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HITMAN | NFLSide - Sunday, Nov 24 2019 4:25PM
270 NEP -6.0(-105) Bookmaker vs 269 DAL triple-dime bet
Analysis: SUNDAY NFL PROPS
2* Odell Beckham O66.5 Rec Yds -115 (BOL, Elite target share since Baker has promised to force feed him the ball.. best matchup he's had since week 2 vs NYJ)
2* Derrick Henry O84.5 Rush Yds -115 ( Bookmaker, Sees a 1.5 YPC increase in Nov/Dec, faces putrid Jags run defense allowing 5.41 YPC to opposing RB.. is a home favorite)
2* Amari Cooper U5 Receptions -125 ( Bookmaker, terrible weather, has the biggest home/road splits of any WR in the league, shadow date against leagues best cornerback this season)
2* Aaron Jones O3.5 Receptions -115 (BOL, 49ers have forced 1/4 of throws behind the LOS, Rodgers has thrown 28% of passes behind the LOS.. where Jones has 21 receptions this season)
2* Zach Ertz O5.5 Receptions -115 (Bookmaker, Ertz has an elite 30% target share against zone coverage which Seattle primarily runs, Seattle dreadful against tight ends)
Analysis: Aok to play this +6.5-110 if you do not have 7-120.....
…. Pit CIN
LIKE BENGALS
Pitt is hurting at Offense:
No1 WR Juju Smith-Schuster likely to miss
No2 WR Diontae Johnson may miss…….
No 1 RB James Conner is out C Pouncey Suspended
Pit: A bottom 5 offense, Now with injuries
FO: Pit no 28
Pitt is Overrated: Based on 3 Defensive TDs the last 5 game
Got Def Tds vs. Chargers, Indy, Rams
And they won all those games by 7 points or less
Only Concern:
Ryan Finley: Has averaged only 3.3 yards per pass play
Bengals have run Joe Mixon 45 times in Finley Starts
They do not trust Finle
Analysis: … Nyg CHIC -6, 40.5
Bears: Bad QB play compromising Team
Bears have only 1 game with over 300 yards!
NFL Average is 370!
Team has lost confidence in Trubisky
5 straight games with a well below average QB performance
QBR below 46
Solid spot for the Giants: Off 6 straight losses, and now bye Have to expect a home run effort from them here…
Daniel Jones has a 9 TD/1 Int run his last 3 games!
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