Thursday 2-6-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NFL
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College Basketball
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NBA
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NHL
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Matt Fargo

Feb 06 '20, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | James Madison vs Drexel
Play on: Drexel -6 -108 at pinnacle

Drexel is coming off a trio of losses on the road to fall to 5-5 in the CAA and the Dragons return home for the first time since Jan. 18. They are now 1-9 on the road but 9-2 at home including four straight wins. They are outscoring opponents by nearly 10 ppg at home and the defense has led the way overall. Last season, Drexel held just three opponents to under 40 percent shooting in a game. This year, it has already held seven opponents to under 40 percent. The Dragons now have a 6-1 record when keeping teams under 40 percent and this is good news considering James Madison is shooting just 37.5 percent on the road. The Dukes are coming off a win over UNC-Wilmington on Saturday to snap a seven-game losing streak. They are just 3-7 on the road and James Madison is just 2-10 ATS this season as an underdog. Play (624) Drexel Dragons

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Hunter Price

Feb 06 '20, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs Wichita State
Play on: Wichita State -4 -110 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Wichita State -4 -110

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Jimmy Boyd

Feb 06 '20, 7:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Hampton vs High Point
Play on: UNDER 150 -109

1* Free Pick on Hampton/High Point under 150 -109

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Will Rogers

Feb 06 '20, 7:08 PM in 10h
NHL | Red Wings vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres -1½ +113 at pinnacle

The set-up: The Sabres enter hungry for a win here. Buffalo is 23-23-6-1 and 15-9-2-1 at home, but it comes in having lost four of its last five, including a humbling 6-1 defeat at home to Colorado last time out. But here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as Detroit enters having lost nine in a row. These teams met in mid January and the Sabres smashed the Wings 5-1 and with another tough game tomorrow night in Columbus, I believe Detroit is poised for another big letdown here this evening.
The pick: Additionally note that the Wings are just 2-7 in their last nine road games after back to back shut-out losses (1-0 to the Rangers and 3-0 to Philly), while Buffalo is 10-4 in its last 14 home games following a five goals or higher loss in its previous outing. With a game tomorrow night at the Rangers, I believe the Sabres risk life and limb today to try and get back into the winners circle. Consider the home side here.
1* FREE PLAY on the Buffalo Sabres PUCK-LINE.

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Bobby Conn

Feb 06 '20, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Georgia Southern vs Louisiana-Monroe
Play on: Georgia Southern -6½ -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Georgia Southern -6½ -109

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Rob Vinciletti

Feb 06 '20, 8:05 PM in 11h
NBA | 76ers vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks -9 -106 at pinnacle

The NBA Comp play is on Milwaukee at 8:05 eastern. The Bucks are in a nice revenge spot here tonight in this game against Philadelphia who has failed to cover the last 6 when they lose as a road dog. The Bucks are 13-4 ats if they won 2 of the last 3 and fit a nice 78% system here tonight. Look for the Bucks to serve up revenge. For the NBA Free play. Make it Milwaukee. RV- GC Sports

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Steve Janus

Feb 06 '20, 9:38 PM in 13h
NHL | Sharks vs Oilers
Play on: UNDER 6½ -108

1* Free Sharp Play on Sharks vs Oilers under 6½ -108

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Brad Diamond

Feb 06 '20, 10:15 PM in 13h
Soccer | Monarcas Morelia vs Club Atlas
Play on: Club Atlas +158 at 5Dimes

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Thursday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

This Thursday night’s college basketball betting board is highlighted by a pair of matchups in the Pac-12 featuring two of the conference’s three teams ranked in the latest AP Top 25.

The first game sends the California Golden Bears to Bolder to square off against the No. 24 Colorado Buffaloes. Later that night, the USC Trojans will be on the road for a matchup against the No. 23 Arizona Wildcats.

California Golden Bears at No. 24 Colorado Buffaloes
(Pac-12 Network, 8 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Colorado -17, Total 127.5

Betting Matchup

California recently earned a straight-up split against the state of Oregon on its home court by losing to the Ducks 77-72 ahead of Saturday’s tight 69-67 victory against Oregon State. The Golden Bears covered as underdogs in each game to improve to 5-2 against the spread over their last seven games. They are 4-4 SU in Pac-12 play and 10-11 SU (9-12 ATS) overall. The total went OVER in those last two games.

Cal’s leading scorer this season is Matt Bradley with 17.9 points per game. The sophomore guard has scored a combined 48 points in his last two starts.

Colorado is a half game in back of Oregon for the lead in the Pac-12 at 6-3 (SU and ATS). It followed up a 72-68 road loss to UCLA as a 4 ½-point favorite with Saturday’s 78-57 road rout of USC as a slight 1 ½-point underdog. The Buffaloes (17-5 SU, 11-10-1 ATS) are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four games with the total going OVER in four of their last six outings.

Tyler Bey had the hot hand against USC with 16 points. Junior guard McKinley Wright IV (13.4 points) added 12 points and eight assists to the winning cause as the team’s leading scorer this season.

Betting Trends

-- The Golden Bears are 0-5 ATS this season on the road and they are 5-10 ATS in 15 games closing as underdogs.

-- The Buffaloes have won their last three home games both SU and ATS. They are 6-5-1 ATS at home on the year. The total has gone OVER in eight of their last nine home games.

-- Colorado has won the last four meetings SU but the series is tied 2-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 10 games between the two.


USC Trojans at No. 23 Arizona Wildcats
(ESPN2, 9 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Arizona -10, Total 139.5

Betting Matchup

With Saturday’s loss to Colorado, the Trojans (17-5 SU, 12-10 ATS) fall to 6-3 SU and ATS in the conference. This loss followed a 56-52 victory against Utah on Jan. 30 as eight-point home favorites. The total has stayed UNDER in their last three games with an average of 62.7 PPG. On the year, USC is averaging 72.3 point a game with a trio of players scoring at least 11 PPG.

The Trojans are shooting 43.9 percent from the field and 34.9 percent from three point range. Defensively, they are giving up an average of 67.2 PPG.

Arizona (15-6 SU, 12-9 ATS) is also in the mix for the Pac-12 regular season title at 5-3 SU in the current standings. The Wildcats are 4-1 both SU and ATS in their last five games after knocking off Washington State 66-49 on Saturday as 8 ½-point road favorites. They beat Washington on the road 75-72 to barely cover the two-point closing spread in their previous game.

The total has stayed UNDER in three of Arizona’s last four contests. Three players scored in double figures in Saturday’s win led by Stone Gettings’ 19 points. The Wildcats are averaging 79.8 PPG.

Betting Trends

-- The Trojans have covered in six of their seven road games this season. They are 5-2 ATS in seven games closing as underdogs.

-- The Wildcats are 10-1 SU in 11 previous home games while going 9-2 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games at home as favorites.

-- Arizona has a SU 7-3 record in its last 10 games against USC with the slight 6-4 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six meetings.

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 6

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NCAAB

Thursday, February 6

Charleston lost 67-56 at Wm & Mary Jan 11; home side won last seven series games. Tribe lost last three visits to Charleston, by 10-5-15 points. W&M lost three of last five games after starting CAA play 6-0; Tribe is 4-1 on CAA road, but this is their first road game in 19 days- they scored 60 or fewer points in four of last five games. Charleston won three of its last four games, is 8-3 in CAA, but they lost two of their last three home games. These two teams are in a 3-way tie with Hofstra for first place in CAA. CAA home favorites of 6+ points are 12-7-1 ATS.

Tulsa upset UConn 79-75 in Hartford Jan 26, outscoring Huskies 24-12 on foul line, their fifth straight win over UConn, all by 6 or fewer points. Underdogs covered five of last seven series games. UConn lost seven of its last nine games after a a 9-3 start; they’re 2-6 in ACC, with last five losses all by 7 or fewer points. Tulsa won its last six games, since a 75-44 loss at Cincinnati; they’re 7-1 in AAC, holding opponents to 22.8% on arc. Tulsa is a strong defensive team; their eFG% defense is #31 in country. AAC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 6-7 ATS.

Cincinnati won six of its last seven games after an 8-6 start; Bearcats are 7-2 in AAC, 2-2 on road, losing at Tulane/Memphis. AAC teams are shooting 40.7% inside arc vs Cincy. Wichita State lost three of its last five games after a 15-1 start; Shockers 5-3 in AAC, 3-1 at home, with only loss to Houston. Wichita’s eFG% defense is #10 in country; they struggle on offense. Cincy won its last four games with Wichita, winning its last two visits here, by 1-11 points. Underdogs covered four of last five series games. AAC home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 6-7 ATS.

Belmont lost 85-75 at Murray State two weeks ago; Racers made 12-21 on arc, outscored Belmont 19-5 on foul line. Belmont is 5-3 in last eight series games, winning last three meetings here, by 1-8-7 points; Murray beat them in last two OVC tourneys. Murray is 10-0 in OVC, 4-0 on road; this is their first road game in 19 years. Racers have made 40.9% of their 3’s in OVC games. Belmont is 7-3 in OVC, 3-1 at home; Bruins are shooting 35.7% on arc, getting 38% of their points on the arc. OVC home favorites of 6 or fewer points are 8-5 ATS.

Austin Peay made 14-28 on arc, scored 1.43 ppp in its 99-74 rout of Tennessee State two weeks ago; teams split last six series games. Governors lost two of last three visits here. AP is 10-0 in OVC, 4-0 on road, with one win by fewer than 11 points; Governors have made 42.4% of their 3’s in OVC games, are grabbing 33.5% of their missed shots. TSU is 6-4 in OVC, 3-1 at home, with only loss by 4 to EKU; Tigers are turning ball over 23.6% of time (#345), but are making 36.6% of their 3’s (#42). OVC road favorites of 4 or fewer points are 3-4-2 ATS.

USC won 11 of its last 14 games; they’re 6-3 in Pac-12, 3-2 on road- two of their last three losses were by 21+ points. Trojans are turning ball over 21.2% of time in Pac-12 games, are shooting only 45.5% inside arc. Arizona won four of its last five games, is 5-3 in Pac-12, winning last two road games, after losing first three. USC swept Arizona LY, by 23-13 points, after losing seven of previous eight series games. Trojans lost their last nine visits to Tucson, with five of last six losses there by 13+ points. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 7-2 ATS.

Home side won last five Western Kentucky-Louisiana Tech games; Bulldogs lost their last two visits to WKU, by 1-6 points. Tech won four in row, 10 of last 12 games; they’re 8-2 in C-USA, 4-1 on road, with lone loss at UTSA. Bulldogs are #33 experience team that forces turnovers 21.4% of time (#63). Hilltoppers lost their last two games, are 7-3 in C-USA, 5-0 at home, with three wins by 7 or fewer points. WKU is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time in conference games, best in league. C-USA favorites 2 or fewer points are 10-2-1 ATS this season.

Montana scored 1.22 ppp, whacked Eastern Washington 90-63 in Cheney Jan 9, their 4th win in last five series games. Teams split their last six meetings in Missoula. Underdogs are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight series games. EWU won its last six games, is 8-2 in Big Sky, 5-1 on road, with only loss by 6 at Idaho State. Three of Eagles’ last four wins were by 5 or fewer points. Montana is 8-3 in Big Sky, 5-0 at home, with three wins by 7 or fewer points; they’ve made 40.2% of their 3’s in conference games. Big Sky home favorites of 3 or fewer points are 2-5 ATS.

Santa Barbara was 2-15 on arc in its 70-63 loss at Hawai’i Jan 18; both teams shot 57%+ inside arc for game. Home side won six of last seven series games; Rainbows lost their last three visits to Thunderdome, by 2-2-18 points. Hawai’i won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-1 in Big West, losing by 14 at Cal-Irvine, winning their other road game at Fullerton.UCSB lost four of its last six games after a 10-4 start; Gauchos are 3-4 in Big West, losing two of three home games. Big West home favorites of 5 or fewer points are 2-6 ATS this season.

Pepperdine made 11-24 on arc, won 90-86 in OT at Santa Clara two weeks ago; Broncos were only 9-31 on arc. Santa Clara won six of last eight series games; they won their last three visits to Malibu, by 14-14-8. Broncos split last eight games overall; they’re 5-4 in WCC, 3-2 on road, are experience team #308 that is 16-6 vs schedule #285. Pepperdine won five of last seven games; they’re 5-4 in WCC, splitting four home games. Waves’ eFG% defense is #331 in country. WCC home favorites of 4 or fewer points are 2-4 ATS.

Stanford lost three of its last four games after a 15-2 start; Cardinal is 5-3 in Pac-12, 1-2 on road, with lone win at UCLA. Stanford’s eFG% defense is #13 in country. Utah lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 in Pac-12, but 3-1 at home, with lone loss by 5 to Oregon. Utah won its last three games with Stanford, by 8-15-4 points; underdogs covered four of last six series games. Cardinal lost their last four visits to SLC, by 16-22-8-15 points. Pac-12 home teams are 9-7 ATS this season., in games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

San Francisco made 10-21 on arc, held on to beat Pacific 79-75 in Stockton Jan 11, after leading by 21 at one point. Dons won seven in row, 13 of last 14 games vs Pacific; Tigers lost their last six visits to USF. Pacific is 5-4 in WCC, 2-2 on road, losing last two away games, by 4 at Santa Clara, 33 at Gonzaga. Tigers are experience team #89 whose subs play #2 minutes in country. USF won five of its last seven games, is 5-4 in WCC, but 0-3 vs Zags/St Mary’s. Dons lost a tough 83-79 home game with Gonzaga Saturday. WCC home favorites of 6+ points are 14-4-1 ATS.

UCLA won four of its last five games after an 8-9 start; they’re 5-4 in Pac-12, splitting four road games, winning at Washington/Oregon State by total of six points. Arizona State won three of its last four games, is 4-4 in Pac-12- their last three games were all decided by 4 or fewer points. Sun Devils’ eFG% is #244 in country. ASU won its last three games with UCLA, by 9-11-11 points; teams split last four meetings to Tucson. Favorites covered four of last five series games. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or fewer points are 10-4 ATS.

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NCAAB

Thursday, February 6

Trend Report

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503NEW ORLEANS -504 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

507SAN ANTONIO -508 PORTLAND
SAN ANTONIO is 31-8 ATS (22.2 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

509HOUSTON -510 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 142-105 ATS (26.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

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NBA

Thursday, February 6

NBA trade deadline is Thursday at 4; late trades could skew tonight’s lineups

Magic-Knicks
Orlando lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-5 ATS in last seven road games. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven road games. Knicks split their last eight games (6-2 ATS); they’re 4-1 ATS in last five home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Magic won five of last six games with the Knicks; they covered three of last four visits to MSG. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Pelicans-Bulls
New Orleans is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 10-3 ATS in last 13 road games. Three of their last four games went over. Chicago lost its last three games, giving up 125.7 ppg; they’re 3-6 ATS in in last nine home games. Bulls’ last five games went over the total.

Pelicans won their last five games with the Bulls; they covered three of last four visits to the Windy City. Three of last four series games went over.

76ers-Bucks
Philly lost its last four road games; they’re 1-10-1 ATS in last dozen road games. Three of their last four games went over. Milwaukee won 16 of its last 18 games; they’re 12-5 ATS in last 17 home games. Bucks’ last six home games went over.

76ers-Bucks split their last eight meetings; Sixers covered once in their last four visits to Milwaukee. Last six series games went over the total.

Spurs-Trailblazers
San Antonio lost five of its last seven games; they’re 9-4 ATS in last 13 road games. Four of their last five road games went over. Portland won four of its last five games; they covered their last three home games. Eight of their last nine games went over.

Spurs-Blazers split their last ten meetings; San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Portland. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Rockets-Lakers
Houston won six of its last eight games; they’re 2-7 ATS in last nine road games. Three of their last four road games went over. Lakers won four of last six games; they’re 5-4 ATS in last nine home games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Rockets lost last two games with the Lakers, after winning seven of previous eight meetings; Houston is 2-2 ATS in last four series games played here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.