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King Creole
2* Over 47 Tampa Bay at Jacksonville.
2* Over 47 Tampa Bay at Jacksonville.
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ATS
6 pack
6 chiefs,
5 titansComment
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allan desrosiers
15 houston over
8 tenn overComment
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Warren Sharp
Miles Sanders Over 61.5 rushing yards risking 0.5 units
Zach Pascal over 34.5 receiving yards to win 0.75 units
Benny Snell over 49.5 rushing yards to win 0.75 unitsComment
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The rainman
10 stars: Philadelphia
5 stars: chargers
3 stars: Indy
1 star: NEComment
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4-Star Redskins +10 over PANTHERS With the runing game that they have, it might be surprising to some that the Panthers have the highest percentage of their first downs through the air at 67.3%. Washington has committed an average of 1.55 turnovers per game, and this is only slightly more than the league average. These facts slots the Redskins into a strong play-ON system.
Teams that have averaged fewer than 1.7 turnovers per game are 27-0 ATS as a regular season road dog with at least normal rest when they are off a game as a home dog and they are facing a team that has averaged at least 12.75 first downs per game. The SDQL text is:
REG and AD and rest>=6 and surface=grass and tA(TO)<1.7 and p:HD and oA(PFD)>=12.75 and date>=20141200
Teams are 5-0 ATS in this spot this season with three outright wins.
The Panthers are averaging 1.82 turnovers per game this season and this is FIFTH-MOST in the entire league. The Redskins have done better than expected against turnover-prone teams, as they are 9-0 ATS (+9.67 ppg) as a dog on grass facing an opponent that is committing an average of 1.75-plus turnovers per game. The SDQL text is:
team=Redskins and D and surface=grass and oA(TO)>=1.75 and season >= 2014
The Redskins have won seven of the nine straight up.
Also, Washington is 9-0 ATS since the start of the 2016 season when they are off a game in which they benefited from a two-plus takeaway margin and did not win by 20-plus points and 9-0 ATS (+10.44 ppg) when they are off a home game and they are facing a non-divisional opponent that allowed more than 400 total yards in their last game.
Carolina had a chance last week. They were 5-5 and in a tie game with the Saints, which they lost 34-31 on a field goal as time expired to fall below 500 on the season. It will be very challenging both mentally and physically to recover from this defeat in what was a must-win game. The Redskins are not a team that is going to inspire a heroic effort.
The Panthers are 0-7 ATS (-10.93 ppg) as a favorite on grass off a one to three point loss as a dog, losing each of their last four straight up. They were in this spot in week two this season after losing 27-30 to the Rams in their opener. The lines makers made them a six-point favorite against the Buccaneers and they lost 20-14 to Tampa. A similar result would not surprise us here.
MTis FORECAST: Redskins 17 PANTHERS 20Comment
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Robert Ferringo
7 Unit- KC -10Comment
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Root
MILL/ Jacksonville
No limit- Denver
Perfect- Giants
Inner- Houston
Pinnacle- CinciComment
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Sports Book Crushers NFL
Denver and LA Chargers Under 38
Killer Sports NBA
Detroit -2.5Comment
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Bob Balfe
NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #459-460
Eagles -10.5 over Dolphins
72 - 78 NCAAF and NFL after a horrible October, he went 30 - 19 in Novemeber
NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #463-464
Bucs -3 over Jags
NFL
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #465-466
Jets/Bengals Over 43
NFL
4:25 PM EST
Rotation #469-470
Chargers -3.5 over BroncosComment
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FINN NFL SUNDAY 5% BIG TICKET (9-3)
Game: (471) Cleveland Browns at (472) Pittsburgh Steelers
Date/Time: Dec 1 2019 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Cleveland Browns -1.0 (-108)
View Analysis
PLAY: Cleveland Browns -1 (good to -3)
5% confidence rating
(471) Cleveland Browns at (472) Pittsburgh Steelers
The complete and detailed breakdown of this AFC Central matchup will be posted by close of college hoops tonight, Saturday. A couple of key points I covered in the gameday analysis were small but critical differences in the Browns offense and the play of Baker Mayfield in November.
What and who can the Browns be defensively without rush end Garrett? And is he the most valuable player Cleveland’s defense when the Browns are facing an offense that is limited as the Steelers are and will be the rest of the season.
And how important, how much of what the Browns possess most, the artificial PED this young squad appears to be on when they are playing with confidence.
Cleveland's 21-7 win over the Steelers two weeks ago and the how and why that Pittsburgh was a much better team, overall, at that point of the season, yet lost by double digits.
And that while the Browns are without their best, their most impactful defensive player, why they have the advantage in every single importanat category for this Sunday contest.
Baker Mayfield, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt? Against a disciplined but middling defense.
The Steelers are without their most important offensive player, their All-Pro center Pouncey. An injured Ben Roethlisberger is head and shoulders more capable than Rudolph and Hodges. The Steel Curtain are likely to be without wide receiver JuJu Smith-Shuster and James Connor.another week.
Even with Conner there isn't an offensive backfield in all the NFL where less yards are gained after contact than that of the Pittsburgh running backs.. Conner and the "who is that running the football for Pittsburgh" comments I hear week in and week out at sportsbooks and the local taverns around my office location
More forthcoming
CLEVELAND BROWNS -1Comment
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4.5-Star Raiders +10 over CHIEFS The Chefs are off a 24-17 win over the Chargers in which Travis Kelce had seven catches for 92 yards and San Diego punted only three times and converted five third downs. The Chiefs were forced to punt six times. We are on the Raiders.
Kansas City is 0-8 ATS at home after a game in which Travis Kelce had more the 70 receiving yards.
The SDQL text is:
team=Chiefs and H and Travis Kelce:p:receiving yards >= 70 and date>=20181028
Kansas City is 1-4 straight up their last five in this spot.
The Chiefs are also 0-9 ATS (-6.72 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which their previous opponent had more third down conversions than punts and 0-8 ATS (-6.12 ppg) and 0-6 ATS (-7.00 ppg) after a game in which Tyrek Hill had fewer than 2 receptions
Last week the Chiefs intercepted Phillip Rivers 4 times and this was the difference in the game. The Raiders have committed only 1.09 turnovers per game this season and unless they turn the ball over a lot here, the Chiefs will have a tough time covering the number.
Kansas City is 0-12 ATS as a favorite over a team that has averaged 1.3 or fewer turnovers per game and is not undefeated on the season. The SDQL text is:
team=Chiefs and F and oA(TO)<=1.3 and o:losses >0 and date>=20171019
The Chiefs have lost each of the last six straight up
Oakland had a terrible game last week vs the Jets, but perhaps they were looking ahead to this game. Whatever the case, the Raiders have responded well as a big dog off a bad loss. Oakland is 16-0 ATS as a dog or more than four points off a loss by more than a FG in which they got a first down on 25 percent or less of their offensive plays.
Finally, the Raiders are 8-0 ATS (+7.44 ppg) as a road dog off a double-digit loss when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 5.75 rushing first downs per game and 11-0 ATS (+10.00 ppg) on the road on grass vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss in which more than 30 percent of their first downs were from third down.
MTis FORECAST: CHIEFS 23 Raiders 20Comment
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sharp premimum
NFL Premium Plays are 3-0 on the year. Today there is an early Premium Play. It is on, brace yourself, Cincinnati +3 over NY JetsComment
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totals 4 u
Totals 4 You NFL Football Selections for Early Sunday, Dec 1st
2019 NFL Powerhouses Showdown Super Total of the Year!!!!!
San Francisco/Baltimore over 45
Early NFL Football Bonus Winners
Green Bay/NY Giants over 44 1/2
Philadelphia/Miami over 44 1/2
Tampa Bay/Jacksonville over 47 1/2
NY Jets/Cincinnati under 42Comment
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Assassin Sports (NFL Play of the Day) - New York Jets -3Comment
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