Service Plays Saturday 3/7/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL Gurus

OVER 227
PHILADELPHIA @ GOLDEN ST. | 3/07 | 8:30 PM EST
8:24 AM
Philadelphia scored 51 of its 125 points from the arc in its win over the Kings on Thursday. The Sixers are 7-0 Over after they had at least 35 percent of their points from threes, going over by an average of 14.9 points. Golden State is coming off a 121-113 loss to the Raptors that featured five ties, three of which were in the second half. The Warriors are 9-0 Over as a home underdog with rest off a loss as a home dog that was tied five times, going over by an average of 14.4 points. We make the play the Over.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA O/U PICKS | +91
OVER 127.5
RUTGERS @ PURDUE | 3/07 | 2:00 PM EST
8:17 AM
Purdue leads the Big Ten in offensive rebounds per game at 10.9. Rutgers has taken advantage of teams that crash the offensive boards with their fast break. The Scarlet Knights have 10 straight Overs with fewer than six days rest when they are visiting a team that has more than 30.5 percent of their total rebounds on the offensive side of the floor. Also, Rutgers is averaging only 11.9 turnovers this season. The Over is 16-0 when the Boilermakers are coming off a win and are facing a team that is averaging fewer than 12 turnovers per game. The value is with the Over.

32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105
UNDER 131.5
CALIFORNIA @ OREGON ST. | 3/07 | 4:30 PM EST
8:14 AM
The Beavers are coming off a 68-65 win over Stanford in Corvallis. Oregon State has 15 straight Unders at home when it is coming off a home win in which it scored 82 points or fewer, as long as it is not laying more than 24 points. Meanwhile Cal is coming off a 90-56 loss to Oregon in which the Bears' leading scorer had 15 points and their second-leading scorer had only 10. This has been a big Under spot, as the Golden Bears have 15 straight Unders as a road dog coming off a road loss in which they had fewer than four double-digit scorers. We are on the Under.

32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105
SETON HALL +3.5
SETON HALL @ CREIGHTON | 3/07 | 2:30 PM EST
8:10 AM
The Pirates have a remarkable performance dichotomy based on the number of points they scored at home in their last game. If they scored fewer than 82 points at home in their last game, the Pirates are 54-19 ATS. If they scored 82 or more in their last game, they are 6-18 ATS. Seton Hall is coming off a 79-77 loss to Villanova at home. In that loss, Seton Hall committed only seven turnovers, well under their season average of 12.7. The Pirates are 10-0 ATS as an underdog after a game in which they committed at least 5.1 turnovers fewer than their season average. We are grabbing the points.

32-19 IN LAST 51 CBB PICKS | +1105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny White

UNDER 148
W. KENTUCKY @ FIU | 3/07 | 7:00 PM EST
8:01 AM
FIU went from one of the top five fastest teams to the fourth fastest in its own conference. Its pace went from 80 in November and December to 75 in January to 70 in February. The Panthers had gone Under in six in a row until their last game against Louisiana Tech. FIU's games are averaging just 130 points. Under is the play.

2-1 IN LAST 3 FIU O/U PICKS | +90

OVER 141.5
BOSTON COLLEGE @ FLORIDA ST. | 3/07 | 4:30 PM EST
7:58 AM
The Seminoles continue to push the pace, especially at home where they are 11-4 to the Over and averaging 82.4 points per game. They are also 9-4 Over in their last 13 games. Meanwhile the Eagles are 3-1 Over in their last four games and 5-2 Over in their last seven. Last year's meeting was won by Boston College at home, 87-82. Take the Over.

2-1 IN LAST 3 FSU O/U PICKS | +89

NORTHWESTERN +7.5
PENN ST. @ NORTHWESTERN | 3/07 | 4:00 PM EST
7:52 AM
Penn State has lost four of its last five games and could really use a win. The Nittany Lions played their way out of a double bye, and this game is completely meaningless for them. The Wildcats play hard, and I think they are getting a few too many points. Take Northwestern.

6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
UNDER 133
STANFORD @ OREGON | 3/07 | 11:00 PM EST
7:49 AM
The Ducks play at an extremely slow pace, however they are very efficient on offense. Stanford plays a below-average pace and excels on defense, ranking sixth in the country. The Cardinal are 11-4-2 Under in their last 17 road games and are 9-3 Under in their last 13 meetings in Eugene. Under is the play.

2-1 IN LAST 3 OREG O/U PICKS | +90

INDIANA -2
WISCONSIN @ INDIANA | 3/07 | 12:00 PM EST
7:44 AM
A win by the Hoosiers likely puts them into the NCAA Tournament. A loss would leave them 9-11 in conference play, which probably leaves them on the bubble. Indiana is 11-7 ATS at home and has beaten Minnesota, Penn State and Iowa in its last three home games. Wisconsin is 6-7-1 ATS away with losses at Minnesota and Iowa in the last 10 days. Indiana is the play.

6-2 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +379
OVER 152.5
N. CAROLINA @ DUKE | 3/07 | 6:00 PM EST
7:39 AM
The first meeting had 84 possessions in regulation with both teams scoring 84. North Carolina is 5-1 Over in their last six games with a healthy Cole Anthony. Duke is 7-1 Over in their last eight home games. Both team have been pushing the pace, which should be in the high 70s. Over is the play.

4-1 IN LAST 5 DUKE O/U PICKS | +285

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST

NBA Season ATS 17-14 Totals 1-0 56%

8:19 AM
HOUSTON -8
HOUSTON @ CHARLOTTE | 3/07 | 5:00 PM EST
Both teams are due for some regression. The Rockets are not only coming off of one of their worst shooting games of the season in a blowout loss to the Clippers, but also an unsustainable 65-34 rebounding loss to the Knicks earlier this week. In two games against contenders in the past week, the Hornets held the Bucks and Nuggets to only 15 combined 3-pointers. If the ball bounces as it should in this one, the Rockets are more than eight points better than the Hornets. Take Houston.

9-5 IN LAST 14 NBA ATS PICKS | +344
2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +89

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hank Goldberg

VIRGINIA -1
LOUISVILLE @ VIRGINIA | 3/07 | 4:00 PM EST
9:13 AM
Louisville is not the same team on the road as it is at home. The Cardinals are just 6-4 on the road, and the difference has been defense. They're allowing 69.2 points a game on the road versus 60.4 at home. On Saturday they face a Virginia team that has won seven straight and thrives in close games. Cavs cover.

2-1 IN LAST 3 UVA ATS PICKS | +89

UCLA +4
UCLA @ USC | 3/07 | 3:15 PM EST
9:06 AM
UCLA has won seven straight games, which includes two victories over Arizona and one over No. 18 Colorado. In the Bruins' loss to USC earlier in the season, the Trojans shot 57.4 percent and made 50.0 percent of its 3-pointers. They won't shoot like that again against an improved Bruins squad. I'm on UCLA.

KENTUCKY +2.5
KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA | 3/07 | 1:00 PM EST
8:58 AM
I think Kentucky's loss to Tennessee was a fluke. I like the Wildcats' ability to bounce back after a loss against an inconsistent Florida team. I'll gladly take the points.

3-0 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +300

3-0 IN LAST 3 UK ATS PICKS | +300

W. VIRGINIA -1
BAYLOR @ W. VIRGINIA | 3/07 | 1:00 PM EST
8:55 AM
In the first meeting between these teams, West Virginia committed a season-high 22 turnovers and shot 34.5 percent. That won't happen again on Saturday in Morgantown. Baylor has lost two of its last four games and isn't playing as well as it was earlier in the season. I'm on the Mountaineers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Wise

UFC 248

Israel Adesanya (-275) vs. Yoel Romero (+235): Adesanya by unanimous decision

Out of principle, I just can't bring myself to pick Romero. The two-time title challenger has lost three of his last four fights and is getting this because of injury, as well as Adesanya wanting to take on the biggest challenges available to him. However, that does not mean Romero is not dangerous. This has the potential to be a fire fight from the opening bell if Adesanya is willing to engage in a brawl with the Olympic wrestler from Cuba. Romero has fallen in love with his striking in his most recent bouts, putting on heavy striking displays against former champion Robert Whittaker and Paulo Costa. If Romero takes Adesanya to the mat, this is a completely different fight.

I just don't see it happening. Adesanya will keep the action on the feet and neutralize Romero when he shoots in for power shots with his own deadly counter punches. He won't be able to get Romero out with a TKO (nobody has since 2011), but Adesanya will prove he's got the mettle of a champion by grinding out this victory.

Weili Zhang (-180) vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk (+160): Zhang via TKO

Zhang is being thrown to the deep end of the pool in her first title defense against the former queen of the division. After steamrolling Jessica Andrade on home turf last August, Zhang is heading to Vegas for a co-headlining role and chance to grow her brand in the U.S. Jedrzejczyk is almost the complete opposite of what Zhang faced in Andrade as a lanky, volume striker known for incredible cardio. The former champ is bouncing back after her own slide that saw Jedrzejczyk drop three of four fights, albeit in three title fights.

Zhang's power at 115 pounds is insane for the division and provides very little opportunity to gather your senses after being struck. For Jedrzejczyk to have a chance, she will need to make it to the deep waters she's used to, having fought in six full 25-minute battles in her career. The problem is, I can't see it getting that far. Jedrzejczyk will try to play out on the outside with her jab and score points without inflicting a ton of damage, but Zhang will be just too much. Look for the Chinese champion to retain her title with the powerful striking that won her the belt.

Beniel Dariush (-165) vs. Drakkar Klose (+145): Dariush via unanimous decision

Dariush and Klose are slowly starting to make their way toward the top 15 at lightweight, the deepest division in UFC. The two were originally scheduled to fight last summer but will meet this week with plenty at stake. Dariush is coming off a pair of submission victories in 2019 while Klose has three straight decisions dating back to 2018. Dariush brings the much more exciting style to the Octagon, while Klose is more known for a "wall and brawl" style, making fights as ugly as possible. It will be tough for either man to get a finish, but trusting the veteran Dariush feels like the safe play given his style and propensity for grinding out tough fights.

Li Jingliang (-165) vs. Neil Magny (+145): Jingliang via TKO

Magny is back in action for the first time since 2018 after a minor drug suspension last year. Before falling to Santiago Ponzinibbio in November 2018, many thought Magny was closing in on top contender status at 170 pounds. Well, as they say, life comes at you fast. Jingliang is streaking after dropping a decision to Jake Matthews in February 2018, having won three straight in impressive fashion and the last two earning him Performance of the Night honors. Magny will have to utilize his size advantage and wrestling to get Jingliang in bad positions, but it's tough to see that happening here. Look for the Chinese prospect to continue his destructive ways with another stoppage victory.

Alex Oliveira (-145) vs. Max Griffin (+125): Griffin via unanimous decision

This might be one of the most bizarre decisions by UFC in recent memory by putting this bout on PPV. Oliveira and Griffin are a combined 1-6 in their last seven bouts and kicking off the PPV portion of the card. But maybe the matchmakers are crazy like a fox in creating a "loser leaves town" mentality in both fighters as another loss could mean the end of their time with the company. The always jubilant Oliveira has dropped three straight bouts and has looked uncompetitive in recent showings. Meanwhile, Griffin isn't in a much better spot. His most impressive appearance, a decision win over Mike Perry, has been followed by three losses in his last four. I don't really like either guy much in this spot, but I'll take Griffin to grind out a decision as my only decent underdog play on the card.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

CBB GOM

Oregon -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Pinnacle- Texas

[Duncan]

Insider Sports Report
5* Elon -2.5 over James Madison (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -6
3* Texas -3.5 over Oklahoma St. (NCAAB)
Range: -2 to -6
3* Portland St. -3.5 over Sacramento St. (NCAAB)
Range: -1.5 to -5.5

[Duncan]

5 Star Baller

Creighton -3.5

[Stu Padasso]

Maddux

563 Houston / Charlotte Over 218.5
603 George Washington 21.5
726 E Tenn St -13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 03/07/20

4★ Kentucky +2.5 over Florida (NCAAB)
3★ Philadelphia -2 over Golden St. (NBA)
3★ Montana -6.5 over Southern Utah (NCAAB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover
3* BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR
Penn st -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Elite Sports Picks
Mercer +1 over Western Carolina (NCAAB)

National Sports Service
4* Kansas -3.5 over Texas Tech (NCAAB)
3* Kentucky +2.5 over Florida (NCAAB)
3* Sacramento +3 over Portland (NBA)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Primetime Sports Picks For 03/07/20

5 Unit --> Miami-Florida +1 over Syracuse (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Creighton -4 over Seton Hall (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Grand Canyon -2.5 over California St.-Bakersfield (NCAAB)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kiev O'Neil

Over 114 – 2 stars - Louisville - Virginia

UCLA +4 – 2.5 stars

North Carolina +11.5 – 2.5 stars