Friday 7/24/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


    Saratoga - Race #4
    #5 Malarkey Rice charge goes for a barn that has started the meet very hot, has a stalking gear in a race with some speed, and could offer a hint of value as well; look out.
    #8 Blunt Force Heavy hitter was a very fast (for this group) winner last time, but it came against N3L foes, so this is a rise in class, although a repeat makes her tough; using.
    #6 Stay Fond Belmont winner rises slightly off a solid score and will be a late threat here, but spotting ground to them on this track hasn't worked a lot so far; underneath only.
    Race Summary There's a lot of positives on the 5, and she probably won't be favored either, so play her aggressively to win and place, and get some added value by keying her in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she hits hard off her improving form, for a barn having a banner meet early on.
    Saratoga - Race #7
    #2 Towering Homebred had a trip on debut then was a flat 5th last time behind a heavy favorite, but this is a group there for the taking, the cutback should work, and the price will be right too; look out.
    #8 Snicket Expected chalk was 2nd from a bad draw last time and certainly fits, but she cuts back and doesn't have a lot of speed, which may leave her with too much to do in the lane; second-best.
    #10 Quantitativbreezin Heavy hitter was a fast 2nd on debut, though it came in an MCL, so while she's best on figures, this is a rise in class, and she too is lacking early speed; making her prove at underlaid odds.
    Race Summary The price will be right on the 2, and the competition is too, as there's no one to fear here, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as a win would add value to both sequences, and she may be poised for a breakthrough in the often pivotal third lifetime start.
    Saratoga - Race #10
    #10 Yah Huh Longshot got to the turf last time and woke way up with a solid 6th, should only improve off that tightener, doesn't meet much, and will be ignored at the windows; bombs away.
    #3 Bricco Stalker has run just twice, so he's full of upside, and he also goes second-off the long break too, for a Bond barn that knows how to aim for a spot and deliver; looms very large.
    #1 Aintitfunkynow MSW dropper will be favored off that often potent angle, and Irad is here too, so there goes your value, on a horse that has basically been stuck in neutral in all six starts; no thanks.
    Race Summary The price will be right and then some on the 10, and he's really not far off the favorites here on paper, and he has every right to move forward off that turf debut a well, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he has the look of a sneaky longshot, for a Handal barn that knows how to spot its stock.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


      Laurel Park - Race #3
      #3 Addadore Showed pace in a solid debut race before just tiring late, and she'll return with the addition of Lasix this time around. Big chance -- 8/1?
      #1 Tellmeonasunday Another who flashed some forward ability in the debut run, but the rail draw might complicate things a bit at an underlaid price.
      #6 Dontletsweetfoolya Rating ability might be key here with at least three potential forward players signed on, and she wasn't embarrassed when just missing last out.
      Race Summary Addadore adds Lasix after giving way in the final yards of the debut run, and any improvement off that effort might be good enough to handle the trio coming out of that common local race.
      Laurel Park - Race #4
      #9 Purrageous Dyna Has been in with some NY stakes groups over those recent starts, and she wasn't embarrassed in that turf sprint last out. Chance with these at a fair price.
      #4 A Great Time Tracking speed should get a great trip, but the price probably gets much shorter this time around, and there are an awful lot of underneath slices of late.
      #3 Devant Has been in with some very good groups, but her running style might leave something to be desired at this trip. Along late if ever.
      Race Summary Purrageous Dyna has a claim on the top spot here with some decent back starts to her credit, and that NY-bred turf sprint stakes spot last out might match up well here.
      Laurel Park - Race #9
      #1 Peachy Between Us Trying a longshot here in the face of the 7/5 ML chalk drawn outside. This filly showed brief pace going long on the grass, but she has a very versatile pedigree that suggests she might handle the main. Why not?
      #7 Ski Bunny Rallied well going two turns in the local debut, but that came at 36/1 and now we're considering taking 7/5? Not for me.
      #3 Ain't None Lucky Doesn't own much of a serious finishing punch to put things away late, but she tends to be in a decent spot turning for home, so she has some potential utility underneath.
      Race Summary Peachy Between Us should be a big number, and she's worth a small swing on the move to the dirt after flashing pace and fading.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


        Meadowlands - Race #1
        #9 SCIROCCO MISTYSAID Strong recovery from early mishap, strong play despite post.
        #2 JOHNNY CHIP Close up to stretch through fast splits in improved comeback try with Lasix.
        #6 MEADOWBROOK TIGER Has speed, knows how to win, has back-class to awaken.
        Race Summary Scirocco Mistysaid went off stride shortly after the break, appeared to have plenty of trot while advancing in the middle half and raced 4- and 5-wide in the stretch to finish third in amateur drivers’ race. He is today’s best bet despite starting from post 9. Play a 9 with 2, 6 with ALL trifecta.
        Yonkers - Race #1
        #7 LONE RAIDER Clean re-run of race two starts back lands him in winners’ circle.
        #1 HOPETOBEFIRST Won 18 times last year, moves outside in for third start back.
        #2 BETTOR REASON N Stalled in third quarter, surged in stretch as beaten fave.
        Race Summary Lone Raider, no threat in 1:51.4 against better last week, was better than his race two starts ago suggests. He won an early battle for the lead, settled for a pocket trip, awaited room as the odds-on favorite gave way and was free too late. Play a 7-ALL exacta.
        Hawthorne - Race #1
        #8 STRAIT RATE Race two back good enough to win, price goes up after mishap in latest.
        #6 ERNIE THE MOOSS Rallied strongly for two seconds and a third recently.
        #3 ONE R TWO Led until stretch in split race that timed 1-3/5 seconds slower.
        Race Summary Not giving up on Strait Rate yet after he broke stride on the first turn last week. His race two back was good, but he stayed in while a lively outer flow developed and rallied widest in the stretch, albeit too late. Play an 8-ALL exacta.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


          Gulfstream Park - Race #4
          #8 Uncle Andrew Has done well in two Gulfstream Park starts with a second and a third; the change in venue from Fair Grounds and a big class drop from the $30K claiming price paid by the Maker stable have helped his caused.
          #7 Keepsakekitten Was up in time vs. similar last out and has used an off the pace style in winning four of his seven races; well connected and a big player.
          #4 Verdict Is In Closed very well last time and just missed vs. Keepsakekitten; was in good form in three of his last four and could be one to hold off.
          Race Summary Uncle Andrew has the speed to get into a comfortable position and can get a good trip on the front end; could get any with moderate fractions and should be able to dig in when challenged.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #7
          #5 Bienville Street Takes a step down from tough trips in stakes races; can take advantage of this class drop and can move well late vs. this group.
          #4 Midnight Soiree Ran well in stakes races, with a third and fourth, and drops to a level at which he can be very effective, especially since she can be close to the lead throughout.
          #1 Marknmike Seeks her third straight victory and can win on or off the turf; can get a ground-saving journey and likely will be around late.
          Race Summary Bienville Street gets a class break today and has been getting shuffled back and has had wide trips vs. better; expect improvement.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #8
          #5 Allurstra Can move up on the class drop and comes in off a closing fourth vs. stronger company; Vasquez should have him rolling late.
          #6 Ingreido Has good speed, could carve out the fractions and has won two of his last three; improving.
          #3 So Long Chuck Likes to be on the front end and comes off an easy score; with get more pressure today and can still hang around for a big slice of it.
          Race Summary Allurstra can benefit from following a solid pace and has the best of chance of making a strong late run.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Handicapping the MLB Shortened Season
            Marc Lawrence

            By hook or by crook the 2020 MLB season will begin, albeit more than 4 months delayed.

            Due to the pandemic, the 2020 MLB campaign will be shortened to a 60-game season.

            With, here it, here is an illuminating report on how each MLB team has fared over the past three regular seasons in 60-game spans, both to start the season and to conclude the year.

            American League Teams
            Quick Starters

            The Good


            Houston Astros
            New York Yankees
            Boston Red Sox

            The Bad

            Kansas City Royals
            Baltimore Orioles
            Detroit Tigers



            National League Teams
            Quick Starters

            The Good


            Los Angeles Dodgers
            Arizona Diamondbacks
            Milwaukee Brewers

            The Bad

            Miami Marlins
            Cincinnati Reds
            San Diego Padres



            American League Teams
            Solid Finishers

            The Good


            Cleveland Indians
            Houston Astros
            Oakland Athletics

            The Bad

            Detroit Tigers
            Baltimore Orioles
            Kansas City Royals



            National League Teams
            Solid Finishers

            The Good


            Milwaukee Brewers
            St. Louis Cardinals
            Washington Nationals

            The Bad

            Miami Marlins
            San Francisco Giants
            Cincinnati Reds



            Note: A handful of teams saw their season conclude with only 161 games played. In those cases these teams are represented with results played over the span of the final 59 games played.

            So the question begs – will teams approach this year’s 60-game season as if it’s the first 60 games on the schedule, or the final 60 games? That is the big question. My thought is more the latter, with the reward being a ticket to the postseason being just around the corner for teams fortunate enough to qualify.

            If your'e looking for the largest differences from the first 60 to the final 60 games, then keep an eye on the below.

            American League
            Net Difference
            Last 3 years

            The Good


            Cleveland +40 (+6 to +46)
            Tampa Bay +20 (+8 to +28)

            The Bad

            Detroit -47 (-20 to -67)
            Oakland -42 (+36 to -6)
            L.A. Angeles -20 (0 to -20)

            National League
            Net Difference
            Last 3 Years

            The Good


            St. Louis +36 (-4 to +32)
            New York Mets +26 (-16 to +10)
            Colorado +20 (-2 to +18)
            Arizona +19 (+8 to +27)
            Philadelphia +18 (-26 to -8)

            The Bad

            San Francisco -44 (+6 to -38)
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Hunter Price

              Jul 24 '20, 3:00 PM in 8h
              Soccer | Juve Stabia vs Venezia
              Play on: Juve Stabia +303 at 5Dimes

              1* Free Pick on Juve Stabia +303
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Steve Janus

                Jul 24 '20, 7:30 PM in 12h
                MLB | Orioles vs Red Sox
                Play on: Orioles +205 at YouWager

                1* Free Sharp Play on Orioles +205
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Ray Monohan

                  Jul 24 '20, 9:10 PM in 14h
                  MLB | ARI vs SDG
                  Play on: UNDER 8½ -113

                  DBacks vs. Padres UNDER 8.5
                  MLB Opening night (Part 2) and on Friday night at 9:40ET we get the Diamondbacks squaring off against the Padres in NL West action.
                  On the mounds we get Madison Bumgarner who has made five Opening Day starts for the Giants, including one against the Padres last year. The D-backs signed him to a five-year, $85 million free-agent deal this past winter to replace Zack Greinke at the top of the D-backs rotation.
                  For the Padres we get Chris Paddack, and this will be his first Opening Day start. After a series of restrictions and workload limitations in 2019, Paddack will be turned loose in 2020. IN 2019 Paddack faced the D-backs 3 times and allowed only two runs combined, winning both game 2-1. All 3 games managed to stay UNDER as well. He finished 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA in 11 home starts in 2019.
                  It's hard not to like what Bumgarner brings to the mound. He's playing with a 5-year 85M contract and we all know he's one of the best big game pitchers in the game's history. In 2019 he finished the season with a 3.90 ERA in a NL leading 34 starts for the Giants. He pitched to a 3.90 ERA/107 ERA+ with a K/BB ratio of 4.72 -- one of the best K/BB ratios of his career.
                  Bumgarner will be ready for Friday's game. He returned to his North Carolina home after baseball shut down in March and threw like he normally does during an offseason, but with a little more intensity we've heard and he's hit his stride just in time for opening night. Bumgarner went 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA in four starts against the Padres last season
                  Some trends to consider. Under is 5-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a road underdog. 7-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 10 games as an underdog, and is 10-4 in Diamondbacks last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
                  Look for this game to go UNDER on Friday night.
                  Good Luck, Razor Ray.
                  Friday 5* Free MLB Over Under Play
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Cappers Access

                    MLB (Fri) Mets -140
                    MLB (Fri) Cubs -125
                    MLB (Fri) Rockies
                    MLB (Fri) Padres -130
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Valley Sports

                      MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑300
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Huddle Up Sports

                        Free Play: Texas Lynn -125
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Arthur Ralph

                          Arizona w/ Bumgarner +118
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            The Last Call

                            Friday's Free Play: Boston Red Sox - 220
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              High Stakes Syndicate

                              Free Selection for Friday: Cleveland Indians - 220
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                951ATLANTA -952 NY METS
                                ATLANTA is 11-1 SU (9.9 Units) in road games when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.

                                955TORONTO -956 TAMPA BAY
                                TAMPA BAY is 25-14 SU (9.6 Units) when the total is 7 or less in the last 3 seasons.

                                957MIAMI -958 PHILADELPHIA
                                PHILADELPHIA is 28-21 SU (4.9 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 in the last 3 seasons.

                                959KANSAS CITY -960 CLEVELAND
                                CLEVELAND is 27-8 SU (18.2 Units) as a favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

                                961MILWAUKEE -962 CHICAGO CUBS
                                MILWAUKEE is 152-152 SU (-15.2 Units) in road games in July games since 1996.

                                963BALTIMORE -964 BOSTON
                                BALTIMORE is 119-156 SU (-52.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

                                965COLORADO -966 TEXAS
                                TEXAS are 156-146 SU (-4.6 Units) in home games when playing on Friday since 1996.

                                967MINNESOTA -968 CHI WHITE SOX
                                MINNESOTA is 21-5 SU (15.5 Units) in road games when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.

                                967MINNESOTA -968 CHI WHITE SOX
                                ROCCO BALDELLI is 21-5 SU (15.5 Units) in road games when the money line is +125 to -125 (Coach of MINNESOTA)

                                969PITTSBURGH -970 ST LOUIS
                                PITTSBURGH is 10-23 SU (-15.3 Units) as an underdog of +175 to +250 in the last 3 seasons.

                                971SEATTLE -972 HOUSTON
                                HOUSTON is 493-479 SU (-33.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

                                973ARIZONA -974 SAN DIEGO
                                ARIZONA is 72-27 SU (42.3 Units) as an underdog of +100 to +150 in the last 3 seasons.

                                977LA ANGELS -978 OAKLAND
                                OAKLAND is 45-33 SU (8.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
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