Thursday 2-27-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

33CHICAGO -34 TAMPA BAY
CHICAGO is 11-4 ATS (6.6 Units) after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal over the last 2 seasons.

35TORONTO -36 FLORIDA
TORONTO is 3-10 ATS (-12 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

37NY RANGERS -38 MONTREAL
NY RANGERS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games in February games in the current season.

39DALLAS -40 BOSTON
DALLAS are 14-4 ATS (10.8 Units) against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game in the current season.

41VANCOUVER -42 OTTAWA
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games in the current season.

43MINNESOTA -44 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

45CALGARY -46 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 10-15 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

47WASHINGTON -48 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 4-15 ATS (-12.4 Units) against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

49NY ISLANDERS -50 ST LOUIS
NY ISLANDERS are 23-15 ATS (9.4 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

51NEW JERSEY -52 SAN JOSE
NEW JERSEY is 12-11 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 27

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CHICAGO (27-28-0-8, 62 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (40-18-0-5, 85 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 5-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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TORONTO (33-23-0-8, 74 pts.) at FLORIDA (33-24-0-6, 72 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 33-31 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 34-39 ATS (-25.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 27-28 ATS (-16.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-27 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 5-10 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-4 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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NY RANGERS (34-24-0-4, 72 pts.) at MONTREAL (29-27-0-9, 67 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 102-118 ATS (-53.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 34-28 ATS (+66.3 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 16-12 ATS (+33.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 10-3 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games this season.
NY RANGERS are 15-8 ATS (+6.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 26-24 ATS (+55.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 29-36 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
MONTREAL is 11-18 ATS (-8.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
MONTREAL is 6-12 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONTREAL is 16-40 ATS (+65.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-3-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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DALLAS (37-20-0-6, 80 pts.) at BOSTON (39-13-0-12, 90 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 39-51 ATS (-22.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+10.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-16 ATS (+41.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+6.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
DALLAS is 19-11 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 304-253 ATS (-110.0 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 125-115 ATS (-71.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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VANCOUVER (34-22-0-6, 74 pts.) at OTTAWA (21-31-0-12, 54 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 414-395 ATS (-119.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 34-28 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 15-10 ATS (+26.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VANCOUVER is 17-10 ATS (+6.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
OTTAWA is 127-120 ATS (-20.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
OTTAWA is 5-19 ATS (+36.0 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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MINNESOTA (30-25-0-7, 67 pts.) at DETROIT (15-46-0-4, 34 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 7:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 24-28 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-14 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-11 ATS (+34.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-50 ATS (-65.4 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 8-36 ATS (+70.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
DETROIT is 5-33 ATS (+67.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 7-31 ATS (+67.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 467-383 ATS (+64.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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CALGARY (33-25-0-6, 72 pts.) at NASHVILLE (31-23-0-8, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 5-10 ATS (-8.9 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NASHVILLE is 425-449 ATS (-73.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
NASHVILLE is 31-31 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 10-13 ATS (-8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-3 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-3-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

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WASHINGTON (39-18-0-6, 84 pts.) at WINNIPEG (32-27-0-6, 70 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 156-103 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-30 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 2-8 ATS (-7.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (35-20-0-7, 77 pts.) at ST LOUIS (37-17-0-10, 84 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 2-9 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-38 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 31-20 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 87-65 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 22-13 ATS (+35.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 50-33 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-14 ATS (+38.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-13 ATS (-11.4 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 4-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (25-27-0-10, 60 pts.) at SAN JOSE (26-33-0-4, 56 pts.) - 2/27/2020, 10:38 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 82-83 ATS (-4.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 22-36 ATS (-21.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 59-61 ATS (-45.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 4-10 ATS (+4.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
SAN JOSE is 239-167 ATS (-44.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Aqueduct - Race #4

#3 Nowitna River	Class dropper meets an extremely weak field, has been running faster and against better, and may not even be favored; look out.
#2 World Riot	Dicey ML favorite was just a meek 4th at the level and now meets a dropper in the pick, yet will be way overbet; making her prove it.
#1 Cotton Candy Cutie	Stalker has decent form, should be close throughout and goes for a good barn, but the 2-for-1 angle kills her value; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary	That 5-2 ML on the pick seems like a big overlay, as she really should be favored here, and comfortably so, so play her aggressively to win and place if the tote allows, though you can get some built-in value by singling her in the early Pk5/Pk4, as they will bet the 2 hard, which means a win by the pick would knock out a lot of tickets.

Aqueduct - Race #7

#3 Payne	Stalker has won two straight and offers a rare chance to get Brown at a decent price, and while this is a tough group, his last says he may be getting very good; hat trick time.
#1 Wicked Trick	Streaking runner has won six straight and just keeps getting better, though he meets tougher here, and off that last he could bounce as well; plenty scary, but at underlaid odds.
#6 Musical America	Logical sort was overbet last time and ran well on the hard chase before flattening out a bit late, but this attack post should get him first run, which can be key; seems a must-use.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 3 but they will send it in hard on the 1 and will bet the 6 too, so that 3-1 seems fair and like enough value to make a win and place bet, and you can use him in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well too, as the budget players might not be able to get to the third choice in the wagering, which means a win would add value to both sequences.

Aqueduct - Race #8

#8 Hoffenheim	Class dropper hasn't been out since June and goes for an ice cold Jeremiah barn, though the works here whisper ready, and this attack post should work too; call to come back running.
#1a Supreme Aura	Atras claim (26%) looked good beating lesser last time and now goes for a barn that routinely moves their form up, and he should trip out nicely just off the speed as well; the main danger.
#7 Won and Done	Trick read is the ML favorite off a trio of sharp Parx wins but this is a much tougher group he's meeting, so while his speed will play, he'd be a major underlay at this 5-2 ML; tread lightly here.
Race Summary	You won't get rich off the 8 but maybe the layoff and cold trainer gets you more value than you should on a runner who is the clear class, and wins this with his best, so play him to win and place, and especially to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this is a deep field, and just maybe he falls through the wagering cracks and offers more value than he should.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Delta Downs - Race #1

#7 Napoleon's Empire	Interesting that Amoss hikes and protects this guy off a really dull effort last time out, but there are some back runs that fit well enough here at a price.
#6 Buxterhooter	Looks like the one to beat, but that last one may have showed a little crack in the form, so there is a chance he's not bringing his best stuff tonight at an underlaid price.
#2 Why God	Fits well with this bunch from close range, but he still seems more likely to land an underneath share than to take the whole thing.
Race Summary	Napoleon's Empire is a bit curious in here after a clunker last out, and he may not be too far off what it would take to win in this spot, especially with Buxterhooter being no sure thing to bring his A-game.

Delta Downs - Race #6

#9 Half Ours to Keep	Taking a little shot with this guy after he rattled off two in a row for different trainers while facing cheaper. He is quick enough to work out a trip from the high draw.
#8 Pinch Assault	Handled that stakes group last out on Premier Night, but his form isn't always the most consistent, and the price gets shorter today.
#3 Mr. Graceful	Finisher couldn't sustain the rally in that common race with 'Assault, but the form is there for him to be competitive with these.
Race Summary	Half Ours to Keep might simply be in too deep here, but the recent form fits, and he figures to get a bit overlooked on the tote.

Delta Downs - Race #8

#2 King Cookie	Didn't really like anyone else in here and there is a chance this guy falls into a really nice trip behind the pace. Not sure if he's good enough from there, but the price should be right.
#4 Scotty Boy	Probably wins this off the bench, but he is no sure thing to have progressed into his 3yo season, and he'll have some company near the top early.
#5 Navy Times	Steps up off a nice effort with softer, and he'll need every bit of his best stuff to handle a couple of these today.
Race Summary	King Cookie might get a bit outrun from the gate, but that could serve him well to find a great spot in the pocket before having a go at the leaders.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Dover Downs - Race #1

#5 STEUBEN JOBEE	Fresh start, forward factor, fair value.
#4 WHATS HIS IS MINE	Won twice at this level in January, can use speed wisely.
#7 BETTOR ROCK ON N	Classy 11yo paced evenly from second tier in last two starts.
Race Summary	Steuben Jobee starts fresh, switches pilots and figures up close a long way in his bid for a 20th victory. He should offer the best value from among the favorites, so play 5-4 and 5-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#9 LAILA BLUE	Traffic trouble proved costly after a pair of seconds, post the concern tonight.
#10 UPTOWN CALLIE	Slowed by pace in single-file opening half, closed with a wide burst to just miss.
#1 POWERED BY MACH	Well-backed and useful debut effort, rail a plus.
Race Summary	Laila Blue backed off a potential duel early, settled in third, was trapped by a lively outer flow on the final turn, then lacked room behind a tiring pace setter in the stretch. She finished and galloped out well, earning a playback despite starting from post 9.

Yonkers - Race #5

#6 KEYSTONE NIKKI	Powered past the favorite in the lane, take right back for new barn.
#1 NORTHERN SWIFT	‘Strong finish’ on class rise to this level from post 7, but 2-49 since 2019.
#2 SHADY CAROLINE	Worked hard to make lead, relinquished it readily near ¾-mile marker.
Race Summary	Keystone Nikki was pocketed behind the favorite and blew by with a well-timed stretch bid to prevail. She could return a quick claim dividend for her new barn. Play 6-1 and 6-2 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #3

#4 Face of Victory	Should get a favorable run on the front end and seeks his 1st win in nearly a year; jockey Leparoux will get him to relax and he should have something left for the finish.
#2 Cowboy Culture	Got lost in the shuffled last out and takes a slide down to his lowest level; makes 2nd start off the claim for Jorge Navarro.
#2 Soglio	Went 2019 without a win and is striving to get back to that form; can be a factor today as he is unprotected in this optional claiming that has a price much lowest than usual.
Race Summary	Face of Victory lands in a good spot in which to show his speed, and many of the top contenders are late runners. Has good opportunity to lead throughout.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#8 Cajun Firecracker	Was 2nd in a stakes race at Tampa last time, travels well and has won 2 of 4 over the Gulfstream strip; makes 4th under Joseph Jr. tutelage and is a good bet to run them down in this spot.
#2 Front Loaded	Was stakes placed in 2 of his last 3 and faltered in his latest; gets some class relief and could come up with a big effort.
#6 Belle Tapisserie	Won two straight until tired in a fast race last out; can pressed throughout this one and likely will be difficult to catch.
Race Summary	The pace will be hot and is played perfectly for Cajun Firecracker, who does his best from just off the early leaders.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#5 Believe Indeed	Was pulled up after losing contact in her latest and can get back to good form here; has shown a good closing move on occasion but also has been successful close to the pace. Showed her talent in many workouts and could be overlooked.
#7 Hotty Toddy	Closed with a run and was up in time in her latest. Tends to drop far back and needs some breaks to get it done but should not be ignored in this one.
#8 Picasso Moon	Her best shot is to get on the front end and Zayas will probably push her to get there; could be difficult to reel in if allowed to relax.
Race Summary	Believe Indeed's last attempt was an absolute bust as she was rank and pulled up; she has several races on her form that would make her difficult here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 4	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 2:20P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Stalker. GRAND AIR is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GRAND AIR: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STOCKED: Tod ay is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WRITE ME A SONG: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power R ating. ARNO'S MANE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	GRAND AIR	9/2	4/1
2	STOCKED	3/1	6/1
6	WRITE ME A SONG	7/2	6/1
1	ARNO'S MANE MAN	2/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	MERCY RULE	3	5/1	Front-runner	83	81	67.6	79.0	69.5
5	GRAND AIR	5	9/2	Stalker	94	88	85.6	88.4	83.4
2	STOCKED	2	3/1	Stalker	94	91	71.4	87.8	79.3
6	WRITE ME A SONG	6	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	93	93	70.2	84.4	77.9
1	ARNO'S MANE MAN	1	2/1	Trailer	93	91	71.0	87.8	82.8
4	RIDE INTO THE SKY	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	92	84	65.0	82.4	75.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

Charles Town - Race 5	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 56 • Purse: $27,000 • Post: 8:53P
FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CUBIC SOUND: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figu re at the distance/surface. RUM RUNNER RED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4	CUBIC SOUND	9/5	5/2
1	RUM RUNNER RED	3/1	5/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	EISELE	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	47.4	41.7	32.2
4	CUBIC SOUND	4	9/5	Trailer	60	56	48.4	54.3	50.8
1	RUM RUNNER RED	1	3/1	Trailer	55	53	42.0	45.6	40.1
2	ALL ABOUT TAP	2	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	56	50	27.4	39.4	30.9
8	GHOST MINE	8	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	56	47	55.8	35.8	27.8
5	GLOBAL FIRST CLASS	5	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	47	40	37.6	28.6	17.1
9	FAST RIDE	9	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	19.5	18.5	4.5
6	J J WEDGIT MAN	6	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	9.1	16.8	6.3

Unknown Running Style: LASHER (6/1) [Jockey: Latchman Reshawn - Trainer: Hanagan Lela G].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 9 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 92

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JANUARY 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 PICASSO MOON 3/1
# 2 FAITH N HOPE 20/1
# 3 BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD 6/1

PICASSO MOON looks to be a strong contender. This mare is a solid choice based on her earnings per start in turf route contests. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (93 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Her 80 average has this mare with among the best Equibase Speed Figures here. FAITH N HOPE - Has to be given a shot based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last competition. BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD - Breen has one of the most respectable winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface. Recent figures for the rider - 15 win percent - make this filly stand out in this group of animals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Fair Grounds - Race #5 - Post: 2:26pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating:

#1 THENEXTBESTTHING (ML=9/5)


THENEXTBESTTHING - The jockey/handler tandem of Murrill and Roussel has a strong return on investment together. Speed ratings on the grass point to this horse as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this distance-surface. There's something to be said for a change of surface. Last race this horse didn't like the terrain, but if you look two back on the turf at Arlington, there was a great effort. I look for that again today. Another way to assign class is earnings per start. This entrant has the highest in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A HERO OF THE FUTURE (ML=9/5), #3 HOMEBRED (ML=7/2), #2 SILVER GALAXY (ML=9/2),

HERO OF THE FUTURE - Tough for anyone who saw this horse in his last event to wager on him this time around. HOMEBRED - Difficult to wager on this entrant this time out. Make him show you something in a short distance event before you bet on him in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. 7/2 is not enough of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings. This colt registered a speed figure in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. SILVER GALAXY - This horse ran a mediocre speed rating last race out. He shouldn't run better and will probably get beat in today's race running that number.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - THENEXTBESTTHING - Equibase class rating today of 77. Taking a big drop in the level of competition and should respond well to easier company. Worth a prime wager.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 Entry is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 27, 2019. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 11 NOT SO QUIET MAN 4/1
# 3 MAN OF BLUES 7/5
# 6 LIZZY'S LURE 12/1

NOT SO QUIET MAN has a decent shot to take this race. His 79 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures for this event. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. This group is much softer than the last one he faced. MAN OF BLUES - With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Franklin will almost certainly have this gelding in excellent position to win the affair. Could beat this group of animals given the 79 Equibase Speed Fig posted in his last outing. LIZZY'S LURE - With a decent 73 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. This jockey and conditioner team has produced some strong return on investment numbers at this track.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

02/27/20, OP, Race 4, 2.52 CT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	7	Secular Stagnation(b+)	4-1	Cohen D	Diodoro Robertino	TFEC	43.42	1.18/$1
097.36	4	Zachry	7/2	Felix J E	House Brian S.	L	32.43	1.16/$1
097.17	1	On d'Oro	5-1	Eramia R E	Hawley Wesley E.	S	39.44	1.16/$1
097.10	8	Runnin' Ray	8-1	Mojica O	Sharp Joe		32.43	1.16/$1
096.58	3	Copper King(b+)	3-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		45.07	1.15/$1
096.45	2	All West	8-1	Talamo J	Catalano Wayne M.	W	39.44	1.16/$1
094.94	5	Aztec Empire	6-1	Cabrera D	Moquett Ron	J	48.00	1.29/$1
091.18	6	Ekati's Verve	12-1	Garcia M	Stewart Dallas		32.43	1.16/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.35, ROI 0.96/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #8 - Post: 3:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating:

#3 DETERMINED CHANCE (ML=5/2)
#2 BEAR FORCE WON (ML=3/1)


DETERMINED CHANCE - This front-runner is cutting back in distance today. Should enhance his chances to win. Schoenthal drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to believe this thoroughbred will be one to beat at this level. Handicapping information show this horse with three improving speed ratings. Toledo should be on a live horse right here in this race. BEAR FORCE WON - When Gomez and Bailes combine forces on animals the return on investment has been terrific at +113. Rode this mount on January 17th and Gomez is right back in the irons in this race. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make his presence felt. Earnings per race entered is something that I believe can be an extremely key factor. This horse is ranked at the top in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TOP HAT SCRUTINY (ML=4/1), #1 HARP OF GOLD (ML=9/2), #5 NONNA'S GLORY (ML=6/1),

TOP HAT SCRUTINY - Displayed warnings of physical problems in the contest on Jan 25th at Charles Town. HARP OF GOLD - This mount hasn't shown much effort in the last pair of affairs. NONNA'S GLORY - No accomplishments for this pony in a short distance race over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult spot This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of outings.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BEAR FORCE WON - Got some betting action at Laurel first time out of the box when finishing third. Look for an improved effort today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #3 DETERMINED CHANCE to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	[2,3] with [2,3] with [1,5,6,7] with [1,5,6,7] with [1,5,6,7] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

02/27/20, AQU, Race 8, 4.55 ET
7F [Dirt] 1.20.00 CLAIMING. Purse $60,000.
Claiming Price $50,000 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $40,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (1. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.00	1A	Supreme Aura	3-1	Franco M	Atras Rob	F	17.24	1.10/$1
098.29	8	Hoffenheim	4-1	Vargas. Jr. J A	Englehart Jeremiah C.	S	40.00	1.02/$1
097.97	7	Won and Done	5/2	Davis D	Catalano. Jr. Michael	E	17.24	1.10/$1
097.47	3	Wegotoldyougotsold	5-1	Maragh R R	Servis Jason	T	17.24	1.10/$1
097.03	1	No Distortion	3-1	Franco M	Atras Rob	WC	17.24	1.10/$1
096.59	5	Its All Relevant	8-1	Rodriguez Castro L A	Rodriguez Rudy R.	L	17.24	1.10/$1
096.40	4	Coltandmississippi	6-1	Correa J	Rodriguez Rudy R.		17.24	1.10/$1
095.74	6	Piven	12-1	Gutierrez R	Casse Mark E.		17.24	1.10/$1
094.19	2	The Sicarii	20-1	Camacho. Jr. S	DeLauro Edward J.		16.67	1.21/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 33.65, ROI 0.78/$1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

NBA & CBB Picks 2/27

100* Cleveland State +7
100* Saint Marys -5.5
100* Blazers +10