Thursday 2-27-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Feb 27 '20, 10:30 AM in 1h
Tennis | Ons Jabeur vs Petra Kvitova
Play on: Ons Jabeur +180 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Ons Jabeur +180

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond

Feb 27 '20, 7:30 PM in 10h
Soccer | Independiente de Nequen vs Fortaleza CE
Play on: Fortaleza CE +116 at 1BetVegas

1* Fortaleza CE over Independiente de Nequen
Free Soccer Move from #1, BDS
Cashed a major ticket on MANCHESTER CITY on Wednesday and looking for more today. We have an afternoon key angle on the grass fields that will once again TAKE HOME THE CASH. GL.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Feb 27 '20, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Illinois vs Northwestern
Play on: Illinois -6 -109 at GTBets

Here's my ticket. Now boarding the Northwestern fade train. The Wildcats have lost 11 in a row going 4-7 ATS during this span with eight of those defeats being by at least nine points. Illinois is 18-9, 10-6 in the Big Ten. The Illini remain in the hunt to win their first regular-season conference title in 15 years. So they shouldn't be taking the Wildcats lightly. Matchup-wise it should be no contest. Illinois leads the Big Ten in rebounding margin while ranking No. 1 in the nation in offensive rebounding. The Illini also hold a strong backcourt edge on Northwestern. I'm surprised this game opened so low. Home teams have been covering at a high rate in the Big Ten. Perhaps that was a reason. But Northwestern is an exception. The Wildcats are 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS during their past nine home games. The Wildcats displayed signs at the beginning of the season that their homecourt isn't going to mean much with losses to Merrimack and Radford. Northwestern has scored 61 or fewer points in six of its last eight games, while giving up an average of 78.7 points in its past four games. Illinois has held its last two opponents, Nebraska and Penn State on the road, to 59 and 56 points, respectively. Mismatch here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Feb 27 '20, 8:00 PM in 11h
NCAA-B | Marshall vs UAB
Play on: Marshall +2 -110 at sportsbook

1* Free Sharp Play on Marshall +2 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Feb 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Kings vs Thunder
Play on: Thunder -6½ -110 at 5Dimes

** Thursday NBA Featured Free play **
The NBA Comp play is on Oklahoma City at 8:00 eastern. The Thunder are rolling and have covered 20 of 27 vs losing teams, 22 of 32 with 1 day of rest and also fit a powerful league wider system that plays on home favorites of less than 10 that scored and allowed 110 or more as a road favorite, vs a team like Sacramento that covered by 7 or more and scored 110 or more as a road favorite. The Kings have failed to cover 11 of 16 with 1 day of rest and 24 of 35 off a win of 10 or more. Look for the thunder to cash. For the free play. Go with Oklahoma City. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 27 '20, 10:35 PM in 13h
NBA | Lakers vs Warriors
Play on: Warriors +13 -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Warriors +13 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Feb 27 '20, 11:00 PM in 14h
NCAA-B | UC-Santa Barbara vs Cal-Riverside
Play on: Cal-Riverside +1 -108 at pinnacle

Play - Cal Riverside (Game 678).
Edges - Highlanders: 5-0 ATS last five games in this series … Gauchos: off revenge win over Cal Davis (1-7 SU after the Aggies, including 0-3 SUATS the last three); and 5-15-3 ATS before facing Cal Irvine … We recommend a 1* play on Cal Riverside. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Thursday's Pac-12 Odds and Betting Preview for Feb. 27, 2020
David Schwab

A late-night doubleheader of Thursday’s college basketball betting action offers a pair of intriguing matchups in the Pac-12.

First up, the Arizona Wildcats will be on the road against the USC Trojans with each team looking for a much needed win. The other pairing renews a long-running rivalry between the Oregon State Beavers and the No. 14 Oregon Ducks in Eugene.

Arizona Wildcats at USC Trojans
(ESPN, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: TBA

Betting Matchup

Arizona dropped out of the national rankings with Saturday’s 73-72 overtime loss to Oregon as a five-point home favorite. It is 6-2 straight-up with a 5-3 record against the spread in its last eight games. The total has gone OVER in the Wildcats’ last two games after staying UNDER in six of their previous eight outings. They are 19-8 SU (15-12 ATS) overall with a 9-5 mark in Pac-12 play.

Arizona is averaging 78.1 points per game with three players scoring at least 12 points a game. The team has a points-allowed average of 65.3.

With five SU losses in their last seven games, the Trojans (19-9 SU, 17-11 ATS) are 8-7 SU in conference play. Sunday’s 79-65 road loss to Utah as one-point underdogs was the first time they failed to cover in their last six games. The total went OVER 136 points in Saturday’s loss after staying UNDER in seven of USC’s previous eight games.

Forward Onyeka Okongwu leads the team with 16.7 points and 8.9 rebounds a game. The Trojans are averaging 71.3 PPG while giving up 67.3 points a game on defense.

Betting Trends

-- The Wildcats are 4-0 both SU and ATS in their last four road games with the total staying UNDER in the last three road games. They are 5-5 SU with a 6-4 record ATS over their last 10 games played on the road.

-- The Trojans have won seven of their last eight home games SU while going 4-2 ATS in the last six. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games at home.

-- Arizona has won seven of the last 10 meetings SU with the recent 85-80 victory at home. The series is tied 5-5 ATS over the last 10 games between the two. The has gone OVER in the last two meetings.


Oregon State Beavers at No. 14 Oregon Ducks
(ESPN2, 11:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Oregon -10, Total 139

Betting Matchup

Oregon State came out on top 63-53 as a 3 ½-point home underdog in the first meeting against the Ducks but it has dropped its last three games SU. The Beavers (15-12 SU and ATS) were able to cover as five-point road underdogs in Saturday’s 74-73 loss to Arizona State. They are 4-7 ATS over their last 11 games with the total going OVER in four of their last seven outings.

Oregon State has lost 10 of 15 Pac-12 games this season SU behind a defense that is allowing 68.1 PPG. Senior forward Tres Tinkle is the leading scorer with 18.2 points a game. He scored 25 points in Saturday’s loss.

The Ducks (10-5) are a half game behind Arizona State for first place in the Pac-12 and 19-8 SU overall. They are an even 3-3 SU over their past six games with three covers in their last four contests. The total has gone OVER in their last three games.

Payton Pritchard scored a career-high 38 points in Saturday’s road upset against Arizona. The senior guard leads the team in scoring this season with 20.1 PPG. Oregon is averaging 75.5 points a game with a trio of players in double figures.

Betting Trends

-- The Beavers have lost five of their last seven road games as underdogs but they have covered in three of their last five road games getting points. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games getting points on the road.

-- The Ducks have a SU 18-game winning streak as home favorites with an even 5-5 record ATS in the last 10 victories. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last eight home games as favorites.

-- Oregon State won the first meeting as part of a 4-1 record SU and ATS in the last five games between the two in-state rivals. The total stayed UNDER in four of those five games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 27

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 27

Charleston lost its last four games after starting season 9-3 in CAA; they’ve lost three of last five home games. Cougars scored 51-55 points in their last two games. Delaware won eight of last ten games but lost two of last three; they’re 10-6 in CAA, winning three of last four road games. This is Blue Hens’ first winning season in CAA since ’14. Delaware went 3-25 on arc in its 75-63 home loss to Charleston Dec 30, after Blue Hens led by 8 early in second half. Charleston won last seven series games; Blue Hens lost their last four visits here, by 1-13-15-13 points.

Hofstra won 75-67 at Towson State Dec 30, after trailing by 12 early in second half. Pride won last five series games, winning last two meetings here, by 5-9 points. Towson lost in double OT here LY. Tigers are 4-3 in last seven games after a 7-0 run; they’re 10-6 in CAA, winning five of last six road games. Towson gives up 35.6% of its points on arc (#42); Hofstra shoots 35.7% on arc (#61). Pride leads CAA by two games; they’ve never won CAA tournament. Hofstra won its last four home games, three of them by 13+ points.

Michigan won its last five games and seven of last eight; they’re 9-7 in Big 14, winning last two home games, by 9-24 points. Wolverines allowed only 58.5 ppg in their last four games; their eFG% defense is #32, without forcing lot of turnovers (#331). Wisconsin scored 74.8 ppg in winning its last four games; they’re 10-6 in conference, losing four of last five road games, with lone win at Nebraska. Badgers get 38.7% of their points on arc (#21). Michigan won four of its last five games with Wisconsin; Badgers lost last two visits to Ann Arbor, by 6-9 points.

Purdue lost its last four games since they made 8-16 on arc, won 74-62 at Indiana Feb 8. Boilers won last six series games, taking last four meetings in Mackey Arena, by 18-16-11-15 points, but they are now 7-10 in Big 14, losing last two home games, to Penn St/Michigan. Boilers #231 experience team that plays a slow (#334) pace- they’re #19 team in country on offensive boards. Indiana won three of last four games since the Purdue loss, beating Iowa/Penn St in last two home games; Hoosiers are 8-8 in conference, are currently on right side of the bubble.

Green Bay/Youngstown State are in a 3-way tie for 3rd place in Horizon; this is a big game as far as seeding in Horizon tourney. Green Bay lost 98-94 in OT at Youngstown Jan 25, blowing an 11-point lead with 8:36 left. Penguins won four of last six series games, losing last two visits to Green Bay, by 18-6 points. Youngstown won four of its last six games; they’re 9-7 in Horizon, their first plus .500 year since 2012. Penguins lost four of last five road games. Green Bay won four of last six games but lost last game in 2OT’s; Phoenix won three of last four at home.

Murray State is in a 3-way tie atop OVC standings; they won their last six games with Eastern Kentucky, winning last four meetings here, by 7-7-12-15 points. Murray split its last six games after starting out 10-0 in OVC; Racers got beat at Eastern Illinois LW, blowing a 27-point lead with 11:45 left to play. Murray starts two frosh, one soph; they’re 7-0 in OVC home games, with six home wins by 10+. Murray is shooting 36.5% on arc (#38). EKU is mostly set as the #4 seed in OVC; Colonels are 11-5 in OVC after a 3-10 pre-conference slate- they play fast (#4 pace).

Arizona held on to beat USC 85-80 at home three weeks ago, after leading by 20 with 12:55 left; Wildcats were 28-40 on foul line, USC 18-24. Arizona was +6 in turnovers (12-6). Arizona won 11 of last 14 series games, but lost three of last five visits to Galen Center. Wildcats won six of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in Pac-12, winning last four road games, three by 9+ points- they’re starting three freshmen, have #31 eFG% defense. USC lost five of its last seven games, is 8-7 in Pac-12, 5-1 at home, with lone home loss to Colorado- they turn ball over 20.2% of time (#259).

Saint Mary’s won eight of ten games since a 67-66 home loss to Santa Clara Jan 11, when Gaels shot 34.2% inside arc, blew a 9-point second half lead. Broncos have won only 2 of last 21 series games; St Mary’s won its last four visits to Santa Clara, all by 11+ points. St Mary’s is 10-4 in WCC, winning three of last four road games- they’re shooting 39.8% on arc (#2 in country), getting 32.4% of their points on arc (#126). Santa Clara lost its last five games; they’re 5-9 in WCC, losing last two at home, giving up 85-87 points in last two games overall.

Santa Barbara nipped Riverside 65-63 at home Jan 25, even though UCR shot 17-22 (77%) inside arc- there were only 17 foul shots taken in whole game. Gauchos won five of last six series games; Riverside lost their last 16 games in the Thunderdome, but covered three of last five. Highlanders lost five of last six games, are 5-8 in Big West, losing last two home games by total of five points- their last four losses overall were all by 4 or fewer points. UCSB won five of its last six games, is 7-5 in Big West, they lost three of their last five road tilts.

UCLA won its last five games since an 84-66 loss at Arizona State three weeks ago, when Sun Devils made 14-24 on arc. ASU won last four series games; their 84-73 win at Pauley LY ended a 7-game losing streak in Westwood. Sun Devils won their last seven games, six of them by 5 or fewer points; they’re 10-4 in Mountain West, winning last three road games. ASU is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#36). UCLA won its last five games, is 10-5 in Pac-12, winning their last five home games. Bruins retrieve 34.1% of their missed shots (#17 in country).

Oregon State outscored Oregon 12-2 on foul line in its 63-53 home win over their rival Ducks Feb 8 in Corvallis; how do you play a whole game and go 2-3 on foul line? Beavers won four of last five series games; they’ve lost six of last seven visits to Eugene. OSU lost last three games, is a disappointing 5-10 in Pac-12, making only 27.8% of its 3’s in conference- they lost five of last six road games. Oregon won three of last four games, is 10-4 in Pac-12; four of those 10 wins came in OT. Ducks are shooting 38% on arc (#14), getting 33.5% of their points on arc (#97).

North Texas made 10-26 one arc, beat Florida International 74-56 at home Jan 9; teams split last eight series games. Mean Green lost their last four visits to FIU, three of them by 10+ points. UNT won 12 of its last 14 games; they’re 12-3 in C-USA, winning five of last six road games, with lone loss by 9 at Rice. Mean Green is shooting 38% on arc (#15), getting 35.4% of their points on 3’s (#68). FIU is 5-1 at home, 3-6 on road in C-USA games, with only home loss to Marshall; they lost couple of games LW, by 3-8 points.

Western Kentucky outscored Louisiana Tech 19-2 on foul line in its 65-54 win over the Bulldogs Feb 6- Hilltoppers led by 20 at the half. Home team won last six series games; Tech lost its last three visits to WKU, by 6-1-11 points. Tech won three in row, seven of last nine games; they’re 11-4 in C-USA, 5-3 on road. Bulldogs are experience team #30that has #36 eFG% in country. WKU won four of its last five games, with last four all decided by 5 or fewer points; they’re 11-4 in conference, 7-1 at home- they lost their last game at home, to Charlotte by a hoop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 27


Detroit @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 623-624
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
45.318
Illinois-Chicago
55.449
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 10
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 6
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois-Chicago
(-6); Over

Illinois @ Northwestern

Game 635-636
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
70.771
Northwestern
56.480
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois
by 14 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois
by 6 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois
(-6 1/2); Over

Montana @ Northern Arizona

Game 633-634
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana
57.451
Northern Arizona
49.415
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 8
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 2 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Montana
(-2 1/2); Over

James Madison @ Northeastern

Game 627-628
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
James Madison
44.396
Northeastern
51.520
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northeastern
by 7
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northeastern
by 12
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
James Madison
(+12); Under

Cleveland State @ WI-Milwaukee

Game 625-626
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
46.090
WI-Milwaukee
47.115
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
WI-Milwaukee
by 1
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
WI-Milwaukee
by 7
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
(+7); Over

Temple @ Wichita State

Game 617-618
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
58.254
Wichita State
64.707
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wichita State
by 6 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wichita State
by 10
137
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(+10); Under

Eastern Kentucky @ Murray State

Game 629-630
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Kentucky
44.864
Murray State
59.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Murray State
by 14 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Murray State
by 11 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Murray State
(-11 1/2); Over

Tennessee Tech @ Belmont

Game 631-632
February 27, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee Tech
39.817
Belmont
62.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Belmont
by 23
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Belmont
by 20
145
Dunkel Pick:
Belmont
(-20); Over

Eastern Illinois @ SE Missouri St

Game 637-638
February 27, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Eastern Illinois
44.212
SE Missouri St
44.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SE Missouri St
Even
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Illinois
by 4 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
SE Missouri St
(+4 1/2); Under

Jacksonville St @ Tennessee St

Game 643-644
February 27, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
45.228
Tennessee St
44.405
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville St
by 1
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee St
by 3 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+3 1/2); Under

Morehead State @ Austin Peay

Game 639-640
February 27, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Morehead State
42.984
Austin Peay
54.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Austin Peay
by 11 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Austin Peay
by 14 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Morehead State
(+14 1/2); Under

SIU-Edwardsville @ UT-Martin

Game 641-642
February 27, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SIU-Edwardsville
43.523
UT-Martin
38.576
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SIU-Edwardsville
by 5
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UT-Martin
by 4 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
SIU-Edwardsville
(+4 1/2); Under

Western Illinois @ Oral Roberts

Game 645-646
February 27, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Illinois
36.820
Oral Roberts
54.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oral Roberts
by 17 1/2
169
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oral Roberts
by 14
159 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oral Roberts
(-14); Over

New Mexico St @ Grand Canyon

Game 653-654
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
54.987
Grand Canyon
51.287
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 3 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 6 1/2
138
Dunkel Pick:
Grand Canyon
(+6 1/2); Over

South Dakota St @ North Dakota St

Game 647-648
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
51.610
North Dakota St
58.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St
by 6 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St
by 4 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
(-4 1/2); Over

San Diego @ Gonzaga

Game 655-656
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
50.499
Gonzaga
73.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 23
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 25 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+25 1/2); Under

East Washington @ Southern Utah

Game 663-664
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Washington
48.751
Southern Utah
52.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Utah
by 4
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Utah
by 2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Southern Utah
(-2); Over

Idaho @ Northern Colorado

Game 661-662
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
38.984
Northern Colorado
58.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Colorado
by 19
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 17 1/2
135 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Colorado
(-17 1/2); Over

Portland St @ Idaho State

Game 659-660
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland St
49.446
Idaho State
47.653
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland St
by 2
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland St
by 4
153
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(+4); Under

Ohio State @ Nebraska

Game 657-658
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
67.421
Nebraska
60.367
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 7
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 9 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(+9 1/2); Under

Colorado @ California

Game 649-650
February 27, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
66.844
California
54.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 12
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 9
128
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-9); Over

Arizona @ USC

Game 651-652
February 27, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
68.006
USC
62.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 6
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
N/A

Pacific @ Loyola Marymount

Game 671-672
February 27, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pacific
59.643
Loyola Marymount
53.178
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pacific
by 6 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pacific
by 1 1/2
122 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pacific
(-1 1/2); Over

Portland @ San Francisco

Game 669-670
February 27, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
41.656
San Francisco
61.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 19 1/2
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 17 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-17 1/2); Under

St Mary's @ Santa Clara

Game 667-668
February 27, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Mary's
59.868
Santa Clara
56.484
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 3 1/2
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 6
143
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Clara
(+6); Under

TX-Rio Grande @ CS-Bakersfield

Game 673-674
February 27, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Rio Grande
50.506
CS-Bakersfield
44.275
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Rio Grande
by 6
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
CS-Bakersfield
by 3
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TX-Rio Grande
(+3); Under

Montana State @ Sacramento St

Game 675-676
February 27, 2020 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana State
49.081
Sacramento St
49.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento St
by 1
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento St
by 5 1/2
122 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Montana State
(+5 1/2); Over

Oregon State @ Oregon

Game 681-682
February 27, 2020 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oregon State
59.858
Oregon
67.484
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 7 1/2
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 10
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon State
(+10); Under

Arizona State @ UCLA

Game 679-680
February 27, 2020 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
63.464
UCLA
69.307
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCLA
by 6
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCLA
by 3 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
UCLA
(-3 1/2); Over

Santa Barbara @ Cal Riverside

Game 677-678
February 27, 2020 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Barbara
53.969
Cal Riverside
47.871
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Santa Barbara
by 6
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Santa Barbara
by 1
125
Dunkel Pick:
Santa Barbara
(-1); Over

UC-Irvine @ Cal Poly

Game 665-666
February 27, 2020 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UC-Irvine
55.000
Cal Poly
46.499
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UC-Irvine
by 8 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UC-Irvine
by 11 /2
136
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Poly
(+11 1/2); Over

CS-Fullerton @ Hawaii

Game 683-684
February 27, 2020 @ 12:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
CS-Fullerton
46.934
Hawaii
46.887
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
CS-Fullerton
Even
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 8
136 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
CS-Fullerton
(+8); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Betting Essentials, Odds and Angles for Thursday, Feb. 27
Tony Mejia

Top Game: Lakers (-4.5, 235.5) at Warriors, 10:35 p.m. ET, TNT
LeBron James played one of his best games since joining the Lakers on Tuesday night, helping survive their first encounter with Pelicans’ rookie Zion Williamson. His season-best 40 points helped send whatever messages he was trying to convey to a teenager he’d never met before and the team that could very well line up at Staples Center as his team’s first-round opponent.

The effort resulted in James choosing to take the night off here, citing a sore groin that can use a little rest before Friday’s test against the Grizzlies, the team they would currently open the playoffs against. It remains to be seen if he suits up to face injury-plagued Memphis, but he won’t play in San Francisco on Thursday as L.A. opens a three-game road trip that will end in New Orleans on Sunday.

The Lakers are looking to win a seventh straight game, which would match their third-longest winning streak of the season. L.A. has won nine and 10 in a row on separate occasions. It has won nine of its last 10 outright, covering the spread in seven of the wins. A victory over the Warriors would match Milwaukee for the NBA’s top road record at 24-5.

Forward Anthony Davis, who has been dealing with a calf bruise, hurt his elbow smacking the backboard in the second half against the Pelicans, is expected to play. He’s averaging 26.3 points, 10.3 rebounds and 2.6 blocks in February. Kyle Kuzma is likely to take James’ place in the starting lineup and newcomer Markieff Morris will probably get an extended look.

L.A. is 1-1 in games where James hasn’t suited up, losing to Denver at home on Dec. 22 and winning in Oklahoma City on Jan. 11.

Golden State has the NBA’s worst record (12-46), both overall and at home (7-22). The Warriors have dropped seven consecutive games and haven’t won since trading away D’Angelo Russell and acquiring former No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins from Minnesota.

Wiggins debuted against the Lakers on Feb. 8 in a 125-120 loss at Chase Center, finishing with 24 points and five steals. He averaged 22.8 points over his first four games with Golden State but has averaged just 12 over his last two games, shooting 9-for-30 from the field. He’s been playing through a leg contusion.

Golden State will welcome Draymond Green back into the fold after he’s missed the last two games with a pelvic injury. Starting center Marquese Chriss returned from a calf injury that forced him to miss Sunday’s loss to New Orleans. He’s averaged 14.5 points and 6.8 boards since joining Steve Kerr’s starting lineup 12 games ago and led Golden State with 26 points and nine rebounds in the most recent loss to L.A., shooting 11-for-15. Green missed the game with lower back tightness.

Golden State is debating allowing Stephen Curry to debut on Sunday, so he may be in the mix when these teams play on April 9 but won’t play here. Ky Bowman, Damion Lee and rookie Jordan Poole will again see the majority of backcourt duty. Poole scored 19 points off the bench in the most recent loss.

Davis was absent for the 120-94 Lakers’ win at Staples when these teams met on Nov. 13, so JaVale McGee and Kuzma played large roles. The Warriors had won 10 of 11 encounters with L.A. from Nov. 2016 until this season and haven’t fallen in the season series between these teams since 2012-13. The ‘under’ has prevailed in four of Golden State’s last five contests.

Knicks at 76ers, 7:05 p.m. ET
Joel Embiid left Cleveland’s Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse with his left arm in a sling, declining to talk to the media after playing just 7:36 of a 108-94 upset loss to the Cavs. Philadelphia never led and its All-Star center banged his shoulder against fellow 7-footer, exited and returned with it wrapped. It’s safe to assume he won’t play against the Knicks, but it remains to be seen how long he’ll be sidelined.

All-Star point guard Ben Simmons is out at least two weeks with a nerve impingement in his lower back, so Philadelphia will have to rally behind Tobias Harris, Al Horford and Josh Richardson. Shake Milton joined the starting five in Simmons’ place and Glenn Robinson III is a likely candidate to replace Embiid with Horford shifting to center. This will be the first game the 76ers will play without either Simmons or Embiid since April 10 of last season when they rested starters to prepare for the playoffs.

The Sixers own the NBA’s top home record (27-2), winning 13 straight and last losing on Dec. 20. Visiting New York lost in Charlotte on Wednesday, failing to rally from a 15-point deficit despite closing strong. Julius Randle finished with 18 points and nine boards in just 25:14 while Mitchell Robinson added 12 points and 16 boards off the bench. Both should be more productive without Embiid to trifle with. The Knicks are 1-7 (2-5-1 ATS) on the second night of a back-to-back. Philadelphia is 7-2 (5-3-1) on the closing out a back-to-back. It has won the first three meetings against New York but have failed to cover in any of the victories. The ‘under’ is 2-1.

Kings at Thunder, 8:05 p.m. ET
Oklahoma City can equal its longest winning streak of the season by holding serve here and has caught the Jazz for second place in the Northwest Division, a half-game behind the Mavericks for the fifth-best record in the Western Conference. It’s looking increasingly likely that Thunder will reach the playoffs for the 10th time in 11 years.

Sacramento hasn’t qualified for the postseason since 2006, but a three-game win streak and Memphis’ recent woes have allowed it to claw within 3.5 games of the eighth and final spot. The Kings are 0-2 this season after winning three straight and are looking for their longest run of victories since October of 2018. De’Aaron Fox has played well at the point but is playing through groin and shoulder ailments. Harrison Barnes has led the team in scoring in three of the past five games. Forwards Marvin Bagley III and Richaun Holmes remain sidelined, so Nemanja Bjelica and Harry Giles III are playing big minutes in the post.

For the Thunder, center Steven Adams has averaged 15 points and 13 rebounds during their win streak, so his ability to stay out of foul trouble and control the paint should play a large role. Chris Paul is averaging 20.5 points and 7.5 assists over OKC’s last eight, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues to do whatever is necessary to breed success. The Thunder and Kings split their two meetings in Sacramento, last playing on Jan. 29. Dennis Schroder scored 24 points off the bench in a 120-100 road win. This is the lone meeting between the teams in Oklahoma City. The ‘over’ has prevailed in five of the last seven games involving the Thunder and four of the last six featuring the Kings.

Trail Blazers at Pacers, 8:05 p.m. ET, TNT
Damian Lillard traveled with Portland as it opens a crucial three-game road trip that also features stops in Atlanta and Orlando, but he’s not expected to play here as he continues to deal with a groin injury. That’s a tough blow for a Blazers team running out of time to avoid being the season’s biggest disappointment. The Blazers have failed to cover a spread in five straight contests, dropping four outright. Portland is 0-4 on the road this month and are 10-20 on the highway this season, which is a key reason it remains 2.5 games behind the Grizzlies in the race for No. 8.

Indiana has won just three of its last 10 and is running sixth in the East, though Philadelphia’s injury concerns may afford it a window to move up. The Pacers have struggled working Victor Oladipo into the fold after his lengthy absence and have seen him miss the past few games due to a sore back. He’s questionable, which leaves Nate McMillan thin on the wing since Jeremy Lamb tore up his knee in a 46-point loss in Toronto on Sunday. The Pacers rebounded with a 119-80 rout of Charlotte on Tuesday and are looking for back-to-back wins for the first time since Jan. 24.

Indiana lost 139-129 in Portland when these teams met on Jan. 26, falling victim to a 50-point night from Damian Lillard. Lamb led Indy with 28 points. The Pacers have 10 of 11 contests against the Trail Blazers, including five straight. C.J. McCollum has averaged 32 points, 6.3 rebounds and 10.7 assists over the last three games in filling in for Lillard as the team’s primary catalyst. The ‘under’ has prevailed in Indiana’s last three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

519NEW YORK -520 PHILADELPHIA
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) in the current season.

521SACRAMENTO -522 OKLAHOMA CITY
SACRAMENTO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

523PORTLAND -524 INDIANA
INDIANA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

525LA LAKERS -526 GOLDEN STATE
LA LAKERS are 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 27

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NEW YORK (17 - 41) at PHILADELPHIA (36 - 23) - 2/27/2020, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 11-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (24 - 33) at OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 22) - 2/27/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (26 - 33) at INDIANA (34 - 24) - 2/27/2020, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PORTLAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
INDIANA is 182-141 ATS (+26.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
PORTLAND is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (44 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (12 - 46) - 2/27/2020, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 70-89 ATS (-27.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 57-77 ATS (-27.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons