing to bet on the Chiefs.

“With Mahomes playing, getting the Chiefs at less than a touchdown, Joe Public is all over that.”

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams – Open: -4; Move: -4.5; Move: -5; Move: -3.5; Move: -4; Move: -3.5; Move: -3

Defending NFC champion Los Angeles heads into this 4:05 p.m. ET start on a two-game skid. In Week 5, the Rams battled back and forth with Seattle, losing 30-29 while cashing as 1.5-point road underdogs in the Thursday night game.

San Francisco is among the last of the league’s unbeatens, joining New England in the rare air. The 49ers (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS) pounded Cleveland 31-3 in the Week 5 Monday nighter, easily cashing as 5-point home favorites.

This line was off the board during the Niners’ victory, and when it reposted Tuesday morning, it tightened 1.5 points to Rams -3.5.

“We’ve taken a lot on the Niners at +3 (even money), but the liability isn’t huge,” Osterman said. “Respected money on the 49ers early, but there’s been some buyback on the Rams all the way. We need the Rams for a little bit.”

Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings – Open: -3; Move: -3.5

Philadelphia got back on track over the past two weeks, winning and cashing to tie Dallas top the NFC East. In Week 5, the Eagles (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) drummed the New York Jets 31-6 laying 14 points at home.

Minnesota hopes to end its trend thus far of alternating wins and losses. The Vikings (3-2 SU and ATS) went to MetLife Stadium as 5.5-point favorites in Week 5 and coasted to a 28-10 victory over the Giants.

“The Vikings were at -3 (even), now they’re at -3.5 flat,” Osterman said of line movement for a 1 p.m. ET start. “We’re getting a lot more Eagles support from the public and a little sharp money on the Vikings. For the game, we need the Eagles, but if the Vikings cover, it would knock out a bunch of parlays.”

Washington Redskins at Miami Dolphins – Open: -3.5; Move: -4

Winless Miami gets its best chance to break through, facing another winless team in a 1 p.m. showdown of sorts. The Dolphins (0-4 SU and ATS) are coming off their bye week, following a 31-6 loss at Dallas catching 16 points in Week 4.

Washington is in turmoil, firing coach Jay Gruden on Monday after an 0-5 SU start (1-4 ATS). A day earlier, the Redskins got on the board first against New England with a first-quarter touchdown, but didn’t score again in a 33-7 setback getting 15.5 points.

“We’ve taken some Redskins money. We were at -3.5 (even) Thursday, took a $10,000 bet on Washington and went to -3.5 flat, and now we’re at -4,” Osterman said. “We’re definitely gonna need the Dolphins. I don’t see anybody who wants to bet on the Dolphins. That’ll be a decent-size decision by the time the game kicks off.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 13


NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 907-908
October 13, 2019 @ 8:08 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Paxton) 15.336
Houston
(Verlander) 17.600
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-155); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, October 13

American League
New York (1-0) @ Astros
Paxton is 10-0, 2.88 in his last 12 starts, 0-0, 7.94 in his last two; he is 8-4, 3.24 in 14 starts vs Houston, and is 0-0, 5.79 in one playoff start.

Verlander is 4-1, 3.25 in his last five starts; he is 8-7, 3.55 in 22 starts vs NYY, and is 14-8, 3.20 in 27 playoff games (26 starts)

New York lost the ALCS to Houston two years ago; they haven’t been in a World Series since 2009. NYY has allowed only seven runs in winning their four playoff games this month.

Astros are in ALCS for third year in a row; they won 2017 World Series, but needed Game 5 to advance past Tampa Bay Thursday. Home teams won six of eight NY-Houston games this year, with Astros winning three of four games played here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, October 13

Trend Report

Houston Astros
Houston is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
Houston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
NY Yankees is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, October 13

Pittsburgh @ Winnipeg

Game 85-86
October 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.553
Winnipeg
11.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

Calgary @ San Jose

Game 87-88
October 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
10.720
San Jose
9.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-115
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-105); Over

Vegas @ Los Angeles

Game 89-90
October 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vegas
12.552
Los Angeles
10.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vegas
by 2 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-140
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vegas
(-140); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 13

Trend Report

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 9 games
Winnipeg is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Winnipeg is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Winnipeg is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Pittsburgh
Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 12 games when playing Vegas
Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vegas
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Vegas is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Vegas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Vegas's last 9 games on the road
Vegas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vegas's last 12 games when playing Los Angeles
Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles

San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
San Jose is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Jose's last 16 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Calgary
San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Calgary is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Calgary's last 15 games on the road
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
Calgary is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing San Jose
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 13

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PITTSBURGH (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at WINNIPEG (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/13/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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CALGARY (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at SAN JOSE (1-4-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/13/2019, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 6-2 (+4.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 6-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VEGAS (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2019, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 8-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 8-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lethbridge

Lethbridge - Race 7	/ Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Claiming $2,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $4,100 • Post: 3:45P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000 WINNERS OF 2 OR MORE RACES IN 2019 PREFERRED.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MAXI'S TAXI: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JUST ZOOM WILL DO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ZAR'S STAR: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an in side post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MAJOR MOMENT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" des ignation.
8	MAXI'S TAXI	2/1	9/2
5	JUST ZOOM WILL DO	5/2	9/2
3	ZAR'S STAR	10/1	9/1
4	MAJOR MOMENT	12/1	9/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	MAXI'S TAXI	8	2/1	Front-runner	80	79	80.0	66.4	59.9
3	ZAR'S STAR	3	10/1	Front-runner	71	72	0.0	66.8	58.3
4	MAJOR MOMENT	4	12/1	Front-runner	76	66	0.0	63.0	55.0
1	BIG BUDDY	1	8/1	Front-runner	69	72	0.0	62.2	53.2
2	BOOZIN TIME	2	6/1	Front-runner	73	61	0.0	54.6	42.6
5	JUST ZOOM WILL DO	5	5/2	Trailer	78	67	0.0	73.8	70.3
6	BLAZING TEMPER	6	3/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	74	0.0	59.0	50.5
7	AWESOME T	7	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	68	0.0	52.1	38.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belmont Park

Belmont Park - Race 4	Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6) Empire 6 (.20) Races (4-9), Double Wagers
Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 93 • Purse: $62,000 • Post: 2:57P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. (NON-STARTERS FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000 OR LESS IN THE LAST 3 STARTS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JACK OF CLUBS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TAPIZEARANCE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two s print prep races. JACK OF CLUBS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THEITALIANAMERICAN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designati on. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2	TAPIZEARANCE	5/2	7/2
6	JACK OF CLUBS	2/1	9/2
1	THEITALIANAMERICAN	8/1	6/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	JACK OF CLUBS	6	2/1	Front-runner	0	0	55.0	65.4	58.4
1	THEITALIANAMERICAN	1	8/1	Trailer	91	66	70.2	64.5	61.5
2	TAPIZEARANCE	2	5/2	Trailer	86	84	69.4	69.4	64.9
3	FOREVER WICKED	3	12/1	Trailer	76	67	48.4	48.4	39.9
4	PRINCE OF PHAROAHS	4	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	66.4	66.4	60.4

Unknown Running Style: WILD BANKER (10/1) [Jockey: Carmouche Kendrick - Trainer: Dini Michael], TRUE PALACE (20/1) [Jockey: Reyes Luis R - Trainer: Dharamjit Darmindra], GALWAY EMPIRE (6/1) [Jockey: Franco Manuel - Trainer: Gargan Danny].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grants Pass

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 83

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 I SPOT A CARTEL 3/1
# 6 HAWKIN SUN 5/1
# 4 IVORY BAC 6/1

I SPOT A CARTEL is my choice. This gelding is a definite contender based on his earnings per start in short events. Looks formidable versus this field and will probably be one of the leaders. Put up a very good speed figure last time out. HAWKIN SUN - Has been racing admirably and has among the most respectable speed in the race for today's distance. IVORY BAC - Seems to have a solid class edge based on the most recent company kept. Has put up formidable Equibase Speed Figures in short races in the past.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 63

Rating:

#4 HELOTES (ML=2/1)


HELOTES - Won her last after shipping in. I like her again. We have lots of early speed with this steed. She could wire this field. Last race at Parx Racing on August 31st was a big class drop for this horse. Facing similar foes in this event. She should do well in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A VALIANT SPIRIT (ML=9/5), #1 TAPETE CLAIRE (ML=9/5), #5 PASTICHE (ML=5/1),

VALIANT SPIRIT - This mare hasn't had any in the money results in sprint races in the last 60 days. TAPETE CLAIRE - This runner hasn't been on the track since September 17th. Not even any workouts. PASTICHE - Hard to keep following this sort of 'hanger' horse.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 HELOTES on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8500 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 MARINOS LAW 3/1
# 5 SPEEDY RIDE 9/5
# 4 DYNAMIC DUO 7/2

I think MARINOS LAW is a very good choice. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this pony look solid in this race. With Amador in the saddle guiding him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in here. The speed fig of 71 from his last race looks very good in here. SPEEDY RIDE - This jockey and handler team has produced some sharp ROI numbers at this track. In fine fettle, and coming right back again this time around. DYNAMIC DUO - Franko has this gelding travelling well and is a solid selection based on the competitive Equibase Speed Figures recorded in sprint races lately. Franko is serious with this one, wheeling him back in next to no time.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:06pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,900 Class Rating: 66

Rating:

#3 WOODY'S REWARD (ML=9/2)
#5 WITH WINGS (ML=4/1)


WOODY'S REWARD - Yaranga was aboard this filly last race out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. She must like the track here. Shipped in to win on Sep 17th and she looks tough once again. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice contest within the last month or so. WITH WINGS - This mare is in good physical condition, having run a strong race on September 17th, finishing second.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED STARLET (ML=3/1), #8 CONQUEST VALKYRIE (ML=5/1), #7 TIKITACA (ML=5/1),

RED STARLET - This steed ran a mediocre fig in the last race. She shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat in today's event running that rating. CONQUEST VALKYRIE - Hard to put your money on the win end of any horse that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not making a bet on this entrant off of that trend. Unlikely that the speed fig she notched on Sep 29th will hold up in this race. TIKITACA - Had to show me a whole lot more last time out. Never made much of an impact.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 WOODY'S REWARD on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass