Service Plays Sunday 12/1/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI

5* Rams -3
4.5* Raiders +10
4* jets -3
4* pats -3
4* skins +10
4.5* chargers broncos under
4* raiders chiefs under
4.5* packers giants over
4* rams cards under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

3* - LAC/DEN under 38.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

SENIOR ANALYST

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Larry combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the past four years, he's gone 235-194 on NFL picks, including 61-47 last season. Larry also crushes the NBA playoffs, having gone 56-41 ATS the past two seasons.

FEATURED PICK
ARIZONA +3
L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA | 12/01 | 4:05 PM EST
TUE 11/26
This line is based on reputation, not the way each team has played recently. And the schedule spot completely favors Arizona. The Cardinals are coming off a bye while the Rams are traveling on a short week. Look for Arizona's strong pass rush to discombobulate Jared Goff. Take the points.

43-26-2 IN LAST 71 NFL ATS PICKS | +1427
18-6 IN LAST 24 LAR ATS PICKS | +1117

2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS | +90

TENNESSEE +1
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
2:02 AM
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier, but I'll still back the new-look Titans -- they're in prove-it mode against a team that has dominated them (Indy has won 14 of the past 16 meetings, including three straight). The Colts lack weapons and the Titans' above-average run defense should keep Indy from simply controlling the clock. Play the road dog.

43-26-2 IN LAST 71 NFL ATS PICKS | +1427
7-3-1 IN LAST 11 TEN ATS PICKS | +382

9-5-1 IN LAST 15 IND ATS PICKS | +342

BALTIMORE -5.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ BALTIMORE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:57 PM
The Ravens have outscored their last three opponents 135-26, and they'll be fired up for this potential Super Bowl preview. Lamar Jackson has accounted for 16 touchdowns and zero interceptions over the last four games. Baltimore won't score a TD on every meaningful possession like it did last week, but the Ravens will at least get into the high 20s. Look for Baltimore's defense to shut down the 49ers' running game, and for Jimmy Garoppolo to make a couple key mistakes. Lay it.

43-26-2 IN LAST 71 NFL ATS PICKS | +1427
12-6-1 IN LAST 19 SF ATS PICKS | +538

8-4-1 IN LAST 13 BAL ATS PICKS | +359

GREEN BAY -6.5
GREEN BAY @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/29
This is a get-right spot for the Packers, who should bounce back strong from their humiliation in San Francisco. The Giants are seriously banged-up while the injury news is better for Green Bay. The G-Men also have failed to cover their last four versus winning teams. Back Green Bay to improve to 6-0 ATS in its last six games following an ATS loss.

43-26-2 IN LAST 71 NFL ATS PICKS | +1427
13-3 IN LAST 16 GB ATS PICKS | +969

7-3 IN LAST 10 NYG ATS PICKS | +389

OVER 47.5
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/29
The Jaguars have given up 101 points in their last three games. And against Tampa Bay's pass-funnel defense, this will be Nick Foles' best game yet. Look for both passing attacks to move with ease and for the Bucs' to go Over for the 10th straight time.

49-32-2 IN LAST 83 NFL PICKS | +1366

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

TOP DOG

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. Mike does not consider himself a pet lover. But he likes 'dogs, preferring to evaluate each game from the underdog's point of view. Mike used that philosophy to post a sparkling 63-46 ATS mark for the entire 2018 NFL season. Over the past three seasons, Mike is 197-162 in the NFL, returning over $1,800 to $100 players.


UNDER 46.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ BALTIMORE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson, the MVP frontrunner, faces a supreme test. San Francisco not only owns the top-ranked defense but is on pace to permit the fewest passing yards per game in four decades. The Ravens’ defense, having yielded 12.2 points in the last half-dozen outings, will contribute to the Under. Completing the package is the weather forecast: certain rain, which could compromise the electric Jackson’s ability to run on a slippery field. Under is the play.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
5-1 IN LAST 6 BAL O/U PICKS | +390

OVER 41
N.Y. JETS @ CINCINNATI | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
QB Andy Dalton was not exactly setting the house afire before being replaced by Ryan Finley. Still, Dalton's return gives winless Cincy a lift after Finley generated 33 points in three starts. It’s a sign that the Bengals are not tanking. New York has rung up 34 points in each of the past three outings as Sam Darnold finally looks like a pro QB. The Jets have managed Overs in four of the last five on the road and overall. Over is the play.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
7-3 IN LAST 10 CIN O/U PICKS | +377

TENNESSEE +2.5
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
Indy’s offense is defanged without running back Marlon Mack (hand), receiver T.Y. Hilton (calf) and tight end Eric Ebron (ankle). Meanwhile Tennessee has gone 4-1 since Ryan Tannehill bumped aside Marcus Mariota. The past two weeks, the Titans have totaled 77 points. Their defense ranks 10th in points allowed. Who needs the 2.5? This shapes up as an outright win for Tennessee.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
8-4 IN LAST 12 TEN ATS PICKS | +357

10-6 IN LAST 16 IND ATS PICKS | +343

TAMPA BAY -1.5
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
The Buccaneers have won two of their last three (preceded by a respectable OT loss at Seattle) while the Jaguars have been outscored by 22.3 points during the same span. Though prone to errors, Tampa Bay’s Jameis Winston is a big-play QB. Jacksonville’s one-dimensional offense is unlikely to take full advantage of a porous defense. This will be a road game for the Bucs, but with a short in-state commute to North Florida. Take Tampa Bay.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
12-5 IN LAST 17 JAC ATS PICKS | +675

HOUSTON +3
NEW ENGLAND @ HOUSTON | 12/01 | 8:20 PM EST
WED 11/27
Has QB Tom Brady ever had a weaker supporting cast in his 20 seasons with the Patriots? New England has averaged 16.7 points per game in the last three games, winning twice thanks to the defense. Houston benefits from having three additional days to game plan for the Pats. The Texans wield enough firepower to score in the 20s, which might be all that’s needed against the unthreatening Brady bunch. Take the Texans.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
9-4 IN LAST 13 NE ATS PICKS | +454

5-3 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +170

L.A. CHARGERS -2.5
L.A. CHARGERS @ DENVER | 12/01 | 4:25 PM EST
MON 11/25
Largely ignored in their home stadium, the Chargers almost welcome road trips. They have lost ATS just three of the last 13 away games. L.A. eases out of a bye, which was welcomed particularly by slumping QB Philip Rivers. The Chargers should be acclimated to the high altitude, having practiced in Colorado leading up to their previous game against the Chiefs in Mexico City. The warm-to-cold transition doesn’t seem to bother L.A., which is on a 9-2-5 roll — yes, five pushes! — in Denver.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249
11-6-1 IN LAST 18 LAC ATS PICKS | +440

CLEVELAND -1.5
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
MON 11/25
They meet again, just two weeks after a brawl highlighted (or lowlighted) by DE Myles Garrett’s helmet-swinging toward QB Mason Rudolph. While the Browns’ star remains suspended, the ineffective Rudolph might as well have been missing last Sunday. He was replaced in-game by rookie Devlin Hodges. If Rudolph plays, his frame of mind could be fragile. If he doesn’t, Cleveland will tee off on Hodges. Fresh off a steamrolling of Miami, the Browns hold the momentum and are 4-1-1 lately in the series.

29-15-2 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +1249

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

SUPER STAT GEEK

A CBS Sports NFL editor, R.J. twice has cashed huge in the world's most prestigious handicapping tournament, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest. In 2017 he tied for 18th out of 2,748 contestants with a 52-29-4 mark against the spread. In 2015 he tied for 39th out of 1,727 entries with a 51-32-2 record. R.J. consistently crushes the NFL for SportsLine members: All-time he's 265-218-22 on ATS picks, returning $2,335 to $100 players. R.J. has many years of experience analyzing NFL statistics and trends, beginning with Super Bowl XXV.

FEATURED PICK
SEATTLE -3
MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 12/02 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 11/27
Kirk Cousins looks like he's shaken off the stigma that he wilts in big spots, but this is more about how good Seattle plays when the pressure is on. Since 2012, they're 21-7-2 ATS in primetime and 22-15-2 ATS against playoff teams. The Vikings defense hasn't been playing well over the last six weeks aside from beating up on Washington, and I would expect Russell Wilson to carve them up here. With Seattle's great home-field advantage, I think they have to be the pick, though I do believe we could see some 2.5s before we play them as I would expect sharp money on Minnesota at some point.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
28-8-2 IN LAST 38 MIN ATS PICKS | +1899

15-9-2 IN LAST 26 SEA ATS PICKS | +491

CAROLINA -10
WASHINGTON @ CAROLINA | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/29
I hate laying this many points, but if there's a team it's relatively safe to do it against, it's Washington. Their offense hasn't managed to score a touchdown in four of its last five games. Despite winning last week, Washington's stats weren't any different than they've been while losing convincingly to better teams. And Carolina is definitely better than Detroit, because even though they've lost four of the last five, that stretch included at San Francisco, at Green Bay and at New Orleans. Christian McCaffrey will take over here and push the Panthers into at least the high-20s, while Washington could keep kicking field goals and end with six or nine points.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
19-12 IN LAST 31 WAS ATS PICKS | +573

9-7 IN LAST 16 CAR ATS PICKS | +134

JACKSONVILLE +1.5
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
Even though Jacksonville tends to struggle against NFC teams, I have to roll with them here after the huge line move to the Bucs, a Jekyll and Hyde team that can throw up a dud at any point. The public is all over Tampa Bay here, even though they were 0-6 ATS before beating a bad Falcons team last week. Jacksonville's biggest issue on defense is defending the run, but the Bucs don't have the rushing attack to take advantage. The Jags are coming off back-to-back road games against playoff contenders and Nick Foles should look better here at home against a shaky Bucs defense.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
18-7-3 IN LAST 28 TB ATS PICKS | +1015

8-3 IN LAST 11 JAC ATS PICKS | +464

NEW ENGLAND -3
NEW ENGLAND @ HOUSTON | 12/01 | 8:20 PM EST
WED 11/27
Bill Belichick has owned Bill O'Brien, and I doubt much is going to change in this matchup. The Patriots offense has been struggling but gets a much easier defensive matchup here. Houston's defense is 26th in DVOA, 31st on third downs and 32nd in the red zone, which screams like a get-right spot for Tom Brady and company. On the other side, I don't expect an offense that ranks 15th in DVOA and has played an easy schedule to solve the Patriots' top-rated defense. Belichick continues to build on a great record indoors or under a retractable roof (17-6 ATS since 2001) and rolls in Houston.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
5-4 IN LAST 9 NE ATS PICKS | +60

PITTSBURGH +2
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
You can't dream up a bigger revenge spot than this after how the Thursday night game between these two teams ended. Pittsburgh will throw a different dynamic at the Browns defense with the mobile Devlin Hodges under center, and the Browns rush defense could already struggle against a Pittsburgh run game that found its footing last week. The Cleveland offense feels like it's rounding into form but really only played well against a broken Dolphins defense. The Browns' discipline issues will come out again in an emotional game, and there's no way the Steelers let this team sweep them by coming to Pittsburgh and getting a win. The wrong team is favored here.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
17-10 IN LAST 27 PIT ATS PICKS | +585

10-8-2 IN LAST 20 CLE ATS PICKS | +117

ARIZONA +3
L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA | 12/01 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 11/27
While it's possible a Rams offense that looks broken could rebound against a bad Cardinals defense, that scenario isn't enough to justify this line considering how well the Cardinals have played since the opening month. They're 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven, but essentially 6-1 after that garbage end-of-game TD against the 49ers. The Rams just had issues stopping an offense spearheaded by a mobile quarterback and could struggle against Kyler Murray as well on the short week. With Arizona having two weeks to prepare for this game, we should see the entire toolbox as they look for a big win at home. They should be favored in this spot.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
26-11-1 IN LAST 38 LAR ATS PICKS | +1357

CINCINNATI +3.5
N.Y. JETS @ CINCINNATI | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
There tends to be value backing winless teams this late in the year, and after I squeezed out a cover taking Bengals at +6.5 last week, I'm going back to the well this week. The Jets offense has started to hit its stride, but I don't think they'll have as much success here against a Bengals defense that ranks fourth in red zone TD percentage. The Bengals are desperate to avoid a winless season, turning back to Andy Dalton for this game. He didn't play well in the first half of the year but is miles better than Ryan Finley and has Cordy Glenn protecting his blind side now. Make sure to sprinkle a little on the moneyline too.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
13-8 IN LAST 21 CIN ATS PICKS | +419

16-12-2 IN LAST 30 NYJ ATS PICKS | +293

OVER 48.5
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
The Over has cashed in nine straight Bucs games, and I'm going to go along for the ride here while it's less than 50. Jameis Winston has been great at hitting big plays for both teams in the passing game, while the Bucs' excellent run D forces teams to throw, which isn't a problem against Tampa Bay's suspect pass defense (though it appears to have improved after the team dumped Vernon Hargreaves). Nick Foles should have success at some point, and this seems like a much easier matchup after back to back road divisional games.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
4-1 IN LAST 5 JAC O/U PICKS | +290

INDIANAPOLIS -2.5
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
The Titans have looked nearly unstoppable lately, but they've also had the benefit of playing four of their last five at home, which coincides with when Ryan Tannehill entered the lineup. They struggled on a road trip to Carolina, and I can see more of the same here. The Colts ran all over the Titans defense in their win in Tennessee earlier this year, and the Indy run game didn't miss a beat without Marlon Mack last week. I think the Colts are the better team top to bottom, have the better coach and will benefit from the mini-bye after playing last Thursday.

15-3 IN LAST 18 NFL PICKS | +1169
23-11-1 IN LAST 35 IND ATS PICKS | +1059

22-14 IN LAST 36 TEN ATS PICKS | +645

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

Emory is the founder and CEO of Football Gameplan, which has been supplying analysis of all levels of football since 2007. Born and raised in New Orleans, Hunt played running back at the University of Louisiana-Lafayette and coached high school football before starting Football Gameplan. Hunt is a regular contributor to CBS Sports HQ, where he breaks down CFB and NFL games with Danny Kanell and Raja Bell.


GREEN BAY -6.5
GREEN BAY @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
Until Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones learns to protect the football, it's hard to trust the team offensively. New York now faces a Green Bay defense that can flood the pocket in a variety of ways. Look for a massive bounce-back performance from QB Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' offense.

37-25 IN LAST 62 NFL ATS PICKS | +953
4-2 IN LAST 6 NYG ATS PICKS | +180

HOUSTON +3.5
NEW ENGLAND @ HOUSTON | 12/01 | 8:20 PM EST
WED 11/27
Texans QB Deshaun Watson's best attribute is his fearlessness on the field. That's the type of mentality you must have when facing the Patriots. When you add the fact New England's offense isn't as explosive as in years past, you definitely can see a path for Houston to get the cover.

37-25 IN LAST 62 NFL ATS PICKS | +953
5-0 IN LAST 5 NE ATS PICKS | +500

2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +90

CLEVELAND -2
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
With QB Devlin Hodges getting the start, Pittsburgh's offense will begin to look formidable. That's a huge step up from what we've seen with Mason Rudolph under center. But I don't think it will be enough to knock off the Browns, whose offense has been hitting its stride over the last three games.

37-25 IN LAST 62 NFL ATS PICKS | +953
BALTIMORE -6
SAN FRANCISCO @ BALTIMORE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
Everyone talks about QB Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' offense, wondering how they can be stopped. But no one is mentioning how dominant Baltimore's defense has been. Look for that unit to be the reason why the Ravens extend their winning streak to eight games with a comfortable victory.

37-25 IN LAST 62 NFL ATS PICKS | +953
5-0 IN LAST 5 BAL ATS PICKS | +500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

NFL GOM Patriots/texans over 45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Virgobbi Sports

Ne -3.5 (-104)
sf +5.5 (-101)
oak +13 (-120)
lar -3 (ev)
nyg +6.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker

Micah Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sports book industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos' book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, Roberts has covered the Las Vegas sports betting industry for VegasInsider.com, Gaming Today, and Sporting News. In 2016, Micah became a SportsLine expert and promptly crushed college football for SportsLine members, going 70-44-3 (61 percent) on the season.

FEATURED PICK
NEW ENGLAND -3.5
NEW ENGLAND @ HOUSTON | 12/01 | 8:20 PM EST
WED 11/27
Lots of people are looking for any sign of demise in New England. They’re tired of watching the Patriots dominate seasons and winning Super Bowls. With the New England offense struggling the past few weeks, a few haters are suggesting the demise is underway. But the offense is still averaging 27.3 points per game, and the defense is dominating like never before, allowing just 10.6 points and 256.4 yards per game. That steady defense will help get the cover at Houston. The Texans are 1-3 ATS in their last four games. Take the Patriots.

19-11-1 IN LAST 31 NFL PICKS | +676
10-2-1 IN LAST 13 HOU ATS PICKS | +780

OVER 47
L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA | 12/01 | 4:05 PM EST
YESTERDAY 5:13 PM
The Rams ended a five-game Under streak by getting Over the total Monday night, but they didn’t have much to do with it in the Ravens' 45-6 win. But I like them to be forced into a shootout, and Arizona’s defense won’t resist much. The Cardinals' average score this season is 28-22, and Arizona has gone Over in its last three. Over is the play.

19-9 IN LAST 28 NFL O/U PICKS | +909
3-0 IN LAST 3 ARI O/U PICKS | +300

OVER 43
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 4:51 PM
The Colts have had the best of this series, going 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including a 19-17 win at Nashville in Week 2 as 3-point dogs. But Ryan Tannehill has been very effective, and the Titans have won four of his five starts, the only loss coming on the road at Carolina. All five of those games have gone Over as well. I'm on the Over here as well.

19-9 IN LAST 28 NFL O/U PICKS | +909
2-1 IN LAST 3 IND O/U PICKS | +90

L.A. CHARGERS -3
L.A. CHARGERS @ DENVER | 12/01 | 4:25 PM EST
YESTERDAY 4:49 PM
The road team has gone 15-5-2 ATS in the last 22 meetings, including in Week 5 when the Broncos won 20-13 in Carson. I like the trend to continue Sunday with rookie QB Drew Lock expected to get his first start for Denver. Being at home will help him, but everything I’ve heard about Lock from training camp through his injury is that he’s way behind and has lots to learn. I’ll take the Chargers despite Denver’s defense playing well.

19-11-1 IN LAST 31 NFL PICKS | +676
10-6 IN LAST 16 DEN ATS PICKS | +341

OVER 45.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ BALTIMORE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 4:32 PM
The 49ers went Over the total in four straight games before their Under game against the Packers, but the Packers didn’t help in the 37-8 49ers win. I don’t see a problem with Lamar Jackson getting slowed down, and I know the 49ers will score despite the light rain expected. The Ravens have scored 37 points or more in their last four games. Over is the top play.

19-9 IN LAST 28 NFL O/U PICKS | +909
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF O/U PICKS | +90

OVER 47.5
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
FRI 11/29
Light rain is a possibility at Jacksonville on Sunday, and winds are expected to be up. But I’m still playing the Over with the Buccaneers because it happens every game, or at least it has in their last nine. Jameis Winston is the perfect Over QB because he makes lots of big plays and also lots of mistakes. Their average score this season is 30-28. I’m on the Over again.

19-9 IN LAST 28 NFL O/U PICKS | +909
4-0 IN LAST 4 TB O/U PICKS | +400

CLEVELAND -2
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
TUE 11/26
The Browns are coming off a fantastic win in which all their key players were involved. They resembled a playoff team with their dominance and now face the Steelers, who have had a rugged season while playing above their abilities thanks to good coaching. But Pittsburgh's QB performance has me on the Browns.

19-11-1 IN LAST 31 NFL PICKS | +676
9-4 IN LAST 13 PIT ATS PICKS | +445

4-1-1 IN LAST 6 CLE ATS PICKS | +290

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS

A CBS Sports writer since 2010, the entertaining Fornelli is a consistent winner when it comes to ATS and over-under picks. He's a wallet-fattening 216-179 in his popular "Six Pack" college football column the past four years. And he's spreading his wings on SportsLine, demonstrating his expertise in every single sport. In the 2018-19 NBA season, Fornelli went 86-67, returning $1,229 to $100 players. You'll get maximum access to Fornelli's picks only on SportsLine.


SAN FRANCISCO +5.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ BALTIMORE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
THU 11/28
Lamar Jackson is a supernova, and the Ravens have been the best team in the NFL lately. And all that attention is causing an inflation to this spread. The 49ers aren't 10-1 by accident, and if there's any defense in the NFL that can at least limit Lamar Jackson, it's this Niners unit. Take the points.

26-19-1 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +516
7-0 IN LAST 7 SF ATS PICKS | +700

2-1 IN LAST 3 BAL ATS PICKS | +95

ARIZONA +3
L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA | 12/01 | 4:05 PM EST
THU 11/28
The Rams looked awful against Baltimore last week, and while the Cardinals aren't the Ravens, I don't think much will change this week. Jared Goff has been awful since LA's bye, and Todd Gurley is an inefficient running back. The Cardinals have been playing better than their record suggests, and are coming off a bye here. Take them at home with the points.

26-19-1 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +516
3-0 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS | +300

SEATTLE -3
MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 12/02 | 8:15 PM EST
THU 11/28
Kirk Cousins has done some work killing the narrative that he doesn't play well in primetime, or in big games this season, but that doesn't mean I'm taking him in this spot. In a battle of Russell Wilson vs. Kirk Cousins, I'm taking Wilson every time. Particularly when Russ is at home.

26-19-1 IN LAST 46 NFL PICKS | +516
3-1-1 IN LAST 5 SEA ATS PICKS | +190

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brett Anderson

THE DOG WHISPERER

A CBS Sports NFL editor, Brett Anderson has been covering the NFL and other sports for 25 years, from the Midwest to Midtown Manhattan to South Florida. He joined his first NFL picks pool at age 12 and has been hammering home dogs ever since. Brett's strategy is a hybrid of data, game film and gut instinct, and he also seeks out prognosticators on a serious streak to either ride along with the red hot or, often more profitably, fade the ice cold.


GREEN BAY -6.5
GREEN BAY @ N.Y. GIANTS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:01 PM
The Packers looked awful last week in San Francisco and have lost two of their last three games by a combined 63-19. That was against two of the top four pass defenses in the league, though. The Giants (27th vs. the pass) are a far cry from that, and without Golden Tate and Evan Engram, it's hard to envision N.Y. being able to keep up, even if Green Bay is a bit overrated. The Giants are 1-4 ATS at home. Lay the points.

30-20-1 IN LAST 51 NFL PICKS | +799
3-0 IN LAST 3 NYG ATS PICKS | +300

PITTSBURGH +2.5
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 8:25 PM
Based solely on talent available, it’s easy to see why the Browns are favored. The Steelers will be without JuJu Smith-Schuster, Maurkice Pouncey and likely James Conner, and they’ll start their third-string QB. But this is going to be a very emotional game in front of a frenzied Pittsburgh crowd, and that doesn’t bode well for Freddie Kitchens, who has been overmatched in far friendlier conditions. The Steelers and their No. 3 defense by DVOA in a revenge game against a hated rival with playoffs possibly on the line? Take the points.

30-20-1 IN LAST 51 NFL PICKS | +799

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg

HAMMER

Legendary handicapper Hammerin' Hank Goldberg joined SportsLine in 2018 and promptly cashed huge for SportsLine members, calling each of Justify's Triple Crown wins. A beloved national treasure, Hammer enjoyed a 17-year ESPN run in which he had only two losing seasons picking NFL games. In 2017 he competed against 10 top handicappers in the Las Vegas Review-Journal's NFL Challenge and beat them all, finishing 50-29-6 (63.2 percent) against the spread. He also destroyed the books in the 2018-19 college basketball season, finishing 35-20 (64 percent) while returning nearly $1,300 to $100 players.


SEATTLE -3
MINNESOTA @ SEATTLE | 12/02 | 8:15 PM EST
WED 11/27
I don't think Minnesota's pass defense will hold up against Russell Wilson, who has Tyler Lockett, D.K. Metcalf and Josh Gordon to throw to. Wilson loves the bright lights, while Kirk Cousins usually doesn't fare well in these spots. This is the type of game that Minnesota always finds a way to lose. Lay the field goal.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +680
9-2 IN LAST 11 MIN ATS PICKS | +680

6-3-2 IN LAST 11 SEA ATS PICKS | +267

CLEVELAND -2
CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
The Browns have won three straight and over their last four games, Baker Mayfield has thrown eight touchdowns against one interception. They have two real good running backs and so much more offensive talent than Pittsburgh. The Steelers will miss center Maurkice Pouncey a lot in this one.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +680
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 CLE ATS PICKS | +271

L.A. RAMS -3
L.A. RAMS @ ARIZONA | 12/01 | 4:05 PM EST
WED 11/27
The Rams have won and covered the last four games in the series. The Cardinals are terrible at defending the pass, and Jared Goff has all his skill players healthy. The Rams have more at stake, and they match up well with Arizona.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +680
13-4-1 IN LAST 18 LAR ATS PICKS | +865

TAMPA BAY -1
TAMPA BAY @ JACKSONVILLE | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
WED 11/27
The Jaguars are bad, especially their offensive line. They won't get the running game going against a Bucs team allowing 3.5 yards per carry. Jameis WInston has six straight games over 300 yards. He's going up against a terrible pass defense. Chris Godwin and Mike Evans will light up the Jacksonville secondary.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +680
7-4 IN LAST 11 JAC ATS PICKS | +259

5-3-2 IN LAST 10 TB ATS PICKS | +162

INDIANAPOLIS -2.5
TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | 12/01 | 1:00 PM EST
TUE 11/26
The Titans played really well last week, but they never play well at Indianapolis. The Colts' defense is very good, they've got T.Y. Hilton back and they just have to win by a field goal. I don't trust Ryan Tannehill in this spot.

9-2 IN LAST 11 NFL PICKS | +680

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:17 PM
YALE -1
VERMONT @ YALE | 12/01 | 3:00 PM EST
My model says Yale covers in more than two-thirds of simulations, so you're getting excellent value at this point spread. The Bulldogs have played a tougher schedule than Vermont and, according to Kenpom.com, have been one of the 30 most unlucky teams in the nation so far this season. Take Yale.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sterling

25 Oak, under LAC, NE, (2TT) Balt and AZ

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

3000*. Over 43 Colts/titans
100*over 421/2 Bengals/Jets
100*. Patriots -3