Thursday 2-27-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #61
    ATSsports NBA OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER ‑250
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #62
      Pure Lock NCAA Basketball SOUTHERN UTAH THUNDERBIRDS ‑2.5 ‑105
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #63
        The Whale Picks NCAA Basketball EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES +2.5
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #64
          Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Basketball ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI ‑6
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #65
            Teddy Davis

            Feb 27 '20, 7:00 PM in 31m
            NCAA-B | Indiana vs Purdue
            Play on: Indiana +6 -109 at GTBets

            Purdue is getting a ton of respect here. Yes, the Hoosiers have played pretty poor on the road but they are quietly coming into form right now. Indiana also wants the revenge here from an ugly performance at home vs the Boilermakers. Purdue is on a skid and doesn’t deserve to be laying this big of number.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #66
              Dustin Hawkins

              Feb 27 '20, 7:00 PM in 31m
              NCAA-B | Texas-San Antonio vs Florida Atlantic
              Play on: OVER 149 -109

              1 Dimer on Texas-San Antonio vs Florida Atlantic over 149 -109
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #67
                Jack Jones

                Feb 27 '20, 7:00 PM in 31m
                NCAA-B | Wisconsin vs Michigan
                Play on: UNDER 130½ -110

                Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Wisconsin/Michigan UNDER 130.5
                Two of the best defensive teams in the country square off when Wisconsin visits Michigan in a Big Ten battle Thursday night. The Wolverines are 17th in adjusted defense, while the Badgers rank 23rd in the same category.
                Wisconsin is 10-3 UNDER in all road games this season. They are scoring just 59.4 points per game and shooting 39.1% as a team away from home. But they have been great defensively on the road still, allowing 63.1 points per game and 41.4% shooting, so their defense definitely travels.
                Michigan has really clamped it down defensively of late, which is the biggest reason for its 7-1 run over its last eight games. The Wolverines have allowed 68 or fewer points in nine straight games and are giving up just 58.5 points per game in their last four.
                Wisconsin and Michigan have combined for 127 or fewer points in four of their last five meetings. Wisconsin is 9-0 UNDER In its last nine road games with a total of 130 to 134.5 points. The UNDER is 40-11 in Badgers' last 51 games as a road underdog. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Michigan’s last six games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #68
                  Dave Price

                  Feb 27 '20, 7:05 PM in 36m
                  NBA | Knicks vs 76ers
                  Play on: UNDER 211½ -109

                  Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
                  1* on Knicks/76ers UNDER 211.5
                  The Key: Both the Knicks and 76ers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after losing on the road last night. The Knicks lost 101-107 in Charlotte, while the 76ers lost 94-108 in Cleveland. Neither team will have the legs to be able to push the tempo in this game. It will be played at a snail’s pace tonight. And the 76ers are without both Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, so they will be lost offensively. They managed just 94 points on the lowly Cavaliers last night. The Knicks have been held to 101 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Knicks are 7-1-1 UNDER in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 15-5 in the last 20 matchups in Philadelphia. Take the UNDER.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #69
                    Mike Williams

                    Feb 27 '20, 7:05 PM in 36m
                    NBA | Knicks vs 76ers
                    Play on: 76ers -6 -103 at pinnacle

                    1* on 76ers -6 -103
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #70
                      Alex Smart

                      Feb 27 '20, 7:05 PM in 36m
                      NBA | Knicks vs 76ers
                      Play on: 76ers -7½ -110 at Bovada

                      Im betting the Philadelphia 76ers will take their league-best 28th victory in 30 home games when they host the New York Knicks on Thursday. The Sixers a team that travels badly is off a embarrassing loss vs Cleveland last time out and will be ready to rebound here at home despite of being without key cogs Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. I personally believe the Sixers are over rated, but this is a good spot for them here vs a NYK team that has lost 5 straight .
                      The Seventysixers are 11-0 ATS /10-1 SU with less than two days rest off a 10+ loss in a road game in which they had at least 30% of their points from threes.
                      NBA Teams like the Knicks are 0-18-1 ATS /0-19 SU L/19 as a road dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with the average ppg diff clicking in at +17.4 ppg.
                      Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 27-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors.
                      Philadelphia has won 11 straight games in this series including 7 straight at home.
                      Play on Philadelphia to cover
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #71
                        Scott Rickenbach

                        Feb 27 '20, 7:08 PM in 39m
                        NHL | Rangers vs Canadiens
                        Play on: Rangers +120 at pinnacle

                        Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Rotation #37 Thursday Free Pick New York Rangers Money Line (+) @ Montreal Canadiens @ 7:05 ET - As per usual, the Canadiens are on a late season fade and feeling the pressure at home. The fact is that the Habs have been better on the road than at home for an extended stretch. Under the extreme pressure of playing home games in hockey-mad Montreal, the Canadiens continue to "squeeze the sticks" too tight and are off an OT loss. The Rangers, on the other hand, are off an OT win and their red hot run continues. Officially on a late-season surge now, New York has won 4 straight games and 8 of its last 9. Conversely, the Canadiens have lost 6 of their last 8 games. Montreal has lost 17 of its last 25 home games so, while home ice is of course priced into this line, the Canadiens have proven time and time again that they have no home ice edge! The Rangers have won 8 straight road games! That means New York has as many road wins in their last 8 road games as the Canadiens have home wins in their last 25 home games! Free Pick NEW YORK RANGERS
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #72
                          Sean Murphy

                          Feb 27 '20, 7:08 PM in 39m
                          NHL | Rangers vs Canadiens
                          Play on: Canadiens -130 at betonline

                          Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Montreal over New York at 7:05 pm et on Thursday.
                          Bettors will likely be quick to back the surging Rangers here but I believe the Canadiens are favored for a reason. Montreal has owned this series in both the short-term and long-term, taking three of four meetings over the last three seasons and going 27-15-5 against the Blueshirts since 1996. The Rangers are a miserable 17-40 when revenging a one goal loss against an opponent over the last three seasons and 1-11 the last 12 times they've come off a one-goal win over a division rival (they beat the Islanders 4-3 two nights ago). The Habs haven't been good on home ice this season but I think they'll be up for playing the spoiler role against the playoff-hungry Rangers on Thursday night. Take Montreal (8*).
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #73
                            Jimmy Boyd

                            Feb 27 '20, 8:00 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-B | Illinois vs Northwestern
                            Play on: Northwestern +7 -105 at Bovada

                            1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Northwestern Wildcats +7
                            I see value with Northwestern as a big home dog against Illinois. No question in my mind the books have inflated the number, knowing the betting public will want nothing to do with a Wildcats team that has lost 11 straight and are just 1-15 in Big Ten play.
                            These two teams met back on Jan. 18th and Illinois only won that matchup 75-71 as a 12.5-point home favorite. I just think with how much the Fighting Illini struggle to score, it will be hard for them to cover this big number. Illinois ranks dead last in the Big Ten in effective field goal percentage at 44.4%.
                            Northwestern is going to show up for this game on their home floor against an in-state rival. I not only think they cover, but I give them an outside shot at winning this game. Fighting Illini are just 3-7-1 ATS last 11 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. They are also 1-4 ATS last 5 games as a favorite. Underdog has covered 6 of the last 8 in the series. Take Northwestern!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #74
                              John Martin

                              Feb 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 1h
                              NBA | Blazers vs Pacers
                              Play on: Pacers -9½ -103 at pinnacle

                              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Indiana Pacers -9.5
                              The Indiana Pacers have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four and are coming off a 39-point home win over Charlotte. The Portland Trail Blazers are broken right now without their best player in Damian Lillard. The Blazers are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with their only win coming by 3 points at home against Detroit. Their four losses have come by an average of 13.3 points per game. The Blazers are 10-20 SU & 12-18 ATS on the road this season. The Pacers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 home games against a team that wins less than 40% of their road games. Give me the Pacers.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #75
                                Sal Michaels

                                Feb 27 '20, 8:05 PM in 1h
                                NBA | Kings vs Thunder
                                Play on: Thunder -6½ -109 at GTBets

                                Free Play on Thunder -6½ -109
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