Service Plays Wednesday 1/22/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michael Rusk

BOSTON COLLEGE +11
BOSTON COLLEGE @ PITTSBURGH | 1/22 | 9:00 PM EST
3:03 PM
This is way too many points for a series that Boston College has owned recently. The Eagles have won two of the last three meetings. With Boston College on a three-game losing streak, there is value on the Eagles. Take the points.

9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +566
OVER 138.5
MEMPHIS @ TULSA | 1/22 | 9:00 PM EST
2:59 PM
This total opened at 132 and should keep going up. The last time Memphis played at Tulsa the score totaled 174. Although the pace of play isn't fast on the Tulsa side, Memphis coach Penny Hardaway will control this tempo and run. His Tigers average 76.8 points per game. The last three matchups between these two teams have averaged more than 144 points. Look for both teams to hit the 70 mark Wednesday night. Take the Over.

9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +566
3-0 IN LAST 3 MEMP O/U PICKS | +300

ST. BONA. +17.5
ST. BONA. @ DAYTON | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:55 PM
This line is outrageous. Just last year the Bonnies almost won outright. St. Bonaventure deserves a lot more respect than this. Sure, Dayton has looked impressive this season, but the Flyers don't win by double digits. This is simply way too many points for an established program like St. Bonaventure. Take the points.

9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +566
MICHIGAN -5
PENN ST. @ MICHIGAN | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:48 PM
Penn State is coming off a season-changing victory against the Buckeyes but now face a battle in one of the most hostile arenas (Crisler Center). Michigan has dominated this matchup and last year beat Penn State by 13 in Ann Arbor. I am seeing a very similar result Wednesday night.

9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +566
3-1 IN LAST 4 PSU ATS PICKS | +189

PHILADELPHIA +7
PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:41 PM
Even without Joel Embiid, the 76ers have way too much talent to be a heavy underdog on the road to the Raptors. Last month the 76ers held their own against the Raptors and won outright. Both teams are on a four-game win streak and are playing good basketball. Look for this game to be close all the way through. Take the points.

27-12-1 IN LAST 40 NBA PICKS | +1392
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS | +88

UNDER 222.5
SACRAMENTO @ DETROIT | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:36 PM
This total is way too high solely on the fact that both of these teams have been on an Over tear in January. The Over has cashed in 16 of these teams' last 20 games. But in the last three matchups between the teams, the total has averaged under 205 points per game. Take the Under.

27-12-1 IN LAST 40 NBA PICKS | +1392

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zack Cimini

UMASS LOWELL +5.5
UMASS LOWELL @ ALBANY | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:05 PM
This marks the fifth road game out of seven for the River Hawks, while Albany is coming off a stretch of six of seven road games. In what may be a sloppy game, look for the road team in UMass Lowell to capitalize ATS.

33-22-2 IN LAST 57 CBB ATS PICKS | +846
NOTRE DAME -4.5
SYRACUSE @ NOTRE DAME | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:02 PM
The Orange have momentum with three straight wins. One turning point for their recent surge was a one-point home loss to Notre Dame. Yet, Irish coach Mike Brey is one of the best coaches at attacking the zone. The extra effort in half-court should hurt Syracuse shooters Elijah Hughes and Buddy Boeheim. Grab the Irish.

33-22-2 IN LAST 57 CBB ATS PICKS | +846
3-0 IN LAST 3 ND ATS PICKS | +300

3-1 IN LAST 4 CUSE ATS PICKS | +195

ATLANTA +4
L.A. CLIPPERS @ ATLANTA | 1/22 | 7:30 PM EST
1:34 PM
The Hawks have shown some momentum ATS, having covered three of their last four games. The Clippers' tendency to rest their star players in back-to-back scenarios could drop this line further. Grab the Hawks as their streaky scoring spurts should get them another cover.

24-13-1 IN LAST 38 NBA ATS PICKS | +970
6-2 IN LAST 8 ATL ATS PICKS | +381

7-5 IN LAST 12 LAC ATS PICKS | +150

ORLANDO -1.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ ORLANDO | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
1:29 PM
After six consecutive road games, the Magic finally return home. While Chris Paul may keep his scoring momentum going, look for his teammates to have some rust on the road as the Thunder have lost three of four against Eastern Conference opponents. Grab the Magic.

24-13-1 IN LAST 38 NBA ATS PICKS | +970
7-0 IN LAST 7 OKC ATS PICKS | +700

5-1 IN LAST 6 ORL ATS PICKS | +389

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gold Sheet Best Bets

NBA Memphis
NCAAM Alabama

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

W. CAROLINA +2
W. CAROLINA @ MERCER | 1/22 | 7:00 PM EST
2:28 PM
After a 4-0 start to conference play, the Catamounts have lost their last two games, but those losses were to teams I have rated higher than Western Carolina. I'm looking for the Catamounts to bounce back against a Mercer team with inferior talent. Though the Bears have won their last two games, those wins have come against the two of the weakest teams in the conference, VMI and Samford. Take Western Carolina.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CBB ATS PICKS | +290

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

SETON HALL -8.5
PROVIDENCE @ SETON HALL | 1/22 | 8:30 PM EST
3:19 PM
Seton Hall's rating has been climbing after every game as they've won their last eight, covering the spread in seven of those. Providence has proven to be scrappy, but the home-court advantage is big here as the Pirates are 7-1 SU and ATS this season while averaging a 76-59 score. They're also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against the Big East. Seton Hall gets the cover.

S. DAK. ST. -1
N. DAK. ST. @ S. DAK. ST. | 1/22 | 8:00 PM EST
3:06 PM
The Jackrabbits are 14-6 ATS and have not lost at home this season (8-1 ATS). Before losing at South Dakota on Sunday, SDSU had won and covered five straight and they’ve also won five straight against NDSU. South Dakota State is the play.

2-0-1 IN LAST 3 NDAKST ATS PICKS | +200

4-2 IN LAST 6 SDAKST ATS PICKS | +190

XAVIER -4
GEORGETOWN @ XAVIER | 1/22 | 6:30 PM EST
2:39 PM
Xavier has been one of the worst cover teams in the nation, going just 4-13-1 ATS. The Muskateers started conference play terribly at 1-4 SU and ATS, and have lost their last three games. They were given a wicked schedule to start Big East play, but now they get a little break with Georgetown. The spread is low just because Xavier is at its lowest rating point of the season. Buy low, sell high. Xavier is the play.

NEW ORLEANS -3.5
SAN ANTONIO @ NEW ORLEANS | 1/22 | 9:30 PM EST
2:00 PM
We finally get a Pelicans squad at full strength Wednesday with the debut of rookie Zion Williamson. But the return of point guard Jrue Holiday is likely just as important. He was back in the lineup Monday in a win at Memphis and dropped 36 points. The Pelicans were already playing at a high level and have covered eight of their last nine. It will be a high-energy night as the Pelicans get the cover.

10-5 IN LAST 15 NBA PICKS | +453
8-3 IN LAST 11 NO ATS PICKS | +478

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

DETROIT +1.5
DETROIT @ MINNESOTA | 1/22 | 8:00 PM EST
1:53 PM
My model says that the Red Wings cover the spread 61 percent of the time, so you're getting good value playing them at this spread. Detroit totaled five goals over the first four contests of its five-game skid but recorded three in a setback at Colorado on Monday. The Wild have yielded four or more tallies in three of their last five contests. Take the Red Wings +1.5 goals at -109.

7-3 IN LAST 10 NHL ATS PICKS | +237
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIN ATS PICKS | +300

2-1 IN LAST 3 DET ATS PICKS | +20

WINNIPEG +1.5
WINNIPEG @ COLUMBUS | 1/22 | 7:30 PM EST
1:47 PM
My model says that the Jets cover the spread 73 percent of the time, so you're getting excellent value playing them at this spread. The key for Winnipeg to end its three-game slide is a good start, as it has been outscored 8-1 in the first period during the skid. Columbus has posted three shutouts and allowed a total of three goals during its five-game winning streak, so it is due for a letdown on the eve of the All-Star break. Take the Jets +1.5 goals at -152.

7-3 IN LAST 10 NHL ATS PICKS | +237
3-0 IN LAST 3 CLB ATS PICKS | +300

KANSAS CITY -1
SAN FRANCISCO @ KANSAS CITY | 2/02 | 6:30 PM EST
MON 1/20
The 49ers have a great defense, but they haven't played an offense like the one they're about to face in Super Bowl 54. On the other side of the ball, Kansas City's run defense is far better now than it was over the first 10 weeks. I'm projecting K.C. to score in the high 20s and prevail in an entertaining Super Bowl.

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +390
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ATS PICKS | +90

3-2 IN LAST 5 KC ATS PICKS | +84

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Winning Sports Plays - J.R. Stevens
CBB: [788] Michigan -4
CBB: [800] Rhode Island -3
NBA: [543] Memphis +7

Winning Sports Plays - Britney DeLuca
CBB: [808] Evansville Over 132
CBB: [816] Chattanooga Over 152
NBA: [550] Chicago Over 220

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK NBA

BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (531) Sacramento Kings at (532) Detroit Pistons
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Sacramento Kings -110

View Analysis

Bazemore will make his debut tonight for the Kings offense on the road in the motor city...Bjelica was thought to have an issue but will also be a go as the Kings get a break (despite away) from the murderers row of opponents they've faced over the past several weeks...Bucks, Mavs, Jazz, Heat...but no back to backs and looked great on the road in a tight OT loss AT Miami.
Bagley gets better with each game in a full load with Holmes still out, Hield and Bjelica are dangerous from deep and playing well as Fox runs the up tempo offense adding great 2 way fast paced piece Kent Bazemore. He will fit with the Luke Walton/Deaaron Fox running mojo in a much better fashion.
On the flip side we have Detroit...who will imminently be unloading integral parts of their roster: DRose a certainty, Morrus/Galloway likely, and Drummond if anyone will do them a solid and take that stuff on their roster.
Drummond should play tonight despite the facial damage he took losing a tooth and his cool in a terrible loss to the Wizards. Key to me here is just in time for my favorite play and wrong team favored side is the announcement Reggie Jackson will return tonight...albeit limited to disrupt the flow they did have after missing every game since 10/24.
We have the "better" team who melds better together and healthy...playing well despite losses and an addition I like for this game...facing a team who could be working to trade key players up until tip off and adding a huge negative piece right off the bat in Jackson.
I liked the Kings to win this game if Vegas were to favor them...but this +1/pickem stuff is the stuff of basically 5% plays!

Game: (533) Oklahoma City Thunder at (534) Orlando Magic
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.5 (-107)

View Analysis

Thunder have 3 great guards and Gallo all that can cut your throat out if you're not an offensively good or even solid team...which is probably where we can place the Magic when they are sans Augustin and everything is reliant upon Fournier and Gordon/Vucevic. Thunder are 8-0 off a win as a road dog the last 2 months...and won 6 of those 8 games outright...which is what I have them doing again tonight. They played the Rockets with basically 0 big men as Noel and Adams were basically out...Adams played 2 minutes. Muscala was the big man and each of the 4 mentioned went nuts on the offensive end. The D of SGA and Paul is going to be trouble for Clifford and the spot the Magic are in off a long roadie is just 2 of the last 6 ATS and that doesn't even take into account how much Vegas is telling us this is a pickem type game!
Thunder for the W...hopefully with Noel in the lineup!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco

5% Davidson -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW MCINNIS NHL

HOCKEY PLAYS

NHL 2-Game Slate Top Play
Game: (23) Winnipeg Jets at (24) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:38 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-115)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Greg Shaker

857 UNLV - 858 Nevada OVER 146.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANDREW MCINNIS BASKETBALL PLAYS

NBA Total Play
Game: (531) Sacramento Kings at (532) Detroit Pistons
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Under 223.0 (-108)

View Analysis
NBA Side Play
Game: (537) Los Angeles Lakers at (538) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Los Angeles Lakers -11.0 (-110)

View Analysis
NBA Total Play
Game: (541) Los Angeles Clippers at (542) Atlanta Hawks
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Under 235.5 (-110)

View Analysis
NBA Side Play
Game: (551) Indiana Pacers at (552) Phoenix Suns
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 9:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Indiana Pacers -110

View Analysis

This is a great bounce back spot for the Indiana Pacers, who suffered their worst loss of the season in Utah Monday night. The Pacers have been excellent this month. Indiana is 4-1 ATS their last 5 road games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following a loss. And after that embarrassing performance on Monday I know Indiana will be eager to take the court. Indiana is more known as a defensive team, as they are elite but they can also score. The Pacers rank top 5 in 3PT% and FG%. This is a very well coached, disciplined team that plays the correct way. Unlike Phoenix, who play very selfish basketball with no team defense at all. The Pacers will be finding that 3ball that they love all game. I love the fact that Indiana will be able to put Malcom Brogdon on Devin Booker, one of the best defenders/2-way players in the game. Booker has put this team on his back as of late, if he has a bad game then the team usually has a bad game. Indianas 8th ranked defense will definitely play a lot better than last game, as coach McMillan emphasized. This offense is very underrated too. They may not score a ton because they play at an extremely slow pace but their percentages and numbers are elite and can go head to head with any offense in the NBA. The entire roster can shoot threes. Pacers have won the last 5 games vs Phoenix and will continue that trend tonight. Pacers all day.

NBA Side Play
Game: (553) Utah Jazz at (554) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 10:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Utah Jazz -8.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DR. CHUCK NHL

HOCKEY PLAYS

Game: (23) Winnipeg Jets at (24) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 7:38 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Columbus Blue Jackets -185

View Analysis

Parlay the Blue Jackets behind Elvis to go into the break playing as well as they have been with a solid W....with the Wild doing the same against the Red Wings at home who have NOTHING to play for and seem to get worst as the periods go on each and every night!

Game: (25) Detroit Red Wings at (26) Minnesota Wild
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 8:08 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Wild -270

View Analysis

Please only parlay this Winner with the BJs tonight as neither warrants the value of a full play but together each should garner solid wins at home and a little over a 1 to 1 payout on the double winners!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS BASKETBALL PLAYS

Game: (549) Minnesota T\\\\\\\'wolves at (550) Chicago Bulls
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 8:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Chicago Bulls 1.0 (-108)

View Analysis

3% Take Chicago (#550)
Minnesota has no business as road chalk against ANYBODY right now; lacking both confidence and chemistry. The T-Wolves are mired in another long losing streak, despite the return of Karl Anthony Towns back into the lineup following an extended absence. They’ve won a grand total of TWO road games since the beginning of December: by one point in OT at Sacramento and a beatdown of the hapless Cavaliers; 2-11 SU on the highway in their last 13 tries. And yet the betting markets continue to ‘like’ the T-Wolves despite a money burning 8-16-1 ATS mark in their last 25 games.
The Bulls have won their last two home games and they’re coming off a spread covering, closer than expected loss at Milwaukee. That was a wire-to-wire cover despite a 29% shooting performance from three point range. Head Coach Jim Boylan, following the defeat: "We just keep fighting and scrapping. If we have a normal shooting night from the 3, it's a different outcome." Coming off a game in which leading scorers Zack LaVine and Lauri Markkanen combined to hit just 9-30 from the floor (2-15 from three point range), it’s a prime bounceback spot for a home dog that should be the favorite this evening. Take the Bulls.
Line Parameter: 3% at pk or if the Bulls are underdogs, 2% if Chicago goes off as the favorite.
Game: (545) San Antonio Spurs at (546) New Orleans Pelicans
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 9:30 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Antonio Spurs 3.5 (-108)

View Analysis

3% Take San Antonio (#545)
Zion Williamson will make the New Orleans Pelicans better over the long term. But their first game with Zion in the lineup is not likely to be a thing of beauty. This is most assuredly NOT a bet-on quote from head coach Alvin Gentry – I bolded the key points:
"It's going to be a circus and everyone knows that. What we have to do is focus on the task at hand and that is playing a really good San Antonio team…..I think the big thing for us is we just need to get him out there so all of this goes away and then we can just start to figure out rotations and how we are going to play and things we are going to do."
The Pelicans aren’t used to playing big ‘media event’ games – the circus atmosphere isn’t going to help them one iota. And Gentry was 100% correct talking about STARTING to figure out rotations and minutes. In the short term, for at least a game or two, Zion’s return has the legitimate potential to cool off a hot team; 11-5 SU and 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games following their 13 game skid.
The Spurs aren’t pushovers, and they’ve been excellent underdogs of late, beating the Suns (+4.5), Heat (+1), Raptors (+5), Celtics (+7) and Bucks (+8) in SU fashion over the last 2+ weeks; three of those wins coming on the highway. No surprise here if San Antonio wins this game in SU fashion as well. Take the Spurs.
Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2% at +2.5 or lower

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TEDDY COVERS NCAAB

Game: (829) North Carolina at (830) Virginia Tech
Date/Time: Jan 22 2020 8:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Virginia Tech -6.5 (-111)

View Analysis

3% Take Virginia Tech (#830)

Make no mistake about it – the Tar Heels are a train wreck right now, worth betting against at any reasonable opportunity. This has happened before at North Carolina; an 8-20 season (4-12 in the ACC) under Matt Doherty back in 2002. It’s happened in the Roy Williams era, missing the Big Dance following a 5-11 ACC campaign in 2010. And it’s happening again here in 2020
The Tar Heels are 8-9 SU, 4-13 ATS. They’re in LAST PLACE in the ACC, in the midst of a four game losing streak, all against lesser ACC foes. Their only pointspread cover on the road all year came at Gonzaga, where a 20+ point deficit turned into a 13 point loss at +14 after the Zags dribbled out the clock on multiple possessions down the stretch. They’ve been besieged by injuries to their best players, and Roy Williams doesn’t have answers (“I’ve never coached a team when I started four different point guards in a season.”)
Virginia Tech beat North Carolina by double digits on the Tar Heels last visit to Blacksburg. And Hokies first year head coach Mike Young has a young team with four frosh and two redshirt frosh getting consistent minutes in his rotation. But those frosh are stepping up, most notably Landers Nolley who has won ‘ACC Frosh of the Week’ five times already this season; currently the 3rd leading scorer in the conference. Cheap price to lay with the better & hotter team. Take Virginia Tech.
Line Parameter: 3% at -7 or lower, 2% at -7.5 or higher