Service Plays Saturday 12/21/19

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Midwest NFL Handicapping

SF -7
BUFF +7 (Buy Hook)
HOU -2.5 (Buy Hook)


Buffalo +12.5/UNDER 43.5

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Biker Bankers

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49rs under 45
Rams +6'
Pats -6'
TB under 51

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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Dec 21 2019 5:30PM
213 Florida Intl 1.0(-110) Westgate vs 214 Arkansas St. single-dime bet

Analysis: Two reasons we like the Golden Panthers here, first our power ratings say the wrong team is favored here. Second, we have the coaching edge with FIU head coach Butch Davis 7-2 ATS in bowl games while Arkansas St head coach Blake Anderson is 1-4 ATS. Also note that FIU won last year’s bowl game without starting QB James Morgan who should be motivated to play in this year’s game.



Bowl Leans Today:

Small Lean (208) San Diego St -3.5 over Central Michigan. 2:00pm ET.

Lean (209) Liberty +6 over Georgia Southern. 2:30pm ET.

Small Lean (215) Washington -3.5 over Boise St. 7:30pm ET.
Lean (218) Uab +17 over Appalachian St. 9:00pm ET.

NFL Lean of Day (453/454) Buffalo/New England UNDER 37.5. 4:30pm ET.

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LJP Score:

North Carolina A&T = 2U

Alcorn St = 0

OVER = 0

UNDER = 1OPEN

Top Sharp Consensus count:

SIDE is 0-0 (DNQ)

TOTAL is 0-0 (DNQ)

12pm ET

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Maddux

10 Central Michigan +4
10 SMU/Florida Atlantic under 69.5

NBA

10 LA Clippers/San Antonio over 223.5
10 Atlanta/Brooklyn over 228

CBB

10 610 Villanova +2
10 632 Miami OH +2.5
10 639 Texas State +3
10 707 Oregon State -6
10 737 Kentucky +4
10 742 California +1
10 752 Utah +7

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Robert Ferringo cbb

Yest: -0.2
Ytd: +31.6
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2-Unit Play. Take #610 Villanova (+2.5) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 21)
Being the No. 1 team in the country has been a curse so far this season. And I think we could see another upset of the top team here today. Villanova is well versed in playing in games like these. And they will have a massive home court advantage. They are also getting the Jayhawks at an early start time. I know the Wildcats and their faithful will be ready to go.


2-Unit Play. Take #605 Harvard (-6) over George Washington (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 21)
This George Washington team is bad. They have losses to teams like Morgan State and UM-Kansas City this year, as well as a home loss to American. Harvard has been off for two weeks. I would normally worry about rust. But I think that this team needed the break. They needed to get healthy and Tommy Amaker is a great coach that I'm sure got everyone back on the same page. Harvard posted a 34-point blowout win over UMass their last time out. They should be able to do it again here.


2-Unit Play. Take #615 Illinois (-2.5) over Missouri (1 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I don't like how one-sided the betting action is in this rivalry game. But Illinois is obviously the better team. They got off to a shaky start to the season but they are settling in. Their last two losses have come by a combined three points. Other than that they'd be on an eight-game winning streak. Missouri has lost three of five. And other than that surprise win at Temple they haven't done much to impress me. I'll back talent here.


2-Unit Play. Take #626 Oakland (-5) over Fairfield (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Oakland has lost three straight games. But they are finally back at home, playing their first home game in over a month, and they are taking a major step down in class. The Grizz have won each of their three home games by double-digits and I think that they will do the same here.


1-Unit Play. Take #630 Northern Illinois (-6.5) over UW-Green Bay (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Two of Green Bay's four wins have come against D-II competition. The other two have come against weak sister teams ranked in the bottom third of college basketball. Green Bay plays fast and can score. But they don't even bother to play defense. And I think that their offense will run into some resistance against a solid Northern Illinois defense. I think Eugene German will have a day here and NIU should get a solid win to close out the nonconference.


2-Unit Play. Take #633 Missouri State (+2) over Oral Roberts (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I think the wrong team is favored here. We don't know much about this Oral Roberts team because their schedule has been so bizarre. They have faced four D-II teams and four teams ranked in the Top 50. I do think that this Missouri State team is more talented and I think that they are a little undervalued here. This team has played at Xavier, LSU and VCU so they won't be rattled by a trip to ORU. I think they start to show some progress and win this one outright.


1-Unit Play. Take #644 Providence (Pk) over Texas (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I know I am a glutton for punishment. And this Friars team has been completely off the rails. But at some point they should snap out of it. And, frankly, Texas might be the one team that I trust even less than Providence.


2-Unit Play. Take #664 South Alabama (-5) over Coastal Carolina (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
I think that this USA team is better than it has played. They got upset at home in their last time out against Appalachian State. I don't think it will happen again here and I don't see them losing two straight home games to open up Sun Belt play.


1-Unit Play. Take #668 UT-San Antonio (-3) over Illinois State (4 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. Take #696 Arkansas (-13.5) over Valparaiso (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Very quietly, Arkansas has positioned itself as one of the best teams in the SEC. They are talented, they are athletic, and they are playing good, disciplined basketball on both ends of the court. I think that they are set up for another blowout here in a semi-neutral site. Valpo is in over its head here.


2-Unit Play. Take #706 DePaul (-5.5) over Northwestern (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Northwestern is better than I thought they would be. This team is big. But they are still really, really young. This is only their third true road game and they were blown out by 14 at Purdue in their last road game. I really like this DePaul team. They have excellent guard play and they have a good, positive vibe in this program for the first time in a long time. This is a big game between Chicago rivals and I expect the Blue Demons to make full use of their home court advantage.


4-Unit Play. Take #710 BYU (-17.5) over Weber State (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
The Cougars


2-Unit Play. Take #718 Florida (-3.5) over Utah State (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Florida is starting to look more and more like the team that everyone was expecting in the preseason. I was never as in love with this team as everyone else; I think it is a joke to think of them as a national title contender. However, I do think that this is a good spot for them. They are playing close to home against a Utah State team that doesn't really travel that well. I like this Aggies group, especially now that they are at full strength. But I just think that this number is short and Florida will have a little too much for them.


4-Unit Play. Take #722 Butler (-2) over Purdue (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Purdue just isn't the same team when they don't play on their home court. And I think that Butler is going to be sky high for this game. The Bulldogs have been the more impressive team to this point of the year and they have the best player on the court in Kamar Baldwin. I think that the Bulldogs made some addition by subtraction in the offseason and this team looks much better for it.


1-Unit Play. Take #725 Akron (+3.5) over Liberty (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
This Akron team is kind of sneaky good. They have won five in a row and I like what John Groce is doing with this group. They have actually impressed me more in their losses than in their wins. I am not as enamored with Liberty as the mainstream college basketball media is. They haven't played anyone this year and haven't shown me much. I think they are the next unbeaten team to lose.


4-Unit Play. Take #734 Oklahoma State (-3.5) over Minnesota (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
The Cowboys have played an interesting schedule. This is their sixth straight game against Top 100 competition. They have been really, really good at times and really, really bad at others. I still like the makeup of this team, though, and I think that they will come to play today. Minnesota is in a letdown spot here. They upset Ohio State in The Barn last Sunday right when OSU was poised to become No. 1. They aren't going to pull two upsets in a row, especially in what is essentially a road game here. Dick Pitino is not a good coach and I just don't thin he has enough talent on this team outside Marcus Carr and Dan Oturu.


3-Unit Play. Take #738 Ohio State (-3) over Kentucky (5 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
Ohio State is the more veteran, more experienced team and I think that they are going to be ready to play in this one. I don't really like this Kentucky team. They have raw talent, but they don't have high-end guys and they don't have a lot of pure skill. Kentucky has not played well off its home court and they are coming off a loss to Utah earlier this week that I think will have rattled their confidence. Ohio State has been waiting weeks for this game and I think that they will max out here. Give me the Buckeyes.


7-Unit Play. Take #744 Arizona (-11) over St. John's (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
We still don't know if Mustapha Heron is going to play for St. John's. He had a bad ankle sprain two weeks ago and missed the Red Storm's last game. If he doesn't play then the Red Storm don't have a chance here. I still think they are going to get blown out regardless. Arizona hasn't played since last week's tough loss to Gonzaga at home. They are going to want to take that frustration out on someone. St. John's has only played two games outside of its home floor this year. One of them was a 13-point loss to Arizona State. I think this will be another double-digit loss.


1-Unit Play. Take #752 Utah (+6.5) over San Diego State (6:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
If Utah can beat Kentucky - which they did earlier this week as an 11-point underdog - then they can beat San Diego State. So I will certainly take the points here. I really like this SDSU team and they have done a masterful job incorporating their talented transfers. But this number seems steep against a Utah team that already has four Top 100 wins. Utah is really young and could have a letdown here. But I will still take the points and hope they go on a rush.
4-Unit Play. Take #8546 Miami (-17.5) over Coppin State (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 21)
This game is a mismatch. Juan Dixon is a hell of a nice guy and a legend in the Baltimore-D.C. area. But I don't know that he can coach very well and he has another bad team here with the Eagles. Coppin State has faced two Top 100 teams: Virginia Tech and Davidson. They lost those games by 32 and 36 points. Miami is flaky. But I don't see any reason why they would win this one by fewer than 25 points.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #641 Western Kentucky (+10.5) over Rhode Island (2 p.m.) AND Take #744 Arizona (-6) over St. John's (10 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #610 Villanova (+7.5) over Kansas (Noon) AND Take #8546 Miami (-12.5) over Coppin State (2 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #725 Akron (+8.5) over Liberty (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #752 Utah (+6.5) over San Diego State (6:30 p.m.)

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Las Vegas Pipeline

75 Boise St. + 3.5
75 Buffalo + 6.5

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Jack Winningham

NCAABB
Indiana -2.5

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Tony Bruno

patriots
49ers

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The top LJP score for early action is Colorado St +2.5 over Tulsa in NCAABB. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection. The second highest LJP score across all sports is Tampa Bay +3 over Houston in the NFL. It achieves an LJP score of 4. I would advise a 0.50 unit selection.

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Great Lake Sports


5*. NCAA BB ARKANSAS

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Miller locks

1:00 pm est nfl
houston texans vs. Tampa bay buccaneers

pick: Houston texans -3 (+102)

risk: 11 units

3:30 pm est ncaaf
smu vs. Florida atlantic

pick: Smu -7 (-109)

risk: 11 units

4:30 pm est nfl
buffalo bills vs. New england patriots

pick: New england patriots -6.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

9:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Appalachian state

pick: Uab +17 (-105)

risk: 11 units

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Executive Sportsline football

Sat, Dec 21
1:00
NFL
300%
Tampa Bay +3
over Houston

2:30
BOWL
250%
Liberty +5'
over Ga.Southern

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lv wolf
geo southern -5

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Asa cbb


10* Butler -2