Service Plays Sunday 1/12/20

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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

Single Plays

Chiefs -9.5
Chiefs-Texans under 51
Packers-Seahawks under 47

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Midwest NFL Handicapping

SEA +4
HOU +9.5


Teasers
SEA +10/HOU +15.5
TENN +16/OVER 41.5


Over/Under
SF/MINN UNDER 44.5
KC/HOU UNDER 51.5

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newworldinsiders

TEXAS INSIDER: Texans +10

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BIG Al's NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR:

Kansas City/Houston OVER

[golden contender]

GC: NCAAB

Sunday NFL 7* Playoff Game of the year goes as well as a Secondary top 6* Side. In College hoops we have an Exclusive TIER 1 Play. In the NBA a big 5* Perfect System Play with a 32-1 Angle going . NCAAB Comp play below

The NCAAB Comp Play for Sunday is on Minnesota at 1:00 eastern. The Golden Gophers have Conference tournament revenge from last season and are 17-2 as a home favorite and they have won 7 of 9 here this year. They are solid historically with conference revenge and Michigan has lot the last 4 as a road dog. Look for Minnesota to serve up some revenge here at home today. On Sunday we have our 2020 7* Playoff Game of the Year headlining and a top rated 6* in the Other game. In the NBA the lead play is a late 5* Perfect system database side. See us on facebook to jump on. For the Free NCAAB Play. Make it Minnesota. Rob V- GC Sports

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overunderexpert

Times PT
NBA 3 PM #547
Atlanta Brooklyn
UNDER 230.5 -110
Line at 5 Dimes 244 AM

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King Creole

5* GOY Seattle/Green Bay Over 47.5

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BEN BURNS | NFL SIDE SUN, 01/12/20 - 6:40 PM
308 GBP -3.5 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 307 SEA
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on GREEN BAY. I have a lot of respect for Russell Wilson. Pete Carroll, too. However, I expect their season to come to an end on Sunday. The Hawks lost a heartbreaker vs the 49ers two weeks ago, a game that came down to the final play. Last week, they left in all on the field, at Philly. Playing back-to-back road games can be tough. While they were giving it everything they had, the Pack were resting. That extra rest, combined with homefield advantage, will prove the difference here. The Pack were 7-1 at home (5-0 L5) this season and six of those seven wins, including each of the past four, came by more than four points. The Hawks defense came up big last week, holding the Eagles (minus Carson Wentz for most of it) to nine points. They're only 4-8 ATS the past dozen times that they allowed 14 or fewer points in their previous game though. The Pack are 9-4 ATS (12-1 SU) the past 13 times that they were home favorites of seven or less. Expect them to improve on those stats Sunday.

BEN BURNS | NFL TOTAL SUN, 01/12/20 - 3:05 PM
306 KAN / 305 HOU Over 28.0 Sportsbook.ag
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on Houston/KC OVER the total for the first half. When these teams met in October, the O/U line was 54.5. They combined for 55. A closer look shows that a whopping 40 of those points came in the first half. (The previous meeting saw them combine for 76 points but that was in 2017.) I expect both teams to come out swinging once again this weekend. While the Texans got off a slow start last week, that was against a very stingy Bills' defense. I won with the 'under' in that one. The Texans know they can't afford to dig themselves another big hole like that here. Facing a considerably less dominant defense, I expect them to put up a lot more first half points. Of course, the Chiefs will be doing the same. The Chiefs average more than 28 ppg, including an average of 16.7 points in the first half. While the Texans averaged only 9.6 points in the first half, that number climbs to 11.6 on the road. Look for a quick start, the first half score finishing above the number.
NOTE: This is a FIRST HALF PLAY on the OVER 24 -120.

BEN BURNS | NHL MONEY LINE SUN, 01/12/20 - 4:08 PM
54 MIN (-159) Sportsbook.ag vs 53 VAN
double-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Wild are well-rested, the Canucks are playing their second game in two days and their third in the past four. Off b2b losses, the Wild are going to be hungry. They've taken b2b meetings and three of the last four (all last season) against Vancouver. The last meeting here, the Wild were laying -250 and they won 6-2. Needless to say, we're getting a far more reasonable price here. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Wild to bounce back and improve to 6-2 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game.

BEN BURNS | NBA SIDES SUN, 01/12/20 - 6:05 PM
547 ATL 7.5 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 548 Brooklyn
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
I'm playing on ATLANTA. Off three straight losses and playing with "double-revenge," I expect the Hawks to be a highly motivated team today. Note that they lost by 10 last time but that all five of their previous games (2 W, 3 L) were decided by single-digits. Also, note that they're 4-1 ATS the past five times that they were off an upset loss, by double-digits, in a game where they were favored. The Nets are only 7-12 ATS as favroites overall, 4-8 ATS as home favorites. They're also only 2-8 ATS after scoring 115 or more in their previous game. Grab the points.

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Lee Sterling
35 GB
30 KC
25 under GB

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Scott Spreitzer

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7-Unit Play: Take 305-306 Over 51 Texans-Chiefs (3:05 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 12)

I'm playing the Over between the Texans & Chiefs on Sunday. Houston was quite fortunate they played against a pedestrian offense last week or they wouldn't be here in all likelihood. The Texans secondary is a mess, ranks 26th in the NFL in pass defense, and now face arguably the best passing QB in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes. KC's speed at WR should make for more than a few openings downfield. KC averaged over 28 ppg on the season and had last week off to prep and by now most have heard about Andy Reid's phenomenal record off a bye. The teams combined for 55 points in this season's earlier meeting and 76 points in a 2017 meeting. There were 55 combined first downs in this year's contest and while KC put 24 points on the board, Patrick Mahomes wasn't healthy. He is now. The total in that game was 54.5, so the adjustment is in our favor. We expect Houston to score enough to help this one top the total. I'm playing the Over between the Texans & Chiefs on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

3-Unit Play: Take 307/308 Under 47 Seahawks/Packers (6:40 p.m., Sunday, Jan. 12)

I'm playing the Under between the Seahawks & Packers on Sunday. Green Bay has seen 7 of their last 8 games stay under the posted total. Both teams are overrated, just checkout Seattle's yards per play and yards per play allowed, along with Green Bay's yards gained and yards allowed combined (11th of 12 playoff teams). Green Bay can also move the football on the ground which has meant less reliance on Aaron Rodgers having to create through the air. His QB rating is 19th in the NFL. Meanwhile, Seattle's offensive line and RB position are banged-up. Seattle gained just 16 first downs in last week's 17-9 win over Philly, and the running game was non-existent. The Pete Carroll-led Seahawks have averaged 21.1 ppg and allowed 18.7 ppg in their last 68 NFC road games. Meanwhile, the Packers and their last 8 opponents have produced an average of 38.9 ppg scored. I'm playing the Under between the Seahawks & Packers on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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PPP/Joe Gavazzi

4% Kansas City -9 1/2
3% Seattle +4 1/2

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Mike Tierney

UTAH +9.5
UTAH @ COLORADO | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:50 PM
With one of the youngest rosters in Division I, Utah is growing up fast. The Utes have won five of their last seven, with both setbacks dealt by ranked opponents. Only one Pac-12 team boasts a higher scoring average than their 78.3 points per game. The Buffaloes wield a distinct home-court advantage in part because of Boulder’s high altitude, but the conditions in Salt Lake City are not dissimilar. Take the points.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
12-2-1 IN LAST 15 UTAH ATS PICKS | +985

2-1 IN LAST 3 COLO ATS PICKS | +95

MINNESOTA -2
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:30 PM
Michigan has yet to cover in three road games, largely because of horrendous 3-point shooting. It appears as if the Wolverines long-distance sharpshooter, guard Isaiah Livers (13.6 ppg), will sit out another with an ailing groin. The Golden Gophers’ 8-7 straight-up record is misleading; their schedule to date is the sixth toughest in D-1. They have covered in eight of the last 11 home gigs.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
4-0 IN LAST 4 MINN ATS PICKS | +400

MICHIGAN ST. -3
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 7:28 PM
The Spartans float into Purdue on an eight-game straight-up win streak, the last five with ATS wins. The Boilermakers are 1-3-1 in the same stretch. The home side last covered as an underdog seven games ago. Purdue center Matt Haarms is expected to play, but a bum hip against the board-pounding Spartans puts him in an unenviable spot. Senior guard Cassius Winston will be driven to deliver MSU’s first outright victory in his career at Purdue.

4-3 IN LAST 7 CBB PICKS | +65
3-0 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +300

6-4-1 IN LAST 11 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +154

GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:25 AM
Seattle has gotten this far behind the ingenuity of quarterback Russell Wilson -- and not much else. The Seahawks ranked 21st in points allowed for the regular season, and its running back corps has been ravaged by injuries. The recent return of prodigal son Marshawn Lynch has mattered little. The Packers’ defensive front should impose its will on Seattle’s offensive line. That will put pressure on Wilson -- who is 0-3 at Lambeau Field and endured his worst career game there with five picks -- to make magic. Frigid temperatures will add to the home advantage of the Packers, who have covered in five of the last six postseason gigs. Go with Green Bay.

61-34-5 IN LAST 100 NFL PICKS | +2361
14-5-1 IN LAST 20 SEA ATS PICKS | +844

9-3 IN LAST 12 GB ATS PICKS | +562

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Emory Hunt

GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
It's the divisional round of the NFL Playoffs, and I'm still trying to figure out what to expect from the Packers on offense. I think it's safe to say that they are capable of running away with this game against Seattle based off their personnel. I'll give even more credit to the Packers defense in this one; I like their ability at all three levels. Take Green Bay.

63-41 IN LAST 104 NFL ATS PICKS | +1750
11-5 IN LAST 16 SEA ATS PICKS | +546

HOUSTON +9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
FRI 1/10
Yes, the Chiefs defense is playing much better than what we saw from them in the first matchup with the Texans. We'll see if Will Fuller plays for Houston in this game, as he can make a huge difference in the outcome. Regardless though, I think Houston's vertical attack style on offense, in conjunction with QB Deshaun Watson, makes this a tighter game than the line indicates. Take the Texans.

63-41 IN LAST 104 NFL ATS PICKS | +1750
17-9 IN LAST 26 KC ATS PICKS | +728

5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +389

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Bill Marzano

GREEN BAY -4.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
The Seahawks have been road warriors this year however, this game is being played on the frozen tundra in Green Bay where Aaron Rodgers has completely dominated opponents. Meanwhile Russell Wilson has struggled in these kinds of temperatures and weather conditions. Seattle is facing a tough task with back-to-back road playoff games against a rested Packers team that is healthy. And the Seahawks are 0-5-1 ATS in the last six meetings at Lambeau. The Packers are the play.

7-0 IN LAST 7 NFL PICKS | +700
3-0-1 IN LAST 4 SEA ATS PICKS | +300

2-1 IN LAST 3 GB ATS PICKS | +100

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Zack Cimini

MEMPHIS -3.5
MEMPHIS @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 1/12 | 4:00 PM EST
10:26 AM
Consecutive losses to Georgia and Wichita State have featured ATS letdowns for this young Memphis team, which will be playing its second straight on the road. An excelling offense versus South Florida should give the Tigers an advantage against South Florida. Grab Memphis.

MICHIGAN +1.5
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
10:20 AM
Michigan needed double-overtime against Purdue on Thursday to avoid losing for the fifth time over an eight-game stretch. Look for that effort to carry over into this matchup against Minnesota as the Wolverines end their three-game road losing streak.

6-3 IN LAST 9 MICH ATS PICKS | +273