Service Plays Sunday 1/12/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allegheny Analysis regular play KC Cheifs

[FATMANWINS]

ats
10 chiefs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sharp Plays

Today’s Selections –
I am going to have another update at 5:30pm ET for the late game and any evening action in other sports. To start the day I am advising a 0.50 unit play on Siena -2 over Manhattan and 0.35 units on UConn +2.5 over Wichita St. Currently both Siena and UConn achieve an LJP scores of 3. The Siena game is from our friend and I am seeing good sharp backing for it. The UConn play is a major LJP move since the open (Wichita St 3) so I’ll give the angle a shot. It’s essentially pizza money and these wild moves have been strong.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK

WED 1/8
KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
The Texans are by far the worst team left in the playoff field, per weighted DVOA, while the Chiefs are the second-best behind Baltimore. The Chiefs' biggest advantage comes in the passing game, where they should be able to throw it all over Houston and run up a double-digit lead if they get any help from their defense. And I expect that to happen, as the Chiefs defense has been playing really well of late, particularly after their Week 12 bye. The Texans went into Kansas City and won earlier this year, and I can't see them taking the Chiefs by surprise a second time. I'll lay as many points as you want here.

11-6 IN LAST 17 NFL ATS PICKS | +443
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +200

2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +91

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Doyle

UNDER 139.5
UTAH @ COLORADO | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
11:02 AM
Tad Boyle’s Colorado team locks down defensively as it only allows 61 points per contest. Utah will not be able to speed up the game against the Buffaloes. The Utes have been held under 65 points in three of their last five outings.

10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
MINNESOTA -1
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
10:56 AM
Michigan has split its last six contests following a fantastic start to the season. The Golden Gophers are 9-5 ATS and need a resume-building victory. It's tough to win on the road in Big 10 Conference. Roll on coach Richard Pitino’s Minnesota squad.

10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
SOUTH FLORIDA +151
MEMPHIS @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 1/12 | 4:00 PM EST
10:50 AM
Penny Hardaway’s Memphis squad is young, fragile and is coming off back-to-back losses. South Florida trounced Connecticut by 15 points last weekend to extend its home winning streak to six games. Expect the Bulls to make it seven in a row here.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB ML PICKS | +490
WICHITA ST. -2.5
WICHITA ST. @ CONNECTICUT | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
10:41 AM
Gregg Marshall’s Wichita State team has Final Four capabilities. The Shockers are deep, balanced and defend well. Freshman guard Tyson Etienne is a pleasure to watch.

10-8 IN LAST 18 CBB PICKS | +196
PURDUE +150
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
10:35 AM
Purdue is a totally different team at home. The Boilermakers have won four of their last five meetings with Top-10 teams at Mackey Arena, including two with Michigan State.

4-0 IN LAST 4 CBB ML PICKS | +490

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli

PURDUE +4
MICHIGAN ST. @ PURDUE | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
9:48 AM
If you've been following my college basketball picks, you know what's going on here. A home team in a Big Ten game is a safer investment than most index funds. Plus, Purdue is so much better than its record suggests, and is good enough defensively to frustrate Michigan State. Also, this is only the third true road game Michigan State will have played this season, and Sparty is 0-2 ATS in the first two. Purdue's Mackey Arena is one of the most difficult venues for road teams in the country.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
2-1 IN LAST 3 MICHST ATS PICKS | +86

CONNECTICUT +2
WICHITA ST. @ CONNECTICUT | 1/12 | 12:00 PM EST
9:44 AM
It's not that I don't think Wichita State is good, because it is. I'm just a bit skeptical that it's as good as its record suggests, or the numbers show because the Shockers have played an easy schedule for the most part. On the road against a Huskies team with the size and length to cause them problems, I'll take the home dog.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
SIENA -2
SIENA @ MANHATTAN | 1/12 | 2:00 PM EST
9:42 AM
Manhattan has one of the most horrific offenses in college basketball this season. Perhaps facing Siena will help it a bit, but in this matchup, Siena's offense is nearly 10 points better per 100 possessions than Manhattan's. That's enough to convince me to back the Saints.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
2-1 IN LAST 3 SIENA ATS PICKS | +87

OREGON ST. +4
ARIZONA @ OREGON ST. | 1/12 | 10:00 PM EST
9:39 AM
You don't have to be a genius to know that Arizona is the better team in this game, but Oregon State's offense is good enough to be a problem for the Wildcats, particularly in Corvallis. The concern with the Beavers is their defense, which hasn't been great anywhere, but unsurprisingly, it's been better at home. Perhaps that helps explain why Oregon State is 6-2 ATS at home this season.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87
MINNESOTA -2
MICHIGAN @ MINNESOTA | 1/12 | 1:00 PM EST
9:36 AM
There are a couple of my Etched-In-Stone Principles at play here. The first is that this is a Big Ten game involving a home team, and home teams have always been smart plays in the Big Ten, and this year they're crushing it. Second, we've got an unranked team at home that is favored against a ranked team in conference play. That's almost always an auto-fire for me. I'll take a Gophers team that is 6-2 ATS at home this season.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +87


UNDER 51.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
9:29 AM
As I've mentioned here numerous times in other picks, since Andy Reid took over in Kansas City, the Under has gone 36-17-1 when the Chiefs are favored at home. Now, a battle between Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson changes the calculus a bit, but while the snow is gone, it will still be cold and windy in Arrowhead on Sunday afternoon. This total is just a little too high.

39-29-2 IN LAST 70 NFL PICKS | +722
UNDER 46.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
The Seahawks offense is still banged up beyond recognition and has averaged only 18.6 points per game in its last five. Aaron Rodgers has evolved into nothing more than a glorified game-manager and Aaron Jones has become the focal point of Green Bay's offense. All of that, combined with typical January conditions in Green Bay have me on the Under, as I wouldn't expect this game to be a shootout.

39-29-2 IN LAST 70 NFL PICKS | +722
3-0 IN LAST 3 GB O/U PICKS | +300

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco/Sports Unlimited

4% Over 51 Kansas City/Houston

[king Louie 5th]

Bondi. TIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Bruno-

Pat Mahomes and company (KC Chiefs) get a rematch against the Houston Texans who won at Arrowhead in week 6, but Mahomes was operating on 1 foot then and comes in the extra week to rest.
Texans QB DeShaun Watson, Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson ran wild in the first meeting, but Andy Reid’s defense has allowed 11.5 pts per game over the last 6. KC gives up the run, but they are awesome vs the pass.
Houston can run AND pass, but their D is susceptible to the pass, which Mahomes does especially well on 3rd downs. KC has too much offense and that’s why I’m laying the generous 9 1/2
Sunday 6:40pm “On the Frozen Tundra of Lambeau Field”

Finally, can the road warriors from Seattle keep riding the massive shoulders of Russell Wilson or will the Packers and the Aarons be too much for the defense formerly known as the Legion of Boom?
Aaron Rodgers has seen some tough starts, but when he gets the turbo boost of Aaron Jones and his 19 TD’s, the Pack and Seahawks shapes up as the most competitive game of the weekend (at least on paper and Vegas).
Green Bay has a huge advantage with 3 of the NFL’s top defenders who should frustrate the Seattle O-Line and Wilson all day. Lay the 4 pts on the Pack

[rocky57]

The 'R' Factor (The Swami - NHL) - Best Bet 10 Units Nashville Predators -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

UNDER 46.5
SEATTLE @ GREEN BAY | 1/12 | 6:40 PM EST
FRI 1/10
Even if the weather wasn’t showing 23 degrees by kickoff with a slight chance of snow and 5 mile per hour winds, this would still be a game to bet the Under based on current form. The Seahawks have stayed Under the total in their last three games, which coincides with them losing running back Chris Carson. The Packers have stayed Under in their last four games with an offense that doesn’t wow but gets the job done. I’m on the Under.

23-18 IN LAST 41 NFL O/U PICKS | +318
5-1 IN LAST 6 SEA O/U PICKS | +390

KANSAS CITY -9.5
HOUSTON @ KANSAS CITY | 1/12 | 3:05 PM EST
FRI 1/10
In Week 6 at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs jumped out to a 17-3 first-quarter lead against the Texans and then they just fell flat and lost 31-24. The Texans are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight road games and the Chiefs are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight home playoff games and only 2-10 ATS in their last 12 playoff games overall. However, I love the way the Chiefs regrouped in the second half of the season to win and cover their last six games. I'm backing the Chiefs to get the cover.

7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +363
10-3-1 IN LAST 14 HOU ATS PICKS | +677

13-9 IN LAST 22 KC ATS PICKS | +308

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

11:11 AM
BROOKLYN -7.5
ATLANTA @ BROOKLYN | 1/12 | 6:00 PM EST
Atlanta has lost three straight and 14 of its last 16 as it remains the only team in the Eastern Conference with a single-digit win total (league-low eight). The Nets began their four-game homestand with a pair of encouraging efforts, losing in overtime to Oklahoma City before ending their seven-game slide with a four-point triumph over Miami. Brooklyn has posted two double-digit wins over the Hawks already this season.

46-34-1 IN LAST 81 NBA ATS PICKS | +870
20-6 IN LAST 26 ATL ATS PICKS | +1338

[Duncan]

Up And Up Sports

Green Bay Packers -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ROB VENO

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (305) Houston Texans at (306) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 3:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 51.0 (-110)

View Analysis

Game: (307) Seattle Seahawks at (308) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 6:40 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 46.5 (-110)

View Analysis


BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (823) Wichita State at (824) Connecticut
Date/Time: Jan 12 2020 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 133.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bezobets

PARLAY* NFL: Kansas City Chiefs ML + Green Bay Packers ML @ 1.814/-123 (3 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Michigan ML @ 1.993/-101 (2 Units)
NCAA Basketball: Monmouth +3 @ 1.876/-114 (2 Units)